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Breidablik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Result & Analysis

Date: 27/07/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 1-0
Breidablik
Breidablik
Vs
53%
22%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Breidablik a 53% win probability against IBV Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland: Úrvalsdeild on 2026-07-27, with 22% for the draw and 25% for IBV Vestmannaeyjar. The model estimates around 3.6 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (9.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (88%).

Results analysis

Breidablik finished 1-0 against IBV Vestmannaeyjar (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 53% home win, 22% draw and 25% away win. Missed: Over 1.5 (88%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik win✓ Hit
52.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W12L00D32W02L22D31W13L21W00DH·FRA05/10H·VIK18/10H·KUP23/10A·STJ26/10A·SHA06/11H·SAM27/11H·SHA11/12A·STR18/12H·KEF13/07A·FH 20/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.671.861.291.062.00
vs Stronger (9)1.002.441.001.751.003.00
vs Similar (11)1.731.182.200.601.331.67
vs Weaker (10)1.501.502.201.600.801.40
Clean sheet %13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D20W11D11D50W02L12L34L25L22DA·FH 24/08H·IA 31/08A·BRE15/09H·AFT21/09A·VES28/09H·IA 04/10A·KR 19/10H·KA 25/10A·KR 12/07H·KA 19/07
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.501.401.271.201.73
vs Stronger (12)1.171.501.431.290.801.80
vs Similar (18)1.391.501.381.251.401.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.1%
Under 1.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.3%
Under 2.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.1%
No
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
1-0 ✓
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
Breidablik goals ↓
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals →
01234
03.7%3.2%2.9%1.4%0.5%
15.1%9.5%6.2%3.0%1.1%
26.4%9.2%6.6%3.2%1.1%
34.6%6.6%4.7%2.3%0.8%
42.4%3.5%2.5%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Breidablik goals (down), columns = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.20
Fram Reykjavik
1.83
IA Akranes
1.67
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.50
Stjarnan
1.50
Keflavik
1.43
Breidablik
1.33
Thor Akureyri
1.17
KA Akureyri
1.00
Valur Reykjavik
0.75
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.33
Breidablik is 1.00 points better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.80
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
IA Akranes
2.67
Fram Reykjavik
2.33
Keflavik
1.86
Valur Reykjavik
1.75
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.33
Stjarnan
1.25
Breidablik
1.17
KA Akureyri
1.00
FH hafnarfjordur
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Breidablik is 0.17 goals worse than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.83
Breidablik
1.33
Keflavik
1.57
KA Akureyri
1.60
KR Reykjavik
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.67
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
Thor Akureyri
1.83
IA Akranes
2.00
Valur Reykjavik
2.25
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.50
Stjarnan
3.00
Breidablik is 1.17 goals better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 2.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (23)
€5m
KA (43)
€4m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (18)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (9)
€2m
VR (7)
€2m
KA (16)
€2m
BRE (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (5)
€1m
BRE (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (9)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
KA (18)
€1m
VR (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Breidablik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar · H/A from BRE
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/25HBRE Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-1
15/06/25AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs BRE0-2
21/07/23HBRE Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-1
23/04/23AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs BRE2-1
17/09/22HBRE Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-0
02/07/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs BRE0-0

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/07/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs BRE0-0
13/07/26HBRE Vs Keflavik2-1
18/12/25AStrasbourg Vs BRE3-1
11/12/25HBRE Vs Shamrock Rovers3-1
27/11/25HBRE Vs Samsunspor2-2
06/11/25AShakhtar Donetsk Vs BRE2-0
26/10/25AStjarnan Vs BRE2-3
23/10/25HBRE Vs KuPS0-0
18/10/25HBRE Vs Vikingur Reykjavik1-2
05/10/25HBRE Vs Fram Reykjavik3-1

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26HIV Vs KA Akureyri2-2
12/07/26AKR Reykjavik Vs IV5-2
25/10/25HIV Vs KA Akureyri3-4
19/10/25AKR Reykjavik Vs IV2-1
04/10/25HIV Vs IA Akranes0-2
28/09/25AVestri Vs IV0-5
21/09/25HIV Vs Afturelding1-1
15/09/25ABreidablik Vs IV1-1
31/08/25HIV Vs IA Akranes2-0
24/08/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs IV1-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Breidablik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWD1.60
HomeLDDWW1.84
AwayLWLLD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.223.443.00
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored1.702.041.36
Conceded1.521.401.64
BTTS66%76%56%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners11.3312.6710.00
Cards2.252.751.75
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.46
HomeWDLLD1.77
AwayDDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals3.103.083.12
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored1.741.881.58
Conceded1.361.191.54
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik511
60%
2.2
198+11
5.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.81.6
-
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik611
50%
1.8
1410+4
4.0
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
3IA AkranesIA Akranes610
50%
1.7
1612+4
4.7
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.72.0
-
4KeflavikKeflavik710
43%
1.4
1311+2
3.4
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur69
33%
1.5
65+1
1.8
50%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik58
40%
1.6
149+5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.8
-
7BreidablikBreidablik68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
50%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri67
33%
1.2
411-7
2.5
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
9StjarnanStjarnan46
50%
1.5
512-7
4.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.23.0
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri55
20%
1.0
58-3
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.6
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik43
25%
0.8
79-2
4.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.82.2
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar62
0%
0.3
815-7
3.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.5
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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