PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
Leagues · France - Ligue 2 · Bastia← Back

Bastia

France France · France - Ligue 2 · 18th of 20 · 2025/26
Form – last 6
LLWDWL
Goals / Game
0.76
26 scored in 34 · 2025/26
Concede 1.26
Over 1.5 goals
59%
in 34 matches
Over 2.5 goals
21%
in 34 matches
Under 3.5 goals
79%
in 34 matches
BTTS Yes / No
35%
No 65% · CS 32%
Win Rate
15%
5W 13D 16L · 28 pts
Corners / Game
4.3
Shots 11.6 · SOT 3.7
Cards / Game
3.25
15.1 fouls / game

Bastia stats, form & predictions – 2025/26

Bastia statistics for 2025/26: goals scored and conceded, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and fouls, plus the squad's top scorers, form, results and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model probabilities.

In 2025/26, Bastia are scoring 0.76 and conceding 1.26 goals a game across 34 matches – 21% of their games go over 2.5 and 35% see both teams score. They win 15%, draw 38% and lose 47%, keeping a clean sheet in 32% of games. On the ball they average 4.3 corners, 3.25 cards, 15.1 fouls a game.

01 Attack & goals02 Team Strengths Analysis03 League Table04 Props Analysis05 Squad Statistics06 Squad value07 Pythia's view08 Season vs history09 Results & fixtures
01Attack & goals
Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L11D11D34L34L20W11D10W02LA·PAU06/03H·BOU13/03A·ROD20/03H·AMI03/04A·RS11/04A·RSF11/04H·SE18/04A·CF24/04A·GUI02/05H·LM09/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
40-422D01L11D11D34L34L20W11D10W02LA·PAU06/03H·BOU13/03A·ROD20/03H·AMI03/04A·RS11/04A·RSF11/04H·SE18/04A·CF24/04A·GUI02/05H·LM09/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
The Goal Clock
Ninety minutes wrapped into a circle – when this team scores (outer, green) and concedes (inner, red).
90'14%20%1-15'23%22%16-30'23%18%31-45'9%12%46-60'14%2%61-75'18%25%76-90'2240
1st half / 2nd half
Scored59% / 41%
Conceded60% / 40%
Green scored (outer) · red conceded (inner), across 33 games. Most goals land in 16-30'.
Home vs Away – all metrics
HOME n=16n=18 AWAY
0.62
Goals / game
0.89
62%
Over 1.5 %
56%
19%
Over 2.5 %
22%
19%
Over 3.5 %
22%
31%
BTTS %
39%
4.5
Corners / game
4.2
16.2
Fouls / game
14.0
3.56
Cards / game
2.96
46%
Scored 1st half %
36%
31%
Scored 2nd half %
29%
62%
Conceded 1st half %
71%
54%
Conceded 2nd half %
36%
Goals scored per match
50%
0
29%
1
15%
2
6%
3
0%
4
0%
5+
Goals conceded per match
32%
0
29%
1
24%
2
9%
3
6%
4
0%
5+
Goal Analysis – by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored/conceded split by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 1.21 goals/game; red is worse.
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
All games (30)0.971.130.431.071.441.19
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.761.040.420.921.081.15
vs Weaker (3)3.001.670.001.004.502.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
02Team Strengths Analysis💪
Where they rank
Points per game
18thof 200.82
Attack – goals scored
19thof 200.76
Defence – goals conceded
12thof 201.26
Possession
10thof 1950%

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
03League Table🏆
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Estac TroyesEstac Troyes3673
61%
2.0
6434+30
2.7
69%
56%
31%
8.3
42%
4.5
57%
27.8
92%
36
711171.80.9
52%
2Le MansLe Mans3664
44%
1.8
5031+19
2.2
58%
33%
22%
9.8
58%
4.6
74%
27.3
89%
24
45151.40.9
49%
3Saint EtienneSaint Etienne3663
53%
1.8
6240+22
2.8
75%
58%
31%
9.0
31%
4.1
56%
26.9
89%
93
5411281.71.1
59%
4ReimsReims3660
42%
1.7
5637+19
2.6
64%
44%
33%
8.6
33%
4.4
58%
25.5
78%
72
3813211.61.0
58%
5RodezRodez3660
42%
1.7
4741+6
2.4
78%
47%
17%
9.9
53%
4.3
63%
26.7
86%
15
4471.31.1
40%
6AnnecyAnnecy3655
44%
1.5
5141+10
2.6
72%
56%
22%
8.4
36%
4.2
60%
29.1
89%
10
3341.41.1
45%
7RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 933355
45%
1.7
4537+8
2.5
67%
52%
27%
8.3
45%
3.8
59%
27.0
76%
15
4371.41.1
54%
8
RS
Red Star
3355
45%
1.7
4537+8
2.5
67%
52%
27%
8.3
45%
3.6
48%
27.0
76%
0
0001.41.1
-
9MontpellierMontpellier3653
39%
1.5
4333+10
2.1
67%
28%
17%
9.8
53%
4.2
67%
29.9
94%
29
116121.20.9
52%
10PAUPAU3648
36%
1.3
5165-14
3.2
83%
69%
36%
9.2
36%
4.6
77%
26.1
75%
14
6261.41.8
51%
11DunkerqueDunkerque3646
33%
1.3
5646+10
2.8
72%
53%
31%
8.4
28%
4.0
58%
26.6
89%
11
4151.61.3
57%
12GuingampGuingamp3640
28%
1.1
4456-12
2.8
69%
58%
36%
9.1
33%
4.9
71%
28.3
86%
11
3431.21.6
56%
13GrenobleGrenoble3639
22%
1.1
3343-10
2.1
58%
39%
19%
9.4
47%
4.0
51%
26.6
83%
12
5340.91.2
44%
14Clermont FootClermont Foot3638
25%
1.1
4047-7
2.4
61%
47%
25%
9.5
47%
4.0
60%
26.0
81%
15
23101.11.3
50%
15BoulogneBoulogne3637
25%
1.0
3753-16
2.5
61%
50%
22%
8.9
42%
4.5
69%
27.9
89%
8
2331.01.5
46%
16LavalLaval3837
18%
1.0
3250-18
2.2
66%
34%
21%
10.2
58%
4.2
54%
29.6
95%
9
2340.81.3
47%
17NancyNancy3637
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
67%
53%
28%
9.1
50%
4.4
61%
29.7
94%
13
5261.01.5
42%
18BastiaBastia3428
15%
0.8
2643-17
2.0
59%
21%
21%
8.8
24%
5.3
79%
29.3
82%
7
4120.81.3
50%
19AmiensAmiens3627
19%
0.8
4169-28
3.1
72%
58%
39%
10.6
61%
4.2
69%
28.1
86%
4
0041.11.9
47%
20RouenRouen21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
6.5
0%
6.5
100%
34.5
100%
3
2010.51.0
43%
France - Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France - Ligue 2 stats & trends →
04Props Analysis🎲
Corners – last 10For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8
1702352125262424272982545717866911109H·LMA·GUIA·CFH·SEA·RSA·RSFH·AMIA·RODH·BOUA·PAU
Corners per match – For, % breakdown
3%
0-1
44%
2-3
24%
4-5
18%
6-7
9%
8-9
0%
10-11
3%
12-13
Cards – last 10For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
60422342122321213131236563533445H·LMA·CFH·SEA·RSA·RSFH·AMIA·RODH·BOUA·PAUH·ANN
Cards per match – For, % breakdown
0%
0
15%
1
24%
2
33%
3
24%
4
3%
5
Fouls – last 10For 15.1 · Against 11.8 · Total 26.9
41013141181612201513513513121092318192027192835181825194139H·LMA·GUIA·CFH·SEA·RSA·RSFH·AMIA·RODH·BOUA·PAU
Fouls per match – For, % breakdown
0%
0-1
0%
2-3
0%
4-5
0%
6-7
6%
8-9
12%
10-11
32%
12-13
12%
14-15
15%
16-17
9%
18-19
6%
20-21
6%
22-23
0%
24-25
3%
26-27
Props by opponent strength, home and away
The same split the match pages use: how the volume moves against stronger, similar and weaker sides.
SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)8.88.68.95.35.75.029.331.827.0
vs Stronger (2)7.56.09.06.08.04.024.528.021.0
vs Similar (29)9.08.79.35.45.65.129.731.428.0
vs Weaker (3)7.310.06.04.74.05.028.741.022.5
% over line (9.5/3.5/21.5)24%19%28%79%88%71%82%94%72%
% under line76%81%72%21%12%29%18%6%28%
Discipline dials
Fouls / game15.1
League avg 13.8 · above by 1.2
Cards / game3.25
League avg 2.44 · above by 0.81
Yellows / game2.55
League avg 2.03 · above by 0.51
Reds / game0.70
League avg 0.40 · above by 0.30
Corners / game4.3
League avg 4.6 · below by 0.2
Over / under hit rate – this team's own count (‘For’)
Over 4.5 corners47%
Under 53%n=34
Under 4.5 corners53%
Over 47%n=34
Over 1.5 cards85%
Under 15%n=33
Under 1.5 cards15%
Over 85%n=33
Over 10.5 fouls91%
Under 9%n=34
Under 10.5 fouls9%
Over 91%n=34
Over / under hit rate – match total (the priced line)
Over 9.5 corners24%
Under 76%n=34
Under 9.5 corners76%
Over 24%n=34
Over 3.5 cards79%
Under 21%n=33
Under 3.5 cards21%
Over 79%n=33
Over 21.5 fouls82%
Under 18%n=34
Under 21.5 fouls18%
Over 82%n=34
05Squad Statistics👥
Min apps6+
Team form
PlayerPosAppsMinsGoalsAssistsShotsOn tgtGoals
/shot
Key
passes
Pass
acc
DribblesDrib
%
TacklesInterc.BlocksDuels
won %
FoulsFouledYelRedSavesRatingForm
Felix TomiF35254452452211%2468%1729%2125337%61453006.57
7.3
Jeremy SebasF30173040402210%666%2040%173038%46245206.56
5.6
Joachim EickmayerM1511563015720%1878%450%1414047%10142006.83
6.8
Amine BoutrahM2819082234166%3178%4042%199049%16474006.87
2.9
Anthony RoncagliaD251868205340%386%360%2320548%16114206.65
6.7
Alexandre ZaouaiM28130822151013%2883%3647%298048%14222006.80
7.6
Tom DucrocqM292337101656%1979%1067%55441051%39137106.79
1.4
Juan GuevaraD272175111457%884%844%45382360%433413106.95
5.5
Dominique GuidiD211735101159%780%686%21181358%25208106.87
2.6
Christophe VincentM251227101139%1482%739%1613338%27144006.50
5.0
Ruben BeliandjouF11375104125%167%267%30029%12120006.34
6.4
Zakaria ArissD312612011210%3079%2149%6059560%42639006.86
3.0
Johny PlacideG2320700100358%2100%10085%1820496.84
1.8
Tom MeynadierD31196900930%1176%1434%3430551%17325006.65
1.8
Florian BohnertD25181901420%1574%725%3418548%2075006.76
6.2
Jocelyn JannehM27157501100%1686%660%5724151%31161006.77
9.3
Gustave AkuesonD16134400510%587%267%3321864%20173006.79
5.4
Lisandru OlmetaG1210850000056%010080%0410196.51
4.3
Issiaka KaramokoF2162300930%979%646%52143%20212006.49
1.5
Loïc EtogaM1050101310%271%450%109162%5111006.72
2.5
Maxime BléF1448700210%271%120%31037%23131006.39
4.3
Matteo PetrignaniM1046701620%1274%150%113043%1041006.60
3.2
Ayman AikiF16457001150%575%840%72042%640006.58
7.0
Mehdi MerghemF842400860%981%764%53143%10121106.41
3.5
Noah ZillioxD631400520%075%250%105175%453006.66
3.9
Nicolas ParraviciniF626700400%160%133%01142%933006.28
5.7
David DjédjéD211300110%071%1100%20050%110005.95
Yahya BathilyM39300210%193%375%30058%050006.67
Maxime BléF26300210%064%150%00038%201006.25
Donovan BassetD2310000025%001150%000006.30
Victor LebasD4270000065%150%11050%000006.40
Zyed BeltaiefF12000000%00%0000%10000
Per-player totals for 2025/26 from API-Football match stats, across 32 players. Click any column to sort. Goals/shot is conversion - goals divided by shots taken. Rating is API-Football's own 0-10 composite for each appearance, averaged here; it is their proprietary score, so treat it as a summary rather than an input. A blank from the provider means the player recorded none of that event, so it counts as zero. Form is 0-10: each appearance is scored as a per-90 composite of the stats that matter for that position, then the last 5 are compared with the player's own season baseline. 5 is their normal, green a hot run, red a cold one – it measures a player against themselves, not against the squad. Under 6 appearances shows a dash rather than a number off too small a sample.
Player market rates – share of appearances
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joachim Eickmayer20%
Felix Tomi14%
Jeremy Sebas13%
Ruben Beliandjou9%
Anthony Roncaglia8%
Amine Boutrah7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Dominique Guidi5%
Christophe Vincent4%
Juan Guevara4%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Loïc Etoga0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Matteo Petrignani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Noah Zilliox50%
Nicolas Parravicini50%
Juan Guevara44%
Dominique Guidi38%
Zakaria Ariss29%
Tom Ducrocq24%
Florian Bohnert20%
Gustave Akueson19%
Jeremy Sebas17%
Tom Meynadier16%
Anthony Roncaglia16%
Christophe Vincent16%
Amine Boutrah14%
Joachim Eickmayer13%
Mehdi Merghem12%
Loïc Etoga10%
Matteo Petrignani10%
Issiaka Karamoko10%
Johny Placide9%
Felix Tomi9%
Lisandru Olmeta8%
Maxime Blé7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Jocelyn Janneh4%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Loïc Etoga10%
Matteo Petrignani10%
Amine Boutrah7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Felix Tomi6%
Johny Placide4%
Florian Bohnert4%
Juan Guevara4%
Jocelyn Janneh4%
Zakaria Ariss3%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Christophe Vincent0%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Joachim Eickmayer0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Jeremy Sebas0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Merghem25%
Jeremy Sebas23%
Amine Boutrah21%
Felix Tomi14%
Joachim Eickmayer7%
Christophe Vincent4%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Loïc Etoga0%
Juan Guevara0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Matteo Petrignani0%
Alexandre Zaouai0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 shown per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how the market settles, not per-90 rates.
06Squad value💰
Total value
€7.2m
#17 of 19
in this league
Attack
€4.0m
#11 of 19
in this league
Midfield
€1.1m
#17 of 19
in this league
Defence
€2.2m
#18 of 19
in this league
PlayerPos202420252026
Alexandre ZaouaiAttacking Midfield€1.5m€1.5m
Jocelyn JannehDefensive Midfield€1.5m€800k€800k
Félix TomiCentre-Forward€300k€600k€600k
Anthony RoncagliaCentre-Back€400k€500k€500k
Jérémy SebasCentre-Forward€700k€500k€500k
Tom MeynadierRight-Back€600k€500k€500k
Théo De PercinGoalkeeper€400k
Gustave AkuesonCentre-Back€600k€350k€350k
Clément RodriguesCentre-Forward€400k€300k
Ayman AikiRight Winger€400k€250k€250k
Ruben BeliandjouCentre-Forward€250k€250k
Cléo MélièresRight-Back€200k
Erawan GarnierRight Winger€200k
Joachim EickmayerDefensive Midfield€200k€200k
Mohamed BoumaaouiCentre-Forward€25k€200k
Maxime BléCentre-Forward€200k€150k€150k
Noah ZillioxCentre-Back€150k€150k
David DjédjéCentre-Back€100k€100k
Matteo PetrignaniDefensive Midfield€100k€100k
Amine BoutrahLeft Winger€2.0m€1.2m
Charles TraoréLeft-Back€150k
Christ Inao OulaïCentral Midfield€600k€23.0m
Christophe VincentDefensive Midfield€350k€250k
Donovan BassetCentre-Back€50k
Dumè GuidiCentre-Back€500k€350k
Dylan TavaresLeft-Back€250k
Florian BianchiniRight Winger€2.0m
Florian BohnertRight-Back€500k€400k
Issiaka KaramokoLeft Winger€200k
Johny PlacideGoalkeeper€200k€150k
Juan GuevaraCentre-Back€700k€1.2m
Julien FabriGoalkeeper€100k€75k
Julien MaggiottiCentral Midfield€400k
Lamine CisséRight Winger€2.5m
Lisandru OlmetaGoalkeeper€500k
Lisandru TramoniRight Winger€700k
Loïc EtogaDefensive Midfield€300k€250k
Matéo LoubatièresCentral Midfield€50k
Mehdi MerghemRight Winger€400k
Nicolas ParraviciniCentre-Forward€100k
Steevy MazikouLeft-Back€50k
Tom DucrocqDefensive Midfield€1.5m€800k
Victor LebasLeft-Back€50k
Yahya BathilyDefensive Midfield€100k
Zakaria ArissLeft-Back€2.0m€2.0m
Transfermarkt market values. Bars show the 2026 season; click any column to sort. A player with no value in a season was not in the squad we hold for it. Showing all 45 players we hold values for – scroll the table for the rest.
07Pythia's view🎯
Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
26%correct 1X2 calls0%100%
Across 34 finished 2025/26 games.
Pro
Top prediction picks for Bastia
Unlock top prediction picks for Bastia
Unlock Pro
08Season vs history📈
Metric2026/272025/262024/252023/242022/23Trend
Goals / game0.761.221.121.32
Conceded / game1.261.031.201.18
Over 1.559%64%68%70%
Over 2.521%36%42%35%
Over 3.521%28%22%22%
BTTS35%47%42%45%
Clean sheets32%39%38%32%
Win %15%33%38%42%
Draw %38%44%25%25%
Points / game0.821.441.381.52
Corners / game4.35.24.04.5
Shots / game11.614.010.310.5
Shots on target3.75.43.55.0
Fouls / game15.112.814.420.5
Cards / game3.252.892.604.00
Yellows / game2.552.392.003.50
Reds / game0.700.500.600.50
09Results & fixtures📅
Recent results
DateOpponentScoreRes
06 Mar@ PAU2-2D
13 Marvs Boulogne0-1L
20 Mar@ Rodez1-1D
03 Aprvs Amiens1-1D
11 Apr@ Red Star3-4L
11 Apr@ RED Star FC 933-4L
18 Aprvs Saint Etienne2-0W
24 Apr@ Clermont Foot1-1D
02 May@ Guingamp1-0W
09 Mayvs Le Mans0-2L
Upcoming fixtures
No upcoming fixtures.