Brøndby’s recent three-game winning streak fuels the model’s confidence in a home win, with a 58 % chance versus 23 % for a draw and 19 % for Silkeborg. The expected total is 3.1 goals, yet the most likely total remains 2, a 22 % probability. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 10.8 % chance. Brøndby’s home form shows 2.0 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against weaker opposition, while Silkeborg, playing away against stronger teams, averages 0.75 scored and 4.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Under 7.5 at 97.9 % with a 2 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5 % with a 3 % edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.6 % with a 7 % edge, Under 6.5 at 94.6 % with a 2 % edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.6 % with a 2 % edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.2 % with a 9 % edge.
Results analysis
Brøndby continued their four-game winning streak, beating Silkeborg 3-1 to secure the home win the model had favoured at 59 %. The prediction was correct. The model’s selections all came through except one: the “Home under 2.5 2H goals” missed. The other eight picks - “Away under 2.5 HT goals” at 99.1 %, “Under 7.5” at 97.9 %, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 97.5 %, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 96.1 %, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 95.6 %, “Under 6.5” at 94.6 %, “Away under 1.5 HT goals” at 92.6 % and “Home under 2.5 2H goals” at 92.2 % all hit, with edge percentages where noted. The final score matched the most likely 3-goal outcome, confirming the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brondby win✓ Hit
58.8%
Avg Implied 66.2% · @ 1.41
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Dafabet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.42
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.81
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.23
Dafabet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Betano
4.90
Silkeborg win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 14.4% · @ 6.47
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
7.00
Pinnacle
6.66
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.59
10Bet
6.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Brondby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.07
1.71
1.14
1.44
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.14
1.64
1.09
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (9)
2.33
0.89
2.00
1.33
2.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.97
1.00
1.57
1.50
2.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
3.40
0.80
2.80
0.60
4.00
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.32
1.11
0.89
1.60
1.70
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
@ 1.13+0.2%
Under 1.5
16.9%
@ 5.50-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Pinnacle
5.69
Superbet
5.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.46-3.3%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.61+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Bet365
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.65
Unibet
2.65
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.5%
@ 2.19-4.7%
Under 3.5
61.5%
@ 1.66+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.22
SBO
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Under
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.62+1.7%
No
41.2%
@ 2.16-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%@ 8.98+5.6%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.69+4.1%
2-0
9.1%@ 7.96+3.5%
1-0
7.9%@ 8.96+2.9%
3-1 ✓
6.8%@ 9.88+2.2%
3-0
6.3%@ 10.01+1.8%
2-2
5.4%@ 14.16+2.2%
0-0
5.3%@ 17.17+2.7%
Brondby goals ↓
Silkeborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
3.7%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
1
7.9%
11%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.9%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
6.3%
6.8%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
4
3.2%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brondby goals (down), columns = Silkeborg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Brondby is 1.33 points better than Silkeborg in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Brondby is 1.00 goals better than Silkeborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Brondby is 0.33 goals better than Silkeborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Brondby is 8.0 percentage points better than Silkeborg in terms of average possession (55% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brondby
For 5.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Silkeborg
For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 6.9 · Against 10.9 · Total 17.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brondby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.1
9.8
4.4
5.0
3.9
24.7
26.1
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
9.7
9.7
9.8
4.8
5.3
4.3
25.4
26.9
23.6
vs Weaker (15)
8.7
7.3
9.9
3.4
3.8
3.1
22.8
23.5
22.1
% over line
51%
50%
52%
60%
71%
50%
66%
79%
52%
% under line
49%
50%
48%
40%
29%
50%
34%
21%
48%
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.3
2.6
2.8
2.4
18.7
18.5
18.9
vs Stronger (17)
9.3
10.0
8.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
17.9
18.4
17.3
vs Similar (31)
9.7
9.7
9.7
2.8
2.9
2.7
19.1
18.5
19.7
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
48%
50%
34%
42%
27%
29%
30%
27%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
66%
58%
73%
71%
70%
73%
This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.7
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.9
Viborg
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Brondby
9.6
Silkeborg
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
AC Horsens
3.8
Lyngby
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.9
Viborg
24.7
Brondby
24.4
Lyngby
24.0
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Aarhus
23.5
Sonderjyske
22.0
Randers FC
21.9
Odense
21.6
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
AC Horsens
19.7
Silkeborg
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.80
Superbet
1.57
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Brondby or Draw✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied 85.0% · @ 1.11
Edge
-6.6%
59%
23%
18%
covers Brondby + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Brondby or Silkeborg✓ Hit
77.2%
Avg Implied 81.2% · @ 1.16
Edge
-4.0%
59%
23%
18%
covers Brondby + Silkeborg
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Draw or Silkeborg✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.78
Edge
+10.6%
59%
23%
18%
covers Draw + Silkeborg
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Brondby over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.6%
@ 1.06-0.7%
Under
12.4%
@ 7.99+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Under
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
8.50
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Brondby over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.7%
@ 1.38-5.6%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.85+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
3.04
Unibet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Brondby over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
34.7%
@ 2.22-7.4%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.61+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
Superbet
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Brondby over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 4.12-6.7%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.20+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.34
BetVictor
4.33
888Sport
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Silkeborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.5%
@ 1.50+9.4%
Under
28.5%
@ 2.46-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.52
888Sport
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Betano
2.45
Silkeborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.7%
@ 3.42+8.5%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.28-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.54
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
888Sport
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Silkeborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 9.38+3.3%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.04-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
10.00
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Silkeborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 22.50-0.4%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.01+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Brondby, so a minus line means Brondby give that many goals of a start and Silkeborg receive them. At -1, Brondby must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Brondby win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Brondby)Actual: Draw
Brondby -2
17.1%
@ 3.51-8.5%
Draw -2
17.0%
@ 4.31-3.8%
Silkeborg +2
65.8%
@ 1.68+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Away
Unibet
1.74
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Handicap -1 (Brondby)Actual: Brondby
Brondby -1
34.2%
@ 2.03-9.8%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.77-2.3%
Silkeborg +1
44.4%
@ 2.76+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
Unibet
2.85
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Handicap +1 (Brondby)Actual: Brondby
Brondby +1
78.4%
@ 1.09-4.4%
Draw +1
12.5%
@ 8.33+1.6%
Silkeborg -1
9.1%
@ 14.33+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
13.00
Handicap +2 (Brondby)Actual: Brondby
Brondby +2
90.9%
@ 1.02-2.4%
Draw +2
6.2%
@ 20.00+1.4%
Silkeborg -2
2.9%
@ 48.50+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Draw
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Away
Betfair
56.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.93
0.36
0.62
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.33
0.82
0.18
0.20
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+57pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.57
0.71
0.81
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.70
0.80
1.40
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.63
0.44
0.33
1.00
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.23-3.8%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 3.82+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
William Hil
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.2%
@ 2.12-6.0%
Under 1.5
61.8%
@ 1.67+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
SBO
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.71
SBO
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 4.58-7.5%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.17+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
Betano
4.65
Unibet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.16
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.3%
@ 1.45-10.1%
Under
45.7%
@ 2.62+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.84
Unibet
2.63
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.62
1xBet
2.55
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.7%
@ 3.12-7.0%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.31+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 7.66-7.7%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
7.60
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.0%
@ 2.58+0.9%
Under
63.0%
@ 1.46-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.75
Unibet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.58
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Under
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 9.22-2.6%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
Unibet
10.00
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 38.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.79
0.79
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.81
0.82
0.91
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.56
0.67
0.33
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.00
0.43
0.86
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.70
0.00
1.40
0.40
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.68
0.67
0.56
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.6%
@ 1.13+0.2%
Under 0.5
17.4%
@ 5.31-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Superbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Unibet
5.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.8%
@ 1.69-6.6%
Under 1.5
51.2%
@ 2.10+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Under
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.1%
@ 3.08-9.1%
Under 2.5
78.9%
@ 1.33+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
67.2%
@ 1.30-4.1%
Under
32.8%
@ 3.23+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
32.1%
@ 2.38-6.8%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.51+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.8%
@ 5.39-9.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.12+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.55
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.8%
@ 2.12+0.1%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.64-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 6.82-0.4%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.07+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 20.33-2.3%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.6%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
+9.4%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
90.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
-
-
-
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
87.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.17
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.16
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.1%
1.20
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.1%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.13
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
+9.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
78.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
-6.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.3%
1.31
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.2%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
75.5%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.5%
1.50
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.52
888Sport
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
+9.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olti Hyseni40%
Patrick Mortensen20%
Jordi Vanlerberghe17%
Mads Frøkjær17%
Bartosz Slisz17%
Luis Binks17%
Marcus Younis17%
Oskar Fenger17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Marko Divković0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Max Ejdum0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mads Frøkjær50%
Luis Binks50%
Mats Köhlert33%
Bartosz Slisz33%
Marko Divković33%
Marcus Younis33%
Filip Bundgaard17%
Max Ejdum17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Oskar Fenger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Divković33%
Luis Binks33%
Sho Fukuda25%
Mats Köhlert17%
Bartosz Slisz17%
Max Ejdum17%
Marcus Younis17%
Oskar Fenger17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Mads Frøkjær0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mads Frøkjær33%
Filip Bundgaard17%
Marcus Younis17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Bartosz Slisz0%
Marko Divković0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Luis Binks0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Max Ejdum0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Oskar Fenger0%
Silkeborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross33%
William Kirk17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Møller0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum McCowatt60%
William Møller40%
Robin Østrøm17%
Alexander Priesborg17%
Lucas Riisgaard17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Oliver Ross0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
William Kirk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Callum McCowatt0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Brondby's squad is €28m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€48m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Brondby's attack is €8m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€15m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Brondby's midfield is €6m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€11m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Brondby's defence is €14m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€22m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske