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Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town Result & Analysis

Date: 07/08/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-4
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Vs
33%
25%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bray Wanderers win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Longford Town win✓ Hit
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D11D13L13L32W11D00D03L03L22DH·COB26/05H·GAL02/06A·ATH05/06A·WAT09/06H·KER23/06A·TRE30/06A·FIN07/07H·WEX14/07A·GAL28/07H·ATH04/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.901.361.860.941.94
vs Stronger (14)0.862.360.831.830.882.75
vs Similar (13)1.081.621.332.000.861.29
vs Weaker (3)2.671.003.001.502.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L01L23L04L21W22D21W01L32WH·WAT27/05A·ATH02/06A·COB05/06H·FIN09/06A·GAL23/06H·WEX01/07A·WAT07/07H·KER15/07H·COB29/07A·TRE04/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.531.001.331.471.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.231.621.171.171.292.00
vs Weaker (17)1.241.470.891.441.621.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.5%
Under 2.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.1%
No
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
Bray Wanderers goals ↓
Longford Town goals →
01234
05.2%6.0%6.0%3.4%1.4%
15.1%12%8.9%5.0%2.1%
24.6%7.7%6.6%3.7%1.6%
32.2%3.8%3.2%1.8%0.8%
40.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bray Wanderers goals (down), columns = Longford Town goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Galway United
2.61
Waterford
1.90
Cobh Ramblers
1.64
Wexford
1.42
Athlone Town
1.26
Treaty United
1.22
Bray Wanderers
1.22
Longford Town
1.11
Finn Harps
1.03
Kerry
0.28
Bray Wanderers is 0.11 points better than Longford Town in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Galway United
2.72
Waterford
2.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.64
Athlone Town
1.50
Treaty United
1.36
Bray Wanderers
1.33
Wexford
1.29
Longford Town
1.08
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.81
Bray Wanderers is 0.25 goals better than Longford Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.08).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Galway United
0.50
Waterford
0.90
Wexford
1.34
Cobh Ramblers
1.36
Longford Town
1.42
Treaty United
1.69
Athlone Town
1.71
Bray Wanderers
1.72
Finn Harps
2.06
Kerry
2.53
Bray Wanderers is 0.31 goals worse than Longford Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L11D21W11D00D01L01L01LH·COB26/05H·GAL02/06A·ATH05/06A·WAT09/06H·KER23/06A·TRE30/06A·FIN07/07H·WEX14/07A·GAL28/07H·ATH04/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.640.710.251.00
vs Stronger (14)0.361.140.501.000.251.25
vs Similar (13)0.380.690.500.500.290.86
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D10W00D11D12L10W01L12LH·WAT27/05A·ATH02/06A·COB05/06H·FIN09/06A·GAL23/06H·WEX01/07A·WAT07/07H·KER15/07H·COB29/07A·TRE04/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.600.400.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.620.670.500.860.71
vs Weaker (17)0.650.470.560.330.750.62
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W12L02L11D00D00D02L02L21WH·COB26/05H·GAL02/06A·ATH05/06A·WAT09/06H·KER23/06A·TRE30/06A·FIN07/07H·WEX14/07A·GAL28/07H·ATH04/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.030.711.140.690.94
vs Stronger (14)0.501.210.330.830.621.50
vs Similar (13)0.690.920.831.500.570.43
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L13L04L10W10W11D00D20WH·WAT27/05A·ATH02/06A·COB05/06H·FIN09/06A·GAL23/06H·WEX01/07A·WAT07/07H·KER15/07H·COB29/07A·TRE04/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.400.930.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.461.000.500.670.431.29
vs Weaker (17)0.591.000.331.110.880.88
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
BW wins
3
Draws
2
LT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town · H/A from BW
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23ALongford Town Vs BW1-1
10/03/23HBW Vs Longford Town0-0
12/08/22HBW Vs Longford Town0-3
10/06/22ALongford Town Vs BW1-1
18/04/22HBW Vs Longford Town1-2
14/03/22ALongford Town Vs BW1-2

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/23HBW Vs Athlone Town2-2
28/07/23AGalway United Vs BW3-0
14/07/23HBW Vs Wexford0-3
07/07/23AFinn Harps Vs BW0-0
30/06/23ATreaty United Vs BW1-1
23/06/23HBW Vs Kerry3-2
09/06/23AWaterford Vs BW3-1
05/06/23AAthlone Town Vs BW3-1
02/06/23HBW Vs Galway United1-1
26/05/23HBW Vs Cobh Ramblers2-2

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/23ATreaty United Vs LT2-3
29/07/23HLT Vs Cobh Ramblers0-1
15/07/23HLT Vs Kerry2-1
07/07/23AWaterford Vs LT2-2
01/07/23HLT Vs Wexford2-1
23/06/23AGalway United Vs LT4-0
09/06/23HLT Vs Finn Harps2-3
05/06/23ACobh Ramblers Vs LT1-0
02/06/23AAthlone Town Vs LT1-0
27/05/23HLT Vs Waterford0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLD1.00
HomeDDWLD1.12
AwayLLDDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%16%
AVG goals2.923.162.68
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.101.240.96
Conceded1.821.921.72
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.26
HomeDLWWL1.29
AwayLLLDW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.802.333.23
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %58%46%69%
Over 3.5 %30%17%42%
Scored1.301.081.50
Conceded1.501.251.73
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Galway UnitedGalway United3694
83%
2.6
9818+80
3.2
75%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
2WaterfordWaterford3974
54%
1.9
8935+54
3.2
77%
59%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.30.9
-
3Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3964
44%
1.6
6453+11
3.0
77%
51%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
4WexfordWexford3854
39%
1.4
4951-2
2.6
79%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5Athlone TownAthlone Town3848
37%
1.3
5765-8
3.2
76%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
6Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
33%
1.2
4961-12
3.1
83%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3644
28%
1.2
4862-14
3.1
83%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8Longford TownLongford Town3640
28%
1.1
3951-12
2.5
64%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Finn HarpsFinn Harps3637
25%
1.0
3974-35
3.1
75%
53%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.1
-
10KerryKerry3610
3%
0.3
2991-62
3.3
83%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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