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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 14/02/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 1-2
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
25%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.09
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.67
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✓ Hit
49.9%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.73
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D11D00D32W04L04L01L12L10WA·FOR12/11A·STE19/11H·DUM03/12A·EAS10/12H·STR23/12H·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.091.651.362.000.831.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.882.120.753.251.001.00
vs Weaker (15)1.201.401.711.290.751.50
Clean sheet %26% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W11D02L31W13L21W31W10W11DA·STE15/10H·BON29/10A·ALB05/11H·ANN12/11H·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.032.061.001.361.07
vs Stronger (15)1.201.071.431.291.000.88
vs Similar (15)2.271.002.560.781.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.73+5.6%
Under 2.5
40.5%
@ 2.02-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2 ✓
9.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
05.6%7.4%7.7%4.7%2.1%
14.7%12%9.6%5.9%2.7%
23.6%6.6%6.0%3.7%1.7%
31.5%2.7%2.5%1.5%0.7%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.86 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.86 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.28 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

170849795315633267435981216144116811817A·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALBH·STRA·EASH·DUMA·STEA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7012212413112312443223325434674A·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALBH·STRA·EASH·DUMA·STEA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 8.7 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

29013915695861811131214117817125722211414292525152912A·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALBH·STRA·EASH·DUMA·STEA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 5.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

15031065841024354696363101311121279159613A·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EASH·ANNA·ALBH·BONA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

10051113323211222552362353334105A·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EASH·ANNA·ALBH·BONA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

280171181381315111312109591113171191428212126251914242823A·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EASH·ANNA·ALBH·BONA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)9.710.29.24.33.64.921.222.120.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)8.49.27.53.83.83.822.222.522.0
vs Weaker (15)10.310.710.04.63.65.520.721.919.6
% over line52%64%42%61%55%67%57%55%58%
% under line48%36%58%39%45%33%43%45%42%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.08.84.03.24.922.121.322.9
vs Stronger (23)8.57.59.24.33.84.823.324.522.5
vs Similar (27)9.39.98.43.72.75.021.019.123.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line34%40%28%56%36%76%52%44%60%
% under line66%60%72%44%64%24%48%56%40%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Forfar
10.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.6
Stranraer
9.4
Albion Rvs
9.3
East Fife
9.1
Stirling
8.9
Elgin
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Elgin
4.2
Stirling
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Albion Rvs
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Forfar
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.6
Albion Rvs
22.2
Stirling
22.1
Forfar
21.9
Stranraer
21.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.2
Stenhousemuir
21.1
East Fife
20.8
Annan Athletic
20.8
Dumbarton
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.6%
Under 21.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W00D21W03L01L01L12L00DA·FOR12/11A·STE19/11H·DUM03/12A·EAS10/12H·STR23/12H·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.910.641.090.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.501.250.251.750.750.75
vs Weaker (15)0.600.730.860.710.380.75
Clean sheet %39% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L00D21W12L10W21W00D00DA·STE15/10H·BON29/10A·ALB05/11H·ANN12/11H·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.190.440.790.71
vs Stronger (15)0.600.530.570.570.620.50
vs Similar (15)1.400.601.670.331.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L00D11D01L03L00D00D10WA·FOR12/11A·STE19/11H·DUM03/12A·EAS10/12H·STR23/12H·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.740.730.910.330.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.880.501.500.250.25
vs Weaker (15)0.600.670.860.570.380.75
Clean sheet %52% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W02L10W01L11D10W10W11DA·STE15/10H·BON29/10A·ALB05/11H·ANN12/11H·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.880.560.570.36
vs Stronger (15)0.600.530.860.710.380.38
vs Similar (15)0.870.400.890.440.830.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls73.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
BR wins
0
Draws
1
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22AStirling Vs BR2-1
27/08/22HBR Vs Stirling1-0

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/23AStranraer Vs BR0-1
04/02/23HBR Vs Annan Athletic1-2
28/01/23ADumbarton Vs BR1-0
21/01/23AAnnan Athletic Vs BR4-0
07/01/23HBR Vs Albion Rvs0-4
23/12/22HBR Vs Stranraer3-2
10/12/22AEast Fife Vs BR0-0
03/12/22HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
19/11/22AStenhousemuir Vs BR1-1
12/11/22AForfar Vs BR1-1

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23AEast Fife Vs STI1-1
28/01/23HSTI Vs Stranraer1-0
31/12/22HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
23/12/22AElgin Vs STI1-2
03/12/22AStranraer Vs STI3-1
19/11/22HSTI Vs East Fife3-1
12/11/22HSTI Vs Annan Athletic0-2
05/11/22AAlbion Rvs Vs STI1-1
29/10/22HSTI Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
15/10/22AStenhousemuir Vs STI1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.00
HomeLDWLL1.18
AwayDDLLW0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%36%17%
AVG goals2.743.362.17
Over 1.5 %78%91%67%
Over 2.5 %48%55%42%
Over 3.5 %30%45%17%
Scored1.091.360.83
Conceded1.652.001.33
BTTS48%55%42%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners9.6510.189.17
Cards4.303.644.92
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.40
HomeWLWWW1.48
AwayWDLWD1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.682.962.40
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.461.721.20
Conceded1.221.241.20
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners8.908.968.84
Cards4.023.164.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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