PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 18/03/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
27%
25%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.70
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.35
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✗ Miss
47.5%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.35
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L04L01L12L10W12L01L11D10W12LH·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03A·STI11/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.041.571.211.860.861.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.891.890.753.251.000.80
vs Weaker (19)1.111.421.401.300.781.56
Clean sheet %25% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D13L03L11D10W20W02L32W21WA·ELG07/01H·STE14/01H·STR21/01A·ANN28/01H·STI04/02A·ALB11/02H·DUM18/02A·STR25/02H·FOR04/03A·STE11/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.571.201.671.531.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.551.271.202.001.830.67
vs Weaker (19)1.261.741.201.501.332.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.76+6.6%
Under 2.5
40.6%
@ 1.97-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
05.7%7.1%7.3%4.3%1.9%
14.9%12%9.5%5.6%2.5%
23.9%6.9%6.2%3.6%1.6%
31.7%3.0%2.7%1.6%0.7%
40.6%1.0%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.22 points worse than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.50 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.08 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

16022255356548497953156478119121614411A·STIA·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

702412521321221241316173533254A·STIA·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3501411128152011714131391569586181125203518272221141429A·STIA·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 5.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

140456563210641036453688591191210131081413A·STEH·FORA·STRH·DUMA·ALBH·STIA·ANNH·STRH·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70251212221512344512632463746A·STEH·FORA·STRH·DUMA·ALBH·STIA·ANNH·STRH·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 9.4 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

280146115128121081011171710711147171020162022182827182127A·STEH·FORA·STRH·DUMA·ALBH·STIA·ANNH·STRH·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (28)9.310.08.64.33.94.721.923.120.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)8.29.27.43.43.83.222.022.521.6
vs Weaker (19)9.810.39.34.74.05.621.823.320.2
% over line46%57%36%61%57%64%57%57%57%
% under line54%43%64%39%43%36%43%43%43%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.28.93.94.23.621.021.021.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)8.37.78.83.83.83.821.722.620.8
vs Weaker (24)9.910.89.04.04.83.320.319.121.3
% over line42%52%32%52%56%48%45%50%40%
% under line58%48%68%48%44%52%55%50%60%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Dumbarton
10.4
Forfar
10.2
Annan Athletic
9.7
Stranraer
9.4
Albion Rvs
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
Stirling
9.1
East Fife
9.1
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Dumbarton
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Stirling
4.1
Albion Rvs
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Forfar
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.7
Albion Rvs
21.9
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.9
Forfar
21.8
Stirling
21.7
Stranraer
21.2
East Fife
21.0
Annan Athletic
20.9
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Dumbarton
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.1%
Under 21.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L01L12L00D01L00D00D00D10WH·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03A·STI11/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.790.500.930.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.441.110.251.750.600.60
vs Weaker (19)0.530.630.600.600.440.67
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W02L01L00D10W10W01L11D01LA·ELG07/01H·STE14/01H·STR21/01A·ANN28/01H·STI04/02A·ALB11/02H·DUM18/02A·STR25/02H·FOR04/03A·STE11/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.670.800.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.820.640.801.000.830.33
vs Weaker (19)0.630.840.600.700.671.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L00D00D10W11D01L11D10W02LH·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03A·STI11/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.790.710.930.360.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.501.500.400.20
vs Weaker (19)0.580.790.800.700.330.89
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D02L11D00D10W01L21W20WA·ELG07/01H·STE14/01H·STR21/01A·ANN28/01H·STI04/02A·ALB11/02H·DUM18/02A·STR25/02H·FOR04/03A·STE11/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.530.870.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.730.640.401.001.000.33
vs Weaker (19)0.630.890.600.800.671.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls70.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
BR wins
1
Draws
1
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Fife · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/22AEast Fife Vs BR0-0
15/10/22HBR Vs East Fife1-4
06/08/22AEast Fife Vs BR0-3

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23AStirling Vs BR2-1
04/03/23AElgin Vs BR0-1
28/02/23HBR Vs Forfar1-1
25/02/23HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
14/02/23HBR Vs Stirling1-2
11/02/23AStranraer Vs BR0-1
04/02/23HBR Vs Annan Athletic1-2
28/01/23ADumbarton Vs BR1-0
21/01/23AAnnan Athletic Vs BR4-0
07/01/23HBR Vs Albion Rvs0-4

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23AStenhousemuir Vs EF1-2
04/03/23HEF Vs Forfar3-2
25/02/23AStranraer Vs EF2-0
18/02/23HEF Vs Dumbarton2-0
11/02/23AAlbion Rvs Vs EF0-1
04/02/23HEF Vs Stirling1-1
28/01/23AAnnan Athletic Vs EF3-0
21/01/23HEF Vs Stranraer1-3
14/01/23HEF Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
07/01/23AElgin Vs EF1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL0.96
HomeLLLLD1.00
AwayLLWWL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%29%21%
AVG goals2.613.072.14
Over 1.5 %75%86%64%
Over 2.5 %46%50%43%
Over 3.5 %25%36%14%
Scored1.041.210.86
Conceded1.571.861.29
BTTS50%57%43%
Clean Sheet25%21%29%
Corners9.3210.008.64
Cards4.323.934.71
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.02
HomeDLDWW0.88
AwayWLWLW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%20%32%
AVG goals2.702.482.92
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.080.921.24
Conceded1.621.561.68
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners9.069.208.92
Cards3.904.243.56

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches