This opponent (Paks) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.79
1.67
1.58
1.25
2.00
2.08
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
1.67
1.56
1.44
1.11
1.89
2.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
1.50
2.50
1.00
2.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.0%
Under 2.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2 ✓
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
Budapest Honved goals ↓
Paks goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
5.1%
5.1%
2.8%
1.2%
1
5.0%
11%
8.4%
4.6%
1.9%
2
4.9%
8.2%
6.8%
3.8%
1.6%
3
2.7%
4.5%
3.7%
2.1%
0.9%
4
1.1%
1.8%
1.5%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Budapest Honved goals (down), columns = Paks goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
1.91
Kecskeméti TE
1.73
Debreceni VSC
1.64
Puskas Academy
1.61
Paks
1.48
Kisvarda FC
1.30
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.27
Ujpest
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.18
Fehérvár FC
1.06
Budapest Honved
1.00
Vasas
0.79
Budapest Honved is 0.48 points worse than Paks in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.48).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
1.88
Paks
1.73
Debreceni VSC
1.58
Kecskeméti TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.30
Ujpest
1.27
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.21
Fehérvár FC
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.12
Budapest Honved
1.03
Vasas
0.88
Budapest Honved is 0.70 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.73).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kecskeméti TE
0.97
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.18
Puskas Academy
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Vasas
1.30
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Budapest Honved
1.55
Ujpest
1.67
Paks
1.73
Budapest Honved is 0.18 goals better than Paks in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.73).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Budapest Honved
For 5.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Paks
For 3.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Budapest Honved
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
10.0
11.0
8.6
2.4
2.7
2.2
-
-
-
vs Stronger (6)
11.2
10.7
13.0
3.3
4.3
2.3
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.4
11.2
7.5
2.1
2.1
2.1
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
71%
20%
33%
33%
33%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
29%
80%
67%
67%
67%
-
-
-
This opponent (Paks) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
11.1
11.7
10.4
2.4
2.1
2.7
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
15.0
10.0
6.5
3.0
10.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
10.5
11.3
9.7
1.6
1.3
1.8
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
11.3
10.5
13.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
-
-
-
% over line
73%
67%
80%
33%
25%
42%
-
-
-
% under line
27%
33%
20%
67%
75%
58%
-
-
-
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zalaegerszegi TE
11.4
Paks
11.1
Ferencvarosi TC
10.0
Budapest Honved
10.0
Mezokovesd-zsory
10.0
Ujpest
9.7
Puskas Academy
9.2
Fehérvár FC
9.2
Kisvarda FC
9.1
Debreceni VSC
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fehérvár FC
5.3
Ujpest
5.3
Paks
5.2
Ferencvarosi TC
5.1
Puskas Academy
5.0
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.0
Mezokovesd-zsory
5.0
Budapest Honved
4.8
Debreceni VSC
3.5
Kisvarda FC
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ferencvarosi TC
24.9
Fehérvár FC
15.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.9%
Under 3.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Budapest Honved
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.71
0.42
0.33
0.50
1.08
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.72
0.33
0.44
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
54% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.67
0.78
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Budapest Honved
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.88
0.75
0.83
0.50
0.92
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.83
1.33
2.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.56
0.56
0.44
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
0.96
0.83
0.75
1.33
1.17
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.89
0.67
0.44
1.22
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.75
1.50
1.00
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Budapest Honved · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Csontos50%
Ádam Szamosi50%
Ákos Baki33%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ádam Somogyi25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Deian Boldor50%
Szilveszter Hangya25%
Dominik Csontos25%
Kevin Kállai25%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Tamás Somogyi0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Csontos50%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádam Szamosi50%
Deian Boldor25%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Dominik Csontos0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Paks · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
József Szalai83%
M. Pető43%
J. Windecker33%
Zsolt Haraszti20%
Andor Lapu20%
Milán Győrfi17%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
J. Hahn0%
Kristóf Papp0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
K. Horváth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Windecker50%
K. Horváth43%
B. Lenzsér40%
J. Szabó40%
Kristóf Papp29%
J. Hahn25%
Andor Lapu20%
Milán Győrfi17%
M. Pető14%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
József Szalai0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zsolt Haraszti40%
Andor Lapu40%
B. Vécsei33%
Kristóf Papp29%
József Szalai17%
K. Horváth14%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
J. Hahn0%
J. Windecker0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
M. Pető0%
Milán Győrfi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
József Szalai50%
M. Pető43%
Dániel Böde25%
J. Hahn25%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
Kristóf Papp0%
J. Windecker0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Andor Lapu0%
K. Horváth0%
Milán Győrfi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Budapest Honved's squad is €3m less valuable than Paks's (€5m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
Budapest Honved's attack is €2m less valuable than Paks's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Budapest Honved and Paks have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Budapest Honved and Paks have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Kecskeméti TE
Debreceni VSC
Puskas Academy
Kisvarda FC
Mezokovesd-zsory
Ujpest
Zalaegerszegi TE
Fehérvár FC
Vasas