Brondby is expected to emerge victorious against Sonderjyske, given their recent form. The home side is on a 2-game winning run, having beaten AC Horsens 2-0 in their last match. This momentum should give them an edge at home. Brondby's home form is solid, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match and conceding 1.33, while Sonderjyske's away form is less impressive, scoring 0.89 goals per match and conceding 1.33 against similar opponents.
The statistics suggest a relatively low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2.8 goals and the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.2%. Brondby's home win percentage is 55%, while the draw percentage is 26% and the away win percentage is 20%.
The model's selection for this match is a home win, and it also suggests the following selections: Home or Draw (80.2%), Over 1.5 goals (77.4%), Over 21.5 fouls (75%), and Home or Away (74.5%).
Results analysis
Brøndby’s 3-2 triumph over Sonderjyske extended their three-game winning run, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win with a 55 % probability. The favoured result landed and the model’s call was correct. The match delivered on almost every suggested pick: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.2 %, Home +2 handicap at 92.7 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 92.1 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 89.5 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 86.4 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 83.0 % and Home or Draw at 80.2 %. Only Under 5.5 cards missed, falling short of its 80.7 % probability. The final score matched the most likely 2-goal outcome, with Brøndby securing the victory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brondby win✓ Hit
54.7%
Avg Implied 67.2% · @ 1.39
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
Dafabet
1.42
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.75
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.14
Bet365
5.00
Dafabet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Sonderjyske win✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied 13.1% · @ 7.13
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.78
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.20
Marathonbet
7.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Brondby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.03
1.62
1.08
1.35
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.10
1.50
1.00
0.73
1.18
vs Weaker (9)
2.33
0.89
2.00
1.33
2.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.40
1.33
1.07
1.53
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
2.00
1.40
2.40
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.20
1.40
0.80
0.90
1.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
@ 1.17-2.6%
Under 1.5
22.6%
@ 4.68+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.96
Unibet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
888Sport
4.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.2%
@ 1.58-7.1%
Under 2.5
47.8%
@ 2.30+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.0%
@ 2.47-8.1%
Under 3.5
70.0%
@ 1.52+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.55
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Under
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
@ 1.78+1.0%
No
46.7%
@ 1.95-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
No
888Sport
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 8.69+7.0%
1-0
10.1%@ 7.44+4.0%
2-0
9.9%@ 7.06+3.5%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.56+3.8%
0-0
7.4%@ 14.14+4.2%
3-0
5.9%@ 9.38+1.0%
3-1
5.8%@ 10.15+1.4%
1-2
5.5%@ 18.96+3.1%
Brondby goals ↓
Sonderjyske goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
5.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
1
10%
12%
5.5%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.8%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.9%
5.8%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brondby goals (down), columns = Sonderjyske goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Brondby is 2.00 points better than Sonderjyske in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Brondby is 1.00 goals better than Sonderjyske in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Brondby is 1.00 goals better than Sonderjyske in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Brondby is 15.7 percentage points better than Sonderjyske in terms of average possession (55% vs 39%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brondby
For 5.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 14.0 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sonderjyske
For 4.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brondby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
4.3
4.7
3.9
24.7
26.3
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.7
9.6
9.8
4.8
5.3
4.3
25.5
27.3
23.6
vs Weaker (16)
8.7
7.3
9.9
3.2
3.3
3.1
22.8
23.5
22.1
% over line
50%
48%
52%
58%
67%
50%
67%
83%
52%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
42%
33%
50%
33%
17%
48%
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.9
10.4
3.3
3.8
2.9
21.7
21.5
21.9
vs Stronger (12)
9.0
8.8
9.2
4.0
4.7
3.3
23.3
24.3
22.3
vs Similar (37)
10.5
10.3
10.8
3.2
3.4
2.9
21.1
20.6
21.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
58%
61%
36%
42%
31%
47%
50%
43%
% under line
40%
42%
39%
64%
58%
69%
53%
50%
57%
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.7
Lyngby
10.1
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Sonderjyske
10.0
Viborg
9.9
Randers FC
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Brondby
9.6
Silkeborg
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.8
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
AC Horsens
3.7
Lyngby
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.3
Viborg
24.5
Brondby
24.4
FC Copenhagen
23.9
Lyngby
23.9
Aarhus
23.6
Sonderjyske
22.1
Odense
21.7
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
20.8
AC Horsens
19.4
Silkeborg
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.3%
@ 1.58+2.6%
Under 9.5
38.7%
@ 2.24-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.27
Unibet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.69-1.0%
Under 3.5
46.1%
@ 2.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.66
Under
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.0%
Under 21.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Brondby or Draw✓ Hit
80.2%
Avg Implied 86.4% · @ 1.09
Edge
-6.2%
55%
26%
20%
covers Brondby + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Brondby or Sonderjyske✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 81.1% · @ 1.16
Edge
-6.6%
55%
26%
20%
covers Brondby + Sonderjyske
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Draw or Sonderjyske✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.89
Edge
+12.8%
55%
26%
20%
covers Draw + Sonderjyske
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.92
888Sport
2.90
William Hil
2.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Brondby over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.0%
@ 1.06-4.3%
Under
17.0%
@ 7.32+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
8.00
888Sport
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Brondby over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 1.43-12.1%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.67+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.87
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.66
Unibet
2.65
Brondby over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.3%
@ 2.39-12.8%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.53+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.45
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.39
888Sport
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Brondby over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 4.50-10.1%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.17+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.75
888Sport
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.9%
@ 1.62+5.4%
Under
37.1%
@ 2.19-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.26
Unibet
2.25
888Sport
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.1%
@ 4.08+3.3%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.21-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.29
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 11.28-0.5%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.03+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
13.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Sonderjyske over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 41.00-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Brondby, so a minus line means Brondby give that many goals of a start and Sonderjyske receive them. At -1, Brondby must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Brondby win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Brondby)Actual: Sonderjyske
Brondby -2
14.3%
@ 3.60-10.7%
Draw -2
17.2%
@ 4.16-4.5%
Sonderjyske +2
68.5%
@ 1.68+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.42
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Handicap -1 (Brondby)Actual: Draw
Brondby -1
31.5%
@ 2.03-12.5%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 3.57-1.7%
Sonderjyske +1
45.3%
@ 2.87+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Unibet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.56
Unibet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Away
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
10Bet
2.85
Unibet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Handicap +1 (Brondby)Actual: Brondby
Brondby +1
80.2%
@ 1.09-4.2%
Draw +1
12.5%
@ 9.00+2.3%
Sonderjyske -1
7.3%
@ 17.00+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.00
Away
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
14.00
Handicap +2 (Brondby)Actual: Brondby
Brondby +2
92.7%
@ 1.01-1.3%
Draw +2
5.3%
@ 22.00+1.0%
Sonderjyske -2
2.0%
@ 56.00+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Away
Betfair
71.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.77
0.38
0.59
0.35
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.38
0.60
0.20
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.73
0.67
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.80
1.60
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.50
0.70
0.20
0.30
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.85
0.69
0.76
0.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.71
0.90
0.80
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.56
0.67
0.33
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sonderjyske
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.60
0.80
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.70
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.5%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.7%
1.50
Unibet
1.50
-
-
-
-
+19.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
80.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-6.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
1.17
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.5%
1.16
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-6.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.9%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-3.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
73.7%
1.53
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Bet365
1.53
+12.8%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.9%
1.32
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olti Hyseni40%
Patrick Mortensen20%
Jordi Vanlerberghe17%
Mads Frøkjær17%
Bartosz Slisz17%
Luis Binks17%
Marcus Younis17%
Oskar Fenger17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Marko Divković0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Max Ejdum0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mads Frøkjær50%
Luis Binks50%
Mats Köhlert33%
Bartosz Slisz33%
Marko Divković33%
Marcus Younis33%
Filip Bundgaard17%
Max Ejdum17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Oskar Fenger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Divković33%
Luis Binks33%
Sho Fukuda25%
Mats Köhlert17%
Bartosz Slisz17%
Max Ejdum17%
Marcus Younis17%
Oskar Fenger17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Mads Frøkjær0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mads Frøkjær33%
Filip Bundgaard17%
Marcus Younis17%
Daniel Wass0%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Bartosz Slisz0%
Marko Divković0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Luis Binks0%
Sho Fukuda0%
Max Ejdum0%
Olti Hyseni0%
Jacob Ambaek0%
Oskar Fenger0%
Sonderjyske
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Cherif Haidara33%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Maxime Soulas0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sefer Emini50%
Ismaïl Seydi40%
Matthew Hoppe33%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Maxime Soulas17%
Sefer Emini17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Cherif Haidara50%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Brondby's squad is €35m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€48m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Brondby's attack is €12m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€15m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Brondby's midfield is €8m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€11m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Brondby's defence is €15m more valuable than Sonderjyske's (€22m vs €6m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby