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PAU vs Bastia Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2026
Time: 19:00
Final 2-2
PAU
PAU
Vs
31%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bastia
Bastia
France: Ligue 2
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAU win✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied 41.8% · @ 2.20
Edge
-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.3%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.20
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bastia win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.13
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PAUPAU

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L33D13L22D10W30W30W12L34L03LH·AMI12/12H·ROD03/01A·DUN16/01H·GRE23/01A·LAV30/01A·RED06/02A·RED06/02H·BOU13/02A·EST21/02H·SAI28/02
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.631.201.871.671.40
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (28)1.391.751.142.001.641.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BastiaBastia

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L20W02L00D00D00D11D02LA·PON20/12H·GRE03/01H·EST10/01A·LAV16/01H·MON23/01H·NAN30/01A·REI06/02H·EST16/02A·DUN20/02H·ANN27/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.070.641.360.880.81
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.621.080.621.230.620.92
vs Weaker (2)3.000.50--3.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.03-6.5%
Under 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.71+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
PAU goals ↓
Bastia goals →
01234
012%11%7.4%2.9%0.9%
19.9%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
26.0%7.1%4.2%1.7%0.5%
32.1%2.5%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAU goals (down), columns = Bastia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
PAU is 0.51 points better than Bastia in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
PAU is 0.65 goals better than Bastia in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
PAU is 0.54 goals worse than Bastia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
PAU is 1.2 percentage points better than Bastia in terms of average possession (51% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PAUPAU

For 5.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

140542553181828958948297899101481310H·SAIA·ESTH·BOUA·REDA·REDA·LAVH·GREA·DUNH·RODH·AMI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

80213524232312123223523865533557H·SAIA·ESTH·BOUA·REDA·REDA·LAVH·GREA·DUNH·RODH·AMI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 27.0

⚠️ Fouls

4001419131110169149142214131111101010241633242623233624212040H·SAIA·ESTH·BOUA·REDA·REDA·LAVH·GREA·DUNH·RODH·AMI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BastiaBastia

For 3.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.6

🚩 Corners

100355352278161364146488799794510H·ANNA·DUNH·ESTA·REIH·NANH·MONA·LAVH·ESTH·GREA·PON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

90231223313244366143315354589774H·ANNA·DUNH·ESTA·REIH·NANH·MONA·LAVH·ESTH·GREA·PON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 16.1 · Total 31.1

⚠️ Fouls

4008191311112112917231418181719152215161327243221403235343729H·ANNA·DUNH·ESTA·REIH·NANH·MONA·LAVH·ESTH·GREA·PON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PAUPAU

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.510.54.34.54.225.425.925.0
vs Stronger (3)9.59.010.03.05.02.015.323.011.5
vs Similar (45)10.19.610.74.54.44.526.026.026.0
vs Weaker (2)7.0-7.02.0-2.031.0-31.0
% over line49%46%52%70%79%62%67%71%62%
% under line51%54%48%30%21%38%33%29%38%
This opponent (Bastia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BastiaBastia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.09.15.15.05.229.229.329.1
vs Stronger (5)6.86.07.04.64.05.027.228.027.0
vs Similar (41)9.08.49.65.35.15.429.629.729.6
vs Weaker (4)5.75.56.04.25.03.526.326.027.0
% over line31%22%41%80%81%79%87%83%91%
% under line69%78%59%20%19%21%13%17%9%
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Amiens
10.4
Rodez
10.3
Laval
10.2
Grenoble
10.1
PAU
9.9
Montpellier
9.9
Nancy
9.9
Saint Etienne
9.5
Clermont Foot
9.3
Reims
9.2
Guingamp
9.0
Le Mans
9.0
Rouen
8.9
Bastia
8.9
RED Star FC 93
8.8
Red Star
8.8
Dunkerque
8.6
Annecy
8.6
Boulogne
8.5
Estac Troyes
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.8
Boulogne
4.8
PAU
4.7
Guingamp
4.5
Le Mans
4.4
Annecy
4.4
Montpellier
4.3
Dunkerque
4.2
Amiens
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Laval
4.1
Estac Troyes
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Reims
3.9
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Grenoble
3.7
Red Star
3.5
Rouen
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bastia
28.8
Nancy
28.5
Annecy
28.3
Boulogne
28.3
Amiens
28.1
Le Mans
28.1
Guingamp
28.0
Laval
27.9
Montpellier
27.8
Rouen
27.2
Estac Troyes
26.6
Dunkerque
26.3
Grenoble
26.2
Red Star
26.1
Clermont Foot
26.0
Saint Etienne
25.9
RED Star FC 93
25.8
PAU
25.1
Rodez
25.0
Reims
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.4%
Under 3.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.1%
Under 21.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PAUPAU

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L22D02L10W10W00D00D00D22D01LH·AMI12/12H·ROD03/01A·DUN16/01H·GRE23/01A·LAV30/01A·RED06/02A·RED06/02H·BOU13/02A·EST21/02H·SAI28/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.800.870.730.93
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.710.960.710.930.711.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BastiaBastia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D01L00D00D00D11D02LA·PON20/12H·GRE03/01H·EST10/01A·LAV16/01H·MON23/01H·NAN30/01A·REI06/02H·EST16/02A·DUN20/02H·ANN27/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.360.710.440.50
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.310.620.310.620.310.62
vs Weaker (2)1.500.00--1.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PAUPAU

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D11D12L00D30W30W12L12L02LH·AMI12/12H·ROD03/01A·DUN16/01H·GRE23/01A·LAV30/01A·RED06/02A·RED06/02H·BOU13/02A·EST21/02H·SAI28/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.401.000.930.47
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.680.790.431.070.930.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BastiaBastia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L20W01L00D00D00D00D00DA·PON20/12H·GRE03/01H·EST10/01A·LAV16/01H·MON23/01H·NAN30/01A·REI06/02H·EST16/02A·DUN20/02H·ANN27/02
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.290.640.440.31
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.310.460.310.620.310.31
vs Weaker (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls89.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls79.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards74.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

PAU
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pathé Mboup33%
Giovani Versini29%
Giovani Versini22%
Omar Sissoko21%
Julien Anziani15%
Rayane Messi Tanfouri14%
Kyliane Dong14%
Antonin Bobichon13%
Omar Sadik11%
Tom Pouilly10%
Rayan Touzghar9%
Cheikh Fall9%
Steeve Beusnard7%
Daylam Meddah4%
Jean Ruiz4%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa3%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Esteban Salles0%
Anthony Briançon0%
Setigui Karamoko0%
Kylian Gasnier0%
Noah Raveyre0%
Edhy Zuliani0%
Neil Glossoa0%
Salif Lebouath0%
Souleymane Basse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daylam Meddah44%
Anthony Briançon25%
Setigui Karamoko24%
Ousmane Kanté22%
Omar Sadik22%
Rayan Touzghar18%
Tom Pouilly16%
Jean Ruiz15%
Steeve Beusnard15%
Noah Raveyre14%
Cheikh Fall14%
Edhy Zuliani12%
Salif Lebouath11%
Omar Sissoko11%
Kyliane Dong10%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa9%
Julien Anziani8%
Neil Glossoa7%
Kylian Gasnier7%
Giovani Versini5%
Esteban Salles0%
Antonin Bobichon0%
Giovani Versini0%
Pathé Mboup0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Rayane Messi Tanfouri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pathé Mboup33%
Antonin Bobichon13%
Giovani Versini11%
Neil Glossoa11%
Kyliane Dong10%
Giovani Versini10%
Esteban Salles9%
Rayan Touzghar9%
Daylam Meddah8%
Julien Anziani8%
Omar Sadik7%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa6%
Edhy Zuliani6%
Omar Sissoko5%
Cheikh Fall5%
Jean Ruiz4%
Steeve Beusnard4%
Tom Pouilly3%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Anthony Briançon0%
Setigui Karamoko0%
Kylian Gasnier0%
Noah Raveyre0%
Salif Lebouath0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Rayane Messi Tanfouri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pathé Mboup33%
Omar Sissoko26%
Rayan Touzghar18%
Julien Anziani15%
Giovani Versini11%
Omar Sadik11%
Giovani Versini10%
Cheikh Fall9%
Rayane Messi Tanfouri7%
Antonin Bobichon7%
Steeve Beusnard4%
Kyliane Dong3%
Tom Pouilly3%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Esteban Salles0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Anthony Briançon0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Setigui Karamoko0%
Kylian Gasnier0%
Noah Raveyre0%
Edhy Zuliani0%
Neil Glossoa0%
Salif Lebouath0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa0%
Bastia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joachim Eickmayer20%
Felix Tomi14%
Jeremy Sebas13%
Ruben Beliandjou9%
Anthony Roncaglia8%
Amine Boutrah7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Dominique Guidi5%
Christophe Vincent4%
Juan Guevara4%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Loïc Etoga0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Matteo Petrignani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Noah Zilliox50%
Nicolas Parravicini50%
Juan Guevara44%
Dominique Guidi38%
Zakaria Ariss29%
Tom Ducrocq24%
Florian Bohnert20%
Gustave Akueson19%
Jeremy Sebas17%
Tom Meynadier16%
Anthony Roncaglia16%
Christophe Vincent16%
Amine Boutrah14%
Joachim Eickmayer13%
Mehdi Merghem12%
Loïc Etoga10%
Matteo Petrignani10%
Issiaka Karamoko10%
Johny Placide9%
Felix Tomi9%
Lisandru Olmeta8%
Maxime Blé7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Jocelyn Janneh4%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Loïc Etoga10%
Matteo Petrignani10%
Amine Boutrah7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Felix Tomi6%
Johny Placide4%
Florian Bohnert4%
Juan Guevara4%
Jocelyn Janneh4%
Zakaria Ariss3%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Christophe Vincent0%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Joachim Eickmayer0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Jeremy Sebas0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Merghem25%
Jeremy Sebas23%
Amine Boutrah21%
Felix Tomi14%
Joachim Eickmayer7%
Christophe Vincent4%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Loïc Etoga0%
Juan Guevara0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Matteo Petrignani0%
Alexandre Zaouai0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
REI (30)
€72m
ET (23)
€36m
MON (24)
€29m
LM (26)
€24m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
BAS (19)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
PAU's squad is €7m more valuable than Bastia's (€14m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
MON (9)
€11m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
LM (6)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
AMI (4)
€0m
PAU's attack is €2m more valuable than Bastia's (€6m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
REI (6)
€13m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
LM (8)
€5m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
PAU and Bastia have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
PAU's defence is €4m more valuable than Bastia's (€6m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
PAU wins
4
Draws
3
BAS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

PAU vs Bastia · H/A from PAU
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/25ABastia Vs PAU1-1
24/01/25ABastia Vs PAU1-1
22/10/24HPAU Vs Bastia1-1
10/05/24HPAU Vs Bastia1-2
26/09/23ABastia Vs PAU1-4
20/05/23HPAU Vs Bastia2-6
13/01/23ABastia Vs PAU1-0
05/02/22ABastia Vs PAU1-1

PAUPAU

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HPAU Vs Saint Etienne0-3
21/02/26AEstac Troyes Vs PAU4-3
13/02/26HPAU Vs Boulogne1-2
06/02/26ARed Star Vs PAU0-3
06/02/26ARED Star FC 93 Vs PAU0-3
30/01/26ALaval Vs PAU0-1
23/01/26HPAU Vs Grenoble2-2
16/01/26ADunkerque Vs PAU3-1
03/01/26HPAU Vs Rodez3-3
12/12/25HPAU Vs Amiens1-2

BastiaBastia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26HBAS Vs Annecy0-2
20/02/26ADunkerque Vs BAS1-1
16/02/26HBAS Vs Estac Troyes0-0
06/02/26AReims Vs BAS0-0
30/01/26HBAS Vs Nancy0-0
23/01/26HBAS Vs Montpellier0-2
16/01/26ALaval Vs BAS0-2
10/01/26HBAS Vs Estac Troyes0-2
03/01/26HBAS Vs Grenoble1-0
20/12/25APontivy GSI Vs BAS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

PAU
PAU
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.32
HomeLDDLL1.25
AwayLWWWL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals2.982.793.15
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %36%25%46%
Scored1.341.121.54
Conceded1.641.671.62
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners10.029.5410.52
Cards4.784.654.91
Bastia
Bastia
France: Ligue 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDL1.20
HomeLLDDL1.50
AwayDWWDD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals2.182.421.92
Over 1.5 %60%65%54%
Over 2.5 %28%35%21%
Over 3.5 %26%31%21%
Scored1.101.350.83
Conceded1.081.081.08
BTTS32%38%25%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners8.638.219.09
Cards5.705.715.68

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Estac TroyesEstac Troyes3673
61%
2.0
6434+30
2.7
69%
56%
31%
8.3
42%
4.5
57%
27.8
92%
36
711171.80.9
52%
2Le MansLe Mans3664
44%
1.8
5031+19
2.2
58%
33%
22%
9.8
58%
4.6
74%
27.3
89%
24
45151.40.9
49%
3Saint EtienneSaint Etienne3663
53%
1.8
6240+22
2.8
75%
58%
31%
9.0
31%
4.1
56%
26.9
89%
93
5411281.71.1
59%
4ReimsReims3660
42%
1.7
5637+19
2.6
64%
44%
33%
8.6
33%
4.4
58%
25.5
78%
72
3813211.61.0
58%
5RodezRodez3660
42%
1.7
4741+6
2.4
78%
47%
17%
9.9
53%
4.3
63%
26.7
86%
15
4471.31.1
40%
6AnnecyAnnecy3655
44%
1.5
5141+10
2.6
72%
56%
22%
8.4
36%
4.2
60%
29.1
89%
10
3341.41.1
45%
7RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 933355
45%
1.7
4537+8
2.5
67%
52%
27%
8.3
45%
3.8
59%
27.0
76%
15
4371.41.1
54%
8
RS
Red Star
3355
45%
1.7
4537+8
2.5
67%
52%
27%
8.3
45%
3.6
48%
27.0
76%
0
0001.41.1
-
9MontpellierMontpellier3653
39%
1.5
4333+10
2.1
67%
28%
17%
9.8
53%
4.2
67%
29.9
94%
29
116121.20.9
52%
10PAUPAU3648
36%
1.3
5165-14
3.2
83%
69%
36%
9.2
36%
4.6
77%
26.1
75%
14
6261.41.8
51%
11DunkerqueDunkerque3646
33%
1.3
5646+10
2.8
72%
53%
31%
8.4
28%
4.0
58%
26.6
89%
11
4151.61.3
57%
12GuingampGuingamp3640
28%
1.1
4456-12
2.8
69%
58%
36%
9.1
33%
4.9
71%
28.3
86%
11
3431.21.6
56%
13GrenobleGrenoble3639
22%
1.1
3343-10
2.1
58%
39%
19%
9.4
47%
4.0
51%
26.6
83%
12
5340.91.2
44%
14Clermont FootClermont Foot3638
25%
1.1
4047-7
2.4
61%
47%
25%
9.5
47%
4.0
60%
26.0
81%
15
23101.11.3
50%
15BoulogneBoulogne3637
25%
1.0
3753-16
2.5
61%
50%
22%
8.9
42%
4.5
69%
27.9
89%
8
2331.01.5
46%
16LavalLaval3837
18%
1.0
3250-18
2.2
66%
34%
21%
10.2
58%
4.2
54%
29.6
95%
9
2340.81.3
47%
17NancyNancy3637
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
67%
53%
28%
9.1
50%
4.4
61%
29.7
94%
13
5261.01.5
42%
18BastiaBastia3428
15%
0.8
2643-17
2.0
59%
21%
21%
8.8
24%
5.3
79%
29.3
82%
7
4120.81.3
50%
19AmiensAmiens3627
19%
0.8
4169-28
3.1
72%
58%
39%
10.6
61%
4.2
69%
28.1
86%
4
0041.11.9
47%
20RouenRouen21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
6.5
0%
6.5
100%
34.5
100%
3
2010.51.0
43%
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches