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Bsk Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 1-0
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Vs
51%
31%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hrvace
Hrvace
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Bsk Bijelo Brdo a 51% win probability against Hrvace in the Croatia: First NL on 2026-05-16, with 31% for the draw and 17% for Hrvace. The model estimates around 1.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-0 the most likely scoreline (17.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (87%).

Results analysis

Bsk Bijelo Brdo finished 1-0 against Hrvace (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 51% home win, 31% draw and 17% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (87%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bsk Bijelo Brdo win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hrvace win✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L11D21W01L10W02L00D21WH·RUD07/03A·CRO15/03A·RUD21/03H·ORI04/04A·DUB07/04A·KAR10/04H·JAR18/04A·HNK25/04H·OPA02/05A·DUG09/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.901.140.360.751.38
vs Stronger (3)2.330.002.000.003.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.781.001.000.420.601.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L10W21W03L42W12L40W21W02LA·OPA06/03H·SES14/03A·KAR20/03H·HNK28/03A·DUG04/04H·SES11/04A·RUD19/04H·ORI25/04A·JAR02/05H·OPA10/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.471.070.871.73
vs Stronger (11)1.641.361.861.291.251.50
vs Similar (19)0.891.421.120.880.731.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.2%
Under 1.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.9%
Under 2.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.0%
No
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
17.3%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
12.0%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals ↓
Hrvace goals →
01234
015%8.1%3.0%0.7%0.1%
117%13%3.9%0.8%0.1%
212%7.8%2.5%0.6%0.1%
35.2%3.4%1.1%0.2%0.0%
41.7%1.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals (down), columns = Hrvace goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo is 0.18 points better than Hrvace in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.09).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Bsk Bijelo Brdo is 0.18 goals worse than Hrvace in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.09).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Bsk Bijelo Brdo is 0.55 goals better than Hrvace in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.45).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L01L01L10W01L00D11DH·RUD07/03A·CRO15/03A·RUD21/03H·ORI04/04A·DUB07/04A·KAR10/04H·JAR18/04A·HNK25/04H·OPA02/05A·DUG09/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.500.430.210.120.75
vs Stronger (3)0.330.000.500.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.260.560.420.250.130.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HrvaceHrvace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L10W10W01L10W12L30W21W02LA·OPA06/03H·SES14/03A·KAR20/03H·HNK28/03A·DUG04/04H·SES11/04A·RUD19/04H·ORI25/04A·JAR02/05H·OPA10/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.730.600.530.60
vs Stronger (11)0.730.550.710.570.750.50
vs Similar (19)0.580.630.750.620.450.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (38)
€5m
SES (57)
€5m
O1 (36)
€5m
BBB (30)
€4m
RUD (35)
€4m
DUG (43)
€4m
CZ (43)
€4m
HC (29)
€4m
K1 (44)
€4m
HRV (52)
€3m
OPA (39)
€3m
Bsk Bijelo Brdo's squad is €1m more valuable than Hrvace's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Bsk Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace · H/A from BBB
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26AHrvace Vs BBB1-0
05/10/25HBBB Vs Hrvace1-2

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ADugopolje Vs BBB1-2
02/05/26HBBB Vs Opatija0-0
25/04/26AHNK Cibalia Vs BBB2-0
18/04/26HBBB Vs Jarun1-0
10/04/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs BBB1-0
07/04/26ADubrava Zagreb Vs BBB1-2
04/04/26HBBB Vs Orijent 19191-1
21/03/26ARudes Vs BBB2-0
15/03/26ACroatia Zmijavci Vs BBB1-1
07/03/26HBBB Vs Rudes0-0

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HHRV Vs Opatija0-2
02/05/26AJarun Vs HRV1-2
25/04/26HHRV Vs Orijent 19194-0
19/04/26ARudes Vs HRV2-1
11/04/26HHRV Vs Sesvete4-2
04/04/26ADugopolje Vs HRV3-0
28/03/26HHRV Vs HNK Cibalia2-1
20/03/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs HRV0-1
14/03/26HHRV Vs Sesvete1-2
06/03/26AOpatija Vs HRV0-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.48
HomeWDDWD1.74
AwayLWLLW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%37%
AVG goals2.181.912.41
Over 1.5 %64%61%67%
Over 2.5 %36%30%41%
Over 3.5 %18%13%22%
Scored1.181.261.11
Conceded1.000.651.30
BTTS34%35%33%
Clean Sheet40%57%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Hrvace
Hrvace
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.20
HomeLWWWL1.60
AwayDWLLW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%47%20%
AVG goals2.572.532.60
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %60%53%67%
Over 3.5 %23%27%20%
Scored1.171.470.87
Conceded1.401.071.73
BTTS50%47%53%
Clean Sheet23%33%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0000.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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