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Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
38%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.07
Edge
+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.45
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✓ Hit
32.9%
Avg Implied 43.3% · @ 2.13
Edge
-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L34L11D02L13L01L11D13L01L05LA·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02A·SPA01/03H·EDI08/03H·STI15/03A·CLY22/03H·ELG29/03A·PET05/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.871.471.130.872.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.922.421.601.600.433.00
vs Weaker (18)1.331.501.400.901.252.25
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W11D00D01L21W03L25L42W01LA·ELG01/02A·SPA08/02H·BON15/02H·PET22/02A·STI01/03A·CLY08/03H·STR15/03A·EDI22/03H·SPA29/03A·FOR05/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.072.270.931.271.20
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (12)1.830.672.710.710.600.60
vs Weaker (17)1.821.352.141.141.601.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.80-6.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.95+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2 ✓
5.9%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
09.5%8.6%5.9%2.4%0.7%
19.4%14%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.9%8.3%5.0%2.0%0.6%
33.0%3.6%2.1%0.9%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.64 points worse than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.69 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.69 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1201693464151653566256371210561181279A·PETH·ELGA·CLYH·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6041241132232333111425254456426A·PETH·ELGA·CLYH·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

3101251111181381412121414121515111318111017223122242827263121A·PETH·ELGA·CLYH·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

120358162563846626647658981111108121111A·FORH·SPAA·EDIH·STRA·CLYA·STIH·PETH·BONA·SPAA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70211433124214313243563617424A·FORH·SPAA·EDIH·STRA·CLYA·STIH·PETH·BONA·SPAA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

31015118181218105151611101213111551271026263015312125261717A·FORH·SPAA·EDIH·STRA·CLYA·STIH·PETH·BONA·SPAA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.010.04.54.05.024.425.523.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.49.19.74.34.04.525.928.423.7
vs Weaker (27)9.69.010.44.74.15.523.123.522.8
% over line48%46%50%66%62%71%68%77%58%
% under line52%54%50%34%38%29%32%23%42%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.28.83.63.43.823.221.624.9
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (23)9.19.98.23.23.23.323.321.825.0
vs Weaker (26)9.810.59.24.03.94.223.121.424.8
% over line51%57%45%54%50%58%58%52%64%
% under line49%43%55%46%50%42%42%48%36%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.2
Forfar
9.7
Clyde
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Stranraer
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.3
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Forfar
4.5
Elgin
4.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.4
Stirling
4.1
Stranraer
4.1
Clyde
4.1
East Fife
3.8
Spartans
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.5
Peterhead
24.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.4
Elgin
24.2
Edinburgh City
23.9
East Fife
23.1
Clyde
22.8
Spartans
21.9
Stirling
21.2
Stranraer
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.2%
Under 9.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.4%
Under 3.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L23L10W01L01L00D01L01L00D02LA·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02A·SPA01/03H·EDI08/03H·STI15/03A·CLY22/03H·ELG29/03A·PET05/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.730.470.331.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.831.000.800.140.86
vs Weaker (18)0.560.720.600.300.501.25
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L00D00D10W00D02L02L01LA·ELG01/02A·SPA08/02H·BON15/02H·PET22/02A·STI01/03A·CLY08/03H·STR15/03A·EDI22/03H·SPA29/03A·FOR05/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.730.530.330.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (12)0.580.581.000.570.000.60
vs Weaker (17)0.530.530.570.430.500.60
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L01L12L01L10W12L01L03LA·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02A·SPA01/03H·EDI08/03H·STI15/03A·CLY22/03H·ELG29/03A·PET05/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.100.730.670.531.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.421.580.600.800.292.14
vs Weaker (18)0.780.780.800.600.751.00
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W10W00D01L11D03L23L40W00DA·ELG01/02A·SPA08/02H·BON15/02H·PET22/02A·STI01/03A·CLY08/03H·STR15/03A·EDI22/03H·SPA29/03A·FOR05/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.501.530.400.930.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (12)1.250.081.710.140.600.00
vs Weaker (17)1.290.821.570.711.100.90
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards73.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BR wins
3
Draws
2
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Fife · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25AEast Fife Vs BR1-1
30/11/24HBR Vs East Fife1-1
05/10/24AEast Fife Vs BR5-0
13/04/24AEast Fife Vs BR1-4
17/02/24HBR Vs East Fife0-2
22/12/23AEast Fife Vs BR0-3
21/11/23HBR Vs East Fife4-2
18/03/23HBR Vs East Fife1-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25APeterhead Vs BR5-0
29/03/25HBR Vs Elgin0-1
22/03/25AClyde Vs BR3-1
15/03/25HBR Vs Stirling1-1
08/03/25HBR Vs Edinburgh City0-1
01/03/25ASpartans Vs BR3-1
22/02/25HBR Vs Forfar0-2
15/02/25AEast Fife Vs BR1-1
08/02/25HBR Vs Peterhead3-4
04/02/25AElgin Vs BR3-0

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25AForfar Vs EF1-0
29/03/25HEF Vs Spartans4-2
22/03/25AEdinburgh City Vs EF5-2
15/03/25HEF Vs Stranraer0-3
08/03/25AClyde Vs EF1-2
01/03/25AStirling Vs EF1-0
22/02/25HEF Vs Peterhead0-0
15/02/25HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-1
08/02/25ASpartans Vs EF0-1
01/02/25AElgin Vs EF1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.00
HomeLLLDL1.31
AwayLDLLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%35%12%
AVG goals2.642.422.88
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.081.310.83
Conceded1.561.122.04
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet18%23%12%
Corners9.529.0410.04
Cards4.504.045.00
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.64
HomeWDDLW2.04
AwayWLWLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%33%
AVG goals2.863.152.54
Over 1.5 %74%88%58%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.702.151.21
Conceded1.161.001.33
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners9.5110.228.77
Cards3.983.874.09

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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