This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.47
1.31
0.94
0.79
2.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (11)
1.36
1.55
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.86
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
1.12
1.18
0.91
0.80
1.60
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.6%
Under 1.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.0%
Under 2.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.0%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
Bordeaux goals ↓
Rennes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.9%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.1%
8.8%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.2%
4.1%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bordeaux goals (down), columns = Rennes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Monaco
2.50
Paris Saint Germain
2.29
Nice
2.05
Lyon
1.76
Marseille
1.63
Bordeaux
1.55
Nantes
1.34
Saint Etienne
1.32
Guingamp
1.32
Rennes
1.32
Lille
1.21
Angers
1.21
Toulouse
1.16
Metz
1.13
Montpellier
1.03
Caen
0.97
Dijon
0.97
Lorient
0.95
Nancy
0.92
Bastia
0.89
Bordeaux is 0.24 points better than Rennes in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Monaco
2.82
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
Lyon
2.11
Nice
1.66
Marseille
1.50
Bordeaux
1.39
Montpellier
1.26
Guingamp
1.21
Dijon
1.21
Lorient
1.16
Saint Etienne
1.08
Lille
1.05
Nantes
1.05
Angers
1.05
Metz
1.03
Toulouse
0.97
Caen
0.95
Rennes
0.95
Bastia
0.76
Nancy
0.76
Bordeaux is 0.45 goals better than Rennes in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.71
Monaco
0.82
Nice
0.95
Marseille
1.08
Toulouse
1.08
Saint Etienne
1.11
Rennes
1.11
Bordeaux
1.13
Lille
1.24
Lyon
1.26
Angers
1.29
Nancy
1.37
Guingamp
1.39
Nantes
1.42
Bastia
1.50
Dijon
1.53
Caen
1.71
Montpellier
1.74
Lorient
1.84
Metz
1.89
Bordeaux is 0.03 goals worse than Rennes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bordeaux
For 5.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rennes
For 4.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bordeaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.3
4.1
4.0
4.1
26.3
26.4
26.1
vs Stronger (36)
9.5
10.2
8.9
4.2
4.2
4.2
26.1
26.4
25.8
vs Similar (14)
9.3
8.3
10.3
3.8
3.6
4.0
26.6
26.4
26.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
40%
44%
58%
60%
56%
76%
84%
68%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
42%
40%
44%
24%
16%
32%
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
9.0
3.4
3.9
3.0
24.0
24.8
23.2
vs Stronger (4)
7.2
5.5
9.0
1.8
1.0
2.5
19.5
23.5
15.5
vs Similar (18)
8.8
9.3
8.5
3.4
4.1
2.9
27.2
29.1
25.9
vs Weaker (28)
9.6
9.6
9.5
3.7
4.1
3.1
22.6
23.2
21.8
% over line
46%
46%
46%
44%
58%
29%
70%
77%
62%
% under line
54%
54%
54%
56%
42%
71%
30%
23%
38%
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Monaco
10.7
Dijon
10.6
Saint Etienne
10.2
Caen
9.8
Angers
9.7
Lorient
9.5
Paris Saint Germain
9.5
Bordeaux
9.5
Montpellier
9.4
Guingamp
9.4
Marseille
9.3
Nancy
9.3
Lyon
9.3
Lille
9.2
Metz
9.2
Rennes
9.1
Nice
8.9
Bastia
8.8
Nantes
8.8
Toulouse
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lyon
4.7
Toulouse
4.6
Bastia
4.6
Lille
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Bordeaux
4.1
Nice
4.0
Nantes
4.0
Guingamp
3.9
Metz
3.9
Angers
3.8
Monaco
3.7
Nancy
3.7
Dijon
3.6
Caen
3.5
Lorient
3.5
Rennes
3.4
Montpellier
3.3
Marseille
3.3
Paris Saint Germain
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lille
30.3
Toulouse
29.6
Lyon
29.5
Guingamp
28.3
Bastia
28.2
Saint Etienne
27.6
Nantes
27.2
Marseille
26.7
Monaco
26.6
Nancy
26.3
Bordeaux
26.3
Nice
26.2
Dijon
26.1
Metz
25.6
Montpellier
25.3
Caen
25.0
Angers
24.2
Rennes
24.0
Lorient
23.6
Paris Saint Germain
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.3%
Under 9.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.6%
Under 3.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bordeaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.50
0.40
0.33
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
0.59
0.55
0.36
0.55
0.82
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.25
0.00
0.25
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.60
0.44
0.31
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (16)
0.19
0.44
0.27
0.18
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bordeaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.73
0.80
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (22)
0.68
0.73
0.55
0.82
0.82
0.64
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.62
1.25
0.75
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.88
0.62
0.43
1.14
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.82
1.00
0.50
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.88
0.69
0.91
0.73
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bordeaux · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik24%
Zuriko Davitashvili22%
Alberth Elis21%
Pedro Díaz18%
Yoann Barbet17%
Jérémy Livolant13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Julien Vetro8%
Alexi Pitu4%
Vital Nsimba4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Aliou Badji0%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Danylo Ignatenko33%
Nfansu Njie25%
Clément Michelin23%
Aliou Badji17%
Alexi Pitu16%
Stian Gregersen15%
Malcom Bokele15%
Marvin de Lima13%
Jacques Ekomie13%
Issouf Sissokho13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Jean Marcelin12%
Yohan Cassubie12%
Vital Nsimba12%
Yoann Barbet11%
Alberth Elis11%
Zuriko Davitashvili8%
Jérémy Livolant8%
Pedro Díaz5%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Julien Vetro0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Mathys Angely0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Mathias De Amorim11%
Jérémy Livolant11%
Pedro Díaz11%
Aliou Badji8%
Žan Vipotnik8%
Alexi Pitu8%
Julien Vetro8%
Alberth Elis5%
Vital Nsimba4%
Malcom Bokele4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Clément Michelin3%
Issouf Sissokho3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Yoann Barbet0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik24%
Gaetan Weissbeck21%
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Pedro Díaz13%
Alberth Elis11%
Aliou Badji8%
Vital Nsimba8%
Jérémy Livolant5%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Yoann Barbet3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Julien Vetro0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Rennes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Esteban Lepaul49%
Breel Embolo29%
Mousa Tamari19%
Mohamed Kader Meite16%
Ludovic Blas14%
Nordan Mukiele12%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal10%
Seko Fofana8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Valentin Rongier6%
Sebastian Szymański6%
Mahdi Camara6%
Przemysław Frankowski5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Alidu Seidu0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Przemysław Frankowski26%
Jérémy Jacquet24%
Anthony Rouault21%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal19%
Valentin Rongier18%
Brice Samba15%
Mahdi Camara14%
Djaoui Cissé12%
Breel Embolo12%
Sebastian Szymański12%
Mousa Tamari11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Mahamadou Nagida10%
Esteban Lepaul9%
Alidu Seidu8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Lilian Brassier7%
Ludovic Blas3%
Glen Kamara0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mohamed Kader Meite0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arnaud Nordin30%
Mousa Tamari19%
Sebastian Szymański18%
Quentin Merlin17%
Ludovic Blas14%
Esteban Lepaul14%
Valentin Rongier12%
Przemysław Frankowski11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Breel Embolo9%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Alidu Seidu4%
Lilian Brassier3%
Mahdi Camara3%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Esteban Lepaul34%
Mousa Tamari22%
Breel Embolo15%
Ludovic Blas11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Djaoui Cissé8%
Mahdi Camara6%
Alidu Seidu4%
Valentin Rongier3%
Glen Kamara0%
Przemysław Frankowski0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Sebastian Szymański0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Quentin Merlin0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 1 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Nice
Lyon
Marseille
Nantes
Saint Etienne
Guingamp
Lille
Angers
Toulouse
Metz
Montpellier
Dijon
Caen
Lorient
Nancy
Bastia