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Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United Result & Analysis

Date: 15/07/2022
Time: 18:45
Final 0-2
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Vs
26%
28%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bray Wanderers win✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Treaty United win✓ Hit
45.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D14L22D30W11D15L01L22D13L21WA·WEX02/05H·WAT06/05A·TRE13/05H·ATH27/05A·LON10/06H·GAL17/06A·WAT24/06H·WEX27/06H·COR01/07A·ATH08/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.681.002.360.911.00
vs Stronger (15)0.732.130.883.120.571.00
vs Similar (7)1.430.711.330.331.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D00D22D04L11D21W00D05L20W30WH·BRA13/05H·LON16/05H·COB20/05A·WAT27/05A·WEX10/06H·ATH17/06A·GAL24/06H·COR27/06A·COB01/07H·LON08/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.411.551.730.911.09
vs Stronger (14)1.141.791.292.001.001.57
vs Similar (8)1.380.752.001.250.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
0-2 ✓
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
Bray Wanderers goals ↓
Treaty United goals →
01234
09.1%10%8.7%4.3%1.6%
17.1%14%9.2%4.5%1.7%
24.4%6.5%4.9%2.4%0.9%
31.6%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bray Wanderers goals (down), columns = Treaty United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.12
Waterford
2.03
Galway United
1.83
Longford Town
1.56
Treaty United
1.32
Wexford
1.28
Bray Wanderers
0.84
Athlone Town
0.75
Cobh Ramblers
0.53
Bray Wanderers is 0.48 points worse than Treaty United in terms of average points per game (0.84 vs 1.32).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Waterford
2.29
Cork City
1.97
Galway United
1.74
Longford Town
1.50
Wexford
1.41
Athlone Town
1.38
Treaty United
1.21
Cobh Ramblers
1.16
Bray Wanderers
0.94
Bray Wanderers is 0.27 goals worse than Treaty United in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.69
Galway United
0.97
Waterford
1.09
Longford Town
1.35
Wexford
1.47
Treaty United
1.47
Bray Wanderers
1.94
Athlone Town
2.34
Cobh Ramblers
2.44
Bray Wanderers is 0.47 goals worse than Treaty United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.47).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L10W11D02L00D10W02L00DA·WEX02/05H·WAT06/05A·TRE13/05H·ATH27/05A·LON10/06H·GAL17/06A·WAT24/06H·WEX27/06H·COR01/07A·ATH08/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.590.270.640.450.55
vs Stronger (15)0.330.730.120.750.570.71
vs Similar (7)0.430.290.670.330.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D11D00D11D21W00D04L10W00DH·BRA13/05H·LON16/05H·COB20/05A·WAT27/05A·WEX10/06H·ATH17/06A·GAL24/06H·COR27/06A·COB01/07H·LON08/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.590.730.820.360.36
vs Stronger (14)0.430.790.431.000.430.57
vs Similar (8)0.750.251.250.500.250.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %68% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L21W20W00D13L01L12L11D21WA·WEX02/05H·WAT06/05A·TRE13/05H·ATH27/05A·LON10/06H·GAL17/06A·WAT24/06H·WEX27/06H·COR01/07A·ATH08/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.090.731.730.450.45
vs Stronger (15)0.401.400.752.380.000.29
vs Similar (7)1.000.430.670.001.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D11D04L00D00D00D01L10W30WH·BRA13/05H·LON16/05H·COB20/05A·WAT27/05A·WEX10/06H·ATH17/06A·GAL24/06H·COR27/06A·COB01/07H·LON08/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.820.820.910.550.73
vs Stronger (14)0.711.000.861.000.571.00
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.750.750.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Treaty United have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Treaty United have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Treaty United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BW wins
2
Draws
0
TU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United · H/A from BW
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/22ATreaty United Vs BW2-2
08/04/22HBW Vs Treaty United0-0

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/07/22AAthlone Town Vs BW1-2
01/07/22HBW Vs Cork City1-3
27/06/22HBW Vs Wexford2-2
24/06/22AWaterford Vs BW1-0
17/06/22HBW Vs Galway United1-5
10/06/22ALongford Town Vs BW1-1
27/05/22HBW Vs Athlone Town3-0
13/05/22ATreaty United Vs BW2-2
06/05/22HBW Vs Waterford1-4
02/05/22AWexford Vs BW1-1

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/07/22HTU Vs Longford Town3-0
01/07/22ACobh Ramblers Vs TU0-2
27/06/22HTU Vs Cork City0-5
24/06/22AGalway United Vs TU0-0
17/06/22HTU Vs Athlone Town2-1
10/06/22AWexford Vs TU1-1
27/05/22AWaterford Vs TU4-0
20/05/22HTU Vs Cobh Ramblers2-2
16/05/22HTU Vs Longford Town0-0
13/05/22HTU Vs Bray Wanderers2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW0.95
HomeLWLDL0.64
AwayDDDLW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%9%27%
AVG goals2.643.361.91
Over 1.5 %73%82%64%
Over 2.5 %50%73%27%
Over 3.5 %32%55%9%
Scored0.951.000.91
Conceded1.682.361.00
BTTS59%64%55%
Clean Sheet23%27%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.36
HomeDDWLW1.64
AwayLLDDW1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%45%18%
AVG goals2.643.272.00
Over 1.5 %77%91%64%
Over 2.5 %59%82%36%
Over 3.5 %32%45%18%
Scored1.231.550.91
Conceded1.411.731.09
BTTS45%55%36%
Clean Sheet36%27%45%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1WaterfordWaterford3571
63%
2.0
8038+42
3.4
83%
74%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.31.1
-
2Cork CityCork City3268
62%
2.1
6322+41
2.7
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
3Galway UnitedGalway United3564
51%
1.8
6134+27
2.7
77%
60%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.0
-
4Longford TownLongford Town3453
41%
1.6
5146+5
2.9
88%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3445
32%
1.3
4150-9
2.7
82%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
6WexfordWexford3241
31%
1.3
4547-2
2.9
81%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3227
19%
0.8
3062-32
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
8Athlone TownAthlone Town3224
22%
0.8
4475-31
3.7
97%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
9Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3217
12%
0.5
3778-41
3.6
84%
66%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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