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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 28/01/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 3-1
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Vs
48%
30%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.23
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.18
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 2.96
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D20W21W11D21W15L02L02L22D03LA·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11H·EAS30/11H·STI03/12A·FOR14/12A·PET21/12A·EDI04/01H·SPA21/01A·STI25/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.531.571.001.002.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.691.291.290.832.17
vs Weaker (17)1.411.411.860.711.101.90
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L11D31W00D11D11D01L02L10WA·EAS09/11H·BON16/11H·BRO30/11A·SPA10/12H·EDI14/12A·STI21/12H·CLY28/12A·PET14/01H·EAS18/01A·FOR25/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.270.791.291.001.25
vs Stronger (21)1.001.290.911.361.101.20
vs Similar (9)0.671.220.331.000.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.2%
@ 2.02-8.1%
Under 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.74+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.9%
No
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
012%8.0%3.9%1.1%0.2%
114%14%5.4%1.5%0.3%
210%8.6%3.7%1.0%0.2%
34.6%3.9%1.7%0.5%0.1%
41.6%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.06 points better than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.17 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 0.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose is 0.56 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.17).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 3.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

17021062541741368152364812898171465108A·STIH·SPAA·EDIA·PETA·FORH·STIH·EASA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

1103331255113141426563356145611A·STIH·SPAA·EDIA·PETA·FORH·STIH·EASA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

31015916101091667116101417129199141524261922181631212829A·STIH·SPAA·EDIA·PETA·FORH·STIH·EASA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 5.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

180994667398942432612629131210171365188A·FORH·EASA·PETH·CLYA·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·BONA·EASA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8034213112221231411537343415528A·FORH·EASA·PETH·CLYA·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·BONA·EASA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

270101791312479661211999129617927221616122318211526A·FORH·EASA·PETH·CLYA·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·BONA·EASA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.710.04.54.24.823.625.222.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)9.39.49.24.54.54.526.429.123.7
vs Weaker (28)10.39.910.74.54.05.021.421.921.0
% over line48%50%46%62%62%62%60%67%54%
% under line52%50%54%38%38%38%40%33%46%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.010.23.43.33.519.018.619.5
vs Stronger (34)9.18.69.63.43.03.819.619.120.1
vs Similar (16)10.79.811.23.54.23.118.117.318.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%48%48%46%38%54%30%29%30%
% under line52%52%52%54%62%46%70%71%70%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.6
Stranraer
10.0
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Clyde
9.6
Spartans
9.2
Elgin
8.8
Peterhead
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Elgin
4.4
Edinburgh City
4.4
Stirling
4.2
Forfar
4.0
Stranraer
3.9
Clyde
3.8
East Fife
3.8
Spartans
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Elgin
24.8
Forfar
24.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.6
Edinburgh City
23.3
East Fife
22.5
Spartans
22.4
Clyde
21.9
Stirling
21.3
Stranraer
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.0%
Under 9.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.2%
Under 3.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.6%
Under 21.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W11D10W00D02L00D01L11D03LA·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11H·EAS30/11H·STI03/12A·FOR14/12A·PET21/12A·EDI04/01H·SPA21/01A·STI25/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.570.210.440.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.380.710.290.500.50
vs Weaker (17)0.410.710.430.140.401.10
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L21W00D00D01L00D02L00DA·EAS09/11H·BON16/11H·BRO30/11A·SPA10/12H·EDI14/12A·STI21/12H·CLY28/12A·PET14/01H·EAS18/01A·FOR25/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.670.360.640.310.69
vs Stronger (21)0.430.670.450.640.400.70
vs Similar (9)0.110.670.000.670.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W10W01L21W13L02L01L11D00DA·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11A·STR16/11H·EAS30/11H·STI03/12A·FOR14/12A·PET21/12A·EDI04/01H·SPA21/01A·STI25/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.971.000.790.561.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.461.310.571.000.331.67
vs Weaker (17)1.000.711.430.570.700.80
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L10W10W00D11D10W01L00D10WA·EAS09/11H·BON16/11H·BRO30/11A·SPA10/12H·EDI14/12A·STI21/12H·CLY28/12A·PET14/01H·EAS18/01A·FOR25/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.430.640.690.56
vs Stronger (21)0.570.620.450.730.700.50
vs Similar (9)0.560.560.330.330.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards83.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BR wins
3
Draws
1
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stranraer · H/A from BR
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24AStranraer Vs BR1-2
31/08/24HBR Vs Stranraer2-0
30/03/24AStranraer Vs BR1-1
03/02/24HBR Vs Stranraer0-0
16/12/23AStranraer Vs BR3-1
19/08/23HBR Vs Stranraer1-1
01/04/23HBR Vs Stranraer1-0
11/02/23AStranraer Vs BR0-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25AStirling Vs BR3-0
21/01/25HBR Vs Spartans2-2
04/01/25AEdinburgh City Vs BR2-0
21/12/24APeterhead Vs BR2-0
14/12/24AForfar Vs BR5-1
03/12/24HBR Vs Stirling2-1
30/11/24HBR Vs East Fife1-1
16/11/24AStranraer Vs BR1-2
09/11/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0
02/11/24AClyde Vs BR2-2

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25AForfar Vs STR0-1
18/01/25HSTR Vs East Fife0-2
14/01/25APeterhead Vs STR1-0
28/12/24HSTR Vs Clyde1-1
21/12/24AStirling Vs STR1-1
14/12/24HSTR Vs Edinburgh City0-0
10/12/24ASpartans Vs STR1-3
30/11/24HSTR Vs Broxburn Athletic1-1
16/11/24HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-2
09/11/24AEast Fife Vs STR1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.06
HomeWWDWD1.42
AwayWLLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%15%
AVG goals2.662.462.85
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.161.380.96
Conceded1.501.081.88
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners9.869.6710.04
Cards4.544.254.81
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW0.96
HomeLDDDL1.12
AwayWWDLW0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%19%
AVG goals2.242.252.23
Over 1.5 %72%79%65%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %16%17%15%
Scored0.961.080.85
Conceded1.281.171.38
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners9.618.9510.22
Cards3.893.764.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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