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Briton Ferry vs Barry Town Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 1-4
Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Vs
33%
27%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Barry Town
Barry Town
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Briton Ferry face Barry Town in a tightly contested Premier League fixture, with the model favouring an away win at 41%. The expected total goals hover around 3.0, yet the most probable total is 2, a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability, underscoring the evenly matched nature of the contest. Briton Ferry, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded, while Barry Town on the road averages 2.08 scored and 1.17 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 33% for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 41% for an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Under 6.5 (96.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.6%), and Away under 3.5 goals (92.4%). Both sides have shown recent form, with Briton Ferry coming off a win and Barry Town on a four-game winning streak.

Results analysis

Briton Ferry’s recent form, now marred by two straight defeats, was unable to halt Barry Town’s five-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as Barry Town triumphed 4-1. The pre-match probability for the favoured outcome was 41%. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (98.8%) was correct, as were Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%) and Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%). Under 6.5 (96.7%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%) also succeeded, as did Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.8%) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.6%). The only miss was Away under 3.5 goals (92.4%). The final score of 1-4 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s predictions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Briton Ferry win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.17
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.42
Unibet
3.35
Dafabet
3.30
1xBet
3.26
William Hil
3.25
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.40
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Betano
3.55
Dafabet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Barry Town win✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.02
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.15
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Dafabet
2.08
Superbet
2.07

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L31W21W21W11D01L10W03LA·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08A·FLI21/08A·CAR28/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.431.141.501.191.38
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.231.461.171.501.291.43
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barry TownBarry Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D20W01L11D21W32W10W31W42WH·CAE21/03A·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08H·AIR28/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.901.870.672.071.13
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.960.831.830.502.081.17
vs Weaker (4)3.001.253.001.503.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.19+4.0%
Under 1.5
19.1%
@ 3.95-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
3.98
Betano
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.64+1.2%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 2.09-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Under
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.9%
@ 2.56-0.8%
Under 3.5
65.1%
@ 1.42+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Unibet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
@ 1.55+2.0%
No
39.0%
@ 2.23-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
No
Betano
2.30
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Superbet
2.27
10Bet
2.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.36+5.4%
1-2
8.9%@ 7.74+3.2%
2-1
7.9%@ 10.27+3.6%
0-1
6.9%@ 8.55+1.8%
0-2
6.3%@ 10.26+2.1%
2-2
6.2%@ 11.17+2.3%
0-0
6.2%@ 11.75+2.5%
1-0
6.0%@ 11.04+2.0%
Briton Ferry goals ↓
Barry Town goals →
01234
06.2%6.9%6.3%3.3%1.3%
16.0%12%8.9%4.7%1.9%
25.0%7.9%6.2%3.3%1.3%
32.3%3.7%2.9%1.5%0.6%
40.8%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Briton Ferry goals (down), columns = Barry Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Briton Ferry is 1.83 points worse than Barry Town in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Briton Ferry is 2.00 goals worse than Barry Town in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 2.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Briton Ferry is 0.50 goals worse than Barry Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Briton Ferry or Draw✗ Miss
59.2%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.69
Edge
+5.2%
33%
27%
41%
covers Briton Ferry + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.81
Betano
1.78
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Briton Ferry or Barry Town✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.2%
33%
27%
41%
covers Briton Ferry + Barry Town
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Draw or Barry Town✓ Hit
67.3%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
-4.1%
33%
27%
41%
covers Draw + Barry Town
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.30
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.3%
@ 1.29+4.3%
Under
24.7%
@ 3.18-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Marathonbet
3.28
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.14
10Bet
3.10
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.8%
@ 2.48+3.6%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.47-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
1xBet
2.55
Unibet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 5.61+0.3%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.09-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
5.90
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Briton Ferry over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 10.38-3.6%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.50
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Barry Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.5%
@ 1.16+0.4%
Under
20.5%
@ 4.38-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Barry Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.9%
@ 1.85-3.0%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.84+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Barry Town over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.2%
@ 3.76-3.2%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.22+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.84
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Barry Town over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
7.6%
@ 7.27-5.2%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.07+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.06

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Briton Ferry, so a minus line means Briton Ferry give that many goals of a start and Barry Town receive them. At -1, Briton Ferry must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Briton Ferry win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Barry Town
Briton Ferry -2
5.6%
@ 17.00+0.1%
Draw -2
9.8%
@ 10.00+0.5%
Barry Town +2
84.6%
@ 1.09-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.09
Handicap -1 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Barry Town
Briton Ferry -1
15.4%
@ 6.22+1.5%
Draw -1
17.3%
@ 4.92-0.3%
Barry Town +1
67.3%
@ 1.27-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Unibet
5.40
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.21
Handicap +1 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Barry Town
Briton Ferry +1
59.2%
@ 1.67+7.4%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 3.74-3.5%
Barry Town -1
21.0%
@ 3.48-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Unibet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.59
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.15
Away
Marathonbet
3.95
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
2.95
Handicap +2 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Barry Town
Briton Ferry +2
79.0%
@ 1.23+5.8%
Draw +2
12.5%
@ 6.00-2.4%
Barry Town -2
8.5%
@ 7.50-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Marathonbet
6.50
Bet365
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
8.50
Bet365
6.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D30W00D11D10W00D10W01LA·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08A·FLI21/08A·CAR28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.640.710.620.44
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.540.670.580.640.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barry TownBarry Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W01L10W00D12L00D11D10WH·CAE21/03A·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08H·AIR28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.370.670.201.000.53
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.330.750.171.000.50
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.0%
@ 1.29+1.2%
Under 0.5
28.0%
@ 3.12-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 2.37+0.1%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.49-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.44
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 5.31-3.7%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.10+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.90
William Hil
5.80
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 2.13+1.6%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.63-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.09
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 7.07-0.1%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.06+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 11.00-6.4%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Barry Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.5%
@ 1.77-2.8%
Under
50.5%
@ 1.94+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
Barry Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.8%
@ 5.07-2.4%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.13+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.25
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Barry Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 9.50-7.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L01L21W10W01L01L00D02LA·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08A·FLI21/08A·CAR28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.500.790.560.94
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.920.500.920.640.93
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barry TownBarry Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L00D00D01L21W20W10W20W32WH·CAE21/03A·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08H·AIR28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.531.200.471.070.60
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.080.501.080.331.080.67
vs Weaker (4)2.001.002.501.501.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.9%
@ 1.17+1.3%
Under 0.5
20.1%
@ 4.28-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.30
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.9%
@ 1.87-2.6%
Under 1.5
53.1%
@ 1.83+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.7%
@ 3.71-5.0%
Under 2.5
80.3%
@ 1.22+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.86
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.4%
@ 1.79-1.2%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.90+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 4.90-3.2%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.14+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 9.25-6.3%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Barry Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.0%
@ 1.54+2.2%
Under
38.0%
@ 2.29-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.17
Barry Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.4%
@ 3.58-4.4%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.25+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
Barry Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 8.60-5.6%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.0%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.6%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+7.4%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.7%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+5.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.2%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+6.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.8%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
---+5.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.6%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
---+3.6%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals92.4%1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
--+5.2%✗ Miss
Under 5.591.8%1.04
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
BetVictor
1.02
+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.1%1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
--+0.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.5%1.10
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
+3.7%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap84.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----0.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.3%1.14
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
--+3.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals84.2%1.13
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
--+2.4%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals83.4%1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-0.3%✓ Hit
Under 4.581.8%1.14
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
+2.2%✗ Miss
Over 1.580.9%1.19
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
+4.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.3%1.22
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
+5.0%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals79.9%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+1.3%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals79.5%1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+0.4%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap79.0%1.23
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.17
---+5.8%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals78.8%1.22
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
+3.2%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals78.6%1.25
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
--+4.4%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals75.3%1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+4.3%✓ Hit
Home or Away73.5%1.22
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-1.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals72.0%1.29
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+1.2%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Barry Town have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Barry Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Barry Town have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Barry Town have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BF wins
2
Draws
3
BT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town · H/A from BF
DateH/AGameScore
31/12/25HBF Vs Barry Town2-1
07/10/25ABarry Town Vs BF0-1
19/04/25ABarry Town Vs BF5-0
07/03/25HBF Vs Barry Town3-4
31/12/24HBF Vs Barry Town0-0
12/10/24ABarry Town Vs BF3-1
10/03/23HBF Vs Barry Town1-1
12/08/22ABarry Town Vs BF0-1

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ACardiff MET Vs BF3-0
21/08/26AFlint Town United Vs BF0-1
14/08/26AThe New Saints Vs BF1-0
07/08/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs BF1-1
31/07/26HBF Vs Ammanford AFC2-1
18/04/26ABala Town Vs BF1-2
03/04/26HBF Vs Cardiff MET3-1
28/03/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs BF1-0
21/03/26HBF Vs Flint Town United0-0
16/03/26ACardiff MET Vs BF0-2

Barry TownBarry Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HBT Vs Airbus UK4-2
21/08/26AHolywell Vs BT1-3
15/08/26HBT Vs Cardiff MET1-0
07/08/26AFlint Town United Vs BT2-3
31/07/26HBT Vs Cambrian & Clydach2-1
26/04/26HBT Vs Haverfordwest County AFC1-1
18/04/26HBT Vs The New Saints0-1
03/04/26APenybont Vs BT0-2
29/03/26AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs BT1-1
21/03/26HBT Vs Caernarfon Town2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.32
HomeLWDWW1.13
AwayWDLWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%30%41%
AVG goals3.082.963.19
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %58%57%59%
Over 3.5 %38%30%44%
Scored1.401.221.56
Conceded1.681.741.63
BTTS56%57%56%
Clean Sheet24%17%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Barry Town
Barry Town
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.72
HomeLDWWW1.92
AwayLDWWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.982.523.44
Over 1.5 %74%60%88%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %42%32%52%
Scored1.841.761.92
Conceded1.140.761.52
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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