PythiaFootballBETA
This match between Brondby and Viborg in the Denmark: Superliga on August 2nd is expected to be an open and high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.2 goals anticipated. Brondby have been on a two-game winning run, having defeated AC Horsens 2-0 in their last outing, while Viborg are coming off a draw against Sonderjyske.
Brondby are the favourites to win, with a 47% chance of taking the three points at home, followed by a 25% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of an away win. The model's selection is a home win.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.3%. Brondby have been scoring an average of 2 goals at home, while conceding just 0.83 goals against weaker opponents. Viborg, on the other hand, have been scoring 0.83 goals away, but conceding 1.33 goals against stronger opponents.
The model suggests Over 1.5 goals, with an 83.9% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 78.2% probability. The home win percentage is 47%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 28%.
The win extends Brondby's 2-game winning run, a feat that caught the Pythia prediction model off guard. The final score was 1-0, a far cry from the model's expected total of 3.2 goals. The actual result was a home win, a correct call by the model, who had tipped Brondby to take the three points. The model's selection was the home win, with a pre-match probability of 47%. The suggested picks included Over 1.5, which missed with an 83.9% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, which hit with a probability of 78.2%.
Brondby| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.09 | 1.39 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 0.55 | 1.18 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 2.14 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.33 | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
Viborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.56 | 1.31 | 1.43 | 1.71 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 1.22 | 1.44 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.42 | 1.53 | 1.18 | 1.27 | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 3.50 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
| Viborg goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
BrondbyViborgBrondby| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 9.2 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 23.9 | 25.4 | 22.3 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (38) | 10.1 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 24.6 | 26.3 | 22.9 |
| vs Weaker (12) | 9.1 | 7.5 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 21.6 | 22.7 | 20.5 |
| % over line | 52% | 44% | 60% | 58% | 64% | 52% | 60% | 76% | 44% |
| % under line | 48% | 56% | 40% | 42% | 36% | 48% | 40% | 24% | 56% |
Viborg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.0 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 24.2 | 23.5 | 25.0 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 9.3 | 10.0 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 24.7 | 24.2 | 25.4 |
| vs Similar (29) | 9.4 | 9.9 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 23.8 | 23.3 | 24.3 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 24.9 | 23.4 | 26.4 |
| % over line | 56% | 62% | 50% | 50% | 38% | 62% | 70% | 62% | 79% |
| % under line | 44% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 62% | 38% | 30% | 38% | 21% |
Brondby| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.43 | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.09 | 0.55 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 73% (+50pp vs league) | |||||
Viborg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.73 | 1.12 | 0.62 | 0.43 | 0.86 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.78 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.63 | 0.84 | 0.91 | 0.82 | 0.25 | 0.88 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.50 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 88.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | +5.4% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 2.5 cards | 78.9% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +6.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 78.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 75.4% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +12.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 70.1% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.39 | +5.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 15/02/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 03/08/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 14/02/25 | H | 4-1 | |
| 21/07/24 | A | 3-3 | |
| 10/03/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 08/10/23 | H | 1-0 |
Brondby| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 21/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 6-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 07/04/26 | A | 2-1 |
Viborg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 6-2 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 04/05/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Brondby | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 11.8 | 75% | 5.2 | 100% | 27.5 | 75% | 54 | 18 | 11 | 25 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 51% |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 4.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 10.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 67% | 22.7 | 33% | 115 | 23 | 59 | 33 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 55% |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 9.0 | 33% | 4.3 | 67% | 31.0 | 100% | 120 | 62 | 27 | 32 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 54% |
| 4 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 1.3 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 13.7 | 67% | 3.3 | 67% | 17.0 | 0% | 80 | 31 | 18 | 30 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 57% |
| 5 | Viborg | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 1.2 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13.0 | 100% | 2.5 | 25% | 27.0 | 100% | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 48% |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 12.0 | 75% | 3.0 | 50% | 23.8 | 75% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 |  Silkeborg | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 10.0 | 50% | 3.2 | 75% | 19.8 | 25% | 26 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 8 |  Randers FC | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 12.2 | 100% | 1.8 | 25% | 20.0 | 25% | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 48% |
| 9 |  Odense | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13.5 | 75% | 2.5 | 25% | 23.5 | 100% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 51% |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.7 | 67% | 4.0 | 67% | 32.3 | 100% | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 54% |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3.2 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 9.0 | 50% | 3.8 | 75% | 30.8 | 100% | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2.8 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.0 | 25% | 23.0 | 75% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 44% |