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Bristol City vs Millwall Result & Analysis

Date: 06/12/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Bristol City
Bristol City
Vs
43%
29%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Referee: E Duckworth

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol City win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied 46.2% · @ 2.04
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.39
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.64
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L10W31W10W15L01L11D30W02L10WH·QPR04/10A·NOR18/10H·SOU21/10H·BIR25/10A·STO01/11H·BLA04/11A·WAT07/11H·SWA22/11A·WRE26/11A·POR29/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.271.731.071.001.47
vs Stronger (4)0.752.001.501.000.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.461.151.771.081.151.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W21W20W10W22D04L11D13L10W32WH·WES04/10A·QPR18/10H·STO21/10H·LEI25/10A·OXF01/11A·BIR04/11H·PRE08/11A·POR22/11H·SHE26/11H·SOU29/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.231.380.941.071.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.241.281.380.941.081.69
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.3%
@ 2.04-1.7%
Under 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.74+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1 ✓
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
Bristol City goals ↓
Millwall goals →
01234
09.9%7.9%4.9%1.7%0.5%
111%14%6.7%2.4%0.6%
28.3%8.8%4.7%1.7%0.4%
33.9%4.1%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bristol City goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Bristol City is 0.40 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Bristol City is 0.05 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Bristol City is 0.22 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Bristol City is 1.7 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bristol CityBristol City

For 4.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

1404442564663104623934186111091465125A·PORA·WREH·SWAA·WATH·BLAA·STOH·BIRH·SOUA·NORH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

6032121233211232513323333356A·PORA·WREH·SWAA·WATH·BLAA·STOH·BIRH·SOUA·NORH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

2501211810107910810101396101114119823181719182315212517A·PORA·WREH·SWAA·WATH·BLAA·STOH·BIRH·SOUA·NORH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

For 5.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1609695431063285593238451514716513145119H·SOUH·SHEA·PORH·PREA·BIRA·OXFH·LEIH·STOA·QPRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

601232222122142123344003363H·SOUH·SHEA·PORH·PREA·BIRA·OXFH·LEIH·STOA·QPRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 7.6 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

2501167111210111012314512813713817817182221151920202125H·SOUH·SHEA·PORH·PREA·BIRA·OXFH·LEIH·STOA·QPRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bristol CityBristol City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.19.83.23.33.120.019.520.4
vs Stronger (5)10.28.011.74.05.53.016.619.514.7
vs Similar (45)9.39.29.53.13.13.120.319.521.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line43%40%46%40%42%38%37%28%46%
% under line57%60%54%60%58%62%63%72%54%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.39.92.72.92.623.122.823.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (48)10.110.310.02.83.02.623.222.823.5
vs Weaker (2)9.0-9.01.00.02.020.0-20.0
% over line57%57%58%34%33%35%49%43%54%
% under line43%43%42%66%67%65%51%57%46%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.1
Sheffield Weds
10.9
Norwich
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Oxford
10.5
Portsmouth
10.4
QPR
10.3
Hull
10.2
Leicester
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Ipswich
10.1
Stoke
10.0
Middlesbrough
9.9
Derby
9.9
Blackburn
9.9
West Brom
9.9
Southampton
9.9
Watford
9.6
Preston
9.5
Wrexham
9.5
Bristol City
9.4
Birmingham
9.2
Swansea
9.1
Charlton
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Southampton
3.9
QPR
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Birmingham
3.7
Sheffield United
3.7
Preston
3.7
Leicester
3.6
Swansea
3.5
Blackburn
3.5
Hull
3.5
Coventry
3.4
Middlesbrough
3.4
Derby
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Charlton
3.3
Wrexham
3.3
West Brom
3.3
Bristol City
3.3
Oxford
3.3
Millwall
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Southampton
23.6
Blackburn
23.5
Swansea
23.4
Birmingham
23.3
Millwall
23.0
Portsmouth
22.9
QPR
22.8
Sheffield Weds
22.7
Charlton
22.7
Middlesbrough
22.3
Ipswich
22.3
Watford
22.1
Norwich
22.0
Sheffield United
22.0
Hull
21.8
Preston
21.7
Leicester
21.4
Derby
21.4
Oxford
21.3
Stoke
21.2
West Brom
21.1
Coventry
20.6
Wrexham
20.2
Bristol City
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.5%
Under 3.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.5%
Under 21.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bristol CityBristol City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D10W03L01L11D20W01L10WH·QPR04/10A·NOR18/10H·SOU21/10H·BIR25/10A·STO01/11H·BLA04/11A·WAT07/11H·SWA22/11A·WRE26/11A·POR29/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.930.470.600.73
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.500.500.001.50
vs Similar (26)0.850.541.000.460.690.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W20W10W11D02L11D01L00D00DH·WES04/10A·QPR18/10H·STO21/10H·LEI25/10A·OXF01/11A·BIR04/11H·PRE08/11A·POR22/11H·SHE26/11H·SOU29/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.620.190.570.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.620.450.620.190.620.77
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bristol CityBristol City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W20W00D12L00D00D10W01L00DH·QPR04/10A·NOR18/10H·SOU21/10H·BIR25/10A·STO01/11H·BLA04/11A·WAT07/11H·SWA22/11A·WRE26/11A·POR29/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.800.600.400.73
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.000.500.001.50
vs Similar (26)0.620.620.770.620.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D00D11D02L00D12L10W32WH·WES04/10A·QPR18/10H·STO21/10H·LEI25/10A·OXF01/11A·BIR04/11H·PRE08/11A·POR22/11H·SHE26/11H·SOU29/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.750.750.500.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.620.830.750.750.460.92
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls80.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anis Mehmeti29%
Sam Bell25%
Emil Riis Jacobsen19%
Scott Twine19%
Robert Atkinson15%
Max Bird11%
Mark Sykes10%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Ross McCrorie7%
Sinclair Armstrong7%
Adam Randell6%
Delano Burgzorg6%
Tomi Horvat6%
Noah Eile6%
Sam Morsy5%
Robert Dickie3%
Jason Knight3%
Neto Borges0%
Cameron Pring0%
Max O'Leary0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
George Earthy0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cameron Pring35%
Sam Morsy30%
Joe Lumley25%
Delano Burgzorg25%
Anis Mehmeti19%
Noah Eile19%
Neto Borges18%
Sinclair Armstrong16%
Robert Dickie14%
Zak Vyner13%
Ross McCrorie12%
Jason Knight11%
Scott Twine10%
George Earthy9%
Adam Randell9%
Haydon Roberts8%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Tomi Horvat6%
Max Bird6%
Mark Sykes5%
Radek Vitek5%
Robert Atkinson4%
George Tanner3%
Emil Riis Jacobsen2%
Max O'Leary0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Sam Bell0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomi Horvat25%
Scott Twine15%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Ross McCrorie12%
Neto Borges10%
George Earthy9%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Emil Riis Jacobsen6%
Delano Burgzorg6%
Sam Bell6%
Max Bird6%
Jason Knight5%
Adam Randell4%
Cameron Pring4%
Robert Atkinson4%
Robert Dickie3%
Mark Sykes2%
Max O'Leary0%
Sam Morsy0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Noah Eile0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anis Mehmeti32%
Scott Twine19%
Emil Riis Jacobsen13%
Sam Bell12%
Sinclair Armstrong11%
Tomi Horvat6%
Ross McCrorie5%
Cameron Pring4%
Mark Sykes2%
Adam Randell2%
Neto Borges0%
Robert Atkinson0%
Max Bird0%
Max O'Leary0%
Sam Morsy0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
Robert Dickie0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
Jason Knight0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Noah Eile0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
George Earthy0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Coburn29%
Femi Azeez27%
Kamarl Grant25%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Luke Cundle12%
Ryan Leonard11%
Caleb Taylor10%
Camiel Neghli10%
Macaulay Langstaff10%
Massimo Luongo9%
Jake Cooper8%
Aidomo Emakhu6%
Tristan Crama6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Casper De Norre3%
Thierno Ballo3%
Zak Sturge2%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Leonard25%
Kamarl Grant25%
Joe Bryan24%
Jake Cooper20%
Billy Mitchell20%
Thierno Ballo20%
Zak Sturge19%
Massimo Luongo18%
Tristan Crama18%
Danny McNamara18%
Tom Watson17%
Raees Bangura-Williams17%
Femi Azeez16%
Casper De Norre16%
Alfie Doughty14%
Derek Mazou-Sacko12%
Camiel Neghli8%
Josh Coburn6%
Barry Bannan6%
Macaulay Langstaff5%
Mihailo Ivanović4%
Caleb Taylor3%
Luke Cundle3%
Max Crocombe0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Howland33%
Femi Azeez19%
Alfie Doughty18%
Casper De Norre12%
Thierno Ballo11%
Tristan Crama10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Camiel Neghli8%
Ryan Leonard7%
Caleb Taylor7%
Mihailo Ivanović6%
Barry Bannan6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Billy Mitchell3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Luke Cundle0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Femi Azeez24%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Aidomo Emakhu13%
Thierno Ballo11%
Josh Coburn10%
Caleb Taylor7%
Camiel Neghli4%
Casper De Norre3%
Luke Cundle3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tristan Crama0%
Zak Sturge0%
Derek Mazou-Sacko0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Bristol City's squad is €19m less valuable than Millwall's (€66m vs €85m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Bristol City's attack is €1m less valuable than Millwall's (€29m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Bristol City's midfield is €10m less valuable than Millwall's (€19m vs €29m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Bristol City's defence is €7m less valuable than Millwall's (€18m vs €25m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BRC wins
1
Draws
3
MIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bristol City vs Millwall · H/A from BRC
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/25AMillwall Vs BRC0-2
17/08/24HBRC Vs Millwall4-3
01/01/24HBRC Vs Millwall0-1
12/08/23AMillwall Vs BRC0-1
29/12/22AMillwall Vs BRC0-0
15/10/22HBRC Vs Millwall1-2
02/01/22HBRC Vs Millwall3-2
29/09/21AMillwall Vs BRC1-0

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25APortsmouth Vs BRC0-1
26/11/25AWrexham Vs BRC2-0
22/11/25HBRC Vs Swansea3-0
07/11/25AWatford Vs BRC1-1
04/11/25HBRC Vs Blackburn0-1
01/11/25AStoke Vs BRC5-1
25/10/25HBRC Vs Birmingham1-0
21/10/25HBRC Vs Southampton3-1
18/10/25ANorwich Vs BRC0-1
04/10/25HBRC Vs QPR1-2

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25HMIL Vs Southampton3-2
26/11/25HMIL Vs Sheffield Weds1-0
22/11/25APortsmouth Vs MIL3-1
08/11/25HMIL Vs Preston1-1
04/11/25ABirmingham Vs MIL4-0
01/11/25AOxford Vs MIL2-2
25/10/25HMIL Vs Leicester1-0
21/10/25HMIL Vs Stoke2-0
18/10/25AQPR Vs MIL1-2
04/10/25HMIL Vs West Brom3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bristol City
Bristol City
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.56
HomeLWWLW2.04
AwayWLDLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%62%21%
AVG goals2.522.582.46
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %46%58%33%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.361.691.00
Conceded1.160.881.46
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners9.439.129.75
Cards3.273.443.08
Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.70
HomeWWDWW2.00
AwayDWDLL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.402.252.54
Over 1.5 %66%62%69%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored1.181.291.08
Conceded1.220.961.46
BTTS46%33%58%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners10.1110.309.92
Cards2.913.042.79

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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