Bristol Rovers are tipped to win, with a 57% chance of triumph, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 19% chance of a Rotherham victory. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 11.6% probability. Bristol Rovers, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Rotherham, on the road against a similar side, average 0.64 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (97.2% with a 3% edge), Home +2 handicap (93.2% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (92.8% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (92.1% with a 3% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (87.8% with a 2% edge), and Home over 0.5 goals (84.8% with a 2% edge). Bristol Rovers’ recent two-game winning run and Rotherham’s win-to-start form add extra intrigue to the fixture.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bristol Rvs win
57.0%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.71
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Dafabet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Draw
23.7%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.90
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.02
BetVictor
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Rotherham win
19.4%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.27
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.48
BetVictor
4.40
Unibet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.33
10Bet
4.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bristol Rvs
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.10
2.00
1.00
1.36
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.69
1.03
2.00
1.00
1.31
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.80
0.87
1.53
0.93
2.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
2.38
0.80
2.20
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (21)
0.81
1.62
0.89
1.22
0.75
1.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.8%
@ 1.18+3.0%
Under 1.5
18.2%
@ 4.37-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.61
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.7%
@ 1.62+1.0%
Under 2.5
41.3%
@ 2.21-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Betfair
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.3%
@ 2.52-0.6%
Under 3.5
63.7%
@ 1.47+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Betfair
2.70
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.52
Pinnacle
2.52
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Both teams to score
Yes
57.8%
@ 1.61+0.1%
No
42.2%
@ 2.19-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
No
BetVictor
2.25
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%@ 7.19+4.9%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.51+4.0%
2-0
9.2%@ 8.88+4.2%
1-0
8.3%@ 8.12+2.8%
3-1
6.5%@ 11.63+2.7%
3-0
6.0%@ 13.42+2.7%
0-0
5.8%@ 12.74+2.3%
1-2
5.4%@ 12.62+1.9%
Bristol Rvs goals ↓
Rotherham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
1
8.3%
11%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.9%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.0%
6.5%
3.5%
1.3%
0.3%
4
3.0%
3.2%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bristol Rvs goals (down), columns = Rotherham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Salford
1.71
Grimsby
1.69
Chesterfield
1.67
Barnet
1.65
Swindon
1.63
Rotherham
1.63
Port Vale
1.62
Exeter
1.58
Oldham
1.48
Crewe
1.46
Colchester
1.43
Walsall
1.41
Northampton
1.40
Bristol Rvs
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.33
Accrington
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.07
Newport County
0.93
Tranmere
0.89
Rochdale
0.88
Crawley Town
0.87
York
0.66
Bristol Rvs is 0.28 points worse than Rotherham in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Grimsby
1.60
Rotherham
1.52
Barnet
1.52
Swindon
1.52
Port Vale
1.52
Chesterfield
1.48
Exeter
1.48
Crewe
1.39
Colchester
1.35
Northampton
1.31
Salford
1.31
Oldham
1.30
Fleetwood Town
1.24
Bristol Rvs
1.22
Walsall
1.22
Tranmere
1.17
Cheltenham
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Newport County
1.04
Accrington
1.02
Crawley Town
0.96
Shrewsbury
0.91
Rochdale
0.82
York
0.61
Bristol Rvs is 0.31 goals worse than Rotherham in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.52).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Oldham
0.96
Colchester
1.07
Rotherham
1.09
Port Vale
1.09
Grimsby
1.10
Exeter
1.12
Barnet
1.15
Salford
1.16
Chesterfield
1.19
Walsall
1.22
Accrington
1.26
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Northampton
1.26
Swindon
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.41
Crawley Town
1.48
Shrewsbury
1.50
Gillingham
1.57
Newport County
1.67
Cheltenham
1.72
Tranmere
1.72
Rochdale
2.01
York
2.70
Bristol Rvs is 0.33 goals worse than Rotherham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chesterfield
58%
Barnet
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Grimsby
55%
Colchester
54%
Swindon
52%
Salford
50%
Crewe
50%
Fleetwood Town
50%
Cheltenham
49%
Tranmere
49%
Oldham
48%
Accrington
48%
Gillingham
47%
Newport County
47%
Shrewsbury
44%
Walsall
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bristol Rvs
For 4.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 8.9 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rotherham
For 2.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bristol Rvs
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.2
4.4
4.6
4.3
23.8
23.0
24.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.1
9.2
9.0
4.5
4.6
4.4
23.9
23.0
25.0
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
-
2.0
19.0
-
19.0
% over line
40%
44%
35%
70%
76%
64%
71%
64%
78%
% under line
60%
56%
65%
30%
24%
36%
29%
36%
22%
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.5
4.0
4.2
3.7
23.4
23.5
23.2
vs Stronger (12)
9.5
8.9
10.4
4.6
5.1
3.8
21.8
21.6
22.0
vs Similar (37)
9.3
9.4
9.2
3.8
3.9
3.7
24.1
24.8
23.5
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
14.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
16.0
16.0
-
% over line
49%
52%
46%
60%
58%
62%
61%
60%
62%
% under line
51%
48%
54%
40%
42%
38%
39%
40%
38%
This opponent (Bristol Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
11.8
Swindon
11.4
York
11.2
Walsall
10.6
Grimsby
10.5
Port Vale
10.4
Fleetwood Town
10.3
Chesterfield
10.3
Barnet
10.2
Oldham
10.2
Northampton
10.1
Exeter
10.1
Tranmere
10.0
Cheltenham
9.8
Accrington
9.8
Gillingham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Crewe
9.6
Salford
9.6
Rotherham
9.4
Bristol Rvs
9.3
Rochdale
9.0
Colchester
9.0
Shrewsbury
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Crawley Town
4.5
Shrewsbury
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Accrington
4.1
Rotherham
4.1
Chesterfield
4.0
Newport County
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
York
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Crewe
3.8
Grimsby
3.8
Salford
3.8
Walsall
3.7
Barnet
3.7
Exeter
3.5
Port Vale
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Cheltenham
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Rochdale
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crawley Town
25.1
Crewe
25.1
Colchester
24.9
Salford
24.8
Oldham
24.7
Barnet
24.1
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Gillingham
23.6
Rotherham
23.5
Rochdale
23.5
Newport County
23.2
Walsall
23.0
Fleetwood Town
22.8
Tranmere
22.7
Shrewsbury
22.6
Cheltenham
22.1
Exeter
22.0
Chesterfield
22.0
Port Vale
21.9
Northampton
21.9
Accrington
21.8
Swindon
20.3
York
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.0%
@ 1.80-3.5%
Under 9.5
52.0%
@ 1.91+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.84
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Under
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.2%
Under 21.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bristol Rvs or Draw
80.6%
Avg Implied 78.0% · @ 1.19
Edge
+2.6%
57%
24%
19%
covers Bristol Rvs + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bristol Rvs or Rotherham
76.3%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.21
Edge
-0.2%
57%
24%
19%
covers Bristol Rvs + Rotherham
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Draw or Rotherham
43.0%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 2.04
Edge
-2.4%
57%
24%
19%
covers Draw + Rotherham
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bristol Rvs over/under 0.5
Over
86.0%
@ 1.12+3.1%
Under
14.0%
@ 5.42-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.70
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Bristol Rvs over/under 1.5
Over
58.5%
@ 1.64+1.8%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.15-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Bristol Rvs over/under 2.5
Over
31.4%
@ 2.99+0.4%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.34-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Bristol Rvs over/under 3.5
Over
13.7%
@ 6.10-1.6%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.10+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betano
5.70
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.07
Rotherham over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
@ 1.40-0.4%
Under
34.0%
@ 2.76+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Rotherham over/under 1.5
Over
29.3%
@ 2.95-2.1%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.35+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
1xBet
2.92
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Rotherham over/under 2.5
Over
9.5%
@ 7.24-3.3%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.07+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Betano
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Rotherham over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
@ 17.25-3.1%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bristol Rvs, so a minus line means Bristol Rvs give that many goals of a start and Rotherham receive them. At -1, Bristol Rvs must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bristol Rvs win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bristol Rvs)
Bristol Rvs -2
16.8%
@ 5.45+0.4%
Draw -2
17.7%
@ 4.84-0.7%
Rotherham +2
65.5%
@ 1.37+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Marathonbet
4.95
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (Bristol Rvs)
Bristol Rvs -1
34.5%
@ 2.78+2.5%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.62-2.1%
Rotherham +1
43.0%
@ 2.06-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Unibet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Handicap +1 (Bristol Rvs)
Bristol Rvs +1
80.6%
@ 1.19+5.2%
Draw +1
11.9%
@ 5.99-3.1%
Rotherham -1
7.5%
@ 9.30-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Bristol Rvs)
Bristol Rvs +2
92.5%
@ 1.04+3.3%
Draw +2
5.3%
@ 13.00-1.8%
Rotherham -2
2.2%
@ 26.00-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bristol Rvs
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.88
0.38
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.66
0.48
0.88
0.38
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.83
0.47
0.53
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.12
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.24
0.71
0.33
0.22
0.17
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.28+2.8%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.36-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
William Hil
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.34-2.7%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.53+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.38
Under
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 5.30-1.6%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.12+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.20
Under
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bristol Rvs over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.4%
@ 1.63-3.6%
Under
46.6%
@ 2.16+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Bristol Rvs over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.3%
@ 4.01-5.8%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.20+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Bristol Rvs over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
@ 9.62-5.8%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Rotherham over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.3%
@ 2.35+1.8%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.53-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.31
10Bet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Rotherham over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 7.85-1.8%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Rotherham over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bristol Rvs
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.12
0.62
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.03
0.55
1.12
0.62
0.92
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.40
1.00
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.25
0.20
1.20
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.90
0.56
1.00
0.58
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.16+0.6%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 4.59-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.65
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
William Hil
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.84+1.1%
Under 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.86-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.90
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.3%
@ 3.55-3.9%
Under 2.5
77.7%
@ 1.26+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bristol Rvs over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.2%
@ 1.43-7.7%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.65+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.65
10Bet
2.62
Bristol Rvs over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.3%
@ 3.00-7.7%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.34+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Betano
2.92
Under
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bristol Rvs over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.4%
@ 7.47-7.0%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.06+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Rotherham over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.3%
@ 1.94+2.5%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.77-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Betano
1.91
Under
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.73
Rotherham over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.0%
@ 5.74-0.2%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.10+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Rotherham over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.2%
@ 16.12-2.7%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+7.0%
Home +2 handicap
92.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+3.3%
Under 5.5
91.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+2.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+1.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
86.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.07
-
+1.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
86.0%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+3.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
+1.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
+0.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.7%
1.20
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
+5.8%
Over 1.5
81.8%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+3.0%
Under 4.5
80.8%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+1.3%
Home or Draw
80.6%
1.19
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
+2.6%
Home +1 handicap
80.6%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+5.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+0.6%
Under 5.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.26
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
+3.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
-
+7.7%
Home or Away
76.3%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-0.2%
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.1%
1.28
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
+2.8%
Under 11.5 corners
75.1%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.29
-
+5.4%
Over 2.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
70.7%
1.35
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+2.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bristol Rvs
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom James67%
Bobby Kamwa50%
Ellis Harrison33%
B. Purrington25%
F. Cavegn25%
R. Smallwood0%
J. Aitchison0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Brad Young0%
C. Mola0%
Tommy Leigh0%
Riley Harbottle0%
Shaqai Forde0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tom James67%
Tommy Leigh50%
R. Smallwood25%
Kofi Balmer25%
C. Mola25%
Bobby Kamwa25%
Riley Harbottle25%
Shaqai Forde25%
Ellis Harrison0%
B. Purrington0%
J. Aitchison0%
Brad Young0%
F. Cavegn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom James33%
Kofi Balmer25%
Brad Young25%
Tommy Leigh25%
R. Smallwood0%
Ellis Harrison0%
B. Purrington0%
J. Aitchison0%
C. Mola0%
Bobby Kamwa0%
Riley Harbottle0%
Shaqai Forde0%
F. Cavegn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bobby Kamwa50%
Tommy Leigh50%
F. Cavegn50%
Ellis Harrison33%
Shaqai Forde25%
Tom James0%
R. Smallwood0%
B. Purrington0%
J. Aitchison0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Brad Young0%
C. Mola0%
Riley Harbottle0%
Rotherham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Tavares50%
Tom Bradshaw33%
Ewan Otoo33%
P. Mullin25%
J. Rafferty0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brandon Cover75%
Jili Buyabu67%
Fábio Tavares25%
Sonny Aljofree25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ar'Jany Martha50%
Ewan Otoo33%
K. Spence25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Fábio Tavares0%
D. Hall0%
Ted Cann0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Tavares25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAL (26)
€8m
PV (23)
€7m
CHE (24)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Bristol Rvs and Rotherham have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Bristol Rvs and Rotherham have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Bristol Rvs and Rotherham have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Bristol Rvs and Rotherham have a similar defence value (both €3m).
England: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barnet
Walsall
Crewe
Oldham
York
Cheltenham
Swindon
Colchester
Tranmere
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Exeter
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
Northampton
Rochdale
Salford
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Accrington
Port Vale