This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.53
2.07
1.20
0.93
1.87
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.90
1.70
1.70
0.60
2.10
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
0.50
2.80
0.20
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.1%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
9.0%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
0-4
5.0%
Bordeaux goals ↓
Rennes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
10.0%
12%
9.0%
5.0%
1
3.0%
9.5%
9.6%
7.1%
4.0%
2
1.5%
3.4%
3.8%
2.8%
1.6%
3
0.4%
0.9%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bordeaux goals (down), columns = Rennes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aigles d'Or de Mana
3.00
Paris Saint Germain
2.67
Cannes
2.57
Thaon
2.50
Angers
2.50
Estac Troyes
2.40
Hauts Lyonnais
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
Clermont Foot
2.33
Dijon
2.33
Le Puy Foot
2.25
Bastia
2.25
Stade Brestois 29
2.25
Lorient
2.25
Bourgoin-Jallieu
2.20
Guingamp
2.17
Rumilly Vallières
2.00
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.00
Saint-Malo
2.00
Annecy
2.00
Dunkerque
2.00
Le Mans
2.00
Union Saint-Jean
2.00
PAU
2.00
Marseille
2.00
Lyon
2.00
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Caen
2.00
Valenciennes
2.00
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
2.00
Sochaux
2.00
RC Calais
2.00
Jura Sud Foot
2.00
Martigues
2.00
Bordeaux
2.00
Orleans
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
Metz
2.00
RC Saint Joseph
2.00
Dives-Cabourg
2.00
Colmar
2.00
Monaco
2.00
Drancy
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
Stade Briochin
1.83
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1.75
Quevilly
1.75
Haguenau
1.75
Lille
1.67
Corte
1.67
SA Mérignac
1.67
Chambéry
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Valence FC
1.50
Couzeix-Chaptelat
1.50
Mâcon
1.50
Neuilly sur Marne
1.50
Olympique d'Alès
1.50
Nantes
1.50
Calais Beau-Marais
1.50
Olympique de Valence
1.50
Gallia Lucciana
1.50
Istres
1.50
Beauvais
1.50
Cluses-Scionzier
1.50
Monnaie
1.50
Ginglin Cesson
1.50
Rennes
1.50
Nancy
1.50
Rouen
1.50
Aubervilliers
1.50
Carnoux
1.50
La Roche sur Yon
1.50
Versailles
1.50
Reims
1.50
Bolbec
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Saint-Colomban Locminé
1.50
Amiens
1.33
Grenoble
1.33
Nice
1.33
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
1.33
Chasselay MDA
1.33
Bobigny
1.33
Strasbourg
1.33
La Roche VF
1.33
Saint-Denis
1.33
Tours
1.33
Marmande
1.33
Toulouse
1.33
Paris FC
1.00
Saint-Omer
1.00
TA Rennes
1.00
Montagnarde
1.00
Vierzon FC
1.00
Brétigny Foot
1.00
Hettange-Grande
1.00
USSA Vertou
1.00
Villefranche
1.00
Saint-Pierre Milizac
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Crépy-en-Valois
1.00
Stade Béthunois
1.00
Lens
1.00
Linas-Montlhery
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Colomiers
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Saint-Lô Manche
1.00
Avranches
1.00
Vitré
1.00
Laval
0.75
Liancourt Clermont
0.50
Agde
0.50
Dinan Léhon
0.50
Lunéville
0.50
Cesson
0.50
Diables Noirs
0.50
Dragon
0.50
Le Touquet
0.50
Noyelles sous Lens
0.50
Raon l'Etape
0.50
OCPAM
0.00
Saint Etienne
0.00
Freyming
0.00
St-Philbert Réorthe JA
0.00
Arras
0.00
Saint-Brieuc
0.00
Serquigny Nassandres
0.00
Saint-Pierroise
0.00
Arles
0.00
Boulay
0.00
Thouars
0.00
Houilles
0.00
Haubourdin
0.00
Saumur
0.00
Comtal
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
C' Chartres
0.00
Guéreins Genouilleux
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
AC Paris 15
0.00
Grau-du-Roi
0.00
Niort
0.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
0.00
Bayonne
0.00
Pays de Cassel
0.00
Illkirch Graffenstaden
0.00
Marignane
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Alençon
0.00
Avenir Mourenxois
0.00
Vannes
0.00
Ajaccio
0.00
Mérignac-Arlac
0.00
Raismes
0.00
Sauveteurs Brivois
0.00
Les Ulis
0.00
St-Just St-Rambert
0.00
Jura Dolois
0.00
Epinal
0.00
Feytiat
0.00
Olympique Cazaux
0.00
Maladrerie
0.00
Vendée Fontenay
0.00
Jeunesse Evolution
0.00
Canet Roussillon
0.00
Nousseviller
0.00
Stade Beaucairois
0.00
Montferrand
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Valdahon Vercel
0.00
Sarre Union
0.00
Sablé
0.00
Foron
0.00
Grandvillars
0.00
Paimpol
0.00
Ruffiac Malestroit
0.00
Cannet Rocheville
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Allobroges Asafia
0.00
Anduzien
0.00
Roubaix
0.00
Rodez
0.00
Chaumont
0.00
Gueugnon
0.00
ETC Anstaing Chéreng
0.00
Etoile Matoury
0.00
Labourse
0.00
FCSR Obernai
0.00
Blenod
0.00
Lempdes
0.00
Marboz
0.00
Fief-Gesté
0.00
Samaritaine
0.00
Vesoul
0.00
Bressuire
0.00
Bordeaux is 0.50 points better than Rennes in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
RED Star FC 93
4.50
Neuilly sur Marne
4.00
Roubaix
4.00
Caen
3.67
Paris Saint Germain
3.50
Cannes
3.00
Hettange-Grande
3.00
Aigles d'Or de Mana
3.00
Le Mans
2.80
Le Puy Foot
2.75
Bastia
2.75
Lorient
2.75
Guingamp
2.67
Martigues
2.67
Boulogne
2.67
Bourgoin-Jallieu
2.60
Dives-Cabourg
2.60
Olympique d'Alès
2.50
Nantes
2.50
Thaon
2.50
Marseille
2.50
Monaco
2.50
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.33
Grenoble
2.33
Union Saint-Jean
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
Dijon
2.33
La Roche VF
2.33
SA Mérignac
2.33
Annecy
2.25
Valenciennes
2.25
TA Rennes
2.00
Vierzon FC
2.00
Mâcon
2.00
PAU
2.00
Istres
2.00
Epinal
2.00
Lyon
2.00
Angers
2.00
Stade Beaucairois
2.00
Bobigny
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Sablé
2.00
Rennes
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Grandvillars
2.00
Aubervilliers
2.00
Jura Sud Foot
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
Strasbourg
2.00
Orleans
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Versailles
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
Chaumont
2.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
2.00
Colmar
2.00
Estac Troyes
1.80
Stade Brestois 29
1.75
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1.75
Sochaux
1.75
Haguenau
1.75
Dunkerque
1.71
Amiens
1.67
Chasselay MDA
1.67
Clermont Foot
1.67
Bordeaux
1.67
RC Saint Joseph
1.67
Marmande
1.67
Drancy
1.67
Lunéville
1.50
Calais Beau-Marais
1.50
Beauvais
1.50
Monnaie
1.50
Quevilly
1.50
Rouen
1.50
Dragon
1.50
La Roche sur Yon
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Corte
1.33
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
1.33
Hauts Lyonnais
1.33
RC Calais
1.33
Metz
1.33
Saint-Denis
1.33
Tours
1.33
Stade Briochin
1.17
Reims
1.17
Lille
1.00
OCPAM
1.00
Rumilly Vallières
1.00
Saint-Malo
1.00
Saint-Brieuc
1.00
Saint-Pierroise
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Agde
1.00
Saint-Omer
1.00
Haubourdin
1.00
Montagnarde
1.00
Nice
1.00
AC Paris 15
1.00
Chambéry
1.00
Dinan Léhon
1.00
Les Herbiers
1.00
Villefranche
1.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1.00
Bayonne
1.00
Pays de Cassel
1.00
Vannes
1.00
Saint-Pierre Milizac
1.00
Ajaccio
1.00
Les Ulis
1.00
Gallia Lucciana
1.00
Maladrerie
1.00
Vendée Fontenay
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Jeunesse Evolution
1.00
Canet Roussillon
1.00
Cesson
1.00
Lens
1.00
Ginglin Cesson
1.00
Foron
1.00
Linas-Montlhery
1.00
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Saint-Lô Manche
1.00
Anduzien
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Bolbec
1.00
Gueugnon
1.00
Etoile Matoury
1.00
Fief-Gesté
1.00
Samaritaine
1.00
Vesoul
1.00
Laval
0.75
Toulouse
0.67
Valence FC
0.50
Couzeix-Chaptelat
0.50
Olympique de Valence
0.50
Cluses-Scionzier
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Le Touquet
0.50
Noyelles sous Lens
0.50
Raon l'Etape
0.50
Saint Etienne
0.00
Freyming
0.00
St-Philbert Réorthe JA
0.00
Arras
0.00
Serquigny Nassandres
0.00
Liancourt Clermont
0.00
Arles
0.00
Boulay
0.00
Thouars
0.00
Houilles
0.00
Saumur
0.00
Comtal
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
C' Chartres
0.00
Brétigny Foot
0.00
Guéreins Genouilleux
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
Grau-du-Roi
0.00
USSA Vertou
0.00
Niort
0.00
Illkirch Graffenstaden
0.00
Marignane
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Alençon
0.00
Avenir Mourenxois
0.00
Mérignac-Arlac
0.00
Raismes
0.00
Sauveteurs Brivois
0.00
St-Just St-Rambert
0.00
Jura Dolois
0.00
Feytiat
0.00
Olympique Cazaux
0.00
Nousseviller
0.00
Montferrand
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Crépy-en-Valois
0.00
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Valdahon Vercel
0.00
Sarre Union
0.00
Diables Noirs
0.00
Paimpol
0.00
Ruffiac Malestroit
0.00
Cannet Rocheville
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Allobroges Asafia
0.00
Vitré
0.00
ETC Anstaing Chéreng
0.00
Labourse
0.00
FCSR Obernai
0.00
Blenod
0.00
Lempdes
0.00
Marboz
0.00
Bressuire
0.00
Bordeaux is 0.33 goals worse than Rennes in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Brétigny Foot
0.00
USSA Vertou
0.00
Crépy-en-Valois
0.00
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Jura Sud Foot
0.00
Vitré
0.00
Bastia
0.25
Hauts Lyonnais
0.33
Clermont Foot
0.33
SA Mérignac
0.33
Rumilly Vallières
0.50
Saint-Malo
0.50
Liancourt Clermont
0.50
Marseille
0.50
Le Puy Foot
0.50
Cluses-Scionzier
0.50
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
0.50
Rouen
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Orleans
0.50
Colmar
0.50
Lorient
0.50
Bourgoin-Jallieu
0.60
Estac Troyes
0.60
Lille
0.67
Feignies-Aulnoye
0.67
Corte
0.67
Thionville Lusitanos
0.67
Caen
0.67
La Roche VF
0.67
Annecy
0.75
Thaon
0.75
Sochaux
0.75
Le Mans
0.80
Paris Saint Germain
0.83
Amiens
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Arles
1.00
Saint-Omer
1.00
Montagnarde
1.00
Nice
1.00
Auxerre
1.00
Le Havre
1.00
Laval
1.00
Villefranche
1.00
Valence FC
1.00
Mâcon
1.00
Illkirch Graffenstaden
1.00
Marignane
1.00
Chantilly
1.00
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
1.00
Nantes
1.00
Saint-Pierre Milizac
1.00
Mérignac-Arlac
1.00
Sauveteurs Brivois
1.00
PAU
1.00
Gallia Lucciana
1.00
Jura Dolois
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Angers
1.00
Bobigny
1.00
Biars-Bretenoux
1.00
Concarneau
1.00
Diables Noirs
1.00
Lens
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Rennes
1.00
Linas-Montlhery
1.00
Quevilly
1.00
Aubervilliers
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Le Touquet
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Saint-Lô Manche
1.00
Metz
1.00
Raon l'Etape
1.00
Saint-Denis
1.00
Monaco
1.00
Blenod
1.00
Lempdes
1.00
Marboz
1.00
Toulouse
1.00
Dunkerque
1.14
Guingamp
1.17
Reims
1.17
Stade Brestois 29
1.25
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1.25
Haguenau
1.25
Grenoble
1.33
RC Calais
1.33
Martigues
1.33
Bordeaux
1.33
ASS Still Mutzig
1.33
Tours
1.33
Dives-Cabourg
1.40
Cannes
1.43
Stade Briochin
1.50
Chambéry
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Couzeix-Chaptelat
1.50
Olympique de Valence
1.50
Lyon
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
Valenciennes
1.50
Ginglin Cesson
1.50
Versailles
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Union Saint-Jean
1.67
Chasselay MDA
1.67
Strasbourg
1.67
Drancy
1.67
OCPAM
2.00
Arras
2.00
Saint-Brieuc
2.00
TA Rennes
2.00
Saumur
2.00
Vierzon FC
2.00
Comtal
2.00
Grau-du-Roi
2.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
2.00
Pays de Cassel
2.00
Alençon
2.00
Vannes
2.00
Ajaccio
2.00
Calais Beau-Marais
2.00
Istres
2.00
Beauvais
2.00
Maladrerie
2.00
Vendée Fontenay
2.00
Sarre Union
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
La Roche sur Yon
2.00
Aigles d'Or de Mana
2.00
Ruffiac Malestroit
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Noyelles sous Lens
2.00
Rodez
2.00
Samaritaine
2.00
Bressuire
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
RC Saint Joseph
2.33
Dinan Léhon
2.50
Cesson
2.50
Etoile Matoury
2.50
Agde
3.00
Boulay
3.00
Thouars
3.00
Houilles
3.00
Hettange-Grande
3.00
AC Paris 15
3.00
Niort
3.00
Bayonne
3.00
Avenir Mourenxois
3.00
Les Ulis
3.00
Feytiat
3.00
Monnaie
3.00
Canet Roussillon
3.00
Nousseviller
3.00
Foron
3.00
Paimpol
3.00
Anduzien
3.00
Chaumont
3.00
Gueugnon
3.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
3.00
FCSR Obernai
3.00
Marmande
3.00
Fief-Gesté
3.00
Lunéville
3.50
Olympique d'Alès
3.50
Bolbec
3.50
Saint Etienne
4.00
Freyming
4.00
Saint-Pierroise
4.00
C' Chartres
4.00
Guéreins Genouilleux
4.00
Neuilly sur Marne
4.00
St-Just St-Rambert
4.00
Epinal
4.00
Jeunesse Evolution
4.00
Stade Beaucairois
4.00
Montferrand
4.00
Valdahon Vercel
4.00
Sablé
4.00
Grandvillars
4.00
Dragon
4.00
Cannet Rocheville
4.00
Montpellier
4.00
ETC Anstaing Chéreng
4.00
Labourse
4.00
Serquigny Nassandres
5.00
Raismes
5.00
Allobroges Asafia
5.00
Roubaix
5.00
St-Philbert Réorthe JA
6.00
Olympique Cazaux
6.00
Vesoul
6.00
Haubourdin
7.00
Bordeaux is 0.33 goals worse than Rennes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
76%
Cannes
61%
Reims
32%
Dunkerque
24%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bordeaux
For 5.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.5 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rennes
For 6.1 · Against 2.8 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bordeaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.9
3.3
3.6
3.1
27.4
28.6
26.1
vs Stronger (11)
11.9
12.2
11.6
4.3
5.0
3.4
26.8
31.0
22.6
vs Similar (38)
9.7
10.1
9.3
3.1
3.1
3.2
27.5
27.9
27.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
56%
60%
52%
42%
44%
40%
85%
95%
76%
% under line
44%
40%
48%
58%
56%
60%
15%
5%
24%
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.5
4.6
4.7
4.4
26.3
26.0
26.6
vs Stronger (3)
7.3
8.0
7.0
4.3
1.0
6.0
27.0
27.0
27.0
vs Similar (34)
9.4
10.3
8.5
4.5
4.8
4.3
27.1
26.9
27.3
vs Weaker (13)
8.5
8.1
9.0
4.7
5.1
4.2
24.0
23.7
24.3
% over line
38%
44%
32%
70%
72%
68%
78%
76%
80%
% under line
62%
56%
68%
30%
28%
32%
22%
24%
20%
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RED Star FC 93
11.4
Martigues
11.4
Rodez
10.6
Saint Etienne
10.5
Paris Saint Germain
10.5
Nantes
10.2
Auxerre
10.0
Caen
10.0
Lorient
10.0
Bordeaux
9.9
Clermont Foot
9.9
Reims
9.8
Lyon
9.7
Guingamp
9.7
Nancy
9.7
Bastia
9.7
Laval
9.6
Angers
9.6
Dunkerque
9.5
Monaco
9.5
Paris FC
9.5
Annecy
9.4
Dijon
9.4
Grenoble
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Toulouse
9.3
Marseille
9.3
Estac Troyes
9.3
Nice
9.3
Sochaux
9.3
Metz
9.3
PAU
9.2
Tours
9.2
Rennes
9.1
Orleans
9.0
Amiens
9.0
Quevilly
8.9
Rouen
8.9
Lille
8.8
Lens
8.8
Le Havre
8.7
Niort
8.6
Strasbourg
8.5
Valenciennes
8.5
Concarneau
8.4
Stade Brestois 29
7.8
Le Mans
7.7
Ajaccio
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Montpellier
5.0
Monaco
5.0
Lille
5.0
Lens
4.9
Bastia
4.9
Stade Brestois 29
4.7
Toulouse
4.6
Rennes
4.6
Marseille
4.6
Nice
4.4
Lorient
4.4
Le Havre
4.4
Lyon
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.3
Sochaux
4.3
Bordeaux
4.3
PAU
4.2
Le Mans
4.2
Valenciennes
4.1
Estac Troyes
4.1
Nantes
4.1
Martigues
4.1
Angers
4.0
Laval
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Strasbourg
4.0
Tours
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Paris Saint Germain
3.9
Reims
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Ajaccio
3.8
Auxerre
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Orleans
3.8
Metz
3.7
Caen
3.7
Guingamp
3.7
Concarneau
3.6
Paris FC
3.6
Nancy
3.6
Rodez
3.6
Quevilly
3.5
RED Star FC 93
3.4
Grenoble
3.4
Rouen
3.4
Niort
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
30.2
Nancy
29.3
Valenciennes
29.2
Caen
28.2
Ajaccio
28.0
Laval
28.0
Amiens
27.6
Toulouse
27.6
Quevilly
27.5
Niort
27.5
Bordeaux
27.3
Rouen
27.2
Montpellier
27.1
Dijon
27.0
Bastia
27.0
Monaco
27.0
Orleans
26.9
Concarneau
26.9
Guingamp
26.9
Saint Etienne
26.9
Annecy
26.7
Estac Troyes
26.3
Rennes
26.3
Strasbourg
26.1
PAU
26.0
Sochaux
26.0
Lens
26.0
Stade Brestois 29
25.7
Dunkerque
25.4
Lille
25.4
Paris FC
25.1
Lorient
25.0
Metz
24.9
Marseille
24.8
Clermont Foot
24.3
Martigues
24.2
Rodez
24.0
RED Star FC 93
23.8
Nantes
23.7
Angers
23.7
Le Havre
23.7
Reims
23.6
Lyon
23.6
Grenoble
23.6
Nice
23.2
Auxerre
23.1
Paris Saint Germain
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.6%
Under 21.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bordeaux or Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
11%
20%
69%
covers Bordeaux + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux or Rennes✓ Hit
80.2%
Avg Implied -
11%
20%
69%
covers Bordeaux + Rennes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rennes✓ Hit
89.0%
Avg Implied -
11%
20%
69%
covers Draw + Rennes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.2%
Under
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
65.3%
Under
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
38.5%
Under
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bordeaux, so a minus line means Bordeaux give that many goals of a start and Rennes receive them. At -1, Bordeaux must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bordeaux win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bordeaux)Actual: Rennes
Bordeaux -2
0.8%
Draw -2
2.7%
Rennes +2
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bordeaux)Actual: Rennes
Bordeaux -1
3.4%
Draw -1
7.6%
Rennes +1
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bordeaux)Actual: Rennes
Bordeaux +1
30.9%
Draw +1
22.9%
Rennes -1
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bordeaux)Actual: Rennes
Bordeaux +2
53.7%
Draw +2
21.0%
Rennes -2
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bordeaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.87
0.47
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.56
0.60
0.60
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.80
1.00
0.40
0.50
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.53
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.90
0.80
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.20
0.00
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bordeaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.80
0.27
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.78
0.60
0.20
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.55
0.90
0.30
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
1.07
0.67
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.55
1.15
0.80
0.90
0.30
1.40
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.25
1.60
0.20
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bordeaux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bordeaux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bordeaux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bordeaux · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik24%
Zuriko Davitashvili22%
Alberth Elis21%
Pedro Díaz18%
Yoann Barbet17%
Jérémy Livolant13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Julien Vetro8%
Alexi Pitu4%
Vital Nsimba4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Aliou Badji0%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Danylo Ignatenko33%
Nfansu Njie25%
Clément Michelin23%
Aliou Badji17%
Alexi Pitu16%
Stian Gregersen15%
Malcom Bokele15%
Marvin de Lima13%
Jacques Ekomie13%
Issouf Sissokho13%
Emmanuel Biumla12%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Jean Marcelin12%
Yohan Cassubie12%
Vital Nsimba12%
Yoann Barbet11%
Alberth Elis11%
Zuriko Davitashvili8%
Jérémy Livolant8%
Pedro Díaz5%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Julien Vetro0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Mathys Angely0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Gaetan Weissbeck12%
Mathias De Amorim11%
Jérémy Livolant11%
Pedro Díaz11%
Aliou Badji8%
Žan Vipotnik8%
Alexi Pitu8%
Julien Vetro8%
Alberth Elis5%
Vital Nsimba4%
Malcom Bokele4%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Clément Michelin3%
Issouf Sissokho3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Yoann Barbet0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik24%
Gaetan Weissbeck21%
Zuriko Davitashvili19%
Pedro Díaz13%
Alberth Elis11%
Aliou Badji8%
Vital Nsimba8%
Jérémy Livolant5%
Danylo Ignatenko3%
Yoann Barbet3%
Karl-Johan Johnsson0%
Jean Marcelin0%
Clément Michelin0%
Rafał Strączek0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Stian Gregersen0%
Malcom Bokele0%
Yohan Cassubie0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Julien Vetro0%
Jacques Ekomie0%
Mathias De Amorim0%
Marvin de Lima0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Mathys Angely0%
Rennes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arnaud Kalimuendo41%
Henrik Wendel Meister25%
Ludovic Blas19%
Andrés Gómez16%
Ismael Koné15%
Mohamed Meïté15%
Amine Gouiri15%
Mahamadou Nagida14%
Lorenz Assignon12%
Albert Grønbæk11%
Jota10%
Mousa Al-Taamari9%
Adrien Truffert9%
Lilian Brassier7%
Djaoui Cissé7%
Seko Fofana6%
Leo Østigård6%
Jordan James4%
Azor Matusiwa3%
Glen Kamara0%
Steve Mandanda0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Brice Samba0%
Hans Hateboer0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Kazeem Olaigbe0%
Alidu Seidu0%
Mikayil Faye0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alidu Seidu36%
Christopher Wooh33%
Djaoui Cissé29%
Anthony Rouault27%
Lorenz Assignon26%
Leo Østigård22%
Jordan James20%
Ludovic Blas19%
Seko Fofana18%
Brice Samba17%
Hans Hateboer14%
Amine Gouiri10%
Azor Matusiwa10%
Mousa Al-Taamari9%
Baptiste Santamaria9%
Adrien Truffert9%
Mikayil Faye8%
Ismael Koné8%
Lilian Brassier7%
Mahamadou Nagida7%
Arnaud Kalimuendo6%
Albert Grønbæk6%
Andrés Gómez5%
Jota0%
Glen Kamara0%
Steve Mandanda0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Kazeem Olaigbe0%
Henrik Wendel Meister0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Mohamed Meïté0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ludovic Blas23%
Kazeem Olaigbe20%
Lorenz Assignon15%
Jota10%
Amine Gouiri10%
Azor Matusiwa10%
Baptiste Santamaria9%
Jérémy Jacquet9%
Glen Kamara8%
Ismael Koné8%
Lilian Brassier7%
Seko Fofana6%
Arnaud Kalimuendo6%
Adrien Truffert6%
Albert Grønbæk6%
Jordan James4%
Steve Mandanda0%
Mousa Al-Taamari0%
Leo Østigård0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Brice Samba0%
Hans Hateboer0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Alidu Seidu0%
Mikayil Faye0%
Henrik Wendel Meister0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Andrés Gómez0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Mohamed Meïté0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arnaud Kalimuendo21%
Ludovic Blas16%
Amine Gouiri15%
Seko Fofana12%
Mousa Al-Taamari9%
Mohamed Meïté8%
Adrien Truffert3%
Jota0%
Glen Kamara0%
Steve Mandanda0%
Leo Østigård0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Brice Samba0%
Hans Hateboer0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Azor Matusiwa0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Kazeem Olaigbe0%
Lorenz Assignon0%
Alidu Seidu0%
Mikayil Faye0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Ismael Koné0%
Jordan James0%
Henrik Wendel Meister0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Andrés Gómez0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Monaco
Nice
Lille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Auxerre
Nantes
Angers
Reims
Le Havre
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
Metz