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Bravo vs Mura Result & Analysis

Date: 20/08/2022
Time: 15:30
Final 0-1
Bravo
Bravo
Vs
44%
30%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mura win✓ Hit
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L01L01LA·GOR18/07H·KOP24/07A·OLI31/07H·NK 06/08A·CEL12/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.000.500.500.001.33
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (4)0.251.000.500.500.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W02L11D43W00D33D11D22DA·SFÎ07/07H·SFÎ14/07A·OLI17/07A·ST 21/07H·NK 24/07H·ST 28/07A·CEL31/07A·RAD07/08H·TAB13/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.562.001.501.401.60
vs Stronger (2)1.502.50--1.502.50
vs Similar (7)1.711.292.001.501.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.9%
Under 1.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.4%
Under 2.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-1 ✓
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.7%
Bravo goals ↓
Mura goals →
01234
011%8.0%4.7%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.4%2.1%0.5%
28.8%8.8%4.4%1.5%0.4%
34.0%4.0%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = Mura goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Bravo is 0.44 points worse than Mura in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Bravo is 0.47 goals worse than Mura in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Bravo is 0.11 goals better than Mura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Bravo is 0.2 percentage points better than Mura in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BravoBravo

For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1403654425942996146A·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

4031121221341344A·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

310131215121811141712132527293125A·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MuraMura

For 6.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1604344669449838211578121313111016H·TABA·CELH·ST H·NK A·ST A·OLIH·SFÎA·SFÎ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

80212243441213347834H·TABA·CELH·ST H·NK A·OLIH·SFÎ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

2401210168121191522242324H·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (5)8.811.57.03.22.53.727.429.026.3
vs Stronger (1)9.0-9.04.0-4.025.0-25.0
vs Similar (4)8.811.56.03.02.53.528.029.027.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line20%50%0%60%50%67%100%100%100%
% under line80%50%100%40%50%33%0%0%0%
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (9)11.210.512.03.25.51.423.222.524.0
vs Stronger (2)9.5-9.53.5-3.524.0-24.0
vs Similar (7)11.810.514.53.15.50.022.522.5-
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line75%75%75%44%75%20%100%100%100%
% under line25%25%25%56%25%80%0%0%0%
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
10.3
Gorica
10.2
Koper
9.3
NK Domzale
9.0
Bravo
8.8
Celje
8.8
Maribor
8.7
Tabor Sežana
7.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.6
Koper
5.0
Mura
4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.8
Celje
4.5
Maribor
4.1
Tabor Sežana
3.4
Bravo
3.2
Gorica
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bravo
27.4
NK Domzale
27.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.8
Maribor
26.2
Celje
25.8
Koper
23.5
Mura
23.2
Gorica
22.5
Tabor Sežana
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.2%
Under 9.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.6%
Under 3.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.3%
Under 21.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W00D01L01LA·GOR18/07H·KOP24/07A·OLI31/07H·NK 06/08A·CEL12/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.600.500.500.000.67
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D10W13L00D20W01L01LA·SFÎ07/07H·SFÎ14/07A·OLI17/07A·ST 21/07H·NK 24/07H·ST 28/07A·CEL31/07A·RAD07/08H·TAB13/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.560.251.000.600.20
vs Stronger (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (7)0.290.710.251.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D01L00D00DA·GOR18/07H·KOP24/07A·OLI31/07H·NK 06/08A·CEL12/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.400.000.000.000.67
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (4)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W02L01L30W00D13L10W21WA·SFÎ07/07H·SFÎ14/07A·OLI17/07A·ST 21/07H·NK 24/07H·ST 28/07A·CEL31/07A·RAD07/08H·TAB13/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.001.750.500.801.40
vs Stronger (2)0.502.50--0.502.50
vs Similar (7)1.430.571.750.501.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.4%--------
Under 5.5 cards85.6%--------
Over 21.5 fouls84.3%--------
Under 3.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.3%--------
Over 23.5 fouls72.5%--------
Under 4.5 cards72.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
Bravo and Mura have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
Bravo and Mura have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
Bravo and Mura have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
Bravo and Mura have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BRA wins
0
Draws
0
MUR wins

Head-to-head

Bravo vs Mura · H/A from BRA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/22ACelje Vs BRA1-0
06/08/22HBRA Vs NK Domzale0-1
31/07/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA1-0
24/07/22HBRA Vs Koper1-0
18/07/22AGorica Vs BRA2-0

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/22HMUR Vs Tabor Sežana2-2
07/08/22ARadomlje Vs MUR1-1
31/07/22ACelje Vs MUR3-3
28/07/22HMUR Vs St Patrick's Athl.0-0
24/07/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale4-3
21/07/22ASt Patrick's Athl. Vs MUR1-1
17/07/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR2-0
14/07/22HMUR Vs Sfîntul Gheorghe2-1
07/07/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs MUR1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.60
HomeWL1.50
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%50%0%
AVG goals1.201.001.33
Over 1.5 %20%0%33%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.200.500.00
Conceded1.000.501.33
BTTS0%0%0%
Clean Sheet20%50%0%
Corners8.8011.507.00
Cards3.202.503.67
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDD1.56
HomeWWDD2.00
AwayWLDDD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%20%
AVG goals3.223.503.00
Over 1.5 %89%75%100%
Over 2.5 %56%75%40%
Over 3.5 %33%50%20%
Scored1.672.001.40
Conceded1.561.501.60
BTTS78%75%80%
Clean Sheet11%25%0%
Corners11.2510.5012.00
Cards4.835.503.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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