BSC Young Boys are set to host FC Luzern in a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting an average of 3.8 goals. The most likely outcome is a 2-1 win for the home side, carrying a 9% probability. Home advantage is clear: Young Boys average 3.11 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against weaker opponents, while Luzern, playing away against stronger teams, averages zero goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model favours a home win, assigning 57% to that result, 21% to a draw and 22% to an away victory. The expected total of 3.8 goals aligns with the 3-goal most-likely total, which carries a 21% chance. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6% with a 5% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0% with a 4% edge, Under 7.5 at 95.6% with a 3% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 92.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 91.7% with a 6% edge, Home over 0.5 goals at 90.2%, Under 6.5 at 90.2% with a 3% edge, and Over 1.5 at 89.8% with a 2% edge. The recent form shows Young Boys unbeaten in their last five, while Luzern comes off a draw.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
BSC Young Boys win
57.3%
Avg Implied 62.4% · @ 1.49
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.52
Dafabet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Draw
21.0%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.78
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Dafabet
5.00
Pinnacle
4.97
BetVictor
4.80
FC Luzern win
21.8%
Avg Implied 18.2% · @ 5.10
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.26
Bet365
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
BSC Young Boys
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
3.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.83
2.38
1.69
2.36
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
2.06
1.94
1.43
1.71
2.50
2.10
vs Weaker (13)
2.77
1.69
3.11
1.67
2.00
1.75
Clean sheet %
20% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.73
2.00
2.00
1.67
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.96
1.75
2.27
2.00
1.69
1.54
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.50
1.33
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.8%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Under 1.5
10.2%
@ 8.26-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
10Bet
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
Under
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72.6%
@ 1.24-2.6%
Under 2.5
27.4%
@ 3.75+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
52.0%
@ 1.64-5.1%
Under 3.5
48.0%
@ 2.18+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
Bet365
2.20
Both teams to score
Yes
69.4%
@ 1.33+0.0%
No
30.6%
@ 3.02-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
No
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betano
3.05
1xBet
3.04
William Hil
3.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%@ 8.64+3.8%
1-1
8.5%@ 10.71+4.2%
3-1
7.1%@ 9.81+2.4%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.60+2.5%
2-0
6.4%@ 11.88+2.5%
1-2
5.5%@ 15.81+2.6%
3-2
5.0%@ 13.20+1.6%
3-0
5.0%@ 13.57+1.6%
BSC Young Boys goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.1%
2.5%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
1
4.7%
8.5%
5.5%
2.6%
0.9%
2
6.4%
9.0%
6.4%
3.1%
1.1%
3
5.0%
7.1%
5.0%
2.4%
0.8%
4
2.9%
4.1%
2.9%
1.4%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BSC Young Boys goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
BSC Young Boys is 1.00 points better than FC Luzern in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
BSC Young Boys is 2.67 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (3.83 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
BSC Young Boys is 0.17 goals worse than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
BSC Young Boys is 5.2 percentage points better than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (49% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
BSC Young Boys
For 4.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 6.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
BSC Young Boys
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.7
9.0
4.0
3.8
4.2
23.7
22.7
24.6
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
3.0
-
3.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (30)
9.5
9.6
9.5
4.4
4.5
4.3
24.3
23.9
24.7
vs Weaker (19)
9.2
9.9
8.4
3.4
2.7
4.1
22.7
20.9
24.7
% over line
56%
68%
44%
56%
52%
60%
58%
48%
68%
% under line
44%
32%
56%
44%
48%
40%
42%
52%
32%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.2
9.8
4.7
5.3
4.2
24.0
24.6
23.4
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
11.0
6.5
4.0
5.0
3.0
21.0
20.5
21.5
vs Similar (41)
10.9
11.4
10.4
4.7
5.2
4.2
24.4
24.9
23.8
vs Weaker (5)
8.6
9.3
7.5
5.8
6.7
4.5
23.4
25.0
21.0
% over line
56%
60%
52%
76%
84%
68%
66%
72%
60%
% under line
44%
40%
48%
24%
16%
32%
34%
28%
40%
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Zurich
10.7
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
FC Vaduz
9.9
FC Sion
9.6
BSC Young Boys
9.4
FC Lugano
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Vaduz
5.0
FC Thun
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Luzern
4.7
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.1
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.6
FC Basel 1893
26.5
FC Lugano
25.3
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.7
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.7
Servette FC
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.6%
@ 1.84+8.0%
Under 9.5
41.4%
@ 1.88-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Unibet
1.96
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.6%
Under 3.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.0%
Under 21.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
BSC Young Boys or Draw
75.3%
Avg Implied 81.2% · @ 1.15
Edge
-5.9%
57%
21%
22%
covers BSC Young Boys + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
BSC Young Boys or FC Luzern
78.8%
Avg Implied 81.3% · @ 1.15
Edge
-2.5%
57%
21%
22%
covers BSC Young Boys + FC Luzern
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Draw or FC Luzern
45.9%
Avg Implied 37.4% · @ 2.50
Edge
+8.4%
57%
21%
22%
covers Draw + FC Luzern
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5
Over
90.2%
@ 1.04-0.1%
Under
9.8%
@ 9.69+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Under
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.25
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5
Over
67.5%
@ 1.28-4.9%
Under
32.5%
@ 3.37+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Marathonbet
3.42
Betano
3.40
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5
Over
41.0%
@ 1.88-8.3%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.83+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Unibet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Under
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
BSC Young Boys over/under 3.5
Over
20.6%
@ 3.27-7.9%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.30+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.57
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.35
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
FC Luzern over/under 0.5
Over
78.9%
@ 1.27+5.6%
Under
21.1%
@ 3.48-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.63
10Bet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
FC Luzern over/under 1.5
Over
46.1%
@ 2.28+5.3%
Under
53.9%
@ 1.57-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Unibet
2.28
Under
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
FC Luzern over/under 2.5
Over
20.5%
@ 5.06+2.1%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.14-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
FC Luzern over/under 3.5
Over
7.3%
@ 12.12-0.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to BSC Young Boys, so a minus line means BSC Young Boys give that many goals of a start and FC Luzern receive them. At -1, BSC Young Boys must win by two or more to land; a one-goal BSC Young Boys win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (BSC Young Boys)
BSC Young Boys -2
18.1%
@ 3.48-7.7%
Draw -2
16.2%
@ 4.65-3.1%
FC Luzern +2
65.7%
@ 1.64+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.30
Away
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Handicap -1 (BSC Young Boys)
BSC Young Boys -1
34.3%
@ 2.11-8.2%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 4.12-1.9%
FC Luzern +1
45.9%
@ 2.51+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.09
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Unibet
2.43
Handicap +1 (BSC Young Boys)
BSC Young Boys +1
75.3%
@ 1.15-0.6%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 6.47-0.5%
FC Luzern -1
11.6%
@ 8.37+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.10
Handicap +2 (BSC Young Boys)
BSC Young Boys +2
88.4%
@ 1.04-1.3%
Draw +2
7.3%
@ 15.00+1.0%
FC Luzern -2
4.4%
@ 23.00+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
0.94
0.75
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.88
0.86
0.71
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.77
1.00
0.78
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.73
0.87
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.92
0.82
0.91
0.46
0.92
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.14-4.0%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 4.97+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.8%
@ 1.75-11.4%
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.99+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Unibet
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 3.32-10.3%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.29+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 HT
Over
63.0%
@ 1.36-4.9%
Under
37.0%
@ 2.88+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Under
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.82
Unibet
2.80
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 HT
Over
23.5%
@ 2.72-10.6%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.41+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Betano
2.80
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.65
10Bet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.2%
@ 6.35-6.4%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.08+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.6%
@ 2.01-6.6%
Under
60.4%
@ 1.72+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.96
Under
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.6%
@ 6.05-3.6%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.09+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.00
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 16.50-4.3%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.00
1.44
0.94
1.50
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.18
1.06
0.57
1.00
1.60
1.10
vs Weaker (13)
1.85
0.92
2.11
0.89
1.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.87
1.27
1.13
1.20
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.33
0.83
1.45
1.09
1.23
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
0.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.6%
@ 1.08-5.1%
Under 0.5
17.4%
@ 7.62+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
8.40
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.10
William Hil
7.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
53.5%
@ 1.43-11.2%
Under 1.5
46.5%
@ 2.62+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.82
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.0%
@ 2.33-12.9%
Under 2.5
73.0%
@ 1.55+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.45
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.38
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.50
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.2%
@ 1.22-9.6%
Under
33.8%
@ 3.83+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.70
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 2H
Over
33.0%
@ 2.08-11.6%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.67+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.62
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.6%
@ 4.30-11.0%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.18+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.0%
@ 1.69-3.8%
Under
49.0%
@ 2.05+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.99
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.5%
@ 4.37-1.7%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.18+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.6%
@ 10.75-4.2%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
Under 7.5
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
-
+2.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+0.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+6.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
90.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-0.1%
Under 6.5
90.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+3.5%
Over 1.5
89.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
10Bet
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
+1.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
+11.0%
Home +2 handicap
88.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+3.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.04
-
-5.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
+10.3%
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+1.7%
Under 5.5
80.4%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
+3.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
79.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-2.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
79.4%
1.30
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+7.9%
Away over 0.5 goals
78.9%
1.27
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
1.27
+5.6%
Home or Away
78.8%
1.15
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-2.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.3%
1.14
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-4.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.5%
1.41
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
+10.6%
Home or Draw
75.3%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
-5.9%
Home +1 handicap
75.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-0.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.0%
1.55
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.50
+12.9%
Over 2.5
72.6%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
-2.6%
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
1.47
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Unibet
1.44
-
+8.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
BSC Young Boys
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joël Monteiro60%
S. Essende50%
A. Sanches50%
Cedric Zesiger33%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Lewin Blum33%
A. Virginius33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
E. Fernandes20%
Armin Gigović17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Edin Etoski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewin Blum50%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Joël Monteiro20%
Stefan Bukinac20%
S. Essende17%
Armin Gigović17%
A. Sanches17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Kaly Sene67%
S. Essende50%
Lewin Blum50%
Stefan Bukinac40%
Kastriot Imeri33%
A. Sanches33%
E. Fernandes20%
Joël Monteiro20%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
Christian Fassnacht0%
S. Lauper0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Armin Gigović0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Essende83%
Joël Monteiro60%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Jaouen Hadjam33%
A. Sanches33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Armin Gigović17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
M. Keller0%
Lewin Blum0%
I. Schmidt0%
A. Virginius0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
D. Pech0%
Edin Etoski0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Di Giusto33%
N. Toggenburger33%
Stefan Knežević25%
D. Mikołajewski25%
Andrejs Cigaņiks17%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Oscar Kabwit0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrejs Cigaņiks50%
Bung Hua Freimann40%
Leonardo Bertone33%
N. Toggenburger33%
Mio Zimmermann33%
D. Mikołajewski25%
Pius Dorn20%
Tyron Owusu20%
Lucas Silva17%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Stefan Knežević0%
M. Di Giusto0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Oscar Kabwit0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aurelio Oehlers33%
D. Mikołajewski25%
Oscar Kabwit20%
M. Di Giusto17%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Andrejs Cigaņiks0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
N. Toggenburger0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Mikołajewski50%
M. Di Giusto33%
Oscar Kabwit20%
K. Letica0%
S. Simoni0%
Pius Dorn0%
Andrejs Cigaņiks0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Leonardo Bertone0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Aurelio Oehlers0%
N. Toggenburger0%
Loïc Lüthi0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Mio Zimmermann0%
Lucas Silva0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
BSC Young Boys's squad is €40m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€66m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
BSC Young Boys and FC Luzern have a similar attack value (both €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's midfield is €16m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€18m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's defence is €25m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€33m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Servette FC
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz