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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 2-1
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
40%
31%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied 45.7% · @ 2.01
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.28
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.48
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W12L20W01L05L20W22D20W21W11DH·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11H·EAS30/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.201.250.881.141.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.001.471.121.120.861.86
vs Weaker (15)1.400.931.380.621.431.29
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L02L20W21W31W60W11D23L03L22DA·PET14/09H·BON21/09A·STR28/09H·FOR05/10H·CLY19/10H·BON26/10A·EAS02/11H·PET09/11A·SPA16/11A·FOR30/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.601.251.561.211.64
vs Stronger (21)0.861.861.001.670.672.11
vs Similar (7)2.001.141.671.332.251.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.4%
@ 1.93-8.0%
Under 2.5
59.6%
@ 1.81+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1 ✓
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
011%9.1%5.4%1.9%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.0%8.3%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.4%3.5%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.1%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.17 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.28 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.14 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.58).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 3.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

140152364883311347772565108111471477H·EASA·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

11031414265223221642224456114531046H·EASA·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 26.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

32014171291991415156111613112012161181231212829212724322720H·EASA·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1403428859456257717354710131311714884A·SPAH·PETA·EASH·CLYH·FORA·STRH·BONA·PETH·SPAH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

120136613222346213232412134510355A·SPAH·PETA·EASH·CLYH·FORA·STRH·BONA·PETH·SPAH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

320121213121515101398128122016101369724253023172032261916A·SPAH·PETA·EASH·CLYH·FORA·STRH·BONA·PETH·SPAH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.69.44.54.34.724.525.623.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)9.29.58.94.64.54.727.229.724.7
vs Weaker (28)9.89.69.94.54.24.722.322.422.2
% over line44%48%40%62%64%60%62%68%56%
% under line56%52%60%38%36%40%38%32%44%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.110.73.73.93.521.521.421.6
vs Stronger (36)10.29.910.73.84.13.421.020.621.4
vs Similar (12)10.510.510.53.53.43.623.324.222.7
vs Weaker (2)12.513.012.03.53.04.020.523.018.0
% over line68%73%64%50%48%52%45%41%50%
% under line32%27%36%50%52%48%55%59%50%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.3
Stranraer
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
East Fife
9.4
Spartans
9.3
Clyde
9.3
Elgin
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Elgin
4.0
Stranraer
3.8
Forfar
3.8
East Fife
3.8
Clyde
3.7
Spartans
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Elgin
24.7
Forfar
24.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.5
East Fife
22.4
Edinburgh City
22.1
Spartans
21.7
Clyde
21.6
Stirling
21.3
Stranraer
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.9%
Under 9.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.0%
Under 21.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W00D02L00D11D10W11D10WH·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11H·EAS30/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.500.250.500.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.530.620.380.430.71
vs Weaker (15)0.470.400.380.120.570.71
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W21W11D30W11D21W00D21WA·PET14/09H·BON21/09A·STR28/09H·FOR05/10H·CLY19/10H·BON26/10A·EAS02/11H·PET09/11A·SPA16/11A·FOR30/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.750.880.570.79
vs Stronger (21)0.480.950.580.920.331.00
vs Similar (7)1.140.571.330.671.000.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L10W01L03L20W11D10W10W01LH·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11H·EAS30/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.750.620.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.930.500.750.431.14
vs Weaker (15)0.930.531.000.500.860.57
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L10W00D20W30W00D02L03L01LA·PET14/09H·BON21/09A·STR28/09H·FOR05/10H·CLY19/10H·BON26/10A·EAS02/11H·PET09/11A·SPA16/11A·FOR30/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.500.690.640.86
vs Stronger (21)0.380.900.420.750.331.11
vs Similar (7)0.860.570.330.671.250.50
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards82.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls73.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards70.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
BR wins
0
Draws
3
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24AStirling Vs BR0-2
11/03/23AStirling Vs BR2-1
14/02/23HBR Vs Stirling1-2
29/10/22AStirling Vs BR2-1
27/08/22HBR Vs Stirling1-0

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24HBR Vs East Fife1-1
16/11/24AStranraer Vs BR1-2
09/11/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0
02/11/24AClyde Vs BR2-2
19/10/24HBR Vs Edinburgh City2-0
05/10/24AEast Fife Vs BR5-0
28/09/24HBR Vs Forfar0-1
21/09/24AStirling Vs BR0-2
14/09/24AElgin Vs BR2-1
31/08/24HBR Vs Stranraer2-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24AForfar Vs STI2-2
16/11/24ASpartans Vs STI3-0
09/11/24HSTI Vs Peterhead2-3
02/11/24AEast Fife Vs STI1-1
26/10/24HSTI Vs Bo'ness Athletic6-0
19/10/24HSTI Vs Clyde3-1
05/10/24HSTI Vs Forfar2-1
28/09/24AStranraer Vs STI0-2
21/09/24HSTI Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-2
14/09/24APeterhead Vs STI2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.20
HomeWLWWD1.40
AwayLWLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.622.482.76
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.301.441.16
Conceded1.321.041.60
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners9.509.569.44
Cards4.524.324.72
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.08
HomeLWWWL1.16
AwayLWDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.842.922.76
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.201.440.96
Conceded1.641.481.80
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners10.4110.1410.68
Cards4.184.413.95

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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