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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied 53.3% · @ 1.72
Edge
-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.57
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.36
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D30W11D20W11D21W51W12L01L22DA·ANN29/04H·ELG06/05H·DUM05/08A·CLY12/08H·STR19/08A·FOR26/08H·ELG02/09A·PET16/09H·STE23/09A·SPA30/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.101.271.330.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.561.112.251.501.000.80
vs Weaker (21)0.861.100.911.270.800.90
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D02L12L01L00D02L21W22D04LH·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.701.061.690.431.71
vs Stronger (28)0.821.641.131.530.461.77
vs Similar (2)0.002.500.004.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.6%
@ 1.84-2.9%
Under 2.5
52.4%
@ 1.88+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
08.8%7.4%4.9%1.8%0.5%
19.7%14%7.1%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.0%5.1%1.9%0.5%
33.8%4.3%2.4%0.9%0.3%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.03 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.03 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.28 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1404642326343245410475421065976914126A·SPAH·STEA·PETH·ELGA·FORH·STRA·CLYH·DUMH·ELGA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8012532511132123211523872432527A·SPAH·STEA·PETH·ELGA·FORH·STRA·CLYH·DUMH·ELGA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

410111513151221221120211281061312102121126283333412016251223A·SPAH·STEA·PETH·ELGA·FORH·STRA·CLYH·DUMH·ELGA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 3.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1106545724323721452643119945103987H·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6022422222221132211224644425224H·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 8.5 · Total 18.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

27011111277817101412911134610737922191527262017161016H·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EASH·FORA·STRH·PETH·BONA·SPAH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)9.310.18.54.34.24.423.123.422.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)9.311.37.53.53.33.823.121.924.2
vs Weaker (29)9.39.59.04.74.74.823.124.122.1
% over line45%55%36%59%59%59%61%59%64%
% under line55%45%64%41%41%41%39%41%36%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.59.93.84.03.521.221.221.2
vs Stronger (47)9.69.59.83.94.03.721.121.121.2
vs Similar (3)11.311.011.52.34.01.522.022.022.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%46%46%50%58%42%48%50%46%
% under line54%54%54%50%42%58%52%50%54%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Forfar
10.4
Dumbarton
10.3
Stranraer
10.0
Spartans
9.9
Clyde
9.7
Peterhead
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
East Fife
9.1
Elgin
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.6
Stenhousemuir
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Peterhead
4.3
East Fife
4.1
Elgin
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Clyde
3.8
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.1
Forfar
22.6
Peterhead
22.4
Elgin
22.1
Stranraer
21.6
East Fife
21.4
Clyde
21.2
Stenhousemuir
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
17.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.7%
Under 21.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W10W10W20W00D00D10WA·ANN29/04H·ELG06/05H·DUM05/08A·CLY12/08H·STR19/08A·FOR26/08H·ELG02/09A·PET16/09H·STE23/09A·SPA30/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.370.470.530.400.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.330.500.750.200.00
vs Weaker (21)0.480.380.450.450.500.30
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L12L00D00D01L20W01L02LH·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.750.880.140.64
vs Stronger (28)0.500.750.800.800.150.69
vs Similar (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W10W01L11D31W12L01L12LA·ANN29/04H·ELG06/05H·DUM05/08A·CLY12/08H·STR19/08A·FOR26/08H·ELG02/09A·PET16/09H·STE23/09A·SPA30/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.800.800.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.220.781.750.750.800.80
vs Weaker (21)0.380.710.450.820.300.60
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L00D01L00D01L01L21W02LH·MON06/05A·SPA05/08H·BON12/08H·PET19/08A·STR26/08H·FOR02/09A·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.930.310.810.291.07
vs Stronger (28)0.320.890.330.730.311.08
vs Similar (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards77.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls71.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
BR wins
0
Draws
0
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Clyde · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23AClyde Vs BR0-2

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23ASpartans Vs BR2-2
23/09/23HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
16/09/23APeterhead Vs BR2-1
02/09/23HBR Vs Elgin5-1
26/08/23AForfar Vs BR1-2
19/08/23HBR Vs Stranraer1-1
12/08/23AClyde Vs BR0-2
05/08/23HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
06/05/23HBR Vs Elgin3-0
29/04/23AAnnan Athletic Vs BR0-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23HCLY Vs Dumbarton0-4
30/09/23AStenhousemuir Vs CLY2-2
23/09/23HCLY Vs Elgin2-1
16/09/23AEast Fife Vs CLY2-0
02/09/23HCLY Vs Forfar0-0
26/08/23AStranraer Vs CLY1-0
19/08/23HCLY Vs Peterhead1-2
12/08/23HCLY Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-2
05/08/23ASpartans Vs CLY1-1
06/05/23HCLY Vs Montrose2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.23
HomeWDDWL1.18
AwayDWWLD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.412.822.00
Over 1.5 %70%82%59%
Over 2.5 %41%41%41%
Over 3.5 %20%27%14%
Scored1.141.320.95
Conceded1.271.501.05
BTTS48%55%41%
Clean Sheet32%23%41%
Corners9.2710.098.45
Cards4.324.234.41
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL0.66
HomeLLDWL0.96
AwayLDLLD0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%23%4%
AVG goals2.783.002.54
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %58%65%50%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored0.881.080.67
Conceded1.901.921.88
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet10%15%4%
Corners9.729.549.92
Cards3.763.963.54

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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