PythiaFootballBETA
Bromley is expected to emerge victorious in this League Two match against Walsall, with a 46% chance of winning at home. The match is likely to be a closely contested one, with a 28% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely total being 2 goals.
The most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a probability of 13.4%. Bromley has a strong home form, scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 0.5 goals against similar opponents. Walsall's away form is less impressive, scoring 1.45 goals but conceding 1.09 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with the suggested picks including Over 1.5 at 75% and Under 3.5 at 73.1%. Bromley has a 46% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 26% chance of losing. The model's suggested picks also include Over 1.5 at 75% and Under 3.5 at 73.1%.
Bromley's 3-1 win extends their 2-game winning run, with their most recent victory coming against Barnsley. The model's call for a home win was correct, as the actual result confirmed. The model's selection was the favourite with a 46% probability of winning. The Over 1.5 selection hit, with a 75% probability, while the Under 3.5 selection missed, with a 73.1% probability. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, with a 13.4% probability, but the actual score was 3-1.
Bromley| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.53 | 0.67 | 1.47 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.75 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| vs Weaker (20) | 1.65 | 0.75 | 1.45 | 0.73 | 1.89 | 0.78 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Walsall| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 1.27 | 0.75 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.08 | 1.25 | 0.77 | 1.38 | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Walsall goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 13% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
BromleyWalsallBromley| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.4 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 22.3 | 21.5 | 22.9 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 11.6 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 22.5 | 22.6 | 22.5 |
| vs Weaker (33) | 9.7 | 9.3 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 22.1 | 21.1 | 23.2 |
| % over line | 64% | 62% | 65% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 60% | 50% | 69% |
| % under line | 36% | 38% | 35% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 50% | 31% |
Walsall| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.1 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 23.0 | 23.4 | 22.5 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 8.5 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 24.7 | 19.3 |
| vs Similar (42) | 10.4 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 23.1 | 23.2 | 23.0 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 |
| % over line | 62% | 68% | 56% | 48% | 72% | 24% | 58% | 64% | 52% |
| % under line | 38% | 32% | 44% | 52% | 28% | 76% | 42% | 36% | 48% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 73.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 | A | 3-1 | |
| 13/03/25 | H | 2-2 | |
| 26/11/24 | A | 2-2 |
Bromley| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 16/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 07/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 28/03/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/03/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 1-1 |
Walsall| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 28/03/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 17/03/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 10/03/26 | A | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Notts County | 49 | 87 | 53% | 1.8 | 78 | 52 | +26 | 2.7 | 73% | 55% | 27% | 9.3 | 46% | 4.4 | 65% | 24.2 | 72% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 56% |
| 2 | Bromley | 46 | 87 | 52% | 1.9 | 71 | 46 | +25 | 2.5 | 76% | 52% | 28% | 10.3 | 63% | 3.7 | 57% | 21.8 | 59% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 44% |
| 3 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 86 | 52% | 1.9 | 86 | 45 | +41 | 2.8 | 78% | 54% | 37% | 8.8 | 37% | 3.8 | 61% | 23.4 | 61% | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 4 |  Salford | 49 | 85 | 53% | 1.7 | 65 | 57 | +8 | 2.5 | 65% | 47% | 27% | 9.9 | 52% | 3.7 | 41% | 24.9 | 72% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 5 |  Cambridge | 46 | 82 | 48% | 1.8 | 66 | 33 | +33 | 2.2 | 72% | 35% | 13% | 9.2 | 50% | 3.1 | 35% | 22.9 | 59% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 51% |
| 6 |  Chesterfield | 48 | 80 | 44% | 1.7 | 71 | 57 | +14 | 2.7 | 71% | 44% | 29% | 10.3 | 59% | 4.2 | 57% | 21.8 | 46% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 58% |
| 7 |  Grimsby | 48 | 79 | 46% | 1.6 | 77 | 54 | +23 | 2.7 | 71% | 50% | 33% | 10.5 | 54% | 4.1 | 65% | 23.9 | 70% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 55% |
| 8 |  Barnet | 46 | 76 | 46% | 1.7 | 70 | 53 | +17 | 2.7 | 76% | 48% | 30% | 10.2 | 57% | 3.6 | 50% | 23.8 | 65% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 56% |
| 9 |  Swindon | 46 | 75 | 48% | 1.6 | 70 | 59 | +11 | 2.8 | 85% | 63% | 28% | 11.2 | 74% | 3.5 | 46% | 20.7 | 37% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 52% |
| 10 |  Oldham | 46 | 68 | 39% | 1.5 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 2.3 | 65% | 48% | 20% | 10.1 | 61% | 3.9 | 63% | 25.0 | 72% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 48% |
| 11 |  Crewe | 46 | 67 | 41% | 1.5 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 2.7 | 72% | 52% | 30% | 9.3 | 59% | 3.9 | 52% | 25.5 | 74% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 50% |
| 12 |  Colchester | 46 | 66 | 39% | 1.4 | 62 | 49 | +13 | 2.4 | 67% | 35% | 20% | 9.1 | 37% | 4.1 | 63% | 24.9 | 76% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 54% |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 65 | 39% | 1.4 | 56 | 56 | +0 | 2.4 | 70% | 48% | 26% | 10.0 | 59% | 3.8 | 50% | 23.1 | 61% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 41% |
| 14 |  Bristol Rvs | 46 | 62 | 41% | 1.3 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 2.6 | 72% | 52% | 30% | 9.4 | 39% | 4.7 | 76% | 24.2 | 70% | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | - |
| 15 |  Fleetwood Town | 46 | 61 | 33% | 1.3 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 2.5 | 74% | 46% | 20% | 10.0 | 57% | 3.8 | 54% | 23.0 | 63% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 50% |
| 16 |  Accrington | 46 | 53 | 30% | 1.2 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 2.3 | 67% | 37% | 20% | 9.5 | 48% | 4.0 | 54% | 22.2 | 48% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 48% |
| 17 |  Gillingham | 46 | 53 | 28% | 1.2 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 2.7 | 70% | 46% | 30% | 9.5 | 43% | 4.0 | 61% | 23.9 | 63% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 47% |
| 18 |  Cheltenham | 46 | 52 | 30% | 1.1 | 53 | 79 | -26 | 2.9 | 80% | 48% | 33% | 9.6 | 54% | 3.6 | 48% | 22.7 | 61% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 49% |
| 19 |  Shrewsbury | 46 | 49 | 28% | 1.1 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 2.4 | 63% | 46% | 30% | 8.2 | 30% | 4.0 | 54% | 22.3 | 61% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 44% |
| 20 |  Newport County | 46 | 43 | 26% | 0.9 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 2.7 | 76% | 57% | 28% | 9.5 | 54% | 4.0 | 54% | 23.5 | 70% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 47% |
| 21 |  Tranmere | 46 | 41 | 22% | 0.9 | 54 | 79 | -25 | 2.9 | 83% | 54% | 35% | 10.2 | 54% | 3.8 | 57% | 22.4 | 61% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 49% |
| 22 |  Crawley Town | 46 | 40 | 17% | 0.9 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 2.4 | 74% | 43% | 26% | 12.0 | 78% | 4.1 | 59% | 25.7 | 76% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 56% |
| 23 |  Harrogate | 46 | 39 | 22% | 0.8 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 2.3 | 70% | 37% | 17% | 10.3 | 63% | 3.1 | 39% | 21.7 | 41% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 47% |
| 24 |  Barrow | 46 | 36 | 20% | 0.8 | 45 | 78 | -33 | 2.7 | 72% | 63% | 33% | 9.9 | 59% | 3.3 | 48% | 20.4 | 39% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 46% |