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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
35%
31%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✓ Hit
35.4%
Avg Implied 43.8% · @ 2.10
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.36
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.18
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W22D02LH·FOR30/07A·EAS06/08A·STR13/08H·ALB20/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.751.001.001.002.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.501.000.002.003.000.00
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D11D02L11D50W02L22D30W21WH·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04A·ALB23/04H·EDI30/04A·DUM30/07H·ELG06/08H·STE13/08A·ANN20/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.371.201.530.801.20
vs Stronger (13)0.621.380.671.670.571.14
vs Similar (17)1.291.351.561.441.001.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.7%
@ 1.81-10.8%
Under 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.92+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.2%
1-0 ✓
10.3%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
011%10.0%6.4%2.4%0.7%
110%15%7.5%2.9%0.8%
26.8%7.8%4.4%1.7%0.5%
32.7%3.0%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.86 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.86 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.28 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1301467276513213H·ALBA·STRA·EASH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701125322732H·ALBA·STRA·EASH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

25013988101581022162518H·ALBA·STRA·EASH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

100810443332352363542581086585997A·ANNH·STEH·ELGA·DUMH·EDIA·ALBH·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

10013311246131121321344310143433A·ANNH·STEH·ELGA·DUMH·EDIA·ALBH·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

310181016514128131039613188101289828212621131531182017A·ANNH·STEH·ELGA·DUMH·EDIA·ALBH·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)8.29.07.53.52.05.020.220.020.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (2)3.55.02.02.52.03.023.522.025.0
vs Weaker (2)13.013.013.04.52.07.017.018.016.0
% over line50%50%50%25%0%50%50%50%50%
% under line50%50%50%75%100%50%50%50%50%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.48.83.93.04.822.622.722.4
vs Stronger (22)8.07.98.13.72.84.522.823.921.7
vs Similar (28)9.18.99.34.13.25.022.421.823.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line28%32%24%56%36%76%50%56%44%
% under line72%68%76%44%64%24%50%44%56%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.8
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Forfar
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.5
East Fife
9.5
Stranraer
9.3
Elgin
8.8
Albion Rvs
8.8
Stirling
8.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
8.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.2
Stirling
3.9
Dumbarton
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.9
Elgin
3.8
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
3.5
Albion Rvs
3.2
East Fife
3.2
Forfar
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.8
Stirling
22.6
Forfar
22.2
Stranraer
22.2
Dumbarton
22.0
Annan Athletic
22.0
Stenhousemuir
21.7
East Fife
21.1
Albion Rvs
21.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.5%
Under 9.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W11D01LH·FOR30/07A·EAS06/08A·STR13/08H·ALB20/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.500.000.501.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D11D00D10W40W02L02L10W01LH·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04A·ALB23/04H·EDI30/04A·DUM30/07H·ELG06/08H·STE13/08A·ANN20/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.530.730.270.60
vs Stronger (13)0.230.540.170.500.290.57
vs Similar (17)0.530.760.780.890.250.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D01LH·FOR30/07A·EAS06/08A·STR13/08H·ALB20/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.501.000.501.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D02L01L10W00D20W20W20WH·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04A·ALB23/04H·EDI30/04A·DUM30/07H·ELG06/08H·STE13/08A·ANN20/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.670.800.530.60
vs Stronger (13)0.380.850.501.170.290.57
vs Similar (17)0.760.590.780.560.750.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners81.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls81.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BR wins
0
Draws
0
STI wins

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22HBR Vs Albion Rvs0-2
13/08/22AStranraer Vs BR2-2
06/08/22AEast Fife Vs BR0-3
30/07/22HBR Vs Forfar2-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22AAnnan Athletic Vs STI1-2
13/08/22HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir3-0
06/08/22HSTI Vs Elgin2-2
30/07/22ADumbarton Vs STI2-0
30/04/22HSTI Vs Edinburgh City5-0
23/04/22AAlbion Rvs Vs STI1-1
16/04/22HSTI Vs Elgin0-2
09/04/22AKelty Hearts Vs STI1-1
02/04/22ACowdenbeath Vs STI0-0
26/03/22HSTI Vs Stranraer1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDL1.75
HomeWL1.50
AwayWD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.752.003.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %50%0%100%
Over 3.5 %25%0%50%
Scored1.751.002.50
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS25%0%50%
Clean Sheet50%50%50%
Corners8.259.007.50
Cards3.502.005.00
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.20
HomeWLWDW1.04
AwayDDDLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%28%36%
AVG goals2.502.642.36
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.221.241.20
Conceded1.281.401.16
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners8.608.448.76
Cards3.923.044.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs		3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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