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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 03/02/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
56%
24%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
55.9%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.10
Edge
+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.2%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.40
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.08
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L42W01L11D13L30W23L11D00DA·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.171.621.151.001.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)2.001.002.801.001.331.00
vs Weaker (19)0.841.260.881.250.821.27
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L03L11D22D31W03L12L20W01L01LA·PET11/11H·STE18/11A·FOR02/12A·CLY09/12H·BON16/12A·SPA23/12A·ELG06/01H·PET13/01A·STE20/01H·EAS27/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.701.501.140.692.19
vs Stronger (22)1.141.861.901.300.502.33
vs Similar (8)0.881.250.500.751.251.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.86+7.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
@ 1.86-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
0-0 ✓
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
06.0%4.4%2.9%1.0%0.3%
18.6%11%5.6%2.0%0.5%
29.2%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.9%6.3%3.4%1.2%0.3%
42.8%3.0%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.08 points better than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.25 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.14 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.47).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1507469774353943554446111151478138987A·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

904132112222333322455524256529A·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401212911651111881915171191871191224201122163428271821A·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 5.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1209264342336356439102731110759810121210H·EASA·STEH·PETA·ELGA·SPAH·BONA·CLYA·FORH·STEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7024232122123221342453223537H·EASA·STEH·PETA·ELGA·SPAH·BONA·CLYA·FORH·STEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

280117912131012137148876121687141418212325211613281528H·EASA·STEH·PETA·ELGA·SPAH·BONA·CLYA·FORH·STEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.28.84.44.44.523.123.822.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)9.812.07.54.33.94.824.224.024.5
vs Weaker (34)9.49.49.44.54.64.422.623.621.7
% over line42%50%35%64%62%65%58%54%62%
% under line58%50%65%36%38%35%42%46%38%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.19.83.63.43.820.921.120.7
vs Stronger (35)9.810.59.13.73.44.121.120.821.3
vs Similar (15)10.39.211.43.23.43.020.621.819.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%56%60%44%40%48%44%56%32%
% under line42%44%40%56%60%52%56%44%68%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Forfar
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
East Fife
9.8
Clyde
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Peterhead
9.1
Spartans
8.9
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
East Fife
4.3
Dumbarton
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Elgin
3.9
Forfar
3.6
Stranraer
3.6
Clyde
3.5
Spartans
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.7
Forfar
23.2
Elgin
23.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.1
East Fife
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.3
Stranraer
20.9
Spartans
20.4
Dumbarton
20.4
Clyde
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.6%
Under 21.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D01L10W01L10W03L10W00DA·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.540.380.350.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.090.800.200.330.00
vs Weaker (19)0.370.580.380.500.360.64
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L01L12L10W01L10W10W01L01LA·PET11/11H·STE18/11A·FOR02/12A·CLY09/12H·BON16/12A·SPA23/12A·ELG06/01H·PET13/01A·STE20/01H·EAS27/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.640.570.441.06
vs Stronger (22)0.590.730.900.500.330.92
vs Similar (8)0.381.120.000.750.751.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L31W00D01L12L20W20W01L00DA·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.771.080.770.650.76
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.450.912.000.801.001.00
vs Weaker (19)0.470.680.500.750.450.64
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W10W21W02L02L10W00D00DA·PET11/11H·STE18/11A·FOR02/12A·CLY09/12H·BON16/12A·SPA23/12A·ELG06/01H·PET13/01A·STE20/01H·EAS27/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.860.570.251.12
vs Stronger (22)0.551.141.000.800.171.42
vs Similar (8)0.500.120.500.000.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards78.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls70.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
BR wins
2
Draws
1
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stranraer · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23AStranraer Vs BR3-1
19/08/23HBR Vs Stranraer1-1
01/04/23HBR Vs Stranraer1-0
11/02/23AStranraer Vs BR0-1
23/12/22HBR Vs Stranraer3-2
13/08/22AStranraer Vs BR2-2

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24AForfar Vs BR0-0
13/01/24HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
06/01/24AClyde Vs BR3-2
22/12/23AEast Fife Vs BR0-3
16/12/23AStranraer Vs BR3-1
09/12/23HBR Vs Peterhead1-1
02/12/23AStenhousemuir Vs BR1-0
21/11/23HBR Vs East Fife4-2
18/11/23HBR Vs Forfar0-2
11/11/23AElgin Vs BR2-0

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24HSTR Vs East Fife0-1
20/01/24AStenhousemuir Vs STR1-0
13/01/24HSTR Vs Peterhead2-0
06/01/24AElgin Vs STR2-1
23/12/23ASpartans Vs STR3-0
16/12/23HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose3-1
09/12/23AClyde Vs STR2-2
02/12/23AForfar Vs STR1-1
18/11/23HSTR Vs Stenhousemuir0-3
11/11/23APeterhead Vs STR3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD1.12
HomeWLWDD1.17
AwayLLWLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.563.082.08
Over 1.5 %72%88%58%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.141.460.85
Conceded1.421.621.23
BTTS52%67%38%
Clean Sheet26%12%38%
Corners9.5010.258.81
Cards4.444.384.50
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.22
HomeWLWWL1.72
AwayDDLLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%52%16%
AVG goals2.782.842.72
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.161.520.80
Conceded1.621.321.92
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners9.9210.089.76
Cards3.583.363.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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