Bromley, on a 2-game winning run after beating Barnsley 1-0, hosts Cambridge. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, while the away win and draw probabilities stand at 24% and 34% respectively. The expected total goals is 1.9, suggesting a low-scoring match. The most likely score is 0-0 with a 17% probability, closely followed by 1-0 and 1-1.
Bromley has been conceding an average of 0.7 goals at home against weaker opponents, while scoring 1.4 goals. Cambridge, on the other hand, has scored 0.67 goals away against stronger opponents and conceded 0.33 goals.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 with a 88.3% probability and Under 2.5 with a 71.6% probability. The home win percentage is 42%, the draw percentage is 34%, and the away win percentage is 24%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Bromley, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s home-win pick. The model had given Bromley a 47 % chance of victory, but the outcome proved a miss. Every suggested selection was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.9 %, Under 6.5 at 99.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.3 %, Under 5.5 at 98.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.4 %, Under 4.5 at 96.0 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 95.9 %, and Home +2 handicap at 92.5 %. The game’s single goal from each side matched the model’s most likely total of two, confirming the low-scoring narrative. Bromley’s recent form, a draw after a win-win-lose-draw-loss run, and Cambridge’s similar draw-heavy streak, set the stage for a tight contest that ultimately defied expectations.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bromley win✗ Miss
46.6%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.62
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.65
Unibet
2.65
Draw✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.23
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
Unibet
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Cambridge win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.61
Edge
-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bromley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.83
1.53
0.73
1.47
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.55
0.86
1.53
0.73
1.57
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.73
2.25
0.88
1.14
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.72
0.66
2.27
0.73
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
@ 1.32+1.5%
Under 1.5
28.2%
@ 3.14-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.34
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.39
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.02-1.6%
Under 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.75+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Bet365
2.08
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Under
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
@ 3.51-2.9%
Under 3.5
76.4%
@ 1.26+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.67
888Sport
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.52
Under
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.9%
@ 1.78-2.4%
No
50.1%
@ 1.95+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Betfair
1.80
888Sport
1.80
No
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%@ 5.83+6.0%
1-0
11.2%@ 7.73+5.4%
0-0
9.7%@ 8.72+4.6%
2-1
9.1%@ 9.33+4.3%
2-0
9.1%@ 12.09+5.4%
0-1
7.2%@ 7.61+1.4%
1-2
6.2%@ 9.23+1.4%
2-2
4.6%@ 13.00+1.1%
Bromley goals ↓
Cambridge goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
7.2%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.1%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.5%
4.5%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bromley goals (down), columns = Cambridge goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Bromley is 0.13 points worse than Cambridge in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Bromley is 0.12 goals worse than Cambridge in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Bromley is 0.18 goals worse than Cambridge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.49).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bromley
For 5.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cambridge
For 6.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bromley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.4
10.7
3.6
3.4
3.8
21.8
20.6
23.0
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
18.0
18.0
-
vs Similar (47)
10.5
10.4
10.7
3.6
3.4
3.9
22.0
20.7
23.4
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
19.0
22.0
16.0
% over line
65%
65%
65%
54%
52%
57%
59%
46%
74%
% under line
35%
35%
35%
46%
48%
43%
41%
54%
26%
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
9.0
3.0
2.8
3.2
22.5
22.1
22.9
vs Stronger (5)
7.0
4.5
12.0
1.8
2.3
1.0
19.3
19.0
20.0
vs Similar (45)
9.3
9.7
8.9
3.2
2.9
3.4
22.7
22.3
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
44%
57%
36%
31%
42%
58%
56%
61%
% under line
50%
56%
43%
64%
69%
58%
42%
44%
39%
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Leicester
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Wigan
10.7
Blackpool
10.5
Huddersfield
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Luton
10.3
Burton
10.3
Wycombe
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.8
AFC Wimbledon
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Reading
9.3
Notts County
9.3
Cambridge
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.1
Stevenage
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.3
Peterboro
4.3
Huddersfield
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Stevenage
3.8
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Luton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Burton
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.1
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bradford
24.6
Notts County
24.4
Plymouth
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Huddersfield
24.3
Peterboro
23.9
Luton
23.8
Milton Keynes Dons
23.6
Blackpool
23.5
Wigan
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Cambridge
22.6
Reading
22.6
Mansfield
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Burton
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
21.0
Barnsley
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.5%
@ 1.60-1.2%
Under 9.5
43.5%
@ 2.19+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.2%
Under 21.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bromley or Draw✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied 63.7% · @ 1.46
Edge
+12.5%
47%
29%
25%
covers Bromley + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Bromley or Cambridge✗ Miss
65.8%
Avg Implied 71.4% · @ 1.30
Edge
-5.7%
47%
29%
25%
covers Bromley + Cambridge
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw or Cambridge✓ Hit
57.9%
Avg Implied 64.8% · @ 1.44
Edge
-6.9%
47%
29%
25%
covers Draw + Cambridge
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bromley over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.6%
@ 1.31-4.2%
Under
33.4%
@ 3.18+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.39
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Bromley over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.0%
@ 2.56-6.4%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.46+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bromley over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 6.20-5.1%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.35
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Bromley over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 16.12-3.4%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Cambridge over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 1.31-17.9%
Under
47.0%
@ 3.19+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.29
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Cambridge over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 2.53-19.2%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.47+19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.58
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Cambridge over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 6.12-11.1%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.10+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.45
BetVictor
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Cambridge over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 15.56-5.4%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bromley, so a minus line means Bromley give that many goals of a start and Cambridge receive them. At -1, Bromley must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bromley win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bromley)Actual: Cambridge
Bromley -2
5.6%
@ 11.54-2.0%
Draw -2
12.3%
@ 6.98-0.4%
Cambridge +2
82.0%
@ 1.11+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Bromley)Actual: Cambridge
Bromley -1
18.0%
@ 5.43+1.5%
Draw -1
24.1%
@ 4.17+2.6%
Cambridge +1
57.9%
@ 1.44-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
5.25
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Handicap +1 (Bromley)Actual: Bromley
Bromley +1
76.3%
@ 1.46+14.6%
Draw +1
16.2%
@ 4.17-5.4%
Cambridge -1
7.5%
@ 5.38-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.15
10Bet
3.95
Away
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.15
Unibet
5.10
Handicap +2 (Bromley)Actual: Bromley
Bromley +2
92.5%
@ 1.11+12.9%
Draw +2
5.8%
@ 6.99-6.8%
Cambridge -2
1.7%
@ 11.42-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
7.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bromley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.73
0.40
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.66
0.48
0.73
0.40
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.88
0.38
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.28
0.93
0.27
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.99
1xBet
2.99
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
BetVictor
9.00
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.80
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bromley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Bromley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Bromley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Cambridge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Unibet
1.62
Cambridge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
6.70
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Cambridge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bromley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.37
0.80
0.33
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.90
0.38
0.80
0.33
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.40
1.38
0.50
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.03
0.38
1.33
0.47
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bromley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bromley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bromley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cambridge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.8%
1.02
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
96.0%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.9%
1.10
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.5%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+12.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.1%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
82.5%
1.47
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.47
+19.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.4%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.3%
1.46
Betano
1.52
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.45
+12.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.3%
1.46
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
+14.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.8%
1.32
BetVictor
1.34
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
888Sport
1.33
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
70.0%
1.46
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
+6.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bromley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Adeboyejo50%
Michael Cheek25%
O. Sowunmi0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pinnock50%
Chanse Headman33%
O. Sowunmi25%
William Hondermarck25%
J. Mendy25%
Ethon Archer25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Sowunmi25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Pinnock25%
O. Sowunmi0%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
Cambridge
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
B. Knight75%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Callum Perry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
G. McConnell33%
Dominic Ball20%
S. Lavery20%
K. Watts20%
J. Eastwood20%
Liam Bennett20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Sullay Kaikai0%
Louis Appéré0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Isaac Heath0%
Callum Perry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Louis Appéré40%
G. McConnell33%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
Isaac Heath0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Knight50%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Bromley and Cambridge have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Bromley's attack is €1m less valuable than Cambridge's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Bromley and Cambridge have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Bromley and Cambridge have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe