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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 07/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-4
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
44%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 42.2% · @ 2.18
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.26
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
30.6%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.11
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W14L12L23L11D11D11D00D32WA·ALB08/10H·ANN11/10H·EAS15/10A·STI29/10H·ELG05/11A·FOR12/11A·STE19/11H·DUM03/12A·EAS10/12H·STR23/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.281.501.561.781.001.22
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.001.861.003.001.001.00
vs Weaker (11)1.451.271.831.171.001.40
Clean sheet %28% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L11D22D11D32W10W01L15L01LH·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.530.691.441.211.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.890.500.501.401.20
vs Weaker (21)0.901.810.751.751.111.89
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.95+12.9%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 1.79-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
05.4%5.1%4.3%2.0%0.7%
16.4%12%7.5%3.5%1.2%
26.4%9.1%6.4%3.0%1.1%
33.7%5.2%3.7%1.8%0.6%
41.6%2.3%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.08 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.31 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.03 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

170332674359810264541536811817126958H·STRA·EASH·DUMA·STEA·FORH·ELGA·STIH·EASH·ANNA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

1001231244322315523213334674410536H·STRA·EASH·DUMA·STEA·FORH·ELGA·STIH·EASH·ANNA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901312141178171257156111761215915725251529122128182422H·STRA·EASH·DUMA·STEA·FORH·ELGA·STIH·EASH·ANNA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 5.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

160124556107623365856563516101613591311118H·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

904533222522214324339064743766H·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401717812911514151513114141212111971534202019302418243022H·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (18)9.29.48.94.63.75.421.621.421.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)8.08.77.53.73.73.821.320.322.0
vs Weaker (11)9.99.810.05.13.76.821.722.021.4
% over line44%56%33%67%56%78%61%56%67%
% under line56%44%67%33%44%22%39%44%33%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.59.03.74.03.321.520.822.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.68.98.23.33.43.221.420.921.9
vs Weaker (34)9.69.89.43.84.43.321.620.722.3
% over line40%33%46%46%46%46%50%38%62%
% under line60%67%54%54%54%54%50%62%38%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.3
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Forfar
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.6
Albion Rvs
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.2
Stranraer
9.1
East Fife
9.1
Stirling
8.8
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.6
Dumbarton
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Elgin
4.2
Stirling
4.0
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Albion Rvs
3.7
East Fife
3.7
Forfar
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.3
Stirling
22.0
Stranraer
21.7
Forfar
21.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.6
Stenhousemuir
21.5
Albion Rvs
21.5
Dumbarton
20.9
East Fife
20.8
Annan Athletic
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.1%
Under 9.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.8%
Under 21.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W10W11D03L00D11D10W00D21WA·ALB08/10H·ANN11/10H·EAS15/10A·STI29/10H·ELG05/11A·FOR12/11A·STE19/11H·DUM03/12A·EAS10/12H·STR23/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.780.670.780.670.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.571.000.331.330.750.75
vs Weaker (11)0.730.640.830.500.600.80
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D11D10W10W21W00D01L10W00DH·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.380.380.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.440.500.250.600.60
vs Weaker (21)0.480.670.330.420.671.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W04L01L20W11D00D01L00D11DA·ALB08/10H·ANN11/10H·EAS15/10A·STI29/10H·ELG05/11A·FOR12/11A·STE19/11H·DUM03/12A·EAS10/12H·STR23/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.610.720.891.000.330.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.430.860.671.670.250.25
vs Weaker (11)0.730.641.000.670.400.60
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L00D12L01L11D10W00D05L01LH·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.930.311.060.570.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.000.250.800.60
vs Weaker (21)0.431.140.421.330.440.89
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards75.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls71.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BR wins
0
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Albion Rvs · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22AAlbion Rvs Vs BR2-1
20/08/22HBR Vs Albion Rvs0-2

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/22HBR Vs Stranraer3-2
10/12/22AEast Fife Vs BR0-0
03/12/22HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
19/11/22AStenhousemuir Vs BR1-1
12/11/22AForfar Vs BR1-1
05/11/22HBR Vs Elgin2-3
29/10/22AStirling Vs BR2-1
15/10/22HBR Vs East Fife1-4
11/10/22HBR Vs Annan Athletic2-0
08/10/22AAlbion Rvs Vs BR2-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/12/22HAR Vs Dumbarton0-1
23/12/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR5-1
03/12/22AForfar Vs AR1-0
19/11/22HAR Vs Stranraer1-0
12/11/22AEast Fife Vs AR2-3
05/11/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1
29/10/22HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
15/10/22ADumbarton Vs AR1-1
11/10/22AElgin Vs AR1-0
08/10/22HAR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDW1.11
HomeWLLDW1.44
AwayLLDDD0.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%44%11%
AVG goals2.783.332.22
Over 1.5 %83%89%78%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %28%44%11%
Scored1.281.561.00
Conceded1.501.781.22
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet28%33%22%
Corners9.179.448.89
Cards4.563.675.44
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.04
HomeWDDWL1.04
AwayLDWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%25%27%
AVG goals2.582.382.77
Over 1.5 %66%62%69%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.020.921.12
Conceded1.561.461.65
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.269.509.04
Cards3.664.043.31

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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