BSC Young Boys are set to face FC Vaduz in the Switzerland: Super League on August 23. The home side has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with a 2-2 draw against Lausanne being their most recent result. FC Vaduz, on the other hand, drew 2-2 against Inter Turku in their last match, coming off a string of losses. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.6 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals.
Young Boys are the favourites to win, with a 52% probability of taking all three points. The model's pick is a home win, with a draw probability of 23% and an away win probability of 26%. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 9.4%. Young Boys have been scoring an average of 2.6 goals at home, conceding 1.8, while FC Vaduz have been scoring 1.5 goals away, conceding 2.5. The model suggests taking Over 1.5, with an 88.3% probability.
Results analysis
BSC Young Boys’ unbeaten run in their last five games, capped by a 4-2 win over FC Vaduz, kept the model’s prediction on target. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 52 % probability and proved correct as the final score read 4-2, confirming the actual result. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 hit at 96.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.8 %, Under 6.5 hit at 92.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 92.6 %, Over 1.5 hit at 88.4 %, and Home over 0.5 goals hit at 88.2 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each pick was referenced only once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
BSC Young Boys win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.28
Edge
-20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
William Hil
1.30
SBO
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 16.2% · @ 5.75
Edge
+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
6.40
Dafabet
6.20
Pinnacle
6.02
BetVictor
6.00
Betfair
6.00
FC Vaduz win✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 11.3% · @ 8.20
Edge
+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
9.60
Unibet
9.00
Pinnacle
8.69
Betano
8.50
888Sport
8.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
BSC Young Boys
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.80
2.13
1.47
2.20
2.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.76
1.14
1.29
2.50
2.10
vs Weaker (13)
2.46
1.85
3.00
1.62
1.60
2.20
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vaduz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.47
2.07
1.50
1.88
1.44
vs Stronger (6)
2.00
2.33
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.96
1.25
2.08
1.42
1.83
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.4%
@ 1.05-0.2%
Under 1.5
11.6%
@ 8.12+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
Under
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
8.60
BetVictor
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.9%
@ 1.23-6.0%
Under 2.5
30.1%
@ 3.86+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.21
Bet365
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.6%
@ 1.62-9.2%
Under 3.5
51.4%
@ 2.22+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.75
10Bet
1.75
SBO
1.73
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.8%
@ 1.45+4.9%
No
31.2%
@ 2.57-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.50
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
No
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%@ 12.57+5.7%
2-1
9.1%@ 9.04+4.0%
2-2
6.7%@ 14.11+3.4%
3-1
6.5%@ 9.24+1.5%
1-2
6.3%@ 22.91+4.3%
2-0
6.2%@ 10.44+1.7%
1-0
4.9%@ 13.67+1.5%
3-2
4.8%@ 14.53+1.6%
BSC Young Boys goals ↓
FC Vaduz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
3.1%
2.9%
1.4%
0.5%
1
4.9%
9.4%
6.3%
3.1%
1.1%
2
6.2%
9.1%
6.7%
3.3%
1.2%
3
4.4%
6.5%
4.8%
2.3%
0.9%
4
2.3%
3.5%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BSC Young Boys goals (down), columns = FC Vaduz goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
BSC Young Boys is 1.83 points better than FC Vaduz in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
BSC Young Boys is 1.67 goals better than FC Vaduz in terms of goals scored per game (3.83 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
BSC Young Boys is 0.83 goals better than FC Vaduz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
BSC Young Boys is 4.5 percentage points worse than FC Vaduz in terms of average possession (49% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
BSC Young Boys
For 4.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Vaduz
For 4.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
BSC Young Boys
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.4
4.0
3.8
4.3
24.2
23.2
25.1
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
3.0
-
3.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (30)
9.7
9.4
10.0
4.6
4.5
4.6
24.5
24.1
24.9
vs Weaker (19)
9.4
10.2
8.6
3.3
2.7
3.9
23.7
22.0
25.6
% over line
56%
67%
46%
54%
50%
58%
62%
50%
73%
% under line
44%
33%
54%
46%
50%
42%
38%
50%
27%
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vaduz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
10.0
0.6
0.5
0.7
23.0
24.3
22.0
vs Stronger (10)
10.2
10.0
10.3
2.4
2.2
2.6
21.4
20.5
22.0
vs Similar (40)
9.5
10.0
9.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
27.0
32.0
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
67%
50%
8%
4%
12%
71%
67%
75%
% under line
43%
33%
50%
92%
96%
88%
29%
33%
25%
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.4
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.3
FC Thun
10.3
FC Vaduz
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.7
BSC Young Boys
9.6
FC Sion
9.5
FC Lugano
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Thun
5.0
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Vaduz
4.9
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.6
FC Luzern
4.6
FC Lugano
4.6
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.2
FC Thun
27.8
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.9
FC Basel 1893
26.6
FC Lugano
25.1
Grasshoppers
25.0
FC Vaduz
24.5
Lausanne
24.5
BSC Young Boys
24.2
FC Luzern
24.0
Servette FC
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.5%
@ 1.63+1.7%
Under 9.5
41.5%
@ 2.14-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Unibet
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.2%
@ 1.53+6.4%
Under 3.5
33.8%
@ 2.27-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
Under
Superbet
2.27
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.5%
Under 21.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
BSC Young Boys or Draw✓ Hit
74.4%
Avg Implied 88.1% · @ 1.07
Edge
-13.7%
52%
23%
26%
covers BSC Young Boys + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
Betfair
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BSC Young Boys or FC Vaduz✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied 84.7% · @ 1.11
Edge
-7.2%
52%
23%
26%
covers BSC Young Boys + FC Vaduz
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Draw or FC Vaduz✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.46
Edge
+20.9%
52%
23%
26%
covers Draw + FC Vaduz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.2%
@ 1.02-4.3%
Under
11.8%
@ 12.50+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Under
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
888Sport
13.00
1xBet
12.50
Betfair
10.00
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.9%
@ 1.19-15.0%
Under
37.1%
@ 4.21+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Pinnacle
4.46
BetVictor
4.40
Unibet
4.40
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
36.0%
@ 1.64-20.8%
Under
64.0%
@ 2.16+20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Under
Unibet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
BSC Young Boys over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.8%
@ 2.61-18.8%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.45+18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.90
10Bet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.1%
@ 1.40+10.6%
Under
22.9%
@ 2.77-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
888Sport
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Unibet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
Under
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Superbet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.3%
@ 2.92+11.5%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.36-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.25
888Sport
3.25
Unibet
3.05
Pinnacle
2.97
1xBet
2.88
Under
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 7.45+5.9%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.07-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.50
1xBet
8.30
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
FC Vaduz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 19.88+1.4%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.01-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to BSC Young Boys, so a minus line means BSC Young Boys give that many goals of a start and FC Vaduz receive them. At -1, BSC Young Boys must win by two or more to land; a one-goal BSC Young Boys win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: Draw
BSC Young Boys -2
15.8%
@ 2.51-19.8%
Draw -2
15.8%
@ 4.23-5.4%
FC Vaduz +2
68.4%
@ 2.07+25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Superbet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.42
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.00
Away
Unibet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.07
Bet365
2.05
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Handicap -1 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys -1
31.6%
@ 1.66-22.3%
Draw -1
20.3%
@ 4.36-0.3%
FC Vaduz +1
48.1%
@ 3.53+22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Unibet
4.25
Away
Unibet
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Handicap +1 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys +1
74.4%
@ 1.06-12.9%
Draw +1
13.7%
@ 12.00+6.0%
FC Vaduz -1
11.8%
@ 19.00+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
11.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
17.00
Handicap +2 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys +2
88.2%
@ 1.01-6.0%
Draw +2
7.5%
@ 23.00+3.4%
FC Vaduz -2
4.3%
@ 56.00+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Away
Betfair
56.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.53
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.76
0.43
0.43
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.85
0.88
0.62
0.60
1.20
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vaduz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.70
1.29
0.71
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.17
1.50
1.00
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.58
1.25
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.14-2.2%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.97+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.30
BetVictor
5.25
William Hil
5.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.7%
@ 1.72-9.7%
Under 1.5
55.3%
@ 2.05+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
SBO
1.77
William Hil
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
SBO
2.07
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
23.0%
@ 3.19-6.1%
Under 2.5
77.0%
@ 1.31+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
61.7%
@ 1.29-10.3%
Under
38.3%
@ 3.31+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.20
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
26.9%
@ 2.34-12.7%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.54+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.30
Under
Unibet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.52
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 5.28-10.1%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.12+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.2%
@ 2.37+4.0%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.53-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Unibet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.32
Under
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
14.1%
@ 8.00+2.5%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.05-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 28.00-96.7%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.00
1.47
0.93
1.40
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.24
1.00
0.71
0.86
1.60
1.10
vs Weaker (13)
1.69
1.00
2.12
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vaduz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.79
0.79
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.67
0.83
0.75
1.08
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.7%
@ 1.07-3.6%
Under 0.5
16.3%
@ 7.34+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
8.40
Superbet
7.50
Betano
7.30
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.8%
@ 1.41-11.1%
Under 1.5
45.2%
@ 2.72+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Under
Betano
2.90
Superbet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Unibet
2.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.7%
@ 2.27-10.3%
Under 2.5
69.3%
@ 1.58+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.40
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Unibet
1.56
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
67.0%
@ 1.17-12.2%
Under
33.0%
@ 4.48+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.35
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
37.3%
@ 1.83-13.3%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.88+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.83
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.1%
@ 3.53-4.1%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.26+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 1.92-1.8%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.80+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 5.58-3.1%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.11+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 14.50-2.8%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.01
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.6%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
-
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.4%
1.05
10Bet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.2%
1.02
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.2%
1.01
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-2.5%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
84.3%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.2%
1.45
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
+18.8%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
-5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
79.1%
1.14
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.5%
1.11
888Sport
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
-7.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.1%
1.40
10Bet
1.48
888Sport
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Unibet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
77.0%
1.31
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
74.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
Betfair
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.07
-13.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
-12.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.1%
1.54
Unibet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.52
+12.7%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
70.5%
1.55
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
+10.4%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.5%
1.37
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
+3.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
BSC Young Boys
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joël Monteiro60%
S. Essende50%
A. Sanches50%
Cedric Zesiger33%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Lewin Blum33%
A. Virginius33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
E. Fernandes20%
Armin Gigović17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Edin Etoski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewin Blum50%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Joël Monteiro20%
Stefan Bukinac20%
S. Essende17%
Armin Gigović17%
A. Sanches17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Kaly Sene67%
S. Essende50%
Lewin Blum50%
Stefan Bukinac40%
Kastriot Imeri33%
A. Sanches33%
E. Fernandes20%
Joël Monteiro20%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
Christian Fassnacht0%
S. Lauper0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Armin Gigović0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Essende83%
Joël Monteiro60%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Jaouen Hadjam33%
A. Sanches33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Armin Gigović17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
M. Keller0%
Lewin Blum0%
I. Schmidt0%
A. Virginius0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
D. Pech0%
Edin Etoski0%
FC Vaduz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Monsberger33%
Julian Stark33%
Juan Cabrera33%
Lutfi Dalipi33%
D. Schwizer25%
Miloš Cocić17%
L. Schaffran0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
D. Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
D. Kasper0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Simani60%
Dejan Đokić50%
M. Monsberger33%
Julian Stark33%
Juan Cabrera33%
M. Sawadogo20%
Liridon Berisha17%
Nicolas Hasler17%
Luca Mack17%
Lutfi Dalipi17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
N. Lang0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
Mattia Walker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lutfi Dalipi67%
Dejan Sorgić33%
Nicolas Hasler33%
M. Monsberger17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
M. Hammerich0%
D. Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
Juan Cabrera0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Monsberger50%
Juan Cabrera33%
D. Simani20%
Lutfi Dalipi17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
BSC Young Boys's squad is €60m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€66m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's attack is €13m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€15m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's midfield is €16m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€18m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's defence is €31m more valuable than FC Vaduz's (€33m vs €2m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Servette FC
Grasshoppers