Boreham Wood vs Altrincham Result & Analysis

Boreham Wood’s recent three-game winning streak and their strong home form - averaging two goals scored and only 0.75 conceded against weaker opponents - make them the clear favourite. The model reflects this with a 71% chance of a home win, 20% for a draw and 9% for an away win, and picks a 2-0 victory as the most likely result. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderately high-scoring match, yet the most probable total is two goals, with a 24% chance. Boreham Wood’s home attack and defence are well matched against Altrincham’s away numbers: the away side averages 1.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded against stronger teams, suggesting they will struggle to breach the home side’s defence. The model’s selections include a 95.3% chance of under 5.5 cards, 88.1% under 4.5 cards, 78.7% over 1.5 goals, 74.2% under 3.5 cards, and a 70.8% probability of a home win, with a 9% edge over the market.

Boreham Wood extended their three-game winning run at home, while Altrincham were still on a two-game winning streak away. The model’s favourite, a home win at 70.8%, proved correct as Boreham Wood secured a 2-0 victory. The pre-match probability of a home win was 71%. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 95.3%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 88.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 78.7%, Under 3.5 cards hit at 74.2%, and the home win hit at 70.8%. All outcomes matched the final score of 2-0, confirming the model’s predictions.