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Brondby vs FC Copenhagen Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 1-3
Brondby
Brondby
Vs
31%
25%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Denmark: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Brondby a 31% win probability against FC Copenhagen in the Denmark: Superliga on 2026-05-21, with 25% for the draw and 44% for FC Copenhagen. The model estimates around 3.2 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (11.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (84%), Over 21.5 fouls (72%).

Results analysis

Brondby finished 1-3 against FC Copenhagen (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 31% home win, 25% draw and 44% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (84%), Over 21.5 fouls (72%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Brondby win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen win✓ Hit
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BrondbyBrondby

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L00D12L12L60W10W03L11D02L32WH·VIB15/03A·AAR22/03A·FC 07/04H·FC 12/04H·SON17/04A·VIB22/04A·SON26/04H·FC 01/05H·AAR10/05A·FC 17/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.711.431.000.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.051.271.641.450.451.09
vs Weaker (8)2.120.882.001.332.200.60
Clean sheet %37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L12L70W21W41W21W30W33D40W50WA·ODE15/03H·FC 22/03H·SIL05/04A·RAN12/04A·VEJ19/04H·ODE22/04H·VEJ27/04A·FC 03/05A·SIL10/05H·RAN17/05
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.672.071.271.602.07
vs Stronger (3)1.333.001.502.501.004.00
vs Similar (7)1.001.861.001.001.002.50
vs Weaker (20)2.201.402.501.101.901.70
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.9%
Under 2.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.8%
Under 3.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
1-3 ✓
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
Brondby goals ↓
FC Copenhagen goals →
01234
04.9%5.9%6.2%3.7%1.7%
14.7%11%9.1%5.4%2.4%
24.1%7.4%6.6%3.9%1.8%
32.0%3.6%3.2%1.9%0.9%
40.7%1.3%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brondby goals (down), columns = FC Copenhagen goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.64
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
Brondby is 0.27 points worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.12
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
Brondby is 0.76 goals worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 2.12).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.12
Brondby
1.15
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
Brondby is 0.21 goals better than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
Brondby is 3.9 percentage points worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of average possession (51% vs 55%).

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

BrondbyBrondby

For 4.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1501554526434553965575106971071012111215A·FC H·AARH·FC A·SONA·VIBH·SONH·FC A·FC A·AARH·VIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8023423212511335225235653648473A·FC H·AARH·FC A·SONA·VIBH·SONH·FC A·FC A·AARH·VIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 27.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3501021141222121214871714201512111814111131263426153135233222A·FC H·AARH·FC A·SONA·VIBH·SONH·FC A·FC A·AARH·VIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

For 6.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

17065524610461163251131434911710141797141713H·RANA·SILA·FC H·VEJH·ODEA·VEJA·RANH·SILH·FC A·ODE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5011411143211131121152452413H·RANA·SILA·FC H·VEJA·VEJA·RANH·SILH·FC A·ODEH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.0 · Total 19.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3308376191412671112131211831213101011133318182523112520H·RANA·SILA·FC H·VEJH·ODEA·VEJA·RANH·SILH·FC A·ODE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrondbyBrondby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.58.810.14.44.54.423.224.621.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)9.79.310.24.74.64.823.925.722.2
vs Weaker (14)8.87.610.03.84.33.321.121.920.4
% over line48%40%56%56%64%48%56%72%40%
% under line52%60%44%44%36%52%44%28%60%
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.88.93.63.33.823.322.424.1
vs Stronger (3)11.311.511.04.34.05.022.722.523.0
vs Similar (13)8.58.38.74.54.34.627.426.328.3
vs Weaker (34)9.510.28.83.12.83.521.721.122.4
% over line50%56%44%52%44%60%62%56%68%
% under line50%44%56%48%56%40%38%44%32%
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.6
Odense
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Vejle
10.2
Viborg
9.9
Sonderjyske
9.8
Randers FC
9.6
Brondby
9.5
FC Copenhagen
9.4
Silkeborg
9.3
Aarhus
9.1
FC Nordsjaelland
8.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.5
FC Midtjylland
4.2
Sonderjyske
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.5
Vejle
3.3
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
3.0
FC Fredericia
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
26.3
Viborg
24.0
FC Copenhagen
23.3
Brondby
23.2
Aarhus
23.1
Sonderjyske
22.0
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Vejle
20.9
FC Fredericia
20.6
Silkeborg
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.5%
Under 9.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.5%
Under 3.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.3%
Under 21.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls72.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
VEJ (31)
€15m
FF (32)
€13m
Brondby's squad is €61m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€54m vs €115m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
VEJ (11)
€7m
ODE (6)
€5m
FF (10)
€3m
Brondby's attack is €5m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€18m vs €23m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
VEJ (8)
€3m
FF (6)
€3m
Brondby's midfield is €48m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€11m vs €59m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
FF (16)
€6m
SON (13)
€6m
VEJ (12)
€5m
Brondby's defence is €8m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€25m vs €33m).

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Brondby vs FC Copenhagen · H/A from BRO
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25AFC Copenhagen Vs BRO1-0
13/09/25HBRO Vs FC Copenhagen2-1
04/05/25HBRO Vs FC Copenhagen0-3
13/04/25AFC Copenhagen Vs BRO1-2
27/10/24HBRO Vs FC Copenhagen0-0
01/09/24AFC Copenhagen Vs BRO3-1
12/05/24HBRO Vs FC Copenhagen1-3
01/04/24AFC Copenhagen Vs BRO1-2

BrondbyBrondby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AFC Midtjylland Vs BRO2-3
10/05/26HBRO Vs Aarhus0-2
01/05/26HBRO Vs FC Nordsjaelland1-1
26/04/26ASonderjyske Vs BRO3-0
22/04/26AViborg Vs BRO0-1
17/04/26HBRO Vs Sonderjyske6-0
12/04/26HBRO Vs FC Midtjylland1-2
07/04/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs BRO2-1
22/03/26AAarhus Vs BRO0-0
15/03/26HBRO Vs Viborg0-1

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HFC Vs Randers FC5-0
10/05/26ASilkeborg Vs FC0-4
03/05/26AFC Fredericia Vs FC3-3
27/04/26HFC Vs Vejle3-0
22/04/26HFC Vs Odense2-1
19/04/26AVejle Vs FC1-4
12/04/26ARanders FC Vs FC1-2
05/04/26HFC Vs Silkeborg7-0
22/03/26HFC Vs FC Fredericia1-2
15/03/26AOdense Vs FC2-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Brondby
Brondby
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.44
HomeLLWDL1.44
AwayDLWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.683.082.28
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.441.721.16
Conceded1.241.361.12
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet36%32%40%
Corners9.468.8010.12
Cards4.534.524.54
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.66
HomeLWWWW1.72
AwayLWWDW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals3.363.323.40
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %42%36%48%
Scored2.022.161.88
Conceded1.341.161.52
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners9.369.848.88
Cards3.713.424.00

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AarhusAarhus3267
59%
2.1
6232+30
2.9
81%
53%
25%
9.3
41%
3.8
52%
24.3
72%
37
1314101.91.0
54%
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland3260
50%
1.9
7236+36
3.4
81%
62%
44%
9.8
50%
4.5
72%
26.2
75%
120
6227322.21.1
54%
3FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen3354
48%
1.6
7045+25
3.5
94%
73%
42%
10.3
64%
3.6
48%
22.4
55%
115
2359332.11.4
55%
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland3250
47%
1.6
5146+5
3.0
75%
59%
31%
8.3
34%
3.8
50%
21.5
53%
80
3118301.61.4
57%
5BrondbyBrondby3345
39%
1.4
4538+7
2.5
70%
45%
24%
9.0
48%
4.6
64%
25.4
73%
54
1811251.41.2
51%
6ViborgViborg3244
41%
1.4
4951-2
3.1
72%
59%
31%
9.0
50%
3.6
48%
24.6
75%
30
89131.51.6
48%
7SonderjyskeSonderjyske3244
38%
1.4
4449-5
2.9
81%
56%
28%
10.2
66%
3.6
42%
22.0
44%
20
9561.41.5
44%
8OdenseOdense3241
34%
1.3
5160-9
3.5
88%
72%
50%
10.5
62%
3.1
37%
21.8
50%
18
5481.61.9
51%
9SilkeborgSilkeborg3236
31%
1.1
4167-26
3.4
91%
66%
44%
9.7
53%
2.8
32%
18.1
25%
26
91081.32.1
49%
10Randers FCRanders FC3235
28%
1.1
3347-14
2.5
72%
53%
22%
9.9
47%
3.4
45%
21.9
56%
27
16471.01.5
48%
11FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3234
28%
1.1
4568-23
3.5
94%
72%
50%
11.6
72%
2.9
31%
20.6
31%
13
3361.42.1
44%
12VejleVejle3224
16%
0.8
3660-24
3.0
91%
56%
25%
9.6
47%
3.5
41%
21.8
50%
15
7351.11.9
45%
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →

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