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Bravo vs Mura Result & Analysis

Date: 28/04/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 1-1
Bravo
Bravo
Vs
52%
27%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✗ Miss
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mura win✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D11D02L33D03L12L03L11D01LH·KOP22/02A·MUR02/03H·NAF08/03A·RAD11/03H·NK 16/03A·OLI30/03H·CEL06/04A·PRI10/04H·MAR13/04A·KOP19/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.401.131.271.67
vs Stronger (4)2.002.251.672.333.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.231.271.330.831.141.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D20W12L31W01L24L02L12L12LA·MAR22/02H·BRA02/03H·RAD08/03A·OLI12/03H·PRI15/03A·KOP29/03A·NAF05/04H·NK 10/04A·CEL13/04H·MAR21/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.401.131.001.071.80
vs Stronger (14)0.711.710.671.170.752.12
vs Similar (16)1.441.121.440.891.431.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.1%
Under 1.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
Bravo goals ↓
Mura goals →
01234
07.9%5.8%3.5%1.2%0.3%
110%13%5.9%2.0%0.5%
29.5%9.7%4.9%1.7%0.4%
35.3%5.4%2.7%0.9%0.2%
42.2%2.3%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = Mura goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Bravo is 0.56 points better than Mura in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 0.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Bravo is 0.42 goals better than Mura in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Bravo is 0.19 goals better than Mura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BravoBravo

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MuraMura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.714.04.00.30.30.224.325.522.0
vs Stronger (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (43)10.714.04.00.30.40.224.325.522.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line67%100%0%4%4%4%67%50%100%
% under line33%0%100%96%96%96%33%50%0%
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.711.50.40.40.518.816.722.0
vs Stronger (22)8.38.09.00.40.40.416.013.521.0
vs Similar (28)15.016.014.00.40.40.523.023.023.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%67%50%6%4%8%40%33%50%
% under line40%33%50%94%96%92%60%67%50%
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.6
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Celje
4.4
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.8%
Under 9.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.7%
Under 21.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L01L22D02L12L01L00D00DH·KOP22/02A·MUR02/03H·NAF08/03A·RAD11/03H·NK 16/03A·OLI30/03H·CEL06/04A·PRI10/04H·MAR13/04A·KOP19/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.730.670.870.87
vs Stronger (4)1.251.251.001.332.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.730.690.670.500.790.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D20W01L10W01L11D01L10W00DA·MAR22/02H·BRA02/03H·RAD08/03A·OLI12/03H·PRI15/03A·KOP29/03A·NAF05/04H·NK 10/04A·CEL13/04H·MAR21/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.670.470.530.53
vs Stronger (14)0.430.500.500.330.380.62
vs Similar (16)0.750.500.780.560.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W01L11D01L00D02L11D01LH·KOP22/02A·MUR02/03H·NAF08/03A·RAD11/03H·NK 16/03A·OLI30/03H·CEL06/04A·PRI10/04H·MAR13/04A·KOP19/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.670.470.400.80
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.671.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.500.580.670.330.360.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D11D21W00D13L01L02L12LA·MAR22/02H·BRA02/03H·RAD08/03A·OLI12/03H·PRI15/03A·KOP29/03A·NAF05/04H·NK 10/04A·CEL13/04H·MAR21/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.470.530.531.27
vs Stronger (14)0.291.210.170.830.381.50
vs Similar (16)0.690.620.670.330.711.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls79.8%--------
Under 5.5 cards78.9%--------
Over 1.576.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.8%--------
Over 8.5 corners75.0%--------
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Bravo and Mura have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Bravo and Mura have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Bravo and Mura have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Bravo and Mura have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
BRA wins
3
Draws
0
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bravo vs Mura · H/A from BRA
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25AMura Vs BRA1-1
03/11/24HBRA Vs Mura2-1
17/08/24AMura Vs BRA2-3
12/05/24HBRA Vs Mura1-1
13/03/24AMura Vs BRA1-2
03/12/23HBRA Vs Mura2-0
16/09/23AMura Vs BRA1-1
29/04/23AMura Vs BRA0-1

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25AKoper Vs BRA1-0
13/04/25HBRA Vs Maribor1-1
10/04/25APrimorje Vs BRA3-0
06/04/25HBRA Vs Celje1-2
30/03/25AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA3-0
16/03/25HBRA Vs NK Domzale3-3
11/03/25ARadomlje Vs BRA2-0
08/03/25HBRA Vs Nafta1-1
02/03/25AMura Vs BRA1-1
22/02/25HBRA Vs Koper2-1

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/25HMUR Vs Maribor1-2
13/04/25ACelje Vs MUR2-1
10/04/25HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-2
05/04/25ANafta Vs MUR4-2
29/03/25AKoper Vs MUR1-0
15/03/25HMUR Vs Primorje3-1
12/03/25AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR2-1
08/03/25HMUR Vs Radomlje2-0
02/03/25HMUR Vs Bravo1-1
22/02/25AMaribor Vs MUR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.38
HomeWDDLD1.38
AwayDLLLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%29%38%
AVG goals2.382.292.46
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.181.251.12
Conceded1.201.041.35
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners10.6714.004.00
Cards4.334.005.00
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.08
HomeDWWLL1.31
AwayLLLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%21%
AVG goals2.582.232.96
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.121.151.08
Conceded1.461.081.88
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners11.0010.6711.50
Cards4.203.335.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3674
58%
2.1
6320+43
2.3
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.80.6
-
2MariborMaribor3667
53%
1.9
6432+32
2.7
83%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.80.9
-
3KoperKoper3666
53%
1.8
6035+25
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.71.0
-
4CeljeCelje3661
47%
1.7
7651+25
3.5
81%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.11.4
-
5BravoBravo3655
39%
1.5
5244+8
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
6PrimorjePrimorje3643
31%
1.2
4161-20
2.8
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
7MuraMura3635
25%
1.0
3751-14
2.4
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.4
-
8RadomljeRadomlje3635
28%
1.0
3769-32
2.9
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.9
-
9NK DomzaleNK Domzale3832
21%
0.8
4070-30
2.9
74%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10NaftaNafta3628
17%
0.8
3369-36
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
11TriglavTriglav23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.5
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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