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Bolton vs West Ham Prediction & Stats

Date: 08/09/2026
Time: 19:00
Bolton
Bolton
Vs
25%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
West Ham
West Ham
England: Championship
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with West Ham beating Bolton 1-1 the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The match is expected to see 3.1 goals on average, but the most probable total is 2 goals, a 23% chance. Home form shows Bolton’s recent five as LLDWL, after two straight defeats, while West Ham’s last five are WDWLD, coming off a win against Wolves. Bolton’s home attack averages 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded against weaker opponents, whereas West Ham’s away numbers are the same. The probabilities of each result are 25% for a home win, 25% for a draw, and 50% for an away win. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5% with a 7% edge, Under 7.5 at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Under 6.5 at 95.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.7%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.0%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 90.0% with a 2% edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bolton win
24.9%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.33
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.60
Dafabet
4.30
1xBet
4.09
Draw
24.8%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.95
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Unibet
3.90
1xBet
3.85
West Ham win
50.3%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.73
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Unibet
1.67

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BoltonBolton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D23L10W10W41W01L21W00D01L23LA·BRA25/04H·LUT02/05H·BRA09/05A·BRA14/05H·STO24/05A·SHE08/08H·PRE15/08A·QPR22/08H·LIN29/08A·SHE01/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.232.211.431.121.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.571.432.181.640.901.20
vs Weaker (9)1.780.782.330.671.500.83
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L13L30W31W22D12L41W11D42WA·BRE02/05H·ARS10/05A·NEW17/05H·LEE24/05H·POR08/08A·BUR16/08H·CHA22/08A·SOU25/08A·WAT29/08H·WOL01/09← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.431.881.191.211.71
vs Stronger (4)1.252.500.501.002.004.00
vs Similar (21)1.711.332.181.181.201.50
vs Weaker (5)1.201.001.671.330.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.6%
@ 1.17+2.8%
Under 1.5
17.4%
@ 4.60-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.17
Under
Unibet
4.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.61+1.8%
Under 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.23-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.23
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.5%
@ 2.50+0.0%
Under 3.5
62.5%
@ 1.50-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
61.2%
@ 1.61+3.7%
No
38.8%
@ 2.18-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.61
No
Unibet
2.18

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 6.40+3.1%
1-2
9.6%@ 6.75+1.7%
0-2
7.7%@ 7.50+0.6%
0-1
7.3%@ 7.50+0.2%
2-1
6.5%@ 10.50+1.5%
2-2
6.0%@ 9.50+0.4%
1-3
5.9%@ 9.00-0.0%
0-0
5.5%@ 11.00+0.7%
Bolton goals ↓
West Ham goals →
01234
05.5%7.3%7.7%4.7%2.2%
14.6%11%9.6%5.9%2.7%
23.5%6.5%6.0%3.7%1.7%
31.5%2.7%2.5%1.6%0.7%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bolton goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Bolton is 0.92 points worse than West Ham in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.92).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Bolton is 0.87 goals worse than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Bolton is 0.85 goals worse than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BoltonBolton

For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1605514229525652385453561016117117119811A·SHEH·LINA·QPRH·PREA·SHEH·STOA·BRAH·BRAH·LUTA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

702321233311143222335331274A·SHEH·LINA·QPRH·PREA·SHEH·STOA·BRAH·BRAH·LUTA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

340138615861211817811141410101717111321211423251928203424A·SHEH·LINA·QPRH·PREA·SHEH·STOA·BRAH·BRAH·LUTA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

West HamWest Ham

For 5.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

14067113527466376419436213147111210101078H·WOLA·WATA·SOUH·CHAA·BURH·PORH·LEEA·NEWH·ARSA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

70211322341233134313425433474H·WOLA·WATA·SOUH·CHAA·BURH·PORH·LEEA·NEWH·ARSA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

31099798791691212191114118141212818161525213125192620H·WOLA·WATA·SOUH·CHAA·BURH·PORH·LEEA·NEWH·ARSA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BoltonBolton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.210.03.33.92.821.520.722.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.911.410.33.54.22.821.721.521.9
vs Weaker (17)10.010.99.32.93.12.821.218.923.0
% over line60%61%58%40%54%27%49%30%67%
% under line40%39%42%60%46%73%51%70%33%
This opponent (West Ham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.211.111.43.73.83.722.222.821.5
vs Stronger (8)11.011.011.03.53.53.523.622.025.2
vs Similar (36)11.011.110.93.83.83.721.522.020.9
vs Weaker (6)13.611.716.53.83.84.025.029.019.0
% over line67%64%71%54%46%62%51%52%50%
% under line33%36%29%46%54%38%49%48%50%
This opponent (Bolton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
66.6%
@ 1.73+13.6%
Under 9.5
33.4%
@ 1.95-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.73
Under
Unibet
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.6%
Under 3.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.1%
Under 21.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bolton or Draw
53.3%
Avg Implied 43.9% · @ 2.15
Edge
+9.4%
25%
25%
50%
covers Bolton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.15
Bolton or West Ham
74.9%
Avg Implied 76.1% · @ 1.24
Edge
-1.2%
25%
25%
50%
covers Bolton + West Ham
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.24
Draw or West Ham
71.8%
Avg Implied 80.0% · @ 1.18
Edge
-8.2%
25%
25%
50%
covers Draw + West Ham
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.18

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bolton over/under 0.5
Over
74.5%
@ 1.40+8.6%
Under
25.5%
@ 2.70-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.40
Under
Unibet
2.70
Bolton over/under 1.5
Over
39.6%
@ 2.95+8.5%
Under
60.4%
@ 1.33-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.95
Under
Unibet
1.33
Bolton over/under 2.5
Over
15.8%
@ 7.00+2.7%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.06-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
7.00
Under
Unibet
1.06
Bolton over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5
Over
83.4%
@ 1.09-0.3%
Under
16.6%
@ 5.60+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.09
Under
Unibet
5.60
West Ham over/under 1.5
Over
53.7%
@ 1.58-4.5%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.20+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.58
Under
Unibet
2.20
West Ham over/under 2.5
Over
26.9%
@ 2.85-5.4%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.36+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.85
Under
Unibet
1.36
West Ham over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
@ 5.80-4.9%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.80
Under
Unibet
1.08

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bolton, so a minus line means Bolton give that many goals of a start and West Ham receive them. At -1, Bolton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bolton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bolton)
Bolton -2
4.5%
Draw -2
8.3%
West Ham +2
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bolton)
Bolton -1
12.8%
@ 9.50+3.5%
Draw -1
15.4%
@ 6.10+0.8%
West Ham +1
71.8%
@ 1.17-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
9.50
Draw
Unibet
6.10
Away
Unibet
1.17
Handicap +1 (Bolton)
Bolton +1
53.3%
@ 2.12+11.6%
Draw +1
20.6%
@ 3.55-4.3%
West Ham -1
26.1%
@ 2.65-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.12
Draw
Unibet
3.55
Away
Unibet
2.65
Handicap +2 (Bolton)
Bolton +2
73.9%
@ 1.41+11.0%
Draw +2
14.5%
@ 4.60-4.8%
West Ham -2
11.6%
@ 5.00-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.41
Draw
Unibet
4.60
Away
Unibet
5.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BoltonBolton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D00D11D00D20W00D00D11DA·BRA25/04H·LUT02/05H·BRA09/05A·BRA14/05H·STO24/05A·SHE08/08H·PRE15/08A·QPR22/08H·LIN29/08A·SHE01/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.860.360.190.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.520.380.910.450.100.30
vs Weaker (9)0.440.440.670.000.330.67
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L00D21W10W01L11D11D21WA·BRE02/05H·ARS10/05A·NEW17/05H·LEE24/05H·POR08/08A·BUR16/08H·CHA22/08A·SOU25/08A·WAT29/08H·WOL01/09← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.940.440.570.86
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.500.501.001.50
vs Similar (21)0.760.571.000.360.500.80
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.000.670.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.9%
@ 1.28-6.2%
Under 0.5
34.1%
@ 3.30+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.28
Under
Unibet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.3%
@ 2.40-5.1%
Under 1.5
66.7%
@ 1.50+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 5.40-6.4%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.10+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.40
Under
Unibet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bolton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.7%
@ 2.40+8.2%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.50-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.50
Bolton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 8.00-1.6%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.05+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
8.00
Under
Unibet
1.05
Bolton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.3%
@ 1.62-15.0%
Under
57.7%
@ 2.17+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.17
West Ham over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.8%
@ 4.10-11.8%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.20+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.10
Under
Unibet
1.20
West Ham over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 11.50-6.7%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.50
Under
Unibet
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BoltonBolton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L10W10W30W01L01L00D01L12LA·BRA25/04H·LUT02/05H·BRA09/05A·BRA14/05H·STO24/05A·SHE08/08H·PRE15/08A·QPR22/08H·LIN29/08A·SHE01/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.831.361.070.940.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.051.051.271.180.800.90
vs Weaker (9)1.330.331.670.671.170.17
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L11D30W10W12L11D30W00D21WA·BRE02/05H·ARS10/05A·NEW17/05H·LEE24/05H·POR08/08A·BUR16/08H·CHA22/08A·SOU25/08A·WAT29/08H·WOL01/09← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.940.750.640.86
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.000.501.002.50
vs Similar (21)0.950.761.180.820.700.70
vs Weaker (5)0.400.400.670.670.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.15-4.5%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 4.70+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.15
Under
Unibet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 1.79-11.1%
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.93+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.79
Under
Unibet
1.93
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.7%
@ 3.45-12.2%
Under 2.5
85.3%
@ 1.27+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.45
Under
Unibet
1.27

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bolton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.8%
Under
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%1.03
Unibet
1.03
----+6.7%
Under 7.598.4%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.0%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.5%-------
Under 6.595.8%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.0%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals90.0%1.05
Unibet
1.05
----+1.6%
Under 5.589.9%1.04
Unibet
1.04
----+0.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals89.5%1.10
Unibet
1.10
----+6.4%
Away under 3.5 goals89.2%1.08
Unibet
1.08
----+4.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.2%1.20
Unibet
1.20
----+11.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals88.2%-------
Away +2 handicap87.2%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals85.3%1.27
Unibet
1.27
----+12.2%
Home under 2.5 goals84.2%1.06
Unibet
1.06
-----2.7%
Away over 0.5 goals83.4%1.09
Unibet
1.09
-----0.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals83.1%-------
Under 25.5 fouls82.6%-------
Over 1.582.6%1.17
Unibet
1.17
----+2.8%
Under 5.5 cards80.1%-------
Under 4.578.7%1.17
Unibet
1.17
-----0.6%
Over 8.5 corners77.4%1.45
Unibet
1.45
----+14.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals75.9%1.15
Unibet
1.15
-----4.5%
Home or Away74.9%1.24
Unibet
1.24
-----1.2%
Over 2.5 cards74.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.5%1.40
Unibet
1.40
----+8.6%
Home +2 handicap73.9%1.41
Unibet
1.41
----+11.0%
Away under 2.5 goals73.1%1.36
Unibet
1.36
----+5.4%
Draw or Away71.8%1.18
Unibet
1.18
-----8.2%
Away +1 handicap71.8%1.17
Unibet
1.17
-----4.3%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bolton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Dalby40%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
John McAtee0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Hardie33%
Akin Famewo20%
J. Sheehan20%
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
Gaizka Larrazabal20%
Chris Forino20%
S. Dalby0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
S. Dalby0%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Sheehan40%
John McAtee40%
S. Iling-Junior25%
S. Dalby20%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Bowen50%
V. Castellanos33%
J. Piroe25%
Konstantinos Mavropanos25%
D. Mukasa25%
M. Solomon20%
M. Kilman17%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Veltman0%
M. Hermansen0%
Arne Engels0%
L. Orford0%
Pablo Felipe0%
O. Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Castellanos50%
D. Mukasa25%
M. Hermansen20%
J. Veltman17%
M. Kilman17%
Mohamadou Kanté17%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Piroe0%
M. Solomon0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
J. Bowen0%
Arne Engels0%
L. Orford0%
Pablo Felipe0%
O. Scarles0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Bowen50%
Pablo Felipe33%
Arne Engels25%
L. Orford20%
J. Veltman17%
Mohamadou Kanté17%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Piroe0%
M. Solomon0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
M. Hermansen0%
M. Kilman0%
V. Castellanos0%
O. Scarles0%
D. Mukasa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Bowen50%
V. Castellanos33%
Pablo Felipe33%
J. Piroe25%
Konstantinos Mavropanos25%
D. Mukasa25%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Veltman0%
M. Solomon0%
M. Hermansen0%
M. Kilman0%
Arne Engels0%
L. Orford0%
O. Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Bolton's squad is €257m less valuable than West Ham's (€17m vs €274m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Bolton's attack is €81m less valuable than West Ham's (€4m vs €84m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Bolton's midfield is €44m less valuable than West Ham's (€4m vs €48m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Bolton's defence is €132m less valuable than West Ham's (€9m vs €141m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BOL wins
0
Draws
0
WHU wins

Head-to-head

Bolton vs West Ham · H/A from BOL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BoltonBolton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26ASheffield United Vs BOL3-2
29/08/26HBOL Vs Lincoln0-1
22/08/26AQPR Vs BOL0-0
15/08/26HBOL Vs Preston2-1
08/08/26ASheffield Weds Vs BOL1-0
24/05/26HBOL Vs Stockport4-1
14/05/26ABradford Vs BOL0-1
09/05/26HBOL Vs Bradford1-0
02/05/26HBOL Vs Luton2-3
25/04/26ABradford Vs BOL1-1

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HWHU Vs Wolves4-2
29/08/26AWatford Vs WHU1-1
25/08/26ASouthampton Vs WHU1-4
22/08/26HWHU Vs Charlton1-2
16/08/26ABurnley Vs WHU2-2
08/08/26HWHU Vs Portsmouth3-1
24/05/26HWHU Vs Leeds3-0
17/05/26ANewcastle Vs WHU3-1
10/05/26HWHU Vs Arsenal0-1
02/05/26ABrentford Vs WHU3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bolton
Bolton
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.68
HomeLWWWL2.16
AwayDWLDL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%64%28%
AVG goals2.683.082.28
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %54%72%36%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.522.041.00
Conceded1.161.041.28
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.5611.179.96
Cards3.564.123.00
West Ham
West Ham
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.14
HomeLWWLW1.24
AwayLLDWD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals3.083.202.96
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.421.601.24
Conceded1.661.601.72
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners11.1011.1211.08
Cards3.783.923.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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