The encounter between Bristol City and Birmingham is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 35% for a home victory, 29% for a draw and 36% for Birmingham to come out on top, making the latter the most likely result. On average, the match should see about 2.6 goals, with the most probable total being two. The single scoreline the model predicts with the highest probability is 1-1, a 13.9% chance. Bristol City, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, while Birmingham, on the road, averages 0.71 scored and 1.57 conceded. The suggested selections are: Under 25.5 fouls at 79.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.7%, Over 1.5 at 74.2% (miss), and Under 3.5 at 74.0%. These are the model’s picks, each with its own probability.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Bristol City broke the pre-match expectation, winning 1-0 to overturn the model’s pick of an away win. The prediction had given Birmingham a 36% chance of triumph, yet the home side’s 2-game winning streak and recent 3-1 victory over Preston proved decisive. The model’s selection for the match outcome was wrong. The model’s other picks performed well: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 79.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.7% and Under 3.5 cards at 74.0%. The only miss was Over 1.5, which did not materialise. The final score of 1-0 confirmed Bristol City’s home form and left the model’s favourite on the wrong side of the result.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bristol City win✓ Hit
35.3%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.17
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.30
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birmingham win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.35
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bristol City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.13
1.69
1.12
1.14
1.14
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.54
1.00
1.71
1.14
1.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.93
1.93
0.80
1.13
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.08
1.31
1.50
1.00
0.71
1.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.94
0.62
2.38
0.62
1.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 2.10+3.1%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.69-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
1-0 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
Bristol City goals ↓
Birmingham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
8.5%
6.3%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.5%
14%
8.2%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.3%
8.1%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
3
2.7%
3.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bristol City goals (down), columns = Birmingham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Bristol City is 0.04 points worse than Birmingham in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Bristol City is 0.04 goals better than Birmingham in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Bristol City is 0.07 goals worse than Birmingham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Bristol City is 4.5 percentage points worse than Birmingham in terms of average possession (49% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bristol City
For 5.7 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Birmingham
For 6.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bristol City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.3
9.8
3.4
3.5
3.3
20.5
20.1
21.0
vs Stronger (6)
10.7
9.7
11.7
4.0
5.0
3.0
17.3
20.0
14.7
vs Similar (44)
9.4
9.3
9.5
3.3
3.3
3.3
21.0
20.1
21.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
44%
42%
50%
50%
50%
41%
32%
50%
% under line
57%
56%
58%
50%
50%
50%
59%
68%
50%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
10.2
8.0
3.7
3.8
3.6
24.0
22.8
25.3
vs Stronger (2)
5.0
5.0
-
2.5
2.5
-
38.0
38.0
-
vs Similar (17)
9.4
9.5
9.3
4.9
5.6
4.2
24.1
24.4
23.9
vs Weaker (31)
9.1
10.9
7.2
3.1
3.0
3.3
23.5
20.9
26.3
% over line
38%
50%
26%
50%
54%
46%
70%
54%
87%
% under line
62%
50%
74%
50%
46%
54%
30%
46%
13%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.4
Sheffield Weds
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Ipswich
10.5
Oxford
10.3
QPR
10.3
Norwich
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Sheffield United
10.1
Hull
10.1
Millwall
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
Leicester
10.0
Watford
10.0
Southampton
9.9
West Brom
9.9
Derby
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Bristol City
9.5
Wrexham
9.4
Preston
9.3
Swansea
9.3
Charlton
9.3
Birmingham
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Southampton
4.2
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Birmingham
3.9
QPR
3.8
Norwich
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Sheffield United
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Preston
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Blackburn
3.7
Oxford
3.7
West Brom
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Derby
3.6
Hull
3.6
Coventry
3.6
Bristol City
3.6
Sheffield Weds
3.5
Wrexham
3.4
Millwall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.4
Millwall
23.9
Blackburn
23.9
Southampton
23.7
Swansea
23.5
Charlton
23.3
Portsmouth
23.3
Sheffield Weds
23.0
QPR
22.9
Watford
22.8
Ipswich
22.8
Sheffield United
22.6
Preston
22.4
Norwich
22.2
Hull
21.8
Leicester
21.6
West Brom
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.3
Oxford
21.3
Derby
21.1
Coventry
20.8
Stoke
20.7
Bristol City
20.6
Wrexham
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.9%
Under 21.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bristol City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.38
0.79
0.50
0.58
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.62
0.83
0.50
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.38
0.62
0.25
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bristol City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.94
0.62
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.62
0.93
0.64
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
1.27
0.47
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.69
0.67
0.50
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
0.25
1.75
0.38
0.50
0.12
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anis Mehmeti29%
Sam Bell25%
Emil Riis Jacobsen19%
Scott Twine19%
Robert Atkinson15%
Max Bird11%
Mark Sykes10%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Ross McCrorie7%
Sinclair Armstrong7%
Adam Randell6%
Delano Burgzorg6%
Tomi Horvat6%
Noah Eile6%
Sam Morsy5%
Robert Dickie3%
Jason Knight3%
Neto Borges0%
Cameron Pring0%
Max O'Leary0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
George Earthy0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cameron Pring35%
Sam Morsy30%
Joe Lumley25%
Delano Burgzorg25%
Anis Mehmeti19%
Noah Eile19%
Neto Borges18%
Sinclair Armstrong16%
Robert Dickie14%
Zak Vyner13%
Ross McCrorie12%
Jason Knight11%
Scott Twine10%
George Earthy9%
Adam Randell9%
Haydon Roberts8%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Tomi Horvat6%
Max Bird6%
Mark Sykes5%
Radek Vitek5%
Robert Atkinson4%
George Tanner3%
Emil Riis Jacobsen2%
Max O'Leary0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Sam Bell0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomi Horvat25%
Scott Twine15%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Ross McCrorie12%
Neto Borges10%
George Earthy9%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Emil Riis Jacobsen6%
Delano Burgzorg6%
Sam Bell6%
Max Bird6%
Jason Knight5%
Adam Randell4%
Cameron Pring4%
Robert Atkinson4%
Robert Dickie3%
Mark Sykes2%
Max O'Leary0%
Sam Morsy0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Noah Eile0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anis Mehmeti32%
Scott Twine19%
Emil Riis Jacobsen13%
Sam Bell12%
Sinclair Armstrong11%
Tomi Horvat6%
Ross McCrorie5%
Cameron Pring4%
Mark Sykes2%
Adam Randell2%
Neto Borges0%
Robert Atkinson0%
Max Bird0%
Max O'Leary0%
Sam Morsy0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
Robert Dickie0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
Jason Knight0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Noah Eile0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
George Earthy0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Ducksch25%
Jay Stansfield19%
Carlos Vicente17%
Patrick Roberts14%
Demarai Gray13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Seung-Ho Paik9%
Lyndon Dykes9%
Phil Neumann9%
Christoph Klarer7%
Tomoki Iwata6%
Jack Robinson6%
Kai Wagner6%
Jhon Solís6%
August Priske6%
Keshi Anderson5%
Alex Cochrane4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Ethan Laird0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
James Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon Solís28%
Jack Robinson25%
Christoph Klarer24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Bright Osayi-Samuel21%
Phil Neumann17%
Tomoki Iwata17%
Ryan Allsop17%
Carlos Vicente17%
Seung-Ho Paik13%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Marc Leonard12%
Jonathan Panzo11%
Ibrahim Osman11%
James Beadle11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ethan Laird9%
Marvin Ducksch6%
Kai Wagner6%
August Priske6%
Patrick Roberts5%
Tommy Doyle5%
Lyndon Dykes4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Kyogo Furuhashi3%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Wagner17%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Jay Stansfield13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Tommy Doyle10%
Willum Thor Willumsson8%
Patrick Roberts8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
August Priske6%
Ethan Laird5%
Bright Osayi-Samuel3%
Marvin Ducksch3%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Tomoki Iwata2%
Keshi Anderson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Osman28%
Marvin Ducksch25%
August Priske11%
Jay Stansfield11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Tomoki Iwata9%
Patrick Roberts8%
Demarai Gray8%
Eiran Joe Cashin8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
Tommy Doyle2%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Keshi Anderson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Kai Wagner0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Bristol City's squad is €28m less valuable than Birmingham's (€66m vs €93m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Bristol City's attack is €17m less valuable than Birmingham's (€29m vs €46m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Bristol City's midfield is €6m more valuable than Birmingham's (€19m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Bristol City's defence is €16m less valuable than Birmingham's (€18m vs €35m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull
Wrexham
Derby
Norwich
Swansea
Sheffield United
Preston
QPR
Watford
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds