Bryne’s recent four-game winning streak fuels the model’s confidence that a home win is most likely, reflected in a 43% chance versus 25% for a draw and 32% for an away victory. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a 3-goal game, with the most probable scoreline 1-1 at 11.1%. Bryne averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Haugesund, on a win, averages 1.62 goals scored and 2.62 conceded on the road. The model’s edge appears strongest on the “Under 7.5” total, with a 98.1% probability, and on the “Away under 2.5 HT goals” selection, offering an 8% edge. Other suggested picks include “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 97.1%, “Home under 2.5 2H goals” at 96.6%, “Under 6.5” at 95.2%, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 94.4%, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 93.4%, and “Home under 3.5 goals” at 89.7%. Each selection is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcome is highlighted.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Bryne, the pre-match favourite with a 43% chance, fell short, losing 0-2 to Haugesund. The model’s call was wrong, and the final score confirmed an away win. The pre-match favourite was Bryne, whose probability of victory was 43%. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4%, Under 6.5 at 95.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.4%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 90.0%. The match ended with Haugesund on a two-game winning run, while Bryne returned from a defeat, extending their recent form narrative.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bryne win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied 36.2% · @ 2.54
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.69
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Bet365
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.73
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.93
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Dafabet
3.80
Haugesund win✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.34
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.42
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bryne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.63
1.07
1.67
1.33
1.60
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.70
1.33
2.00
0.50
3.75
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.16
0.89
1.44
1.50
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Haugesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Haugesund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
2.40
1.38
2.25
1.21
2.57
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
2.50
1.00
2.50
0.67
2.50
vs Similar (16)
1.69
2.31
1.75
2.00
1.62
2.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
@ 1.10+0.6%
Under 1.5
15.3%
@ 5.85-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Under
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.18
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.4%
@ 1.39-3.0%
Under 2.5
36.6%
@ 2.75+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Under
Unibet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
BetVictor
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
@ 2.01-5.4%
Under 3.5
58.8%
@ 1.75+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
SBO
2.06
Betfair
2.05
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.80
SBO
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Betfair
1.75
Betano
1.75
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.4%
@ 1.36-2.5%
No
34.6%
@ 2.88+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.38
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
No
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Unibet
3.00
1xBet
2.90
10Bet
2.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%@ 7.62+5.3%
2-1
8.9%@ 9.34+4.1%
1-2
7.6%@ 8.94+2.6%
2-2
6.7%@ 9.54+2.0%
2-0
5.9%@ 15.83+3.1%
1-0
5.7%@ 13.40+2.4%
3-1
5.2%@ 15.21+2.3%
0-0
4.8%@ 18.04+2.4%
Bryne goals ↓
Haugesund goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
4.7%
4.3%
2.2%
0.8%
1
5.7%
11%
7.6%
3.8%
1.4%
2
5.9%
8.9%
6.7%
3.4%
1.3%
3
3.5%
5.2%
3.9%
2.0%
0.7%
4
1.5%
2.3%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bryne goals (down), columns = Haugesund goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Bryne is 0.29 points worse than Haugesund in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 2.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Bryne is 2.00 goals worse than Haugesund in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 3.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Bryne is 0.57 goals better than Haugesund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bryne or Draw✗ Miss
68.0%
Avg Implied 61.1% · @ 1.52
Edge
+6.9%
43%
25%
32%
covers Bryne + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Bryne or Haugesund✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.23
Edge
-0.5%
43%
25%
32%
covers Bryne + Haugesund
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Draw or Haugesund✓ Hit
57.0%
Avg Implied 63.4% · @ 1.47
Edge
-6.4%
43%
25%
32%
covers Draw + Haugesund
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bryne over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
82.8%
@ 1.16+2.7%
Under
17.2%
@ 4.66-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Bryne over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.6%
@ 1.82+1.6%
Under
47.4%
@ 1.89-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
Bryne over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.9%
@ 3.58+0.0%
Under
74.1%
@ 1.25-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.82
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Under
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bryne over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 8.05-1.4%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.06+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Haugesund over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.8%
@ 1.14-3.4%
Under
22.2%
@ 4.92+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Haugesund over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.3%
@ 1.74-9.1%
Under
55.7%
@ 2.00+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Haugesund over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
@ 3.30-9.0%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.29+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Pinnacle
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Haugesund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 7.12-6.5%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.08+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bryne, so a minus line means Bryne give that many goals of a start and Haugesund receive them. At -1, Bryne must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bryne win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bryne)Actual: Haugesund
Bryne -2
10.2%
@ 9.30+0.5%
Draw -2
13.2%
@ 7.03+0.5%
Haugesund +2
76.6%
@ 1.16-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.50
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.40
Away
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Bryne)Actual: Haugesund
Bryne -1
23.4%
@ 4.45+3.3%
Draw -1
19.6%
@ 4.53-0.2%
Haugesund +1
57.0%
@ 1.49-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.20
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Away
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Handicap +1 (Bryne)Actual: Haugesund
Bryne +1
68.0%
@ 1.53+9.7%
Draw +1
16.5%
@ 4.46-3.5%
Haugesund -1
15.5%
@ 4.12-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.30
Away
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Handicap +2 (Bryne)Actual: Draw
Bryne +2
84.5%
@ 1.18+8.8%
Draw +2
9.6%
@ 6.60-3.9%
Haugesund -2
5.9%
@ 8.25-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bryne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.73
0.27
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.26
0.63
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Haugesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Haugesund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.81
0.88
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.79
0.38
0.75
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (16)
0.94
1.12
1.25
1.00
0.62
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.21-3.5%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 3.89+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.02-12.7%
Under 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.73+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
SBO
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 4.15-9.3%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.18+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bryne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.6%
@ 1.75-5.4%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.97+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Under
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Bryne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 4.72-7.4%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.15+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Bryne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 9.25-7.5%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Haugesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
57.5%
@ 1.72+3.5%
Under
42.5%
@ 2.02-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Unibet
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Haugesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 4.48-10.6%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.16+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Haugesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 9.50-7.3%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bryne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
0.80
0.87
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.70
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.75
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.53
0.89
0.78
1.00
0.30
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Haugesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Haugesund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.43
0.56
1.38
0.64
1.50
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.71
0.62
1.75
0.17
1.67
vs Similar (16)
0.75
1.19
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.9%
@ 1.11-1.4%
Under 0.5
18.1%
@ 5.56+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.9%
@ 1.60-4.0%
Under 1.5
46.1%
@ 2.20+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Under
Unibet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.4%
@ 2.86-8.1%
Under 2.5
75.6%
@ 1.37+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Superbet
2.87
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bryne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.6%
@ 1.51-6.8%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.39+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Bryne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 3.37-8.3%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.27+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.55
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Bryne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 8.20-7.6%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.04+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Haugesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.3%
@ 1.49-6.9%
Under
44.7%
@ 2.45+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Haugesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.3%
@ 3.23-10.2%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.29+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Haugesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 8.00-6.5%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.04+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.1%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.4%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.16
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.15
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.7%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-
+8.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
82.8%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.11
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+10.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.27
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
80.8%
1.29
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
77.8%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.9%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.6%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.0%
1.23
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
74.1%
1.25
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-3.5%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
1.56
Unibet
1.64
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.52
+13.4%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bryne · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Magnus Grødem38%
Duarte Moreira25%
Sanel Bojadžić23%
Heine Asen Larsen14%
Axel Kryger12%
Alfred Scriven10%
Lasse Qvigstad9%
Nicklas Strunck7%
Mats Selmer Thornes7%
Kristian Skurve Haland6%
Jacob Haahr3%
Eirik Franke Saunes3%
Jon-Helge Tveita0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Jan de Boer0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Patrick Wik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luis Görlich38%
Andreas Skovgaard27%
Lars Erik Sødal26%
Magnus Grødem25%
Axel Kryger24%
Alfred Scriven23%
Heine Asen Larsen18%
Nicklas Strunck18%
Sanel Bojadžić15%
Patrick Wik14%
Jacob Haahr10%
Jens Berland Husebø10%
Duarte Moreira9%
Jesper Gregersen9%
Mats Selmer Thornes7%
Kristian Skurve Haland6%
Jon-Helge Tveita6%
Christian Landu-Landu5%
Lasse Qvigstad4%
Eirik Franke Saunes3%
Jan de Boer3%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Duarte Moreira22%
Alfred Scriven13%
Kristian Skurve Haland12%
Eirik Franke Saunes10%
Andreas Skovgaard9%
Sanel Bojadžić8%
Jon-Helge Tveita6%
Heine Asen Larsen5%
Nicklas Strunck4%
Jacob Haahr0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Jan de Boer0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Axel Kryger0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Mats Selmer Thornes0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Lasse Qvigstad0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Patrick Wik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Duarte Moreira22%
Heine Asen Larsen18%
Magnus Grødem12%
Sanel Bojadžić12%
Alfred Scriven10%
Eirik Franke Saunes7%
Jacob Haahr0%
Jon-Helge Tveita0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Nicklas Strunck0%
Jan de Boer0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Axel Kryger0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Mats Selmer Thornes0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Lasse Qvigstad0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Kristian Skurve Haland0%
Patrick Wik0%
Haugesund · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Diarra24%
Runar Espejord14%
Ilir Kukleci14%
Havard Karlsen10%
Claus Niyukuri9%
Emil Rohd8%
Julius Eskesen8%
Niko Hämäläinen8%
Ismaël Seone6%
Sander Innvær6%
Troy Nyhammer5%
Mikkel Hope5%
Madiodio Dia4%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Morten Agnes Konradsen0%
Amund Wichne0%
Bruno Leite0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Oscar Krusnell0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Miika Koskela0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Jasper Silva Torkildsen0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Martin Alvsaker0%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug0%
Anders Bondhus0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Ismael Camara0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miika Koskela38%
Bruno Leite29%
Martin Alvsaker25%
Julius Eskesen23%
Madiodio Dia22%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug18%
Niko Hämäläinen15%
Ilir Kukleci14%
Troy Nyhammer14%
Mikkel Fischer12%
Parfait Bizoza10%
Emil Rohd8%
Pyry Hannola8%
Oscar Krusnell7%
Morten Agnes Konradsen6%
Ismael Camara6%
Sory Diarra5%
Mikkel Hope5%
Claus Niyukuri4%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Amund Wichne0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Runar Espejord0%
Jasper Silva Torkildsen0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Sander Innvær0%
Anders Bondhus0%
Ismaël Seone0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Havard Karlsen0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jasper Silva Torkildsen33%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug9%
Claus Niyukuri9%
Niko Hämäläinen8%
Pyry Hannola8%
Anders Bondhus7%
Bruno Leite5%
Sory Diarra5%
Troy Nyhammer5%
Parfait Bizoza3%
Julius Eskesen0%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Morten Agnes Konradsen0%
Amund Wichne0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Runar Espejord0%
Oscar Krusnell0%
Miika Koskela0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Sander Innvær0%
Martin Alvsaker0%
Emil Rohd0%
Mikkel Hope0%
Ismaël Seone0%
Madiodio Dia0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Ismael Camara0%
Havard Karlsen0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Runar Espejord29%
Julius Eskesen15%
Morten Agnes Konradsen12%
Sory Diarra10%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug9%
Troy Nyhammer5%
Mikkel Hope5%
Parfait Bizoza3%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Amund Wichne0%
Bruno Leite0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Oscar Krusnell0%
Niko Hämäläinen0%
Miika Koskela0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Claus Niyukuri0%
Jasper Silva Torkildsen0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Sander Innvær0%
Martin Alvsaker0%
Emil Rohd0%
Anders Bondhus0%
Ismaël Seone0%
Madiodio Dia0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Ismael Camara0%
Havard Karlsen0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Bryne's squad is €3m less valuable than Haugesund's (€6m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Bryne and Haugesund have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Bryne and Haugesund have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Bryne's defence is €1m less valuable than Haugesund's (€2m vs €4m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →