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Bokelj vs Petrovac Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Bokelj
Bokelj
Vs
28%
33%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, as both sides have conceded over a goal per match on average. The model favours an away win, with the probability of 37% for Petrovac, 33% for a draw and 30% for a home victory. The expected total goals sits at 2.1, pointing to a low-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 14.8% chance. Bokelj, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Petrovac on the road averages 0.79 scored and 1.21 conceded. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 - 99.9%; Under 6.5 - 99.5%; Home under 3.5 goals - 98.3%; Under 5.5 - 98.1%; Away under 3.5 goals - 97.4%; Under 4.5 - 94.1%; Home under 2.5 goals - 92.7%; Away under 2.5 goals - 90.0%. Both teams have recently drawn their last matches, with Bokelj ending 0-0 against Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac finishing 1-1 versus Mornar, underscoring the defensive theme.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bokelj win
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W00D20W10W10W01L00D00D02LA·BUD20/05H·DEČ24/05H·GRB29/05A·GRB03/06A·PET01/08H·SUT09/08A·DEČ17/08H·ARS23/08A·BUD30/08A·MOR03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.771.000.930.560.62
vs Stronger (4)1.000.502.000.000.670.67
vs Similar (24)0.710.881.001.080.420.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L10W11D11D01L00D30W00D11DH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
62.8%
Under 1.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
34.5%
Under 2.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
15.7%
Under 3.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
42.6%
No
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.8%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
Bokelj goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
014%13%8.4%3.2%0.9%
110%15%7.7%3.0%0.9%
25.3%6.1%3.6%1.4%0.4%
31.6%1.9%1.1%0.4%0.1%
40.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bokelj goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
0.80
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Bokelj is 0.13 points better than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Bokelj is 0.47 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (0.33 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Bokelj is 0.10 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bokelj or Draw
60.2%
Avg Implied -
28%
33%
40%
covers Bokelj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bokelj or Petrovac
67.5%
Avg Implied -
28%
33%
40%
covers Bokelj + Petrovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Petrovac
72.4%
Avg Implied -
28%
33%
40%
covers Draw + Petrovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bokelj over/under 0.5
Over
60.2%
Under
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5
Over
23.5%
Under
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5
Over
68.6%
Under
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5
Over
32.2%
Under
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bokelj, so a minus line means Bokelj give that many goals of a start and Petrovac receive them. At -1, Bokelj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bokelj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bokelj)
Bokelj -2
2.7%
Draw -2
7.5%
Petrovac +2
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bokelj)
Bokelj -1
10.1%
Draw -1
17.5%
Petrovac +1
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bokelj)
Bokelj +1
60.2%
Draw +1
22.4%
Petrovac -1
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bokelj)
Bokelj +2
82.5%
Draw +2
11.8%
Petrovac -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BokeljBokelj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D10W10W10W00D00D00D02LA·BUD20/05H·DEČ24/05H·GRB29/05A·GRB03/06A·PET01/08H·SUT09/08A·DEČ17/08H·ARS23/08A·BUD30/08A·MOR03/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.430.500.310.44
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.000.000.330.67
vs Similar (24)0.380.500.500.580.250.42
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D10W01L00D00D00D01LH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BokeljBokelj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D10W00D00D01L00D00D00DA·BUD20/05H·DEČ24/05H·GRB29/05A·GRB03/06A·PET01/08H·SUT09/08A·DEČ17/08H·ARS23/08A·BUD30/08A·MOR03/09
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.300.570.430.250.19
vs Stronger (4)0.750.002.000.000.330.00
vs Similar (24)0.330.380.500.500.170.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W11D01L00D00D30W00D10WH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.5%-------
Under 5.598.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.0%-------
Under 4.594.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals93.4%-------
Away +2 handicap89.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals88.8%-------
Under 3.584.3%-------
Home +2 handicap82.5%-------
Home under 1.5 goals76.5%-------
Draw or Away72.4%-------
Away +1 handicap72.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Bokelj's squad is €2m less valuable than Petrovac's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Bokelj and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Bokelj and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Bokelj and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BOK wins
1
Draws
5
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bokelj vs Petrovac · H/A from BOK
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26APetrovac Vs BOK0-1
08/04/26HBOK Vs Petrovac0-1
10/12/25APetrovac Vs BOK0-0
01/10/25HBOK Vs Petrovac1-2
04/08/25APetrovac Vs BOK2-0
14/05/25APetrovac Vs BOK0-1
16/03/25HBOK Vs Petrovac0-4
10/11/24APetrovac Vs BOK1-0

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AMornar Vs BOK2-0
30/08/26ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BOK0-0
23/08/26HBOK Vs Arsenal Tivat0-0
17/08/26ADečić Vs BOK1-0
09/08/26HBOK Vs Sutjeska1-0
01/08/26APetrovac Vs BOK0-1
03/06/26AGrbalj Vs BOK0-2
29/05/26HBOK Vs Grbalj0-0
24/05/26HBOK Vs Dečić1-0
20/05/26ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BOK2-1

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HPET Vs Mornar1-1
22/08/26AMladost DG Vs PET0-0
16/08/26HPET Vs Jezero3-0
09/08/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs PET0-0
01/08/26HPET Vs Bokelj0-1
24/05/26HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
20/05/26AMornar Vs PET1-1
16/05/26HPET Vs Jedinstvo1-0
10/05/26AMladost DG Vs PET1-0
02/05/26HPET Vs Dečić1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDL1.10
HomeWWDWD1.09
AwayWWLDL1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%26%26%
AVG goals2.202.651.81
Over 1.5 %62%74%52%
Over 2.5 %34%43%26%
Over 3.5 %16%22%11%
Scored0.961.220.74
Conceded1.241.431.07
BTTS38%48%30%
Clean Sheet44%39%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.32
HomeWDLWD1.62
AwayLLDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals2.162.082.25
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %34%27%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.161.311.00
Conceded1.000.771.25
BTTS52%38%67%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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