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Bokelj vs Mladost DG Prediction & Stats

Date: 20/09/2026
Time: 17:00
Bokelj
Bokelj
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The match between Bokelj and Mladost DG is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are evenly split: a 37 % chance for Bokelj, 30 % for a draw, and 33 % for Mladost DG. The average goal tally sits at 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals at 27 %. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3 % probability. Bokelj, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Mladost DG, on the road, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.43 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9 %), Under 5.5 (96.4 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.3 %), Under 4.5 (90.3 %), Away under 2.5 goals (88.6 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (87.0 %). Each pick carries its own probability, reflecting the expected low-scoring nature of the encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bokelj win
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG win
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W00D20W10W10W01L00D00D02LA·BUD20/05H·DEČ24/05H·GRB29/05A·GRB03/06A·PET01/08H·SUT09/08A·DEČ17/08H·ARS23/08A·BUD30/08A·MOR03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.771.000.930.560.62
vs Stronger (4)1.000.502.000.000.670.67
vs Similar (24)0.710.881.001.080.420.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W22D01L41W21W01L23L00D15LA·BUD02/05H·PET10/05A·JEZ16/05H·SUT20/05A·ARS24/05H·OTR02/08A·JEZ09/08H·MOR16/08H·PET22/08A·SUT28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.471.201.471.071.47
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.004.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.151.481.211.291.081.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.0%
Under 2.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
Bokelj goals ↓
Mladost DG goals →
01234
08.7%7.8%5.4%2.2%0.7%
19.1%14%7.5%3.0%0.9%
27.2%8.7%5.2%2.1%0.6%
33.3%4.0%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bokelj goals (down), columns = Mladost DG goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
0.80
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Bokelj is 0.53 points better than Mladost DG in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Bokelj is 0.67 goals worse than Mladost DG in terms of goals scored per game (0.33 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Bokelj is 1.50 goals better than Mladost DG in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bokelj or Draw
68.6%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
31%
covers Bokelj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bokelj or Mladost DG
71.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
31%
covers Bokelj + Mladost DG
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mladost DG
60.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
31%
covers Draw + Mladost DG
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bokelj over/under 0.5
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5
Over
40.4%
Under
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5
Over
70.1%
Under
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5
Over
34.0%
Under
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 3.5
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bokelj, so a minus line means Bokelj give that many goals of a start and Mladost DG receive them. At -1, Bokelj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bokelj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bokelj)
Bokelj -2
7.1%
Draw -2
12.1%
Mladost DG +2
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bokelj)
Bokelj -1
19.3%
Draw -1
20.6%
Mladost DG +1
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bokelj)
Bokelj +1
68.6%
Draw +1
17.7%
Mladost DG -1
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bokelj)
Bokelj +2
86.4%
Draw +2
9.2%
Mladost DG -2
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BokeljBokelj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D10W10W10W00D00D00D02LA·BUD20/05H·DEČ24/05H·GRB29/05A·GRB03/06A·PET01/08H·SUT09/08A·DEČ17/08H·ARS23/08A·BUD30/08A·MOR03/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.430.500.310.44
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.000.000.330.67
vs Similar (24)0.380.500.500.580.250.42
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W00D30W01L01L22D00D02LA·BUD02/05H·PET10/05A·JEZ16/05H·SUT20/05A·ARS24/05H·OTR02/08A·JEZ09/08H·MOR16/08H·PET22/08A·SUT28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.400.730.530.33
vs Stronger (3)0.330.331.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.560.360.710.620.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BokeljBokelj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D10W00D00D01L00D00D00DA·BUD20/05H·DEČ24/05H·GRB29/05A·GRB03/06A·PET01/08H·SUT09/08A·DEČ17/08H·ARS23/08A·BUD30/08A·MOR03/09
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.300.570.430.250.19
vs Stronger (4)0.750.002.000.000.330.00
vs Similar (24)0.330.380.500.500.170.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L01L11D20W00D01L00D13LA·BUD02/05H·PET10/05A·JEZ16/05H·SUT20/05A·ARS24/05H·OTR02/08A·JEZ09/08H·MOR16/08H·PET22/08A·SUT28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.800.730.531.13
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.003.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.930.860.570.461.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.6%-------
Under 5.595.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.8%-------
Under 4.587.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals87.8%-------
Home +2 handicap86.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals83.6%-------
Away +2 handicap80.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.0%-------
Over 1.574.4%-------
Under 3.573.7%-------
Home or Away71.2%-------
Away over 0.5 goals70.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Bokelj and Mladost DG have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Bokelj and Mladost DG have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Bokelj and Mladost DG have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Bokelj and Mladost DG have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BOK wins
5
Draws
2
MD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bokelj vs Mladost DG · H/A from BOK
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26AMladost DG Vs BOK0-1
21/02/26HBOK Vs Mladost DG0-0
05/10/25AMladost DG Vs BOK3-0
10/08/25HBOK Vs Mladost DG2-2
06/05/23HBOK Vs Mladost DG0-0
25/03/23AMladost DG Vs BOK1-0
30/10/22HBOK Vs Mladost DG0-0
11/09/22AMladost DG Vs BOK0-0

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AMornar Vs BOK2-0
30/08/26ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BOK0-0
23/08/26HBOK Vs Arsenal Tivat0-0
17/08/26ADečić Vs BOK1-0
09/08/26HBOK Vs Sutjeska1-0
01/08/26APetrovac Vs BOK0-1
03/06/26AGrbalj Vs BOK0-2
29/05/26HBOK Vs Grbalj0-0
24/05/26HBOK Vs Dečić1-0
20/05/26ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BOK2-1

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASutjeska Vs MD5-1
22/08/26HMD Vs Petrovac0-0
16/08/26HMD Vs Mornar2-3
09/08/26AJezero Vs MD1-0
02/08/26HMD Vs Otrant-Olympic2-1
24/05/26AArsenal Tivat Vs MD1-4
20/05/26HMD Vs Sutjeska0-1
16/05/26AJezero Vs MD2-2
10/05/26HMD Vs Petrovac1-0
02/05/26ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MD0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDL1.10
HomeWWDWD1.09
AwayWWLDL1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%26%26%
AVG goals2.202.651.81
Over 1.5 %62%74%52%
Over 2.5 %34%43%26%
Over 3.5 %16%22%11%
Scored0.961.220.74
Conceded1.241.431.07
BTTS38%48%30%
Clean Sheet44%39%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.32
HomeWLWLD1.58
AwayWDWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.842.882.79
Over 1.5 %68%73%62%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.381.621.12
Conceded1.461.271.67
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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