This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.37
1.44
1.38
1.07
1.36
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.79
1.62
1.62
0.83
2.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.86
1.29
1.14
1.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.2%
@ 2.32-0.4%
Under 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.59+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
Brescia goals ↓
Pisa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
1
9.9%
15%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.3%
7.4%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.3%
2.7%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brescia goals (down), columns = Pisa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Brescia is 0.12 points better than Pisa in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Brescia is 0.16 goals worse than Pisa in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Brescia is 0.34 goals better than Pisa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Brescia is 8.4 percentage points worse than Pisa in terms of average possession (48% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brescia
For 3.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 15.2 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pisa
For 4.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
8.9
3.4
3.5
3.2
29.6
29.5
29.8
vs Stronger (20)
9.2
10.7
8.0
3.4
3.5
3.3
26.8
25.2
28.3
vs Similar (29)
8.7
8.7
8.8
3.3
3.5
3.1
31.3
32.3
30.1
vs Weaker (1)
16.0
-
16.0
5.0
-
5.0
37.0
-
37.0
% over line
42%
53%
31%
52%
58%
46%
87%
93%
81%
% under line
58%
47%
69%
48%
42%
54%
13%
7%
19%
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.1
8.3
4.1
4.3
4.0
27.1
27.8
26.4
vs Stronger (3)
7.0
10.0
4.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
26.0
22.0
30.0
vs Similar (23)
9.2
9.1
9.3
4.2
4.5
3.8
25.5
27.5
23.3
vs Weaker (24)
8.4
8.9
8.0
4.0
3.8
4.2
28.9
28.9
29.0
% over line
35%
38%
33%
60%
58%
62%
90%
94%
87%
% under line
65%
62%
67%
40%
42%
38%
10%
6%
13%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
10.6
Venezia
10.4
Ternana
10.3
Palermo
10.1
Bari
10.0
Brescia
9.9
Cremonese
9.9
Modena
9.8
Spezia
9.8
Lecco
9.7
Pisa
9.7
Cosenza
9.6
Reggiana
9.6
Ascoli
9.4
Como
9.3
FeralpiSalo
9.2
Cittadella
9.0
Catanzaro
9.0
Sampdoria
8.7
Sudtirol
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Pisa
6.3
Cittadella
5.8
Modena
5.8
Spezia
5.8
Ascoli
5.7
Sampdoria
5.6
Sudtirol
5.5
Lecco
5.5
Catanzaro
5.5
Bari
5.5
Parma
5.4
Reggiana
5.4
Cremonese
5.3
Palermo
5.2
FeralpiSalo
5.2
Como
5.1
Brescia
5.1
Venezia
5.0
Ternana
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ascoli
32.2
Cittadella
32.1
Reggiana
30.0
Sampdoria
30.0
Sudtirol
29.9
Palermo
29.9
Como
29.6
Bari
29.5
Spezia
29.4
Catanzaro
29.2
Pisa
29.1
Modena
28.7
Brescia
28.0
Cosenza
27.9
Lecco
27.8
Cremonese
27.6
Ternana
27.5
Parma
27.2
FeralpiSalo
27.0
Venezia
25.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.2%
Under 9.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.1%
Under 3.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.2%
Under 21.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.57
0.64
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.00
0.67
1.17
0.29
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.25
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.44
0.75
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.79
0.38
0.75
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.36
0.57
0.71
0.43
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.23
0.50
0.17
0.43
0.29
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
0.62
0.62
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pisa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pisa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.62
0.71
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.93
1.00
1.25
0.88
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.50
0.71
0.43
0.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pisa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Borrelli29%
Gabriele Moncini26%
Birkir Bjarnason13%
Flavio Bianchi10%
Dimitri Bisoli9%
Nicolas Galazzi9%
Alexander Jallow8%
Davide Adorni4%
Fabrizio Paghera4%
Massimo Bertagnoli4%
Andrea Papetti3%
Lorenzo Dickmann3%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Matteo Ferro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrea Cistana39%
Fabrizio Paghera36%
Mohamed Fares31%
Lorenzo Dickmann22%
Giacomo Olzer21%
Dimitri Bisoli21%
Tom Van De Looi19%
Massimo Bertagnoli18%
Nicolas Galazzi18%
Davide Adorni16%
Alexander Jallow16%
Matthieu Huard16%
Gennaro Borrelli14%
Michele Besaggio14%
Lorenzo Andrenacci11%
Matteo Ferro10%
Andrea Papetti9%
Gabriele Moncini9%
Birkir Bjarnason8%
Riccardo Fogliata8%
Luca Lezzerini4%
Massimiliano Mangraviti4%
Flavio Bianchi3%
Michele Avella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi15%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Riccardo Fogliata8%
Gennaro Borrelli7%
Andrea Papetti6%
Gabriele Moncini6%
Andrea Cistana4%
Fabrizio Paghera4%
Alexander Jallow4%
Massimiliano Mangraviti4%
Flavio Bianchi3%
Birkir Bjarnason0%
Davide Adorni0%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Matteo Ferro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Moncini23%
Flavio Bianchi13%
Gennaro Borrelli11%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Lorenzo Dickmann5%
Birkir Bjarnason5%
Dimitri Bisoli3%
Davide Adorni0%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Nicolas Galazzi0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Matteo Ferro0%
Pisa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicholas Bonfanti31%
Matteo Tramoni29%
Mattia Valoti24%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Jan Mlakar12%
Stefano Moreo12%
Ernesto Torregrossa11%
Tommaso Barbieri10%
Lisandru Tramoni9%
Antonio Caracciolo8%
Simone Canestrelli8%
Alessandro Arena8%
Arturo Calabresi8%
Gaetano Masucci8%
Marius Marin6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Miguel Veloso4%
Tomás Esteves3%
Pietro Beruatto3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Idrissa Touré0%
Roko Jureškin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roko Jureškin67%
Marius Marin39%
Maxime Leverbe36%
Simone Canestrelli33%
Antonio Caracciolo29%
Lisandru Tramoni26%
Tomás Esteves24%
Arturo Calabresi23%
Tommaso Barbieri23%
Hjörtur Hermannsson20%
Nícolas19%
Gabriele Piccinini18%
Idrissa Touré16%
Gaetano Masucci15%
Mattia Valoti15%
Miguel Veloso15%
Pietro Beruatto13%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Stefano Moreo12%
Alessandro Arena12%
Ádám Nagy9%
Jan Mlakar4%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Tramoni14%
Pietro Beruatto13%
Marco D'Alessandro13%
Miguel Veloso11%
Ernesto Torregrossa11%
Idrissa Touré11%
Mattia Valoti9%
Lisandru Tramoni9%
Jan Mlakar8%
Gaetano Masucci8%
Tomás Esteves7%
Tommaso Barbieri6%
Marius Marin6%
Stefano Moreo6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Antonio Caracciolo4%
Alessandro Arena4%
Arturo Calabresi4%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Moreo21%
Nicholas Bonfanti19%
Alessandro Arena16%
Mattia Valoti15%
Emanuel Vignato8%
Pietro Beruatto7%
Ernesto Torregrossa6%
Gabriele Piccinini5%
Marco D'Alessandro4%
Lisandru Tramoni4%
Jan Mlakar4%
Miguel Veloso4%
Tomás Esteves3%
Tommaso Barbieri3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Matteo Tramoni0%
Arturo Calabresi0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Maxime Leverbe0%
Alessandro De Vitis0%
Marius Marin0%
Gaetano Masucci0%
Nícolas0%
Andrea Barberis0%
Antonio Caracciolo0%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Leonardo Loria0%
Idrissa Touré0%
Simone Canestrelli0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Cosenza
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Cittadella
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco