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Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
41%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied 36.3% · @ 2.53
Edge
+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.41
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 36.8% · @ 2.49
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W20W12L20W01L05L20W22D20W21WH·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.171.270.871.071.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.001.501.141.140.861.86
vs Weaker (16)1.310.881.380.621.251.12
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W12L20W10W50W00D01L11D12L13LH·CLY31/08A·STR14/09H·PET21/09A·SPA28/09H·BON05/10A·FOR19/10H·BAN26/10H·STI02/11H·STR09/11A·CLY16/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.172.191.001.211.36
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (14)2.001.212.570.861.431.57
vs Weaker (15)1.601.132.121.121.001.14
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.3%
@ 1.70-13.4%
Under 2.5
58.7%
@ 2.06+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
011%8.7%5.2%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.7%2.3%0.6%
28.2%8.5%4.4%1.5%0.4%
33.6%3.7%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.64 points worse than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.69 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.69 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 3.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

140236488331134777255351081114714778A·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

11041426522322164222443561145310467A·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201291991415156111613112012161181210921282921272432272019A·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 6.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

180651265872113459624841118139149152124A·CLYH·STRH·STIA·FORH·BONA·SPAH·PETA·STRH·CLYA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7012111222323234134233214555575A·CLYH·STRH·STIA·FORH·BONA·SPAH·PETA·STRH·CLYA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

380101369151518151611211771071213127923153033273817192516A·CLYH·STRH·STIA·FORH·BONA·SPAH·PETA·STRH·CLYA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.44.54.24.724.124.923.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)9.510.08.94.54.34.726.428.024.7
vs Weaker (28)9.89.69.94.54.24.722.322.422.2
% over line46%52%40%60%60%60%60%64%56%
% under line54%48%60%40%40%40%40%36%44%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.18.93.32.93.722.321.723.0
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (22)9.710.29.12.82.43.223.121.424.7
vs Weaker (27)9.410.18.83.83.54.221.921.821.9
% over line51%61%41%52%42%62%51%48%55%
% under line49%39%59%48%58%38%49%52%45%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.3
Stranraer
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Spartans
9.3
Clyde
9.3
Elgin
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Elgin
4.0
Stranraer
3.8
Forfar
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Spartans
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Elgin
24.7
Forfar
24.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.1
Edinburgh City
22.1
East Fife
22.0
Spartans
21.7
Clyde
21.6
Stirling
21.3
Stranraer
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.7%
Under 9.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.6%
Under 3.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.0%
Under 21.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D10W00D02L00D11D10W11DH·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.470.270.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.570.570.430.430.71
vs Weaker (16)0.440.380.380.120.500.62
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L20W00D20W00D01L11D01L01LH·CLY31/08A·STR14/09H·PET21/09A·SPA28/09H·BON05/10A·FOR19/10H·BAN26/10H·STI02/11H·STR09/11A·CLY16/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.631.060.560.430.71
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (14)1.000.711.570.430.431.00
vs Weaker (15)0.600.530.750.620.430.43
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D12L10W01L03L20W11D10W10WH·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.800.600.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.930.570.710.431.14
vs Weaker (16)0.880.501.000.500.750.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D00D10W30W00D00D00D11D12LH·CLY31/08A·STR14/09H·PET21/09A·SPA28/09H·BON05/10A·FOR19/10H·BAN26/10H·STI02/11H·STR09/11A·CLY16/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.120.440.790.64
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (14)1.000.501.000.431.000.57
vs Weaker (15)1.000.601.380.500.570.71
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls84.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls72.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BR wins
2
Draws
3
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Fife · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24AEast Fife Vs BR5-0
13/04/24AEast Fife Vs BR1-4
17/02/24HBR Vs East Fife0-2
22/12/23AEast Fife Vs BR0-3
21/11/23HBR Vs East Fife4-2
18/03/23HBR Vs East Fife1-1
10/12/22AEast Fife Vs BR0-0
15/10/22HBR Vs East Fife1-4

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24AStranraer Vs BR1-2
09/11/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0
02/11/24AClyde Vs BR2-2
19/10/24HBR Vs Edinburgh City2-0
05/10/24AEast Fife Vs BR5-0
28/09/24HBR Vs Forfar0-1
21/09/24AStirling Vs BR0-2
14/09/24AElgin Vs BR2-1
31/08/24HBR Vs Stranraer2-0
24/08/24HBR Vs Clyde2-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24AClyde Vs EF3-1
09/11/24HEF Vs Stranraer1-2
02/11/24HEF Vs Stirling1-1
26/10/24HEF Vs Banks O' Dee0-1
19/10/24AForfar Vs EF0-0
05/10/24HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose5-0
28/09/24ASpartans Vs EF0-1
21/09/24HEF Vs Peterhead2-0
14/09/24AStranraer Vs EF2-1
31/08/24HEF Vs Clyde5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.24
HomeWWLWW1.48
AwayLWLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.642.522.76
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.341.521.16
Conceded1.301.001.60
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.629.809.44
Cards4.484.244.72
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.44
HomeWWLDL1.73
AwayWLWDL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.783.002.54
Over 1.5 %78%92%62%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.581.921.21
Conceded1.201.081.33
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners9.5310.138.91
Cards3.643.264.05

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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