Breidablik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026

Time: 19:15

Final 0-2

Breidablik

54%

21%

25%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Stjarnan

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Breidablik enter the match on a shaky run, having lost their opening game 3-4 to Fram Reykjavik, while Stjarnan come off a win 4-2 over Thor Akureyri. The model’s strongest edge lies in the home win probability of 54 %, a clear favourite over the 21 % draw and 25 % away win chances. With an expected 4.0 goals, the most likely total is 6 + at 21 %. The single score that carries the highest probability is 2-1 for Breidablik, at 8.5 %. Breidablik’s home form shows 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Stjarnan’s away form averages 1.46 scored and 2.38 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 % (edge 8 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.4 % (edge 7 %), Under 7.5 at 95.2 % (edge 6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.7 % (edge 6 %), Away under 3.5 goals at 92.0 % (edge 5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals at 91.2 % (edge 8 %), Over 1.5 at 91.2 % (edge 3 %), and Home over 0.5 goals at 90.4 % (edge 3 %).

Results analysis

The upset came early, with Breiðablik’s home form still rattled by two straight defeats, while Stjarnan rode a two-game winning run. The final score was 0-2, an away victory that left the model’s pre-match favourite - Home win at 54% - wrong. The model’s selection was incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.2%, Under 7.5 hit at 94.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 92.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 91.9%, Over 1.5 hit at 91.5%, and Home over 0.5 goals missed at 90.7%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and no other team was named.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik win✗ Miss

54.0%

Avg Implied 46.5% · @ 1.96

Edge

+7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.01

Pinnacle

2.00

Superbet

2.00

SBO

2.00

Betano

2.00

Draw✗ Miss

20.9%

Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.96

Edge

-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.25

Betfair

4.20

10Bet

4.10

Marathonbet

4.05

Betano

4.05

Stjarnan win✓ Hit

25.1%

Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 2.97

Edge

-5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.17

Marathonbet

3.10

1xBet

3.10

Dafabet

3.10

Superbet

3.05

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Breidablik

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.60	1.63	1.77	1.38	1.47	1.82
vs Stronger (3)	1.00	2.33	2.00	2.00	0.50	2.50
vs Similar (13)	1.54	1.69	1.60	1.20	1.50	2.00
vs Weaker (14)	1.79	1.43	1.86	1.43	1.71	1.43
Clean sheet %	20% (-0pp vs league)

This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stjarnan

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.1

Avg scored

1.7

Avg conceded

2.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.97	1.87	2.40	1.47	1.53	2.27
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	1.91	2.17	2.20	1.80	1.69	2.46
vs Weaker (7)	2.14	0.86	2.80	0.80	0.50	1.00
Clean sheet %	10% (-10pp vs league)

This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

91.5%

@ 1.05+3.3%

Under 1.5

8.5%

@ 7.85-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.07

Betano

1.07

Betfair

1.06

Superbet

1.05

Marathonbet

1.02

Under

Betfair

9.00

Marathonbet

8.10

1xBet

8.10

Superbet

7.70

Bet365

7.50

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

76.1%

@ 1.23+1.5%

Under 2.5

23.9%

@ 3.60-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.26

10Bet

1.25

Betano

1.25

Superbet

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Under

Betfair

4.00

Pinnacle

3.85

Bet365

3.75

10Bet

3.70

Marathonbet

3.58

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

56.5%

@ 1.62-0.6%

Under 3.5

43.5%

@ 2.15+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.65

Pinnacle

1.65

10Bet

1.65

Marathonbet

1.64

1xBet

1.64

Under

Betfair

2.30

Pinnacle

2.25

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.19

Marathonbet

2.19

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

73.4%

@ 1.26+0.4%

26.6%

@ 3.39-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.30

William Hil

1.29

Superbet

1.28

Betano

1.26

Betfair

1.25

Betfair

3.70

1xBet

3.65

Marathonbet

3.56

Betano

3.45

10Bet

3.45

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

8.4%@ 9.36+3.5%

1-1

7.8%@ 9.81+3.1%

2-2

6.8%@ 9.55+2.0%

3-1

6.7%@ 12.00+2.9%

1-2

5.7%@ 11.56+1.8%

3-2

5.4%@ 12.88+1.8%

2-0

5.2%@ 16.29+2.4%

3-0

4.1%@ 21.89+2.1%

Breidablik goals ↓

	Stjarnan goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	2.3%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%
1	3.7%	7.8%	5.7%	3.1%	1.2%
2	5.2%	8.4%	6.8%	3.7%	1.5%
3	4.1%	6.7%	5.4%	2.9%	1.2%
4	2.5%	4.0%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Breidablik goals (down), columns = Stjarnan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

KR Reykjavik

2.14

Fram Reykjavik

2.00

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.71

Stjarnan

1.71

FH hafnarfjordur

1.62

IA Akranes

1.50

Keflavik

1.44

Thor Akureyri

1.25

Breidablik

1.00

KA Akureyri

0.88

Valur Reykjavik

0.71

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.25

Breidablik is 0.71 points worse than Stjarnan in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

KR Reykjavik

3.57

Fram Reykjavik

2.56

Vikingur Reykjavik

2.43

IA Akranes

2.38

Valur Reykjavik

1.86

KA Akureyri

1.75

Stjarnan

1.71

Keflavik

1.67

Breidablik

1.25

FH hafnarfjordur

1.12

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

1.00

Thor Akureyri

0.88

Breidablik is 0.46 goals worse than Stjarnan in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

FH hafnarfjordur

0.88

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.43

Keflavik

1.44

KR Reykjavik

1.71

Breidablik

1.75

Fram Reykjavik

1.78

Thor Akureyri

1.88

IA Akranes

1.88

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

2.12

KA Akureyri

2.38

Valur Reykjavik

2.43

Stjarnan

2.43

Breidablik is 0.68 goals better than Stjarnan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 2.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Breidablik or Draw✗ Miss

74.9%

Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.32

Edge

+5.5%

54%

21%

25%

covers Breidablik + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.39

William Hil

1.33

BetVictor

1.33

1xBet

1.33

Marathonbet

1.33

Breidablik or Stjarnan✓ Hit

79.1%

Avg Implied 77.9% · @ 1.18

Edge

+1.2%

54%

21%

25%

covers Breidablik + Stjarnan

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.22

Betano

1.22

Superbet

1.21

Marathonbet

1.21

1xBet

1.21

Draw or Stjarnan✓ Hit

46.0%

Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.74

Edge

-6.7%

54%

21%

25%

covers Draw + Stjarnan

Best 5 market prices

SBO

1.81

Betano

1.80

10Bet

1.80

William Hil

1.80

1xBet

1.76

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Breidablik over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

90.7%

@ 1.07+3.8%

Under

9.3%

@ 7.12-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.09

Bet365

1.08

Betfair

1.06

1xBet

1.05

Under

Betfair

7.50

1xBet

7.50

Bet365

7.00

Betano

6.50

Breidablik over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

68.7%

@ 1.42+4.1%

Under

31.3%

@ 2.59-4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.46

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.44

Marathonbet

1.43

Pinnacle

1.43

Under

Betfair

2.75

Pinnacle

2.74

Marathonbet

2.66

1xBet

2.66

Betano

2.62

Breidablik over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

42.5%

@ 2.33+3.1%

Under

57.5%

@ 1.51-3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Superbet

2.42

Pinnacle

2.40

Betfair

2.38

Marathonbet

2.35

Under

Pinnacle

1.57

Betano

1.55

Marathonbet

1.54

1xBet

1.54

Betfair

1.53

Breidablik over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

21.7%

@ 4.29+0.4%

Under

78.3%

@ 1.16-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

4.60

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.40

1xBet

4.40

Under

Betano

1.19

Betfair

1.17

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.16

Marathonbet

1.15

Stjarnan over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

80.1%

@ 1.13-0.6%

Under

19.9%

@ 4.72+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.17

Betano

1.16

Superbet

1.15

Betfair

1.13

10Bet

1.12

Under

Betfair

5.50

1xBet

5.00

Betano

4.90

Superbet

4.80

10Bet

4.75

Stjarnan over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

48.0%

@ 1.72-5.6%

Under

52.0%

@ 1.98+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.80

Pinnacle

1.78

Superbet

1.76

1xBet

1.75

Marathonbet

1.75

Under

Betfair

2.10

Betano

2.05

Pinnacle

2.04

1xBet

2.01

Marathonbet

2.01

Stjarnan over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

22.0%

@ 3.23-6.4%

Under

78.0%

@ 1.28+6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.50

Pinnacle

3.45

Superbet

3.35

Marathonbet

3.26

1xBet

3.26

Under

Betano

1.32

Betfair

1.30

Pinnacle

1.29

Marathonbet

1.28

Bet365

1.28

Stjarnan over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

8.1%

@ 6.80-5.5%

Under

91.9%

@ 1.07+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.10

Marathonbet

7.10

Bet365

7.00

Betfair

6.50

Betano

6.30

Under

Betano

1.10

Bet365

1.08

Betfair

1.08

Marathonbet

1.04

1xBet

1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Breidablik, so a minus line means Breidablik give that many goals of a start and Stjarnan receive them. At -1, Breidablik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Breidablik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Breidablik)Actual: Stjarnan

Breidablik -2

18.4%

@ 5.67+2.6%

Draw -2

16.1%

@ 5.80+0.7%

Stjarnan +2

65.5%

@ 1.30-3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.50

Draw

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.90

Bet365

5.50

Away

Bet365

1.33

Betfair

1.29

Marathonbet

1.28

Handicap -1 (Breidablik)Actual: Stjarnan

Breidablik -1

34.5%

@ 3.04+5.7%

Draw -1

19.6%

@ 4.20-1.2%

Stjarnan +1

46.0%

@ 1.73-4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

3.20

Bet365

3.10

10Bet

3.10

Marathonbet

3.05

Unibet

2.75

Draw

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.40

Betfair

4.33

10Bet

4.20

Unibet

3.55

Away

10Bet

1.80

Marathonbet

1.76

Betfair

1.73

Bet365

1.70

Unibet

1.65

Handicap +1 (Breidablik)Actual: Stjarnan

Breidablik +1

74.9%

@ 1.30+9.3%

Draw +1

13.1%

@ 5.05-3.9%

Stjarnan -1

12.0%

@ 4.90-5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.33

Bet365

1.30

Unibet

1.28

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.40

Unibet

4.25

Away

Marathonbet

5.40

Bet365

5.00

Unibet

4.30

Handicap +2 (Breidablik)Actual: Draw

Breidablik +2

88.0%

@ 1.11+7.4%

Draw +2

7.4%

@ 8.50-3.1%

Stjarnan -2

4.6%

@ 10.00-4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.11

Draw

Bet365

8.50

Away

Bet365

10.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Breidablik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.63	0.97	0.54	0.92	0.71	1.00
vs Stronger (3)	0.67	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.50	1.00
vs Similar (13)	0.62	1.00	0.40	0.40	0.75	1.38
vs Weaker (14)	0.64	0.93	0.57	1.29	0.71	0.57
Clean sheet %	37% (+16pp vs league)

This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stjarnan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.93	0.80	1.07	0.80	0.80	0.80
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	0.91	0.87	1.00	0.80	0.85	0.92
vs Weaker (7)	1.00	0.57	1.20	0.80	0.50	0.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+23pp vs league)

This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

74.3%

@ 1.15-6.5%

Under 0.5

25.7%

@ 4.82+6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.18

Bet365

1.17

William Hil

1.15

Superbet

1.15

10Bet

1.14

Under

Betfair

5.50

William Hil

5.00

BetVictor

5.00

10Bet

5.00

Marathonbet

4.75

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

39.8%

@ 1.75-13.3%

Under 1.5

60.2%

@ 1.98+13.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.80

Betano

1.80

Pinnacle

1.79

Superbet

1.77

William Hil

1.75

Under

Betfair

2.10

10Bet

2.05

Pinnacle

2.04

1xBet

1.99

Marathonbet

1.99

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

14.2%

@ 3.31-13.7%

Under 2.5

85.8%

@ 1.28+13.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.50

BetVictor

3.40

Superbet

3.35

William Hil

3.30

Betano

3.30

Under

William Hil

1.30

Betfair

1.30

Betano

1.29

BetVictor

1.29

Superbet

1.28

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Breidablik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

56.7%

@ 1.50-5.2%

Under

43.3%

@ 2.44+5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.53

Pinnacle

1.53

Superbet

1.50

1xBet

1.46

Under

1xBet

2.50

Pinnacle

2.48

Superbet

2.42

Betano

2.35

Breidablik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

21.0%

@ 3.28-7.1%

Under

79.0%

@ 1.28+7.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.40

Betano

3.35

1xBet

3.10

Under

1xBet

1.30

Betano

1.28

Marathonbet

1.27

Breidablik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.8%

@ 7.95-6.8%

Under

95.2%

@ 1.04+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.50

Betano

7.40

Under

Betano

1.06

1xBet

1.03

Stjarnan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

44.1%

@ 1.71-10.2%

Under

55.9%

@ 2.03+10.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.73

Pinnacle

1.72

Betano

1.72

Marathonbet

1.69

1xBet

1.69

Under

Pinnacle

2.10

1xBet

2.05

Marathonbet

2.02

Superbet

2.00

Betano

2.00

Stjarnan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

14.9%

@ 4.38-6.1%

Under

85.1%

@ 1.17+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.60

1xBet

4.30

Betano

4.25

Under

Betano

1.18

Marathonbet

1.16

1xBet

1.16

Stjarnan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.2%

@ 9.25-7.9%

Under

97.8%

@ 1.03+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

9.25

Under

Betano

1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Breidablik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.97	0.67	1.23	0.46	0.76	0.82
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	1.33	1.00	1.00	0.00	1.50
vs Similar (13)	0.92	0.69	1.20	0.80	0.75	0.62
vs Weaker (14)	1.14	0.50	1.29	0.14	1.00	0.86
Clean sheet %	50% (+30pp vs league)

This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Stjarnan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	1.07	1.33	0.67	0.73	1.47
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	1.00	1.30	1.20	1.00	0.85	1.54
vs Weaker (7)	1.14	0.29	1.60	0.00	0.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	30% (+10pp vs league)

This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

77.1%

@ 1.07-10.0%

Under 0.5

22.9%

@ 7.30+10.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.08

Bet365

1.08

William Hil

1.08

1xBet

1.05

Under

Bet365

8.00

1xBet

7.80

William Hil

7.00

Betano

6.40

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

53.3%

@ 1.42-11.7%

Under 1.5

46.7%

@ 2.63+11.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.45

Bet365

1.44

Marathonbet

1.41

1xBet

1.41

William Hil

1.40

Under

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.66

Marathonbet

2.66

William Hil

2.62

Bet365

2.62

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

24.5%

@ 2.30-15.6%

Under 2.5

75.5%

@ 1.54+15.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.38

Superbet

2.37

10Bet

2.30

William Hil

2.30

1xBet

2.29

Under

Betano

1.60

10Bet

1.55

Marathonbet

1.54

1xBet

1.54

Bet365

1.53

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Breidablik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

62.1%

@ 1.31-8.5%

Under

37.9%

@ 3.15+8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.32

1xBet

1.30

Under

1xBet

3.20

Betano

3.10

Breidablik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

25.7%

@ 2.48-11.5%

Under

74.3%

@ 1.47+11.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.62

Marathonbet

2.52

1xBet

2.40

Betano

2.40

Under

1xBet

1.50

Betano

1.50

Marathonbet

1.46

Superbet

1.43

Breidablik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

8.0%

@ 5.35-9.2%

Under

92.0%

@ 1.11+9.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.60

Betano

5.10

Under

Betano

1.13

1xBet

1.09

Stjarnan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

51.0%

@ 1.47-11.9%

Under

49.0%

@ 2.49+11.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.49

1xBet

1.48

Betano

1.45

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.48

Superbet

2.45

Stjarnan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.3%

@ 3.18-12.7%

Under

83.7%

@ 1.30+12.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.34

1xBet

3.20

Betano

3.00

Under

Betano

1.34

1xBet

1.29

Marathonbet

1.28

Stjarnan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.7%

@ 7.75-8.1%

Under

96.3%

@ 1.04+8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.80

Betano

6.70

Under

Betano

1.07

1xBet

1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.8%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	96.3%	1.04	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	+8.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	95.2%	1.04	Betano 1.06	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	+6.8%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	94.9%	1.03	Betano 1.04	Bet365 1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	+4.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	92.0%	1.11	Betano 1.13	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-	+9.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	91.9%	1.07	Betano 1.10	Bet365 1.08	Betfair 1.08	Marathonbet 1.04	1xBet 1.04	+5.5%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	91.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.07	Betano 1.07	Betfair 1.06	Superbet 1.05	Marathonbet 1.02	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	90.7%	1.07	Betano 1.09	Bet365 1.08	Betfair 1.06	1xBet 1.05	-	+3.8%	✗ Miss
Under 6.5	89.0%	1.09	Betano 1.11	Pinnacle 1.10	1xBet 1.10	Bet365 1.10	BetVictor 1.04	+4.4%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	88.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.4%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals	85.8%	1.28	William Hil 1.30	Betfair 1.30	Betano 1.29	BetVictor 1.29	Superbet 1.28	+13.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	85.1%	1.17	Betano 1.18	Marathonbet 1.16	1xBet 1.16	-	-	+6.1%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.7%	1.30	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.29	Marathonbet 1.28	-	-	+12.7%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	80.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	Betano 1.16	Superbet 1.15	Betfair 1.13	10Bet 1.12	-0.6%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	79.1%	1.18	William Hil 1.22	Betano 1.22	Superbet 1.21	Marathonbet 1.21	1xBet 1.21	+1.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	79.0%	1.28	1xBet 1.30	Betano 1.28	Marathonbet 1.27	-	-	+7.1%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	78.6%	1.21	Pinnacle 1.25	Betano 1.24	Betfair 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Unibet 1.21	+3.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	78.3%	1.16	Betano 1.19	Betfair 1.17	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.16	Marathonbet 1.15	-0.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	78.0%	1.28	Betano 1.32	Betfair 1.30	Pinnacle 1.29	Marathonbet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	+6.4%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	77.1%	1.07	Betano 1.08	Bet365 1.08	William Hil 1.08	1xBet 1.05	-	-10.0%	✗ Miss
Over 2.5	76.1%	1.23	Pinnacle 1.26	10Bet 1.25	Betano 1.25	Superbet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	+1.5%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals	75.5%	1.54	Betano 1.60	10Bet 1.55	Marathonbet 1.54	1xBet 1.54	Bet365 1.53	+15.6%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	74.9%	1.32	Betano 1.39	William Hil 1.33	BetVictor 1.33	1xBet 1.33	Marathonbet 1.33	+5.5%	✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap	74.9%	1.30	Marathonbet 1.33	Bet365 1.30	Unibet 1.28	-	-	+9.3%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	74.3%	1.15	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.17	William Hil 1.15	Superbet 1.15	10Bet 1.14	-6.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	74.3%	1.47	1xBet 1.50	Betano 1.50	Marathonbet 1.46	Superbet 1.43	-	+11.5%	✓ Hit
BTTS Yes	73.4%	1.26	Bet365 1.30	William Hil 1.29	Superbet 1.28	Betano 1.26	Betfair 1.25	+0.4%	✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Breidablik · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson25%

Kristinn Jónsson20%

Davíð Ingvarsson20%

Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson17%

Viktor Orn Margeirsson17%

Óli Valur Ómarsson17%

Damir Muminović0%

Viktor Karl Einarsson0%

Andri Yeoman0%

Aron Bjarnason0%

Kristinn Steindorsson0%

Anton Ari Einarsson0%

Valgeir Valgeirsson0%

Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%

Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%

Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson0%

Gabriel Snaer0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Kristinn Steindorsson33%

Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson33%

Damir Muminović20%

Arnór Gauti Jónsson20%

Viktor Karl Einarsson17%

Viktor Orn Margeirsson17%

Óli Valur Ómarsson17%

Kristinn Jónsson0%

Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson0%

Davíð Ingvarsson0%

Andri Yeoman0%

Aron Bjarnason0%

Anton Ari Einarsson0%

Valgeir Valgeirsson0%

Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%

Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%

Gabriel Snaer0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Óli Valur Ómarsson33%

Gabriel Snaer20%

Viktor Karl Einarsson17%

Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson17%

Kristinn Jónsson0%

Damir Muminović0%

Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson0%

Davíð Ingvarsson0%

Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%

Andri Yeoman0%

Aron Bjarnason0%

Kristinn Steindorsson0%

Anton Ari Einarsson0%

Valgeir Valgeirsson0%

Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%

Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%

Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson33%

Aron Bjarnason20%

Kristinn Jónsson0%

Damir Muminović0%

Viktor Karl Einarsson0%

Davíð Ingvarsson0%

Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%

Andri Yeoman0%

Kristinn Steindorsson0%

Óli Valur Ómarsson0%

Anton Ari Einarsson0%

Valgeir Valgeirsson0%

Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%

Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%

Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%

Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson0%

Gabriel Snaer0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (26)

€5m

BRE (19)

€3m

VR (22)

€3m

STJ (22)

€3m

KR (18)

€3m

FR (19)

€2m

KA (22)

€2m

IA (19)

€2m

FH (21)

€2m

IV (18)

€2m

TA (21)

€2m

KEF (18)

€1m

Breidablik and Stjarnan have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (12)

€3m

VR (7)

€1m

KR (9)

€1m

BRE (6)

€1m

STJ (4)

€1m

KA (9)

€1m

TA (7)

€1m

FR (6)

€1m

KEF (6)

€1m

IA (6)

€1m

FH (8)

€0m

IV (6)

€0m

Breidablik and Stjarnan have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BRE (4)

€1m

VR (4)

€1m

STJ (6)

€1m

IV (6)

€1m

VR (5)

€1m

KR (2)

€1m

FR (4)

€1m

KA (5)

€0m

TA (4)

€0m

IA (3)

€0m

FH (2)

€0m

KEF (5)

€0m

Breidablik and Stjarnan have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (10)

€2m

BRE (9)

€1m

STJ (12)

€1m

FR (9)

€1m

IA (10)

€1m

VR (10)

€1m

FH (11)

€1m

KR (7)

€1m

IV (6)

€1m

KA (8)

€1m

KEF (7)

€1m

TA (10)

€1m

Breidablik and Stjarnan have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

BRE wins

Draws

STJ wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Breidablik vs Stjarnan · H/A from BRE

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/10/25	A	Stjarnan Vs BRE	2-3
27/06/25	A	Stjarnan Vs BRE	1-4
23/04/25	H	BRE Vs Stjarnan	2-1
19/10/24	H	BRE Vs Stjarnan	2-1
11/08/24	A	Stjarnan Vs BRE	2-2
21/05/24	H	BRE Vs Stjarnan	2-1
08/10/23	H	BRE Vs Stjarnan	0-2
29/07/23	H	BRE Vs Stjarnan	1-1

Breidablik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/26	H	BRE Vs Fram Reykjavik	3-4
16/08/26	A	KR Reykjavik Vs BRE	3-3
09/08/26	H	BRE Vs Valur Reykjavik	1-3
04/08/26	A	Thor Akureyri Vs BRE	1-0
27/07/26	H	BRE Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0
20/07/26	A	FH hafnarfjordur Vs BRE	0-0
13/07/26	H	BRE Vs Keflavik	2-1
28/06/26	H	BRE Vs Vikingur Reykjavik	3-0
12/06/26	A	Ægir Vs BRE	0-3
13/05/26	A	Throttur Reykjavik Vs BRE	1-2

Stjarnan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	H	STJ Vs Thor Akureyri	4-2
17/08/26	A	Fram Reykjavik Vs STJ	3-1
09/08/26	H	STJ Vs Keflavik	1-0
03/08/26	A	Valur Reykjavik Vs STJ	2-3
26/07/26	A	IA Akranes Vs STJ	5-1
19/07/26	A	KR Reykjavik Vs STJ	5-0
10/06/26	A	Afturelding Vs STJ	3-1
13/05/26	H	STJ Vs KR Reykjavik	2-1
05/04/26	H	STJ Vs Selfoss	2-1
17/03/26	H	STJ Vs Vestri	2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Breidablik

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLDL	1.34
Home	WWWLL	1.58
Away	WWDLD	1.12

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	46%	27%
AVG goals	3.28	3.29	3.27
Over 1.5 %	84%	79%	88%
Over 2.5 %	64%	67%	62%
Over 3.5 %	40%	42%	38%
Scored	1.62	1.83	1.42
Conceded	1.66	1.46	1.85
BTTS	64%	71%	58%
Clean Sheet	18%	25%	12%
Corners	11.33	12.67	10.00
Cards	2.25	2.75	1.75

Stjarnan

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWLW	1.62
Home	DWWWW	1.93
Away	LLLWL	1.26

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	48%	59%	35%
AVG goals	4.02	4.15	3.87
Over 1.5 %	94%	93%	96%
Over 2.5 %	82%	89%	74%
Over 3.5 %	60%	67%	52%
Scored	2.10	2.33	1.83
Conceded	1.92	1.81	2.04
BTTS	80%	81%	78%
Clean Sheet	12%	15%	9%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Fram Reykjavik	9	18	56%	2.0	23	16	+7	4.3	89%	78%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	2.6	1.8	-
2	KR Reykjavik	7	15	57%	2.1	25	12	+13	5.3	100%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	3.6	1.7	-
3	Keflavik	9	13	44%	1.4	15	13	+2	3.1	78%	56%	22%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	1	1.7	1.4	-
4	FH hafnarfjordur	8	13	38%	1.6	9	7	+2	2.0	62%	25%	12%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.1	0.9	-
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	7	12	43%	1.7	17	10	+7	3.9	100%	71%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	3	1	2	2.4	1.4	-
6	IA Akranes	8	12	38%	1.5	19	15	+4	4.2	100%	75%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.4	1.9	-
7	Stjarnan	7	12	57%	1.7	12	17	-5	4.1	86%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.7	2.4	-
8	Thor Akureyri	8	10	38%	1.2	7	15	-8	2.8	62%	38%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.9	1.9	-
9	Breidablik	8	8	25%	1.0	10	14	-4	3.0	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.8	-
10	KA Akureyri	8	7	12%	0.9	14	19	-5	4.1	75%	75%	62%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.8	2.4	-
11	Valur Reykjavik	7	5	14%	0.7	13	17	-4	4.3	100%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.9	2.4	-
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	8	2	0%	0.2	8	17	-9	3.1	62%	62%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	2.1	-

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

← all matches

Breidablik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Breidablik

Stjarnan

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Breidablik

Stjarnan

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Breidablik

Stjarnan

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Breidablik

Stjarnan

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature