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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Peterhead Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
34%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied 31.9% · @ 2.88
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.35
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Peterhead win✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.25
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L00D12L01L22D01L12L02L11DH·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03H·SPA05/03A·ELG09/03H·CLY16/03A·DUM23/03A·STR30/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.431.290.941.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.621.312.331.331.001.29
vs Weaker (17)0.821.470.751.250.891.67
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D33D00D11D01L20W11D00D41WH·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02H·ELG24/02A·DUM02/03H·STR09/03H·EAS16/03A·STE23/03H·CLY30/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.071.810.811.211.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.500.921.500.621.501.50
vs Weaker (18)1.561.172.121.001.101.30
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.8%
@ 1.84-5.0%
Under 2.5
54.2%
@ 1.90+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Peterhead goals →
01234
09.4%9.1%6.6%2.8%0.9%
18.8%14%8.1%3.4%1.1%
26.2%7.9%5.0%2.1%0.7%
32.6%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Peterhead goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.58 points worse than Peterhead in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.31 goals worse than Peterhead in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.61).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.25 goals worse than Peterhead in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1704116275251656113422655797611177411A·STRA·DUMH·CLYA·ELGH·SPAH·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011312113531231132303238344A·STRA·DUMH·CLYA·ELGH·SPAH·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201179581217151417111515101091515181018142032312625193028A·STRA·DUMH·CLYA·ELGH·SPAH·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

150435623572744438744367115129871589H·CLYA·STEH·EASH·STRA·DUMH·ELGH·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7014132133252213231345424573547H·CLYA·STEH·EASH·STRA·DUMH·ELGH·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

320914721713148161020129101313121191723282022263219262326H·CLYA·STEH·EASH·STRA·DUMH·ELGH·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.08.84.04.14.023.624.922.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.510.78.34.13.64.725.926.925.0
vs Weaker (32)9.39.79.04.04.43.622.223.820.7
% over line42%48%36%52%56%48%58%64%52%
% under line58%52%64%48%44%52%42%36%48%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.29.64.74.74.624.524.424.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)8.27.69.04.54.54.524.624.524.7
vs Weaker (21)9.79.010.34.95.14.724.424.224.6
% over line38%31%46%78%73%83%76%73%79%
% under line62%69%54%22%27%17%24%27%21%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Forfar
10.1
Stranraer
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Spartans
9.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.4
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Dumbarton
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Stranraer
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Clyde
3.4
Spartans
3.4
Forfar
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.5
Forfar
24.0
Elgin
23.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.6
Stenhousemuir
21.6
East Fife
21.5
Dumbarton
20.9
Spartans
20.9
Stranraer
20.3
Clyde
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.4%
Under 9.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.5%
Under 21.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L00D02L00D11D00D10W01L00DH·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03H·SPA05/03A·ELG09/03H·CLY16/03A·DUM23/03A·STR30/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.710.500.250.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.461.000.670.290.29
vs Weaker (17)0.350.650.500.380.220.89
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L00D11D00D20W10W00D20WH·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02H·ELG24/02A·DUM02/03H·STR09/03H·EAS16/03A·STE23/03H·CLY30/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.940.380.361.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.420.620.120.251.00
vs Weaker (18)0.780.831.250.620.401.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W01L11D01L02L01L11DH·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03H·SPA05/03A·ELG09/03H·CLY16/03A·DUM23/03A·STR30/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.710.790.690.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.000.851.330.670.711.00
vs Weaker (17)0.470.820.250.880.670.78
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W30W00D00D01L00D01L00D21WH·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02H·ELG24/02A·DUM02/03H·STR09/03H·EAS16/03A·STE23/03H·CLY30/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.400.880.440.860.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.500.880.501.250.50
vs Weaker (18)0.780.330.880.380.700.30
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BR wins
2
Draws
1
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Peterhead · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/24APeterhead Vs BR0-0
09/12/23HBR Vs Peterhead1-1
16/09/23APeterhead Vs BR2-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/24AStranraer Vs BR1-1
23/03/24ADumbarton Vs BR2-0
16/03/24HBR Vs Clyde1-2
09/03/24AElgin Vs BR1-0
05/03/24HBR Vs Spartans2-2
02/03/24HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
24/02/24ASpartans Vs BR2-1
20/02/24APeterhead Vs BR0-0
17/02/24HBR Vs East Fife0-2
06/02/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/24HPET Vs Clyde4-1
23/03/24AStenhousemuir Vs PET0-0
16/03/24HPET Vs East Fife1-1
09/03/24HPET Vs Stranraer2-0
02/03/24ADumbarton Vs PET1-0
24/02/24HPET Vs Elgin1-1
20/02/24HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-0
17/02/24AForfar Vs PET3-3
03/02/24AClyde Vs PET1-1
27/01/24HPET Vs Stenhousemuir2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.12
HomeWLLDL1.16
AwayDLLLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.342.642.04
Over 1.5 %68%80%56%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.041.280.80
Conceded1.301.361.24
BTTS44%56%32%
Clean Sheet28%16%40%
Corners9.4010.048.76
Cards4.024.083.96
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.20
HomeDDWDW1.54
AwayDDDLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals2.662.422.92
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.161.350.96
Conceded1.501.081.96
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet22%31%12%
Corners8.848.159.58
Cards4.664.734.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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