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Briton Ferry vs Penybont Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-5
Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Vs
48%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penybont
Penybont
Wales: Welsh Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Briton Ferry win✗ Miss
48.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penybont win✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W01L22D25L22D12L12L00D10W03LA·LLA22/08H·HAV25/08A·COL30/08H·CAE13/09A·BAL19/09H·LLA23/09A·FLI27/09H·PEN03/10A·BAR07/10H·GAP11/10← Premier LeagueWelsh Cup →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.871.211.711.942.00
vs Stronger (3)2.672.003.001.002.502.50
vs Similar (24)1.291.921.001.671.582.17
vs Weaker (3)3.001.332.003.003.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PenybontPenybont

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W01L00D50W21W40W10W00D21W26LH·LLA25/08H·GAP30/08A·BAL06/09H·FLI13/09A·CAE20/09A·CAR23/09H·COL27/09A·BRI03/10H·HAV07/10A·THE11/10← Premier LeagueWelsh Cup →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.231.470.671.531.80
vs Stronger (6)0.672.670.671.000.674.33
vs Similar (24)1.710.881.670.581.751.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
Briton Ferry goals ↓
Penybont goals →
01234
09.2%6.8%4.0%1.3%0.3%
111%13%6.1%2.0%0.5%
29.3%9.3%4.6%1.5%0.4%
34.7%4.7%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.8%1.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Briton Ferry goals (down), columns = Penybont goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
The New Saints
3.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
llanelli AFC
2.40
Trearddur Bay
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.25
Caersws
2.25
Airbus UK
2.25
Llandudno
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Trefelin
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Flint Town United
2.00
Llantwit Major
2.00
Swansea University
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Caerau (Ely)
1.75
Morriston Town
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Kinmel Bay
1.50
Llanefydd
1.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Briton Ferry
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Holyhead Hotspur
1.50
Gresford Athletic
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Bala Town
1.33
Carmarthen Town
1.25
Barry Town
1.00
Caernarfon Town
1.00
Evans & Williams
1.00
Cefn Cribwr
1.00
Saltney Town
1.00
Afan United
1.00
Nefyn United
1.00
Tredegar Town
1.00
Lliswerry
1.00
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
1.00
Goytre United
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
CPD Sychdyn United
1.00
Berriew
1.00
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
1.00
Llanfair United
1.00
Glynneath Town
1.00
Dinas Powys
1.00
Llanrug United
1.00
Blaenavon Blues
1.00
Port Talbot Town
1.00
Pentwynmawr Athletic
1.00
Pwllheli
1.00
Abercarn United
1.00
Rhostyllen
1.00
Forden United
1.00
Broughton United FC
1.00
Dolgellau Athletic
1.00
Hawarden Rangers
1.00
Penygraig United FC
1.00
Bow Street
1.00
Welshpool Town
1.00
Tata Steel
1.00
Cwmbach Royal Stars
1.00
Ynyshir Albions
1.00
Treowen Stars
1.00
Caerphilly Athletic
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Newtown AFC
1.00
Afan Lido
1.00
Pontyclun
1.00
Cwm Welfare AFC
1.00
Garden Village
1.00
Canton Liberal
1.00
Rhayader Town
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.67
Ruthin Town
0.50
Rhyl
0.50
Baglan Dragons
0.00
Queens Park
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Cwmbran Town
0.00
NFA
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Caldicot Town
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Brickfield Rangers
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Briton Ferry is 1.50 points better than Penybont in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
The New Saints
5.83
Gresford Athletic
5.00
Buckley Town
4.50
Denbigh Town
3.50
Caersws
3.50
Flint Town United
3.50
Llandudno
3.33
Trefelin
3.33
Barry Town
3.00
Kinmel Bay
3.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3.00
Cwmbran Celtic
3.00
Caerau (Ely)
3.00
Porthmadog
3.00
Airbus UK
2.75
Rhyl
2.50
Penydarren BGC
2.33
Swansea University
2.33
llanelli AFC
2.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.17
Briton Ferry
2.00
Carmarthen Town
1.75
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Bala Town
1.67
Mold Alexandra
1.67
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Evans & Williams
1.46
Cefn Cribwr
1.46
Saltney Town
1.46
Afan United
1.46
Nefyn United
1.46
Tredegar Town
1.46
Lliswerry
1.46
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
1.46
CPD Sychdyn United
1.46
Berriew
1.46
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
1.46
Llanfair United
1.46
Glynneath Town
1.46
Dinas Powys
1.46
Llanrug United
1.46
Blaenavon Blues
1.46
Port Talbot Town
1.46
Pentwynmawr Athletic
1.46
Pwllheli
1.46
Abercarn United
1.46
Rhostyllen
1.46
Forden United
1.46
Broughton United FC
1.46
Dolgellau Athletic
1.46
Hawarden Rangers
1.46
Penygraig United FC
1.46
Bow Street
1.46
Welshpool Town
1.46
Tata Steel
1.46
Cwmbach Royal Stars
1.46
Ynyshir Albions
1.46
Treowen Stars
1.46
Caerphilly Athletic
1.46
Pontyclun
1.46
Cwm Welfare AFC
1.46
Garden Village
1.46
Canton Liberal
1.46
Rhayader Town
1.46
Pill AFC
1.33
Trearddur Bay
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Ammanford AFC
1.00
Baglan Dragons
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Morriston Town
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Cwmbran Town
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
NFA
1.00
Caldicot Town
1.00
Brickfield Rangers
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Cardiff MET
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
1.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.50
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Caernarfon Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Briton Ferry is 2.00 goals better than Penybont in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Caernarfon Town
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.00
llanelli AFC
0.40
Ammanford AFC
0.50
Cardiff Draconians
0.50
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Morriston Town
0.67
Trearddur Bay
0.67
Taffs Well
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Llwydcoed
1.00
Penybont
1.00
Denbigh Town
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.00
Briton Ferry
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Llantwit Major
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Swansea University
1.33
Bala Town
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Caerau (Ely)
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Ruthin Town
1.50
Flint Town United
1.50
Airbus UK
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Trefelin
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Caersws
1.75
Llandudno
2.00
St Asaph City
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
NFA
2.00
Caldicot Town
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Newport City
2.00
Penrhyncoch
2.00
Carmarthen Town
2.00
Evans & Williams
2.17
Cefn Cribwr
2.17
Saltney Town
2.17
Afan United
2.17
Nefyn United
2.17
Tredegar Town
2.17
Lliswerry
2.17
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
2.17
CPD Sychdyn United
2.17
Berriew
2.17
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
2.17
Llanfair United
2.17
Glynneath Town
2.17
Dinas Powys
2.17
Llanrug United
2.17
Blaenavon Blues
2.17
Port Talbot Town
2.17
Pentwynmawr Athletic
2.17
Pwllheli
2.17
Abercarn United
2.17
Rhostyllen
2.17
Forden United
2.17
Broughton United FC
2.17
Dolgellau Athletic
2.17
Hawarden Rangers
2.17
Penygraig United FC
2.17
Bow Street
2.17
Welshpool Town
2.17
Tata Steel
2.17
Cwmbach Royal Stars
2.17
Ynyshir Albions
2.17
Treowen Stars
2.17
Caerphilly Athletic
2.17
Pontyclun
2.17
Cwm Welfare AFC
2.17
Garden Village
2.17
Canton Liberal
2.17
Rhayader Town
2.17
Colwyn Bay
2.33
Kinmel Bay
2.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.50
Gresford Athletic
2.50
Barry Town
3.00
Cwmbran Town
3.00
Brickfield Rangers
3.00
Llanberis
4.00
Cwmbran Celtic
4.00
Rhyl
4.00
Baglan Dragons
5.00
Cefn Albion
5.00
Guilsfield
5.00
Queens Park
6.00
Briton Ferry and Penybont are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Briton Ferry or Draw✗ Miss
76.5%
Avg Implied -
48%
28%
24%
covers Briton Ferry + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry or Penybont✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied -
48%
28%
24%
covers Briton Ferry + Penybont
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Penybont✓ Hit
51.7%
Avg Implied -
48%
28%
24%
covers Draw + Penybont
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.1%
Under
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.3%
Under
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Briton Ferry, so a minus line means Briton Ferry give that many goals of a start and Penybont receive them. At -1, Briton Ferry must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Briton Ferry win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Penybont
Briton Ferry -2
10.2%
Draw -2
15.1%
Penybont +2
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Penybont
Briton Ferry -1
25.3%
Draw -1
23.0%
Penybont +1
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Penybont
Briton Ferry +1
76.5%
Draw +1
14.6%
Penybont -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Briton Ferry)Actual: Penybont
Briton Ferry +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.4%
Penybont -2
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D11D21W11D10W11D00D10W00DA·LLA22/08H·HAV25/08A·COL30/08H·CAE13/09A·BAL19/09H·LLA23/09A·FLI27/09H·PEN03/10A·BAR07/10H·GAP11/10← Premier LeagueWelsh Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.640.430.811.12
vs Stronger (3)1.671.333.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.620.750.500.330.751.17
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PenybontPenybont

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D20W00D20W10W00D01L03LH·LLA25/08H·GAP30/08A·BAL06/09H·FLI13/09A·CAE20/09A·CAR23/09H·COL27/09A·BRI03/10H·HAV07/10A·THE11/10← Premier LeagueWelsh Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.600.270.330.73
vs Stronger (6)0.171.330.330.670.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.290.670.170.420.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L11D04L11D02L01L00D00D03LA·LLA22/08H·HAV25/08A·COL30/08H·CAE13/09A·BAL19/09H·LLA23/09A·FLI27/09H·PEN03/10A·BAR07/10H·GAP11/10← Premier LeagueWelsh Cup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.070.571.291.120.88
vs Stronger (3)1.000.670.000.001.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.671.170.501.330.831.00
vs Weaker (3)2.330.672.002.002.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PenybontPenybont

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D30W21W20W00D00D20W23LH·LLA25/08H·GAP30/08A·BAL06/09H·FLI13/09A·CAE20/09A·CAR23/09H·COL27/09A·BRI03/10H·HAV07/10A·THE11/10← Premier LeagueWelsh Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.730.870.401.201.07
vs Stronger (6)0.501.330.330.330.672.33
vs Similar (24)1.170.581.000.421.330.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penybont over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.595.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals92.0%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap91.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.588.8%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals80.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals78.3%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw76.5%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap76.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.3%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap74.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals73.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away71.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
NC (4)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Penybont have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Penybont have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Penybont have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
BT (6)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
Briton Ferry and Penybont have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
BF wins
1
Draws
1
PEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Briton Ferry vs Penybont · H/A from BF
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/25HBF Vs Penybont0-0
24/09/24APenybont Vs BF0-1
11/08/24HBF Vs Penybont0-2

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25HBF Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC0-3
07/10/25ABarry Town Vs BF0-1
03/10/25HBF Vs Penybont0-0
27/09/25AFlint Town United Vs BF2-1
23/09/25HBF Vs llanelli AFC1-2
19/09/25ABala Town Vs BF2-2
13/09/25HBF Vs Caernarfon Town2-5
30/08/25AColwyn Bay Vs BF2-2
25/08/25HBF Vs Haverfordwest County AFC0-1
22/08/25Allanelli AFC Vs BF2-4

PenybontPenybont

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25AThe New Saints Vs PEN6-2
07/10/25HPEN Vs Haverfordwest County AFC2-1
03/10/25ABriton Ferry Vs PEN0-0
27/09/25HPEN Vs Colwyn Bay1-0
23/09/25ACardiff MET Vs PEN0-4
20/09/25ACaernarfon Town Vs PEN1-2
13/09/25HPEN Vs Flint Town United5-0
06/09/25ABala Town Vs PEN0-0
30/08/25HPEN Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC0-1
25/08/25HPEN Vs llanelli AFC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.20
HomeLLLDL1.00
AwayWDDLW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%25%42%
AVG goals3.363.083.62
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %66%58%73%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.581.331.81
Conceded1.781.751.81
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Penybont
Penybont
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.88
HomeWLWWW2.00
AwayDWWDL1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%58%54%
AVG goals2.762.333.15
Over 1.5 %68%58%77%
Over 2.5 %54%38%69%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.701.621.77
Conceded1.060.711.38
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1The New SaintsThe New Saints3280
81%
2.5
8125+56
3.3
88%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.8
-
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC3258
50%
1.8
6138+23
3.1
88%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.2
-
3Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC3449
41%
1.4
4946+3
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.4
-
4Barry TownBarry Town3347
36%
1.4
4434+10
2.4
64%
39%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3346
36%
1.4
4137+4
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.1
-
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town3245
38%
1.4
5647+9
3.2
91%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.5
-
7Briton FerryBriton Ferry3245
38%
1.4
4647-1
2.9
81%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
8PenybontPenybont3445
35%
1.3
4149-8
2.6
68%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
9Cardiff METCardiff MET3238
25%
1.2
4351-8
2.9
88%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.6
-
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United3235
25%
1.1
4859-11
3.3
81%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
11Bala TownBala Town3232
25%
1.0
3345-12
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12llanelli AFCllanelli AFC3213
9%
0.4
1782-65
3.1
78%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
Wales: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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