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Bravo vs NK Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: 19/02/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 0-2
Bravo
Bravo
Vs
37%
31%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale win✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W00D20W01L21W11D03L00D01L12LH·OLI09/10A·NK 14/10H·CEL24/10A·MUR02/11H·TAB06/11H·RAD12/11A·MAR29/11A·GOR06/12H·KOP10/12A·OLI11/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.950.951.400.700.551.18
vs Stronger (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.951.001.330.780.601.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D30W51W11D03L20W21W10W04LA·TAB08/10H·BRA14/10A·MAR22/10H·GOR28/10A·KOP04/11H·OLI12/11A·RAD30/11H·CEL07/12A·MUR12/12H·TAB12/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.481.331.451.551.501.10
vs Stronger (9)1.331.561.001.601.751.50
vs Similar (12)1.581.171.831.501.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2 ✓
6.0%
Bravo goals ↓
NK Domzale goals →
01234
011%9.6%6.0%2.2%0.6%
111%15%7.2%2.6%0.7%
27.3%8.0%4.3%1.6%0.4%
33.0%3.2%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = NK Domzale goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Bravo is 0.44 points worse than NK Domzale in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Bravo is 0.47 goals worse than NK Domzale in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Bravo is 0.03 goals better than NK Domzale in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Bravo is 2.8 percentage points better than NK Domzale in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BravoBravo

For 4.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

140345555714536544259427101089996146A·OLIH·KOPA·GORA·MARH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

80351131223112122138242241344A·OLIH·KOPA·GORA·MARH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

330151691215181488101312151218111417121331213322182527293125A·OLIH·KOPA·GORA·MARH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 3.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

15010523549136245454924155994899136H·TABA·MURH·CELH·OLIA·KOPH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

8031221651321511544434476561687H·TABA·MURH·CELH·OLIA·KOPH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 14.7 · Total 26.7

⚠️ Fouls

340101210111115171412199251215815111220922212631313427232329H·TABA·MURH·CELH·OLIA·KOPH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (21)8.810.57.71.60.92.326.224.227.5
vs Stronger (2)9.0-9.02.00.04.025.0-25.0
vs Similar (19)8.810.57.41.61.02.126.324.228.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line30%50%17%24%10%36%80%50%100%
% under line70%50%83%76%90%64%20%50%0%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (21)8.79.37.82.63.31.826.727.525.5
vs Stronger (9)7.28.04.03.45.21.230.230.031.0
vs Similar (12)10.212.09.01.91.72.223.222.523.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line20%17%25%43%55%30%90%100%75%
% under line80%83%75%57%45%70%10%0%25%
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.9
Mura
9.7
Gorica
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.4
Tabor Sežana
8.9
Bravo
8.8
NK Domzale
8.7
Maribor
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.4
Celje
5.0
Mura
4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Koper
4.2
Gorica
3.9
Maribor
3.9
Tabor Sežana
3.7
Bravo
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.7
Celje
26.4
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.3
Bravo
26.2
Mura
25.4
Maribor
24.8
Gorica
23.6
Koper
22.9
Tabor Sežana
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.9%
Under 9.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.7%
Under 21.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W00D01L10W03L00D01L00DH·OLI09/10A·NK 14/10H·CEL24/10A·MUR02/11H·TAB06/11H·RAD12/11A·MAR29/11A·GOR06/12H·KOP10/12A·OLI11/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.430.700.300.090.55
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.370.420.670.330.100.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W20W11D00D00D00D10W01LA·TAB08/10H·BRA14/10A·MAR22/10H·GOR28/10A·KOP04/11H·OLI12/11A·RAD30/11H·CEL07/12A·MUR12/12H·TAB12/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.290.450.361.100.20
vs Stronger (9)0.670.220.200.201.250.25
vs Similar (12)0.830.330.670.501.000.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W00D10W01L20W01L00D00D00D12LH·OLI09/10A·NK 14/10H·CEL24/10A·MUR02/11H·TAB06/11H·RAD12/11A·MAR29/11A·GOR06/12H·KOP10/12A·OLI11/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.520.700.400.450.64
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.580.580.670.440.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D20W31W00D03L20W21W00D03LA·TAB08/10H·BRA14/10A·MAR22/10H·GOR28/10A·KOP04/11H·OLI12/11A·RAD30/11H·CEL07/12A·MUR12/12H·TAB12/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.711.051.001.180.400.90
vs Stronger (9)0.671.330.801.400.501.25
vs Similar (12)0.750.831.171.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls73.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BRA wins
1
Draws
1
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bravo vs NK Domzale · H/A from BRA
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/22ANK Domzale Vs BRA0-0
06/08/22HBRA Vs NK Domzale0-1

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA2-1
10/12/22HBRA Vs Koper0-1
06/12/22AGorica Vs BRA0-0
29/11/22AMaribor Vs BRA3-0
12/11/22HBRA Vs Radomlje1-1
06/11/22HBRA Vs Tabor Sežana2-1
02/11/22AMura Vs BRA1-0
24/10/22HBRA Vs Celje2-0
14/10/22ANK Domzale Vs BRA0-0
09/10/22HBRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana6-1

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/02/23HND Vs Tabor Sežana0-4
12/12/22AMura Vs ND0-1
07/12/22HND Vs Celje2-1
30/11/22ARadomlje Vs ND0-2
12/11/22HND Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-3
04/11/22AKoper Vs ND1-1
28/10/22HND Vs Gorica5-1
22/10/22AMaribor Vs ND0-3
14/10/22HND Vs Bravo0-0
08/10/22ATabor Sežana Vs ND1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.05
HomeWWWDL1.60
AwayDLLDL0.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%50%9%
AVG goals1.902.101.73
Over 1.5 %52%50%55%
Over 2.5 %24%20%27%
Over 3.5 %10%10%9%
Scored0.951.400.55
Conceded0.950.701.18
BTTS24%30%18%
Clean Sheet29%30%27%
Corners8.8010.507.67
Cards3.402.254.17
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.48
HomeDWLWL1.45
AwayDWDWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals2.813.002.60
Over 1.5 %76%82%70%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %33%45%20%
Scored1.481.451.50
Conceded1.331.551.10
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet33%18%50%
Corners8.709.337.75
Cards5.406.004.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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