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Breidablik vs KA Akureyri Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Breidablik
Breidablik
Vs
40%
24%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik win✓ Hit
40.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri win✗ Miss
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L52W10W34L20W12L54W20W21W10WH·KR 15/10A·VAL22/10H·VIK29/10H·HK 10/04A·VAL16/04A·IBV23/04H·FRA28/04A·STJ04/05A·FYL08/05A·KR 13/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.172.501.071.561.25
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (18)2.000.892.110.441.891.33
vs Weaker (10)2.301.303.752.001.330.83
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W20W11D30W00D01L42W21W04LA·VIK15/10A·STJ23/10H·VAL29/10H·KR 10/04H·IBV15/04H·KEF23/04A·VIK29/04H·FH 03/05A·HK 07/05H·VAL13/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.231.591.292.311.15
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.651.271.331.272.091.27
vs Weaker (4)3.501.003.501.503.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.6%
Under 1.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.2%
Under 2.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.9%
No
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-0 ✓
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
Breidablik goals ↓
KA Akureyri goals →
01234
03.5%3.8%4.2%2.5%1.1%
14.1%9.6%7.7%4.6%2.0%
24.6%8.1%7.2%4.2%1.9%
32.8%5.0%4.5%2.6%1.2%
41.3%2.3%2.1%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Breidablik goals (down), columns = KA Akureyri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.44
Valur Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.70
Breidablik
1.52
KA Akureyri
1.52
FH hafnarfjordur
1.48
KR Reykjavik
1.37
Fylkir
1.07
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
HK Kopavogur
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.93
Keflavik
0.59
Breidablik and KA Akureyri are level in average points per game (both 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.81
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Stjarnan
2.04
Breidablik
1.93
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Fylkir
1.59
KA Akureyri
1.56
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
KR Reykjavik
1.41
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.15
Keflavik
1.00
Breidablik is 0.37 goals better than KA Akureyri in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stjarnan
1.07
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.30
KA Akureyri
1.67
KR Reykjavik
1.78
Breidablik
1.81
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.85
Keflavik
2.00
FH hafnarfjordur
2.00
Fylkir
2.04
HK Kopavogur
2.04
Fram Reykjavik
2.07
Breidablik is 0.15 goals worse than KA Akureyri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BreidablikBreidablik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D10W02L10W11D31W20W11D00DH·KR 15/10A·VAL22/10H·VIK29/10H·HK 10/04A·VAL16/04A·IBV23/04H·FRA28/04A·STJ04/05A·FYL08/05A·KR 13/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.710.360.690.69
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.780.440.670.110.890.78
vs Weaker (10)0.700.601.000.750.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W00D10W00D00D10W01L03LA·VIK15/10A·STJ23/10H·VAL29/10H·KR 10/04H·IBV15/04H·KEF23/04A·VIK29/04H·FH 03/05A·HK 07/05H·VAL13/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.470.710.770.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.500.540.330.600.730.45
vs Weaker (4)1.251.001.501.501.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Breidablik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BreidablikBreidablik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D32W10W01L23L00D10W10WH·KR 15/10A·VAL22/10H·VIK29/10H·HK 10/04A·VAL16/04A·IBV23/04H·FRA28/04A·STJ04/05A·FYL08/05A·KR 13/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.631.790.710.880.56
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.220.441.440.331.000.56
vs Weaker (10)1.600.702.751.250.830.33
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D11D20W00D01L32W20W01LA·VIK15/10A·STJ23/10H·VAL29/10H·KR 10/04H·IBV15/04H·KEF23/04A·VIK29/04H·FH 03/05A·HK 07/05H·VAL13/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.631.120.591.540.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.150.731.000.671.360.82
vs Weaker (4)2.250.002.000.002.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Breidablik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.570.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Breidablik
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jason Daði Svanþórsson29%
Klæmint Olsen20%
Gísli Eyjólfsson17%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson14%
Kristinn Steindorsson14%
Damir Muminović0%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Alexander Helgi Sigurðarson0%
Ágúst Hlynsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Oliver Sigurjonsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Damir Muminović43%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson43%
Ágúst Hlynsson40%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson33%
Gísli Eyjólfsson33%
Andri Yeoman17%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson14%
Jason Daði Svanþórsson14%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Alexander Helgi Sigurðarson0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Oliver Sigurjonsson0%
Klæmint Olsen0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Sigurjonsson20%
Andri Yeoman17%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson14%
Kristinn Steindorsson14%
Jason Daði Svanþórsson14%
Damir Muminović0%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%
Alexander Helgi Sigurðarson0%
Ágúst Hlynsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Gísli Eyjólfsson0%
Klæmint Olsen0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gísli Eyjólfsson33%
Klæmint Olsen20%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson14%
Damir Muminović0%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Alexander Helgi Sigurðarson0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Ágúst Hlynsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Oliver Sigurjonsson0%
Jason Daði Svanþórsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
Breidablik's squad is €1m more valuable than KA Akureyri's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Breidablik and KA Akureyri have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Breidablik and KA Akureyri have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
Breidablik and KA Akureyri have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
BRE wins
0
Draws
1
KA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Breidablik vs KA Akureyri · H/A from BRE
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22AKA Akureyri Vs BRE1-2
11/09/22AKA Akureyri Vs BRE2-1
20/06/22HBRE Vs KA Akureyri4-1

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23AKR Reykjavik Vs BRE0-1
08/05/23AFylkir Vs BRE1-2
04/05/23AStjarnan Vs BRE0-2
28/04/23HBRE Vs Fram Reykjavik5-4
23/04/23AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs BRE2-1
16/04/23AValur Reykjavik Vs BRE0-2
10/04/23HBRE Vs HK Kopavogur3-4
29/10/22HBRE Vs Vikingur Reykjavik1-0
22/10/22AValur Reykjavik Vs BRE2-5
15/10/22HBRE Vs KR Reykjavik0-1

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23HKA Vs Valur Reykjavik0-4
07/05/23AHK Kopavogur Vs KA1-2
03/05/23HKA Vs FH hafnarfjordur4-2
29/04/23AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KA1-0
23/04/23HKA Vs Keflavik0-0
15/04/23HKA Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-0
10/04/23HKA Vs KR Reykjavik1-1
29/10/22HKA Vs Valur Reykjavik2-0
23/10/22AStjarnan Vs KA0-3
15/10/22AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Breidablik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW2.17
HomeWLWLW2.42
AwayWLWWW1.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%79%62%
AVG goals3.453.953.00
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %68%74%62%
Over 3.5 %40%58%24%
Scored2.272.791.81
Conceded1.181.161.19
BTTS52%53%52%
Clean Sheet42%42%43%
Corners9.338.6710.00
Cards5.004.505.50
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.88
HomeDWDWL1.79
AwayWDWLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%53%60%
AVG goals3.032.893.20
Over 1.5 %76%74%80%
Over 2.5 %65%53%80%
Over 3.5 %35%32%40%
Scored1.881.632.20
Conceded1.151.261.00
BTTS47%47%47%
Clean Sheet41%37%47%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2766
78%
2.4
7630+46
3.9
93%
78%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.81.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2755
63%
2.0
6635+31
3.7
89%
70%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.3
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2746
52%
1.7
5529+26
3.1
93%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2741
44%
1.5
5249+3
3.7
85%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.8
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2741
44%
1.5
4245-3
3.2
85%
59%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.7
-
6FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2740
44%
1.5
4954-5
3.8
93%
78%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.82.0
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2737
37%
1.4
3848-10
3.2
85%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.8
-
8FylkirFylkir2729
26%
1.1
4355-12
3.6
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
9HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2727
22%
1.0
4155-14
3.6
81%
59%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
10Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2727
26%
1.0
4056-16
3.6
81%
70%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.52.1
-
11IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2725
22%
0.9
3150-19
3.0
85%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.9
-
12KeflavikKeflavik2716
7%
0.6
2754-27
3.0
85%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.02.0
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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