Boulogne and Dijon face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring an away win at 37%. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.1% chance. Boulogne, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Dijon, on the road, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded versus similar opposition. The probabilities for the match result are 33% home win, 30% draw, and 37% away win. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4% with a 2% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with a 1% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.6%), and Over 19.5 fouls (95.9%). Boulogne are coming off a draw, while Dijon return after a defeat.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Boulogne win
35.1%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.64
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.77
Dafabet
2.75
Betano
2.72
10Bet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Draw
29.6%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.09
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Pinnacle
3.17
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Dijon win
35.3%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.69
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.83
Betano
2.77
Dafabet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
10Bet
2.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Boulogne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.40
1.29
1.86
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
1.64
1.60
3.20
0.50
0.33
vs Similar (19)
1.00
1.26
1.11
1.11
0.90
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.23
0.92
1.00
1.28
1.39
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.31
0.67
1.17
0.57
1.43
vs Similar (16)
1.38
1.12
1.17
0.83
1.50
1.30
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
2.00
-
-
4.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.4%
@ 1.42+6.3%
Under 1.5
27.6%
@ 2.78-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Betano
2.87
Pinnacle
2.85
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.30+4.7%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.58-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.32
Under
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.1%
@ 4.36+2.7%
Under 3.5
75.9%
@ 1.19-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.70
Superbet
4.55
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Both teams to score
Yes
52.1%
@ 1.94+4.2%
No
47.9%
@ 1.78-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
No
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 5.74+6.4%
0-0
9.5%@ 7.43+3.6%
0-1
9.0%@ 6.83+2.5%
1-0
9.0%@ 6.76+2.4%
1-2
8.0%@ 9.62+3.4%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.65+3.4%
0-2
6.4%@ 11.45+2.6%
2-0
6.4%@ 11.38+2.5%
Boulogne goals ↓
Dijon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
9.0%
6.4%
2.7%
0.8%
1
9.0%
14%
8.0%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.4%
8.0%
5.0%
2.1%
0.6%
3
2.7%
3.3%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Boulogne goals (down), columns = Dijon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Boulogne is 0.01 points worse than Dijon in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Boulogne is 0.06 goals better than Dijon in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Boulogne is 0.11 goals better than Dijon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Boulogne
For 2.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dijon
For 3.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Boulogne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
8.5
7.9
9.1
3.9
3.8
4.0
28.3
27.2
29.4
vs Stronger (14)
8.2
7.3
8.9
4.1
4.3
3.9
28.2
25.8
30.1
vs Similar (31)
8.7
8.1
9.3
4.0
3.6
4.3
28.4
27.7
29.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
36%
29%
43%
61%
57%
65%
90%
86%
95%
% under line
64%
71%
57%
39%
43%
35%
10%
14%
5%
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.8
7.6
0.4
0.3
0.5
24.1
23.2
24.8
vs Stronger (19)
6.8
7.0
6.5
0.6
0.4
0.8
29.5
27.0
32.0
vs Similar (30)
10.0
12.5
8.3
0.3
0.2
0.4
19.8
19.5
20.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
20%
4%
0%
7%
56%
50%
60%
% under line
67%
50%
80%
96%
100%
93%
44%
50%
40%
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Metz
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
PAU
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.2
Nantes
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.6
Annecy
8.6
Boulogne
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
Nantes
4.4
Boulogne
4.4
PAU
4.4
Sochaux
4.2
Annecy
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Reims
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Laval
4.0
Nancy
4.0
RED Star FC 93
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Metz
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Dijon
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Boulogne
28.3
Laval
28.3
Annecy
28.3
Guingamp
27.6
Dijon
27.6
Clermont Foot
26.7
Nantes
26.7
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Saint Etienne
26.3
Sochaux
26.1
Dunkerque
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.6
Reims
24.6
Metz
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
29.4%
@ 2.78-3.6%
Under 9.5
70.6%
@ 1.37+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.20
Unibet
2.80
Superbet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.32
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.1%
Under 3.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.7%
Under 21.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Boulogne or Draw
64.7%
Avg Implied 65.1% · @ 1.43
Edge
-0.4%
35%
30%
35%
covers Boulogne + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Boulogne or Dijon
70.4%
Avg Implied 70.0% · @ 1.33
Edge
+0.4%
35%
30%
35%
covers Boulogne + Dijon
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Betano
1.35
Draw or Dijon
64.9%
Avg Implied 64.9% · @ 1.44
Edge
-0.0%
35%
30%
35%
covers Draw + Dijon
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Boulogne over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
@ 1.37+3.7%
Under
28.8%
@ 2.85-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Boulogne over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
@ 2.83+2.4%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.39-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Boulogne over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
@ 7.03-0.2%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.20
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Boulogne over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 17.33-1.7%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Dijon over/under 0.5
Over
71.3%
@ 1.38+4.1%
Under
28.7%
@ 2.83-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
Marathonbet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.85
Dijon over/under 1.5
Over
35.5%
@ 2.85+2.9%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.38-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.08
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.82
Under
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Dijon over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
@ 7.12+0.1%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.07-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.20
Superbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Dijon over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 17.42-1.7%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Boulogne, so a minus line means Boulogne give that many goals of a start and Dijon receive them. At -1, Boulogne must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Boulogne win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Boulogne)
Boulogne -2
5.3%
@ 15.00-0.8%
Draw -2
10.4%
@ 7.93-1.1%
Dijon +2
84.3%
@ 1.11+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Away
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Boulogne)
Boulogne -1
15.7%
@ 5.66-0.1%
Draw -1
19.4%
@ 4.11-2.5%
Dijon +1
64.9%
@ 1.44+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
5.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Away
Marathonbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Boulogne)
Boulogne +1
64.7%
@ 1.44+2.6%
Draw +1
19.4%
@ 4.05-2.6%
Dijon -1
15.9%
@ 5.62-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.55
Unibet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Handicap +2 (Boulogne)
Boulogne +2
84.1%
@ 1.11+3.7%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 7.04-2.2%
Dijon -2
5.4%
@ 13.05-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.20
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Marathonbet
7.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Boulogne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.67
0.43
0.93
0.12
0.44
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.73
1.00
1.60
0.33
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.05
0.63
0.11
0.56
0.00
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.50
0.42
0.33
0.22
0.61
vs Stronger (13)
0.08
0.54
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.6%
@ 1.48+3.7%
Under 0.5
33.4%
@ 2.51-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Under
William Hil
2.60
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.2%
@ 3.29-0.1%
Under 1.5
71.8%
@ 1.30+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
Under
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 8.83-0.0%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.04+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.20
Betfair
9.00
William Hil
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Boulogne over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.4%
@ 2.28+4.7%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.56-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Boulogne over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
@ 7.78-2.6%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Boulogne over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 30.00-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.9%
@ 2.30-2.4%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.55+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Dijon over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.7%
@ 7.76+0.8%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.05-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Dijon over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 30.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Boulogne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.86
0.93
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.91
0.60
1.60
0.17
0.33
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.63
1.00
0.56
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.50
0.67
1.06
0.78
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.77
0.50
0.83
0.57
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.69
0.50
0.50
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.6%
@ 1.31+5.4%
Under 0.5
23.4%
@ 3.23-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.1%
@ 2.45+4.2%
Under 1.5
57.9%
@ 1.49-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Unibet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.39
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 5.68-1.3%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.11+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.10
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Boulogne over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.2%
@ 1.91+1.7%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.79-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.93
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Boulogne over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.4%
@ 5.64-1.0%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.11+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.85
1xBet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Boulogne over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 16.33-3.0%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Dijon over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.5%
@ 1.92+4.3%
Under
47.5%
@ 1.78-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.93
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Dijon over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.0%
@ 5.71-1.2%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.10+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Dijon over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 16.42-2.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.8%
1.01
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+0.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
+0.0%
Under 4.5
89.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
-0.3%
Under 11.5 corners
88.2%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+5.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-0.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
87.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
+0.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-0.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+1.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.11
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
+1.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+1.0%
Away +2 handicap
84.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-
-
+1.9%
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-
+3.7%
Over 23.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
80.7%
1.21
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.18
-
+5.1%
Over 2.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.31
Superbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
+5.4%
Under 5.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.9%
1.19
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
-2.7%
Over 1.5
72.4%
1.42
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
+6.3%
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.30
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
+0.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.39
+4.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
71.2%
1.37
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
+3.7%
Under 9.5 corners
70.6%
1.37
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.32
+3.6%
Home or Away
70.4%
1.33
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Betano
1.35
+0.4%
Over 25.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Boulogne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abdel Hbouch25%
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Demba Thiam0%
Theo Epailly0%
Joffrey Bultel0%
Benjamin Besic0%
Théo Brusco0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Nolan Binet0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin Besic67%
Demba Thiam25%
Abdel Hbouch25%
Joffrey Bultel25%
Théo Brusco25%
Nolan Binet25%
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Theo Epailly0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Demba Thiam0%
Abdel Hbouch0%
Theo Epailly0%
Joffrey Bultel0%
Benjamin Besic0%
Théo Brusco0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Nolan Binet0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Abdel Hbouch50%
Benjamin Besic33%
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Demba Thiam0%
Theo Epailly0%
Joffrey Bultel0%
Théo Brusco0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Nolan Binet0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
Dijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordan Marié25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lenny Lacroix50%
Adel Lembezat25%
Paul Bellon25%
Brandon Ndezi25%
Tyris Dong25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Júlio Tavares25%
Paul Bellon25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Adel Lembezat0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Ntamack50%
Yanis Barka25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Boulogne's squad is €3m more valuable than Dijon's (€8m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Boulogne and Dijon have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Boulogne and Dijon have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Boulogne's defence is €2m more valuable than Dijon's (€3m vs €2m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Dunkerque
Guingamp
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Clermont Foot
Nantes