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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 05/03/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 2-2
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
24%
28%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.74
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.3%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.20
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✗ Miss
47.9%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.43
Edge
+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W23L11D00D00D20W02L00D12L01LA·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01H·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.231.401.131.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.831.172.501.001.171.33
vs Weaker (18)0.781.280.671.220.891.33
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L11D30W01L12L00D21W21W13LA·PET06/01H·STE13/01H·CLY27/01A·EAS30/01A·FOR03/02H·ELG10/02A·DUM13/02A·STR17/02H·BON24/02H·EAS02/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.581.151.361.291.831.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.821.181.571.862.250.00
vs Weaker (15)1.401.131.140.711.621.50
Clean sheet %31% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.1%
@ 2.03+0.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.73-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Spartans goals →
01234
09.3%11%9.3%4.7%1.8%
16.8%13%9.3%4.7%1.8%
24.0%6.1%4.7%2.4%0.9%
31.4%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.53 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.61).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.17 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.14 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.19).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

17065611342265767469774311177411131115147H·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELGH·STRA·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8035312311351413211223834465524H·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELGH·STRA·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

30011151510109151518101210121291165111126251930282224201122H·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELGH·STRA·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

For 4.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

170631166437555232105325917101010751087H·EASH·BONA·STRA·DUMH·ELGA·FORA·EASH·CLYH·STEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802235222421212134846321204H·EASH·BONA·STRA·DUMH·ELGA·FORA·EASH·CLYH·STEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

2509111015878101111791171111913131120251518221618222224H·EASH·BONA·STRA·DUMH·ELGA·FORA·EASH·CLYH·STEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.49.34.34.44.223.324.322.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.911.38.44.33.84.825.025.824.2
vs Weaker (32)9.89.89.84.34.83.922.423.521.2
% over line48%56%40%62%64%60%58%60%56%
% under line52%44%60%38%36%40%42%40%44%
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (26)9.39.59.13.53.33.820.220.220.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)8.49.36.83.94.03.822.322.022.8
vs Weaker (15)10.09.710.23.32.63.918.618.418.8
% over line42%43%42%54%36%75%42%50%33%
% under line58%57%58%46%64%25%58%50%67%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.8
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Forfar
10.3
Stranraer
10.1
Clyde
10.0
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.8
East Fife
9.7
Spartans
9.3
Peterhead
9.1
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Dumbarton
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.1
East Fife
4.0
Elgin
3.6
Spartans
3.5
Stranraer
3.5
Forfar
3.5
Clyde
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.3
Forfar
23.1
Elgin
23.0
East Fife
21.6
Stenhousemuir
21.3
Dumbarton
20.8
Stranraer
20.4
Spartans
20.2
Clyde
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.8%
Under 3.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.5%
Under 21.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L10W00D00D10W02L00D02L00DA·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01H·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.530.470.330.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.420.830.500.330.33
vs Weaker (18)0.330.610.330.440.330.78
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D00D01L00D00D01L20W11DA·PET06/01H·STE13/01H·CLY27/01A·EAS30/01A·FOR03/02H·ELG10/02A·DUM13/02A·STR17/02H·BON24/02H·EAS02/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.380.430.430.830.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.270.570.430.750.00
vs Weaker (15)0.600.470.290.430.880.50
Clean sheet %62% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W01L00D00D10W00D00D10W01LA·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01H·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.870.670.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.250.751.670.500.831.00
vs Weaker (18)0.440.670.330.780.560.56
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D30W00D12L00D20W01L02LA·PET06/01H·STE13/01H·CLY27/01A·EAS30/01A·FOR03/02H·ELG10/02A·DUM13/02A·STR17/02H·BON24/02H·EAS02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.770.930.861.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.180.911.001.431.500.00
vs Weaker (15)0.800.670.860.290.751.00
Clean sheet %46% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards77.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BR wins
1
Draws
1
SPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Spartans · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24ASpartans Vs BR2-1
30/09/23ASpartans Vs BR2-2

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
24/02/24ASpartans Vs BR2-1
20/02/24APeterhead Vs BR0-0
17/02/24HBR Vs East Fife0-2
06/02/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0
03/02/24HBR Vs Stranraer0-0
27/01/24AForfar Vs BR0-0
13/01/24HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
06/01/24AClyde Vs BR3-2
22/12/23AEast Fife Vs BR0-3

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24HSPA Vs East Fife1-3
24/02/24HSPA Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
17/02/24AStranraer Vs SPA1-2
13/02/24ADumbarton Vs SPA0-0
10/02/24HSPA Vs Elgin1-2
03/02/24AForfar Vs SPA1-0
30/01/24AEast Fife Vs SPA0-3
27/01/24HSPA Vs Clyde1-1
13/01/24HSPA Vs Stenhousemuir0-2
06/01/24APeterhead Vs SPA0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.16
HomeDDWLL1.16
AwayWLDDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.322.642.00
Over 1.5 %68%80%56%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.061.280.84
Conceded1.261.361.16
BTTS46%56%36%
Clean Sheet30%16%44%
Corners9.8410.369.32
Cards4.324.404.24
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.65
HomeLDLWL1.36
AwayWWLDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%36%58%
AVG goals2.732.642.83
Over 1.5 %77%86%67%
Over 2.5 %58%57%58%
Over 3.5 %27%21%33%
Scored1.581.361.83
Conceded1.151.291.00
BTTS58%64%50%
Clean Sheet31%21%42%
Corners9.319.509.08
Cards3.543.293.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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