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Bristol City vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 27/02/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 1-2
Bristol City
Bristol City
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: L Smith

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol City win✗ Miss
37.7%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.40
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.35
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.87
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L51W00D02L20W05L32W22D01L21WH·PRE04/01H·WAT10/01A·OXF17/01A·IPS20/01H·SHE24/01H·DER30/01A·HUL07/02H·WRE17/02A·SWA21/02A·BLA24/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.751.310.861.29
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.391.291.801.330.921.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L02L11D11D02L00D01L22D20W02LA·BRI10/01H·MIL17/01H·POR21/01A·BLA24/01H·SWA31/01A·HUL03/02A·SOU07/02A·PRE14/02H·DER21/02H·IPS24/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.301.471.001.131.60
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.361.291.570.931.141.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.92-6.2%
Under 2.5
57.4%
@ 1.83+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2 ✓
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
Bristol City goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
011%9.1%5.9%2.2%0.6%
110%14%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.2%8.2%4.6%1.8%0.5%
33.0%3.4%1.9%0.7%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bristol City goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Bristol City is 0.11 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Bristol City is 0.13 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Bristol City is 0.13 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Bristol City is 1.9 percentage points worse than Watford in terms of average possession (49% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bristol CityBristol City

For 4.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1604653324241972956346310856516111179A·BLAA·SWAH·WREA·HULH·DERH·SHEA·IPSA·OXFH·WATH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

7022422321161321124652207522A·BLAA·SWAH·WREA·HULH·DERH·SHEA·IPSA·OXFH·WATH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

3301015111411138109156131419129512111425252418241933211725A·BLAA·SWAH·WREA·HULH·DERH·SHEA·IPSA·OXFH·WATH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

160342279935758878744437416121213151587H·IPSH·DERA·PREA·SOUA·HULH·SWAA·BLAH·PORH·MILA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

8023221113342221144115424742282H·IPSH·DERA·PREA·SOUA·HULH·SWAA·BLAH·PORH·MILA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

3001416131168101091210117891272212530241420212115212917H·IPSH·DERA·PREA·SOUA·HULH·SWAA·BLAH·PORH·MILA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bristol CityBristol City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.89.83.33.43.220.619.921.3
vs Stronger (5)10.08.011.34.05.53.018.819.518.3
vs Similar (45)9.28.99.63.23.23.220.820.021.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line42%35%50%42%42%42%44%38%50%
% under line58%65%50%58%58%58%56%62%50%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.110.04.24.14.320.921.720.0
vs Stronger (2)7.07.07.04.05.03.023.030.016.0
vs Similar (48)10.110.210.14.24.14.420.821.320.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%58%54%52%54%50%42%46%38%
% under line44%42%46%48%46%50%58%54%62%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.3
Oxford
11.1
Millwall
10.6
Hull
10.6
Portsmouth
10.6
Preston
10.5
Norwich
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Coventry
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Leicester
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
Stoke
10.1
Blackburn
10.0
Watford
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Wrexham
9.9
Birmingham
9.8
Derby
9.8
QPR
9.8
Swansea
9.7
West Brom
9.6
Bristol City
9.3
Charlton
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Stoke
4.0
Portsmouth
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Blackburn
3.9
Hull
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Derby
3.9
Southampton
3.7
Sheffield United
3.7
QPR
3.7
Charlton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Oxford
3.6
West Brom
3.5
Birmingham
3.5
Preston
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Norwich
3.4
Leicester
3.4
Wrexham
3.3
Bristol City
3.3
Sheffield Weds
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Swansea
23.3
Blackburn
23.2
Southampton
23.1
Ipswich
23.0
Middlesbrough
22.6
Portsmouth
22.4
Birmingham
22.0
Derby
22.0
QPR
22.0
Leicester
22.0
Sheffield United
22.0
Sheffield Weds
21.7
Millwall
21.7
West Brom
21.7
Charlton
21.6
Oxford
21.4
Norwich
21.3
Hull
21.3
Stoke
21.1
Coventry
20.9
Watford
20.9
Bristol City
20.6
Preston
20.4
Wrexham
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.7%
Under 21.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bristol CityBristol City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D01L00D03L21W01L01L21WH·PRE04/01H·WAT10/01A·OXF17/01A·IPS20/01H·SHE24/01H·DER30/01A·HUL07/02H·WRE17/02A·SWA21/02A·BLA24/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.690.690.570.71
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.710.670.730.620.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D11D00D00D00D01L10W01LA·BRI10/01H·MIL17/01H·POR21/01A·BLA24/01H·SWA31/01A·HUL03/02A·SOU07/02A·PRE14/02H·DER21/02H·IPS24/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.730.600.331.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.790.790.570.291.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bristol CityBristol City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W00D01L20W02L11D21W00D00DH·PRE04/01H·WAT10/01A·OXF17/01A·IPS20/01H·SHE24/01H·DER30/01A·HUL07/02H·WRE17/02A·SWA21/02A·BLA24/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.601.060.620.290.57
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.750.571.130.600.310.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L11D00D02L00D01L21W10W01LA·BRI10/01H·MIL17/01H·POR21/01A·BLA24/01H·SWA31/01A·HUL03/02A·SOU07/02A·PRE14/02H·DER21/02H·IPS24/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.730.400.800.60
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.820.500.790.360.860.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls85.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anis Mehmeti29%
Sam Bell25%
Emil Riis Jacobsen19%
Scott Twine19%
Robert Atkinson15%
Max Bird11%
Mark Sykes10%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Ross McCrorie7%
Sinclair Armstrong7%
Adam Randell6%
Delano Burgzorg6%
Tomi Horvat6%
Noah Eile6%
Sam Morsy5%
Robert Dickie3%
Jason Knight3%
Neto Borges0%
Cameron Pring0%
Max O'Leary0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
George Earthy0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cameron Pring35%
Sam Morsy30%
Joe Lumley25%
Delano Burgzorg25%
Anis Mehmeti19%
Noah Eile19%
Neto Borges18%
Sinclair Armstrong16%
Robert Dickie14%
Zak Vyner13%
Ross McCrorie12%
Jason Knight11%
Scott Twine10%
George Earthy9%
Adam Randell9%
Haydon Roberts8%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Tomi Horvat6%
Max Bird6%
Mark Sykes5%
Radek Vitek5%
Robert Atkinson4%
George Tanner3%
Emil Riis Jacobsen2%
Max O'Leary0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Sam Bell0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomi Horvat25%
Scott Twine15%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Ross McCrorie12%
Neto Borges10%
George Earthy9%
Yu Hirakawa7%
Emil Riis Jacobsen6%
Delano Burgzorg6%
Sam Bell6%
Max Bird6%
Jason Knight5%
Adam Randell4%
Cameron Pring4%
Robert Atkinson4%
Robert Dickie3%
Mark Sykes2%
Max O'Leary0%
Sam Morsy0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Noah Eile0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anis Mehmeti32%
Scott Twine19%
Emil Riis Jacobsen13%
Sam Bell12%
Sinclair Armstrong11%
Tomi Horvat6%
Ross McCrorie5%
Cameron Pring4%
Mark Sykes2%
Adam Randell2%
Neto Borges0%
Robert Atkinson0%
Max Bird0%
Max O'Leary0%
Sam Morsy0%
Joe Lumley0%
Zak Vyner0%
Robert Dickie0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
Jason Knight0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Noah Eile0%
Radek Vitek0%
Fally Mayulu0%
George Earthy0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Olly Thomas0%
Leo Pecover0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Grieves20%
Rocco Vata17%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard16%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Vivaldo14%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Edoardo Bove9%
Edo Kayembe8%
Tom Ince7%
Kwadwo Baah7%
Jeremy Ngakia6%
Marc Bola5%
James Abankwah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Giorgi Chakvetadze0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Amin Nabizada0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Morris33%
Hector Kyprianou31%
Pierre Ekwah29%
Nestory Irankunda29%
Imrân Louza25%
Stephen Mfuni25%
Ryan Andrews25%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Matthew Pollock19%
James Abankwah19%
Edoardo Bove18%
Jeremy Petris17%
Formose Mendy17%
Saba Goglichidze17%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Kwadwo Baah14%
Edo Kayembe13%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Max Alleyne12%
Kévin Keben Biakolo10%
Nampalys Mendy8%
Egil Selvik7%
Vivaldo7%
Marc Bola5%
Othmane Maamma4%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Tom Ince0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Rocco Vata0%
Jack Grieves0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Rocco Vata17%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Giorgi Chakvetadze10%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Marc Bola8%
Vivaldo7%
Kévin Keben Biakolo6%
Othmane Maamma4%
Hector Kyprianou4%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Edo Kayembe3%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Tom Ince0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rocco Vata33%
Amin Nabizada33%
Nestory Irankunda21%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard14%
Vivaldo11%
Edo Kayembe11%
Tom Ince7%
Mamadou Doumbia6%
Marc Bola5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Bristol City's squad is €23m less valuable than Watford's (€66m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Bristol City and Watford have a similar attack value (both €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Bristol City's midfield is €20m less valuable than Watford's (€19m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Bristol City's defence is €4m less valuable than Watford's (€18m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BRC wins
3
Draws
2
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bristol City vs Watford · H/A from BRC
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26HBRC Vs Watford5-1
07/11/25AWatford Vs BRC1-1
05/04/25HBRC Vs Watford2-1
26/11/24AWatford Vs BRC1-0
20/01/24HBRC Vs Watford1-1
26/12/23AWatford Vs BRC1-4
15/04/23AWatford Vs BRC2-0
12/11/22HBRC Vs Watford0-0

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/26ABlackburn Vs BRC1-2
21/02/26ASwansea Vs BRC1-0
17/02/26HBRC Vs Wrexham2-2
07/02/26AHull Vs BRC2-3
30/01/26HBRC Vs Derby0-5
24/01/26HBRC Vs Sheffield Weds2-0
20/01/26AIpswich Vs BRC2-0
17/01/26AOxford Vs BRC0-0
10/01/26HBRC Vs Watford5-1
04/01/26HBRC Vs Preston0-2

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/26HWAT Vs Ipswich0-2
21/02/26HWAT Vs Derby2-0
14/02/26APreston Vs WAT2-2
07/02/26ASouthampton Vs WAT1-0
03/02/26AHull Vs WAT0-0
31/01/26HWAT Vs Swansea0-2
24/01/26ABlackburn Vs WAT1-1
21/01/26HWAT Vs Portsmouth1-1
17/01/26HWAT Vs Millwall0-2
10/01/26ABristol City Vs WAT5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bristol City
Bristol City
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.56
HomeLWWLD1.85
AwayDLWLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%33%
AVG goals2.703.002.38
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %50%62%38%
Over 3.5 %28%35%21%
Scored1.441.811.04
Conceded1.261.191.33
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners9.308.819.83
Cards3.303.423.17
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.26
HomeLDLWL1.65
AwayLDDLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%17%
AVG goals2.322.312.33
Over 1.5 %70%81%58%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %16%8%25%
Scored1.121.310.92
Conceded1.201.001.42
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners10.0210.089.96
Cards4.224.124.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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