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Bristol City vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Bristol City
Bristol City
Vs
43%
30%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: D Bond

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol City win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.87
Edge
-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.57
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.16
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L20W11D21W20W11D11D21W01LA·OXF01/02H·SWA09/02H·STO12/02A·CAR15/02H·MID21/02A·MIL04/03H·HUL08/03A·SHE11/03H·NOR14/03A·BUR29/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.001.400.731.131.27
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.321.041.500.791.141.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L22D04L10W20W00D12L10W01L00DH·NOR01/02A·SUN08/02H·LEE11/02A·MID15/02H·LUT23/02A·STO01/03H·MIL08/03H·SWA12/03A·OXF15/03H·PLY29/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.270.931.001.331.53
vs Stronger (3)1.002.670.004.001.502.00
vs Similar (27)1.151.111.000.791.311.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.7%
@ 1.97-5.7%
Under 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.85+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.9%
Under 3.5
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
Bristol City goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
010%8.2%4.9%1.7%0.4%
111%14%6.7%2.3%0.6%
28.4%8.7%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.8%3.9%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.3%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bristol City goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Bristol City is 0.24 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Bristol City is 0.13 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Bristol City is 0.13 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Bristol City is 1.6 percentage points worse than Watford in terms of average possession (51% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bristol CityBristol City

For 5.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

15027534514164415421113359891510593148A·BURH·NORA·SHEH·HULA·MILH·MIDA·CARH·STOH·SWAA·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

8041311422222440545024408A·BURH·NORA·SHEH·HULA·MILH·MIDA·CARH·STOH·SWAA·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.0 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

2309111110989511510139121299814920211714162321211723A·BURH·NORA·SHEH·HULA·MILH·MIDA·CARH·STOH·SWAA·OXF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 5.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.6

🚩 Corners

190145541611454465877374619971591013141010H·PLYA·OXFH·SWAH·MILA·STOH·LUTA·MIDH·LEEA·SUNH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

6013213212122221544351344064H·PLYA·OXFH·SWAH·MILA·STOH·LUTA·MIDH·LEEA·SUNH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

3201111811163771215131777126201214822191914273014183222H·PLYA·OXFH·SWAH·MILA·STOH·LUTA·MIDH·LEEA·SUNH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bristol CityBristol City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.210.23.53.43.721.821.322.2
vs Stronger (3)11.013.010.04.34.04.521.721.022.0
vs Similar (46)10.210.210.23.53.43.621.921.622.2
vs Weaker (1)7.07.0-3.03.0-15.015.0-
% over line54%57%52%52%44%60%56%48%64%
% under line46%43%48%48%56%40%44%52%36%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.210.13.94.03.923.122.723.6
vs Stronger (7)10.210.010.32.62.03.023.220.026.3
vs Similar (43)10.210.210.14.24.34.023.123.123.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line54%52%57%58%64%52%59%57%61%
% under line46%48%43%42%36%48%41%43%39%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.7
Sheffield Weds
11.5
QPR
11.1
Leeds
10.8
Luton
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
Stoke
10.6
Portsmouth
10.6
West Brom
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Millwall
10.4
Derby
10.3
Plymouth
10.3
Watford
10.3
Hull
10.3
Norwich
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.2
Bristol City
10.1
Swansea
10.1
Sunderland
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Cardiff
9.5
Burnley
9.5
Preston
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.3
Portsmouth
4.3
Watford
4.2
Stoke
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Blackburn
3.9
Luton
3.9
Preston
3.9
Burnley
3.9
QPR
3.8
Norwich
3.8
Swansea
3.7
West Brom
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Hull
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Bristol City
3.7
Leeds
3.6
Plymouth
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Derby
3.4
Millwall
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.6
Preston
24.4
Luton
24.4
Millwall
23.7
Sunderland
23.5
Blackburn
23.5
Leeds
23.5
Sheffield Weds
23.3
Plymouth
23.3
Watford
23.2
Swansea
23.1
Burnley
23.0
QPR
22.6
Hull
22.3
Norwich
22.2
Cardiff
21.8
Sheffield United
21.7
Bristol City
21.7
Coventry
21.6
Oxford
21.5
Derby
21.3
Stoke
21.1
Middlesbrough
20.8
West Brom
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.7%
Under 9.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.0%
Under 3.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bristol CityBristol City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D01L00D01L00D20W01LA·OXF01/02H·SWA09/02H·STO12/02A·CAR15/02H·MID21/02A·MIL04/03H·HUL08/03A·SHE11/03H·NOR14/03A·BUR29/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.430.600.400.200.47
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.430.460.640.430.210.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L10W20W00D10W10W00D00DH·NOR01/02A·SUN08/02H·LEE11/02A·MID15/02H·LUT23/02A·STO01/03H·MIL08/03H·SWA12/03A·OXF15/03H·PLY29/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.470.600.470.73
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.003.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)0.480.520.500.430.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bristol CityBristol City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W11D20W20W10W11D01L00DA·OXF01/02H·SWA09/02H·STO12/02A·CAR15/02H·MID21/02A·MIL04/03H·HUL08/03A·SHE11/03H·NOR14/03A·BUR29/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.800.330.930.80
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.890.570.860.360.930.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L00D00D00D02L00D01L00DH·NOR01/02A·SUN08/02H·LEE11/02A·MID15/02H·LUT23/02A·STO01/03H·MIL08/03H·SWA12/03A·OXF15/03H·PLY29/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.470.400.870.80
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
vs Similar (27)0.670.590.500.360.850.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.578.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nahki Wells21%
Harry Cornick20%
Anis Mehmeti20%
Scott Twine16%
Ross McCrorie15%
Fally Mayulu12%
Luke McNally11%
Mark Sykes11%
Sinclair Armstrong8%
Jason Knight6%
George Tanner6%
Robert Dickie5%
Yu Hirakawa5%
George Earthy5%
Haydon Roberts3%
Max Bird2%
Zak Vyner2%
Cameron Pring0%
Max O'Leary0%
Kal Naismith0%
Joe Williams0%
Marcus McGuane0%
Sam Bell0%
Elijah Morrison0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ross McCrorie35%
Elijah Morrison33%
Cameron Pring24%
Joe Williams23%
Harry Cornick20%
Luke McNally19%
Mark Sykes18%
Scott Twine16%
Haydon Roberts15%
Kal Naismith14%
Robert Dickie14%
Jason Knight12%
Marcus McGuane8%
George Earthy8%
Nahki Wells7%
Anis Mehmeti7%
Max O'Leary6%
Zak Vyner6%
George Tanner6%
Sinclair Armstrong5%
Max Bird2%
Fally Mayulu0%
Sam Bell0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe Williams15%
Max Bird14%
Mark Sykes14%
Jason Knight10%
Nahki Wells9%
Cameron Pring9%
Scott Twine8%
Yu Hirakawa5%
Luke McNally4%
Haydon Roberts3%
Robert Dickie3%
George Earthy2%
Anis Mehmeti2%
Ross McCrorie0%
Max O'Leary0%
Kal Naismith0%
Zak Vyner0%
Harry Cornick0%
Marcus McGuane0%
George Tanner0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Sam Bell0%
Elijah Morrison0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott Twine16%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Fally Mayulu12%
Nahki Wells12%
Sinclair Armstrong11%
Sam Bell9%
Ross McCrorie8%
Max Bird6%
Jason Knight4%
Luke McNally4%
George Tanner3%
Robert Dickie3%
George Earthy2%
Cameron Pring0%
Max O'Leary0%
Kal Naismith0%
Zak Vyner0%
Joe Williams0%
Harry Cornick0%
Mark Sykes0%
Marcus McGuane0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Elijah Morrison0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mileta Rajović40%
Kwadwo Baah16%
Edo Kayembe15%
Moussa Sissoko15%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo14%
Tom Dele-Bashiru13%
Rocco Vata11%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Thomas Ince8%
Ryan Porteous8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Matthew Pollock6%
Imrân Louza5%
Festy Ebosele5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze5%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mileta Rajović40%
Festy Ebosele37%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Imrân Louza30%
Francisco Sierralta29%
Ryan Porteous28%
Edo Kayembe24%
James Morris19%
Jeremy Ngakia17%
Matthew Pollock17%
Kwadwo Baah16%
James Abankwah16%
Daniel Jebbison15%
Giorgi Chakvetadze15%
Moussa Sissoko12%
Egil Selvik12%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo12%
Pierre Dwomoh9%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Ryan Andrews7%
Yasser Larouci7%
Daniel Bachmann5%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Thomas Ince3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Rocco Vata0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Tikvić33%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Imrân Louza14%
Caleb Wiley10%
Kwadwo Baah10%
Yasser Larouci10%
Matthew Pollock9%
Rocco Vata8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Ken Sema6%
Thomas Ince6%
Festy Ebosele5%
Ryan Porteous4%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Edo Kayembe2%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mileta Rajović20%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo19%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Edo Kayembe13%
Rocco Vata11%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Thomas Ince3%
Imrân Louza3%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Ryan Andrews2%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Bristol City's squad is €23m less valuable than Watford's (€66m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Bristol City and Watford have a similar attack value (both €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Bristol City's midfield is €20m less valuable than Watford's (€19m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Bristol City's defence is €4m less valuable than Watford's (€18m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
BRC wins
3
Draws
3
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bristol City vs Watford · H/A from BRC
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/24AWatford Vs BRC1-0
20/01/24HBRC Vs Watford1-1
26/12/23AWatford Vs BRC1-4
15/04/23AWatford Vs BRC2-0
12/11/22HBRC Vs Watford0-0
13/02/21AWatford Vs BRC6-0
25/11/20HBRC Vs Watford0-0

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25ABurnley Vs BRC1-0
14/03/25HBRC Vs Norwich2-1
11/03/25ASheffield United Vs BRC1-1
08/03/25HBRC Vs Hull1-1
04/03/25AMillwall Vs BRC0-2
21/02/25HBRC Vs Middlesbrough2-1
15/02/25ACardiff Vs BRC1-1
12/02/25HBRC Vs Stoke2-0
09/02/25HBRC Vs Swansea0-1
01/02/25AOxford Vs BRC1-1

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25HWAT Vs Plymouth0-0
15/03/25AOxford Vs WAT1-0
12/03/25HWAT Vs Swansea1-0
08/03/25HWAT Vs Millwall1-2
01/03/25AStoke Vs WAT0-0
23/02/25HWAT Vs Luton2-0
15/02/25AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT0-1
11/02/25HWAT Vs Leeds0-4
08/02/25ASunderland Vs WAT2-2
01/02/25HWAT Vs Norwich0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bristol City
Bristol City
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.44
HomeLWWDW1.84
AwayDDWDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%20%
AVG goals2.282.282.28
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored1.221.520.92
Conceded1.060.761.36
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners10.1710.1710.16
Cards3.693.703.68
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.32
HomeLWLWD1.88
AwayLDWDL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%56%16%
AVG goals2.542.043.04
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %24%8%40%
Scored1.241.281.20
Conceded1.300.761.84
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet34%52%16%
Corners10.1710.2210.13
Cards4.284.354.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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