This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.43
1.13
1.27
1.13
1.60
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
1.67
1.00
1.60
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.33
1.20
1.10
1.09
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.95-1.8%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.83+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1 ✓
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
Brescia goals ↓
Reggiana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
8.4%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.1%
14%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.9%
8.4%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.0%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brescia goals (down), columns = Reggiana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Brescia is 0.03 points worse than Reggiana in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Brescia and Reggiana are level in goals scored per game (both 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Brescia is 0.11 goals better than Reggiana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Brescia is 2.0 percentage points better than Reggiana in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brescia
For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 16.0 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggiana
For 3.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.6
10.4
5.1
5.0
5.2
29.0
28.6
29.3
vs Stronger (23)
10.2
9.5
11.0
5.2
4.8
5.6
28.6
28.9
28.3
vs Similar (26)
8.9
7.5
9.9
5.0
5.1
4.9
29.4
28.5
30.1
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
9.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
50%
38%
62%
76%
71%
81%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
50%
62%
38%
24%
29%
19%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.9
9.0
5.7
6.1
5.3
31.0
30.7
31.3
vs Stronger (13)
8.4
6.7
9.9
5.8
7.2
4.6
28.2
29.3
27.1
vs Similar (36)
8.5
8.3
8.8
5.7
5.8
5.5
31.9
31.1
32.8
vs Weaker (1)
6.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
6.0
35.0
-
35.0
% over line
42%
32%
52%
84%
92%
76%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
58%
68%
48%
16%
8%
24%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.4
Cosenza
10.3
Spezia
9.8
Juve Stabia
9.8
Brescia
9.5
Bari
9.4
Catanzaro
9.4
Frosinone
9.4
Sudtirol
9.4
Carrarese
9.4
Sampdoria
9.2
Salernitana
9.1
Cesena
9.0
Sassuolo
9.0
Cremonese
9.0
Cittadella
8.9
Modena
8.9
Mantova
8.5
Reggiana
8.4
Pisa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.1
Spezia
6.0
Juve Stabia
6.0
Reggiana
5.7
Mantova
5.6
Sampdoria
5.4
Modena
5.3
Bari
5.3
Brescia
5.1
Cremonese
5.1
Carrarese
5.0
Cittadella
4.9
Cesena
4.9
Pisa
4.9
Sudtirol
4.9
Frosinone
4.8
Palermo
4.6
Catanzaro
4.6
Salernitana
4.6
Sassuolo
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.1
Spezia
34.2
Juve Stabia
34.0
Cittadella
31.8
Reggiana
31.0
Sampdoria
30.8
Sudtirol
30.2
Cesena
29.8
Cremonese
29.7
Bari
29.5
Frosinone
29.3
Palermo
29.1
Brescia
29.0
Cosenza
28.9
Salernitana
28.8
Carrarese
28.4
Pisa
28.2
Modena
27.9
Catanzaro
27.7
Sassuolo
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.5%
Under 9.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.8%
Under 3.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.5%
Under 21.5
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.43
0.71
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.43
0.57
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
1.00
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.57
0.60
0.50
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.64
0.86
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.17
0.80
1.60
0.14
0.86
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.44
0.56
0.44
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggiana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.67
0.20
0.60
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.76
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini20%
Gennaro Borrelli19%
Flavio Bianchi17%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Riccardo Fogliata14%
Matthias Verreth12%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah8%
Davide Adorni8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Ante Matej Jurić6%
Gabriele Calvani5%
Andrea Cistana4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Dimitri Bisoli3%
Michele Besaggio3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Lorenzo Dickmann0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabrizio Paghera38%
Davide Adorni30%
Lorenzo Dickmann26%
Dimitri Bisoli26%
Matthias Verreth24%
Gennaro Borrelli22%
Ante Matej Jurić19%
Andrea Papetti16%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Giacomo Olzer15%
Michele Besaggio14%
Gabriele Calvani14%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah12%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Andrea Cistana9%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi8%
Gabriele Moncini8%
Luca Lezzerini8%
Alexander Jallow6%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi21%
Dimitri Bisoli19%
Ante Matej Jurić9%
Andrea Cistana9%
Lorenzo Dickmann5%
Niccolò Corrado5%
Andrea Papetti5%
Gabriele Moncini4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Giacomo Olzer4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Matthias Verreth3%
Gennaro Borrelli3%
Davide Adorni0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Borrelli33%
Gabriele Moncini24%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Matthias Verreth9%
Davide Adorni8%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Massimo Bertagnoli7%
Dimitri Bisoli6%
Flavio Bianchi4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Ante Matej Jurić3%
Andrea Cistana0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Nicolas Galazzi0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Reggiana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Manolo Portanova22%
Cedric Gondo21%
Luca Vido17%
Natan Girma17%
Antonio Vergara15%
Alessandro Sersanti11%
Matteo Maggio10%
Stefano Pettinari8%
Lorenzo Lucchesi7%
Tobías Reinhart3%
Luca Cigarini0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Leo Štulac0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Manuel Marras0%
Riccardo Fiamozzi0%
Elvis Kabashi0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Oliver Urso0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Joaquín Sosa0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti0%
Justin Kumi0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Orji Okwonkwo36%
Antonio Vergara33%
Manuel Marras29%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti27%
Cedric Gondo26%
Mario Sampirisi25%
Elvis Kabashi25%
Natan Girma25%
Paolo Rozzio24%
Tobías Reinhart22%
Luca Cigarini20%
Alessandro Fontanarosa20%
Matteo Maggio19%
Leo Štulac18%
Francesco Bardi17%
Luca Vido14%
Andrea Meroni14%
Alessandro Sersanti13%
Lorenzo Libutti13%
Joaquín Sosa12%
Justin Kumi12%
Riccardo Fiamozzi12%
Manolo Portanova11%
Lorenzo Lucchesi11%
Stefano Pettinari8%
Oliver Urso0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Vergara15%
Elvis Kabashi12%
Leo Štulac9%
Natan Girma8%
Riccardo Fiamozzi8%
Tobías Reinhart6%
Manolo Portanova6%
Matteo Maggio5%
Manuel Marras4%
Luca Vido3%
Lorenzo Libutti3%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti3%
Cedric Gondo3%
Luca Cigarini0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Stefano Pettinari0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Alessandro Sersanti0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Oliver Urso0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Joaquín Sosa0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Justin Kumi0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manolo Portanova19%
Leo Štulac9%
Antonio Vergara9%
Cedric Gondo9%
Stefano Pettinari8%
Alessandro Sersanti5%
Natan Girma4%
Lorenzo Lucchesi4%
Manuel Marras4%
Luca Vido3%
Lorenzo Ignacchiti3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Luca Cigarini0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Riccardo Fiamozzi0%
Elvis Kabashi0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Oliver Urso0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Joaquín Sosa0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Justin Kumi0%
Yannis Nahounou0%
Matteo Maggio0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Giacomo Cavallini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →