PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Boreham Wood vs Solihull Result & Analysis

Date: 15/05/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood
Vs
30%
30%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Solihull
Solihull
England: National League
Referee: J Durkin
Match preview & prediction

The match is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 40%. Home and away win probabilities both sit at 30%, leaving a draw also at 30%. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Boreham Wood, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.62 conceded, while Solihull, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 82.3%, Under 3.5 at 78.5%, and Over 2.5 cards at 72.3%. The final score of 0-3 confirmed the away win, but the prediction remains balanced and uncertain.

Results analysis

The match finished 0-3 in favour of Solihull, extending their winless streak and confirming the model’s favourite of an away win with a 40% probability. The prediction that the game would end 0-3 was spot on, as the final score matched the model’s pick. Boreham Wood’s home form, a three-game winning run, was not enough against Solihull’s away form, which had suffered five consecutive defeats. The model’s suggested selections performed well: Under 5.5 cards hit at 82.3%, Under 3.5 hit at 78.5%, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 72.3%. Overall, the model’s call and selections proved accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boreham Wood win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.38
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.56
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Solihull win✓ Hit
39.7%
Avg Implied 46.6% · @ 1.99
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Boreham WoodBoreham Wood

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L12L02L20W01L21W11D22D01LA·DAG05/04A·ALD09/04H·DOV15/04A·WEA18/04H·BRO23/04A·SOU26/04A·STO30/04H·WRE02/05A·YEO07/05A·GRI10/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.871.270.530.731.20
vs Stronger (3)1.672.001.001.002.002.50
vs Similar (12)0.670.581.330.330.000.83
vs Weaker (15)1.130.871.250.621.001.14
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolihullSolihull

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W31W00D20W11D01L21W42W30W31WA·WOK26/03H·MAI02/04A·HAL05/04A·BAR09/04A·WRE15/04A·STO18/04H·ALD23/04A·WEY30/04H·BRO02/05H·DAG07/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.972.471.001.530.93
vs Stronger (16)1.811.062.001.141.671.00
vs Similar (14)2.210.862.880.881.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 1.77-10.5%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.97+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
Boreham Wood goals ↓
Solihull goals →
01234
011%11%7.7%3.3%1.1%
18.9%14%8.4%3.6%1.1%
25.5%7.1%4.5%1.9%0.6%
32.0%2.6%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Boreham Wood goals (down), columns = Solihull goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stockport
2.14
Wrexham
2.00
Solihull
1.98
Halifax
1.91
Notts County
1.86
Grimsby
1.75
Chesterfield
1.68
Dag and Red
1.66
Bromley
1.52
Boreham Wood
1.52
Torquay
1.50
Yeovil
1.34
Southend
1.32
Altrincham
1.25
Woking
1.20
Wealdstone
1.20
Maidenhead
1.16
Barnet
1.14
Eastleigh
1.05
Aldershot
0.98
King’s Lynn
0.77
Weymouth
0.64
Dover Athletic
0.30
Boreham Wood is 0.45 points worse than Solihull in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.98).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wrexham
2.07
Stockport
1.98
Solihull
1.89
Notts County
1.84
Dag and Red
1.82
Chesterfield
1.57
Grimsby
1.55
Torquay
1.50
Halifax
1.41
Altrincham
1.41
Bromley
1.39
Woking
1.34
Barnet
1.34
Eastleigh
1.18
Wealdstone
1.16
Boreham Wood
1.11
Maidenhead
1.09
King’s Lynn
1.07
Aldershot
1.05
Southend
1.02
Yeovil
0.98
Weymouth
0.91
Dover Athletic
0.84
Boreham Wood is 0.77 goals worse than Solihull in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Halifax
0.80
Stockport
0.86
Boreham Wood
0.91
Solihull
1.02
Grimsby
1.05
Wrexham
1.05
Yeovil
1.05
Chesterfield
1.16
Notts County
1.18
Bromley
1.20
Dag and Red
1.20
Torquay
1.23
Woking
1.39
Southend
1.39
Wealdstone
1.48
Maidenhead
1.52
Altrincham
1.57
Aldershot
1.66
Eastleigh
1.68
King’s Lynn
1.80
Weymouth
2.00
Barnet
2.02
Dover Athletic
2.30
Boreham Wood is 0.11 goals better than Solihull in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.02).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Boreham WoodBoreham Wood

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L12L01L10W00D10W00D20W01LA·DAG05/04A·ALD09/04H·DOV15/04A·WEA18/04H·BRO23/04A·SOU26/04A·STO30/04H·WRE02/05A·YEO07/05A·GRI10/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.530.330.470.47
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (12)0.250.420.500.170.000.67
vs Weaker (15)0.670.400.620.500.710.29
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolihullSolihull

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D10W00D00D10W20W10W30WA·WOK26/03H·MAI02/04A·HAL05/04A·BAR09/04A·WRE15/04A·STO18/04H·ALD23/04A·WEY30/04H·BRO02/05H·DAG07/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.431.470.400.600.47
vs Stronger (16)0.810.501.140.430.560.56
vs Similar (14)1.290.361.750.380.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Boreham Wood over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solihull over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solihull over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solihull over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Boreham WoodBoreham Wood

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D01L10W01L11D11D02L00DA·DAG05/04A·ALD09/04H·DOV15/04A·WEA18/04H·BRO23/04A·SOU26/04A·STO30/04H·WRE02/05A·YEO07/05A·GRI10/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.730.200.270.73
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.420.170.830.170.000.17
vs Weaker (15)0.470.470.620.120.290.86
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SolihullSolihull

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D10W11D01L11D22D20W01LA·WOK26/03H·MAI02/04A·HAL05/04A·BAR09/04A·WRE15/04A·STO18/04H·ALD23/04A·WEY30/04H·BRO02/05H·DAG07/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.000.600.930.47
vs Stronger (16)1.000.560.860.711.110.44
vs Similar (14)0.930.501.120.500.670.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Boreham Wood over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boreham Wood over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solihull over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solihull over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Solihull over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (32)
€77m
STO (25)
€10m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€15m
STO (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
GRI (8)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
STO (6)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
STO (11)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
EAS (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BW wins
1
Draws
2
SOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Boreham Wood vs Solihull · H/A from BW
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/21ASolihull Vs BW3-1
27/02/21HBW Vs Solihull2-2
17/10/20ASolihull Vs BW1-0

Boreham WoodBoreham Wood

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/22AGrimsby Vs BW1-0
07/05/22AYeovil Vs BW2-2
02/05/22HBW Vs Wrexham1-1
30/04/22AStockport Vs BW1-2
26/04/22ASouthend Vs BW1-0
23/04/22HBW Vs Bromley2-0
18/04/22AWealdstone Vs BW2-0
15/04/22HBW Vs Dover Athletic1-2
09/04/22AAldershot Vs BW2-1
05/04/22ADag and Red Vs BW0-0

SolihullSolihull

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/22HSOL Vs Dag and Red3-1
02/05/22HSOL Vs Bromley3-0
30/04/22AWeymouth Vs SOL2-4
23/04/22HSOL Vs Aldershot2-1
18/04/22AStockport Vs SOL1-0
15/04/22AWrexham Vs SOL1-1
09/04/22ABarnet Vs SOL0-2
05/04/22AHalifax Vs SOL0-0
02/04/22HSOL Vs Maidenhead3-1
26/03/22AWoking Vs SOL2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood
England: National League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.52
HomeDLLWD1.76
AwayLLWDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.222.322.12
Over 1.5 %62%68%56%
Over 2.5 %34%36%32%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.221.441.00
Conceded1.000.881.12
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet40%48%32%
Corners---
Cards3.122.963.28
Solihull
Solihull
England: National League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW2.06
HomeWWWWW2.30
AwayDWDLW1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%70%48%
AVG goals2.903.262.48
Over 1.5 %78%85%70%
Over 2.5 %54%63%43%
Over 3.5 %34%41%26%
Scored1.922.301.48
Conceded0.980.961.00
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet40%41%39%
Corners---
Cards3.323.193.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StockportStockport4494
68%
2.1
8738+49
2.8
75%
61%
25%
-
0%
3.6
50%
-
0%
10
3342.00.9
-
2WrexhamWrexham4488
59%
2.0
9146+45
3.1
80%
52%
34%
-
0%
3.2
39%
-
0%
77
1523392.11.0
-
3SolihullSolihull4487
57%
2.0
8345+38
2.9
77%
55%
34%
-
0%
3.3
41%
-
0%
0
0001.91.0
-
4HalifaxHalifax4484
57%
1.9
6235+27
2.2
66%
34%
20%
-
0%
3.3
45%
-
0%
0
0001.40.8
-
5Notts CountyNotts County4482
55%
1.9
8152+29
3.0
82%
52%
34%
-
0%
4.3
61%
-
0%
6
2221.81.2
-
6GrimsbyGrimsby4477
52%
1.8
6846+22
2.6
64%
48%
30%
-
0%
3.0
45%
-
0%
4
1021.51.0
-
7ChesterfieldChesterfield4474
45%
1.7
6951+18
2.7
75%
45%
39%
-
0%
3.7
45%
-
0%
6
3121.61.2
-
8
DA
Dag and Red
4473
50%
1.7
8053+27
3.0
80%
61%
32%
-
0%
2.9
41%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood4467
41%
1.5
4940+9
2.0
61%
30%
16%
-
0%
3.1
32%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
10BromleyBromley4467
41%
1.5
6153+8
2.6
75%
43%
27%
-
0%
3.4
48%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
11
T
Torquay
4466
41%
1.5
6654+12
2.7
80%
55%
30%
-
0%
3.4
50%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12YeovilYeovil4459
34%
1.3
4346-3
2.0
70%
39%
7%
-
0%
4.3
66%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
13SouthendSouthend4458
36%
1.3
4561-16
2.4
68%
41%
23%
-
0%
3.7
48%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
14AltrinchamAltrincham4455
34%
1.2
6269-7
3.0
80%
52%
39%
-
0%
3.3
41%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
15WokingWoking4453
36%
1.2
5961-2
2.7
73%
48%
32%
-
0%
4.3
57%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
16WealdstoneWealdstone4453
32%
1.2
5165-14
2.6
70%
52%
30%
-
0%
3.4
48%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
17
M
Maidenhead
4451
30%
1.2
4867-19
2.6
73%
45%
32%
-
0%
3.2
32%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
18BarnetBarnet4450
30%
1.1
5989-30
3.4
84%
64%
41%
-
0%
3.5
48%
-
0%
4
0131.32.0
-
19EastleighEastleigh4446
27%
1.0
5274-22
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
3.9
59%
-
0%
1
0001.21.7
-
20AldershotAldershot4443
25%
1.0
4673-27
2.7
77%
52%
32%
-
0%
4.2
61%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
21
KL
King’s Lynn
4434
18%
0.8
4779-32
2.9
70%
52%
32%
-
0%
3.4
45%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
22
W
Weymouth
4428
14%
0.6
4088-48
2.9
80%
50%
32%
-
0%
2.7
41%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
23
DA
Dover Athletic
4413
5%
0.3
37101-64
3.1
73%
59%
39%
-
0%
3.2
48%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
England: National League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches